• Resign decision at 3a 2a

    From ah....Clem@21:1/5 to All on Sat Jun 3 14:00:11 2023
    I don't get many of these, so I don't have much practice, and I don't
    know how to query XG to get a ruling.

    I'm behind 4 to 5 in a match to 7 with a lot of gammon chances but a
    fair number of losses. My opponent offered to resign a single game
    (which many people think is bad form when gammons are still possible,
    but my opinion is that it's a valid prop in situations like this.

    So, do you accept the point and go to (basically) DMP or play on for the gammon?

    And if you know how to do a rollout for a decision like this, please
    post. Thanks.


    XGID=aDC-Aa-------ac--cbb-b----:0:0:-1:00:4:5:0:7:10

    X:You O:O
    Score is X:4 O:5 7 pt.(s) match.
    +12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
    | O O O O | | O O |
    | O O O | | O O |
    | O O | | |
    | | | |
    | | | |
    | |BAR| |
    | | O | |
    | | | X |
    | | | X X |
    | | | X X |
    | | | O X X X |
    +13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
    Pip count X: 14 O: 148 X-O: 4-5/7
    Cube: 1
    O on roll, cube action


    eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

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  • From Axel Reichert@21:1/5 to ah....Clem on Sat Jun 3 20:42:24 2023
    "ah....Clem" <ah_clem@ymail.com> writes:

    My opponent offered to resign a single game (which many people think
    is bad form when gammons are still possible,

    At least according to European Backgammon Federation rules, resignations
    are illegal as long as there is contact.

    So, do you accept the point

    No.

    know how to do a rollout for a decision like this

    A standard rollout for your opponent shows that her equity is about
    -1.6, far below -1, with about 70 per cent of the games getting
    gammoned. Now if you accept the illegal resignation, you are trading 1
    point for 1.6 points. Yes, from your point of view it will often (after
    the gammons) be -1/-2 Crawford, whereas after accepting the resignation
    it will be -2/-2. So you are waisting the potential free drop.

    Best regards

    Axel

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  • From pepstein5@gmail.com@21:1/5 to ah....Clem on Sat Jun 3 11:19:10 2023
    On Saturday, June 3, 2023 at 7:00:12 PM UTC+1, ah....Clem wrote:
    I don't get many of these, so I don't have much practice, and I don't
    know how to query XG to get a ruling.

    I'm behind 4 to 5 in a match to 7 with a lot of gammon chances but a
    fair number of losses. My opponent offered to resign a single game
    (which many people think is bad form when gammons are still possible,
    but my opinion is that it's a valid prop in situations like this.

    So, do you accept the point and go to (basically) DMP or play on for the gammon?

    And if you know how to do a rollout for a decision like this, please
    post. Thanks.


    XGID=aDC-Aa-------ac--cbb-b----:0:0:-1:00:4:5:0:7:10

    X:You O:O
    Score is X:4 O:5 7 pt.(s) match.
    +12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
    | O O O O | | O O |
    | O O O | | O O |
    | O O | | |
    | | | |
    | | | |
    | |BAR| |
    | | O | |
    | | | X |
    | | | X X |
    | | | X X |
    | | | O X X X |
    +13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
    Pip count X: 14 O: 148 X-O: 4-5/7
    Cube: 1
    O on roll, cube action


    eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2
    This "offer" isn't legal play.
    There's no meta-rule in backgammon that says that anything goes
    so long as the two players agree.
    If there were such a meta rule then, if both players felt tired at the beginning
    of a match to 25, they could agree to make the score 24/24 and play at DMP.

    Paul

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  • From Timothy Chow@21:1/5 to Axel Reichert on Sun Jun 4 08:49:27 2023
    On 6/3/2023 2:42 PM, Axel Reichert wrote:
    A standard rollout for your opponent shows that her equity is about
    -1.6, far below -1, with about 70 per cent of the games getting
    gammoned. Now if you accept the illegal resignation, you are trading 1
    point for 1.6 points. Yes, from your point of view it will often (after
    the gammons) be -1/-2 Crawford, whereas after accepting the resignation
    it will be -2/-2. So you are waisting the potential free drop.

    I agree with this except for the comment about a "free drop."
    As you said, if ah_clem wins a gammon, it will be -1/-2 *Crawford*
    (or gammon save) and not -1/-2 *post-Crawford*, when he would indeed
    have a free drop.

    The other comment I have is that you don't even need a rollout here.
    In XG, right-click in the "Winning Chances" box, and then select
    "Display as -> Match Winning Chances". This will tell you that your
    opponent has only slightly more than 40% match-winning chances at
    this point, which is much less than the 50% he would have if you
    accepted just 1 point.

    ---
    Tim Chow

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  • From Axel Reichert@21:1/5 to Timothy Chow on Sun Jun 4 17:47:36 2023
    Timothy Chow <tchow12000@yahoo.com> writes:

    As you said, if ah_clem wins a gammon, it will be -1/-2 *Crawford*
    (or gammon save) and not -1/-2 *post-Crawford*, when he would indeed
    have a free drop.

    Sorry, of course. I mixed this up and stand corrected.

    Best regards

    Axel

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  • From ah...Clem@21:1/5 to ah....Clem on Thu Jun 8 17:43:58 2023
    On 6/3/2023 2:00 PM, ah....Clem wrote:


    XGID=aDC-Aa-------ac--cbb-b----:0:0:-1:00:4:5:0:7:10

    X:You   O:O
    Score is X:4 O:5 7 pt.(s) match.  +12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
     | O  O        O  O |   | O     O          |  |    O        O  O |   | O     O          |  |    O        O    |   |                  |  |                  |   |                  |
     |                  |   |                  |
     |                  |BAR|                  |
     |                  | O |                  |
     |                  |   |                X |
     |                  |   |             X  X |  |                  |   |             X  X |  |                  |   |    O  X     X  X |  +13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
    Pip count  X: 14  O: 148 X-O: 4-5/7
    Cube: 1
    O on roll, cube action


    No rollout because Axel and Tim have already given enough numbers to see
    that accepting this resign is a blunder. Thanks.

    I had to think a bit, but decided that there were enough gammons to be
    had and that if hit there's still a lot of game left - with 7 checkers
    off, even if O manages a closeout X is still about 40% to win.

    I declined, O shook a 64 to to his, but I eventually straggled home for
    the single point win.

    This was on FIBS, where there's no rule about when and how to offer a resignation, other than if it will end the match it's automatically
    accepted.

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  • From pepstein5@gmail.com@21:1/5 to ah...Clem on Fri Jun 9 10:49:17 2023
    On Thursday, June 8, 2023 at 10:44:04 PM UTC+1, ah...Clem wrote:
    On 6/3/2023 2:00 PM, ah....Clem wrote:


    XGID=aDC-Aa-------ac--cbb-b----:0:0:-1:00:4:5:0:7:10

    X:You O:O
    Score is X:4 O:5 7 pt.(s) match.
    +12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
    | O O O O | | O O |
    | O O O | | O O |
    | O O | | |
    | | | |
    | | | |
    | |BAR| |
    | | O | |
    | | | X |
    | | | X X |
    | | | X X |
    | | | O X X X |
    +13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
    Pip count X: 14 O: 148 X-O: 4-5/7
    Cube: 1
    O on roll, cube action

    No rollout because Axel and Tim have already given enough numbers to see that accepting this resign is a blunder. Thanks.

    I had to think a bit, but decided that there were enough gammons to be
    had and that if hit there's still a lot of game left - with 7 checkers
    off, even if O manages a closeout X is still about 40% to win.

    I declined, O shook a 64 to to his, but I eventually straggled home for
    the single point win.

    This was on FIBS, where there's no rule about when and how to offer a resignation, other than if it will end the match it's automatically accepted.

    The automatic acceptance rule was not there in the early days of FIBS (approx 1994 or so).
    I remember resigning a single to concede the match and my opponent refusing on the
    basis of having gammon possibilities.
    He thought that he would get more rating points if he beat me with a higher score.

    Paul

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  • From Stick Rice@21:1/5 to ah...Clem on Wed Jun 28 07:42:41 2023
    On Thursday, June 8, 2023 at 5:44:04 PM UTC-4, ah...Clem wrote:
    On 6/3/2023 2:00 PM, ah....Clem wrote:


    XGID=aDC-Aa-------ac--cbb-b----:0:0:-1:00:4:5:0:7:10

    X:You O:O
    Score is X:4 O:5 7 pt.(s) match.
    +12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
    | O O O O | | O O |
    | O O O | | O O |
    | O O | | |
    | | | |
    | | | |
    | |BAR| |
    | | O | |
    | | | X |
    | | | X X |
    | | | X X |
    | | | O X X X |
    +13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
    Pip count X: 14 O: 148 X-O: 4-5/7
    Cube: 1
    O on roll, cube action

    No rollout because Axel and Tim have already given enough numbers to see that accepting this resign is a blunder. Thanks.

    I had to think a bit, but decided that there were enough gammons to be
    had and that if hit there's still a lot of game left - with 7 checkers
    off, even if O manages a closeout X is still about 40% to win.

    I declined, O shook a 64 to to his, but I eventually straggled home for
    the single point win.

    This was on FIBS, where there's no rule about when and how to offer a resignation, other than if it will end the match it's automatically accepted.

    Don't forget in positions like these that when your opponent does get lucky and hit he has to play the game out. You're getting XG's evaluation for playing the game out. It's pretty safe to say your opponent isn't going to come near playing this game
    out as well as XG would from his side. You, however, when you're hit, I suspect you'll play the game out just as well as XG.

    Stick

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