From
Timothy Chow@21:1/5 to
All on Mon May 15 08:55:43 2023
XGID=-A-BBbBBB---bB---b-d-B-cb-:1:-1:1:54:0:0:0:0:10
Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X O | | O X O O | +---+
| X O | | O X O O | | 2 |
| | | O O | +---+
| | | O |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | |
| O X X | | X O X X |
| O X X | | X O X X X |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 125 O: 114 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 2, O own cube
X to play 54
Dumping looks pretty ugly, but O's position is inflexible and she
might be leaving a shot next turn. In the variant below, O has a
blot in her board, and 13/4 duplicates O's aces to hit and to cover.
1. Rollout¹ 8/4 8/3 eq:-0.091
Player: 52.90% (G:10.52% B:0.26%)
Opponent: 47.10% (G:7.63% B:0.15%)
Confidence: ±0.007 (-0.099..-0.084) - [100.0%]
2. Rollout¹ 7/3 7/2 eq:-0.154 (-0.063)
Player: 51.04% (G:10.49% B:0.25%)
Opponent: 48.96% (G:9.32% B:0.26%)
Confidence: ±0.007 (-0.162..-0.147) - [0.0%]
3. Rollout¹ 6/2 6/1 eq:-0.198 (-0.107)
Player: 49.85% (G:8.69% B:0.21%)
Opponent: 50.15% (G:9.29% B:0.22%)
Confidence: ±0.007 (-0.206..-0.191) - [0.0%]
4. Rollout¹ 13/4 eq:-0.201 (-0.109)
Player: 48.98% (G:10.29% B:0.38%)
Opponent: 51.02% (G:8.11% B:0.22%)
Confidence: ±0.007 (-0.208..-0.193) - [0.0%]
5. Rollout¹ 13/9 13/8 eq:-0.233 (-0.142)
Player: 48.07% (G:8.43% B:0.29%)
Opponent: 51.93% (G:6.81% B:0.17%)
Confidence: ±0.007 (-0.241..-0.226) - [0.0%]
¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release
-------
Variant
-------
XGID=-A-BBbBBB---bB---b-daB-bb-:1:-1:1:54:0:0:0:0:10
Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X O | | O O X O O | +---+
| X O | | O X O O | | 2 |
| | | O | +---+
| | | O |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | |
| O X X | | X O X X |
| O X X | | X O X X X |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 125 O: 117 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 2, O own cube
X to play 54
1. Rollout¹ 13/4 eq:-0.211
Player: 48.91% (G:9.40% B:0.34%)
Opponent: 51.09% (G:8.42% B:0.26%)
Confidence: ±0.006 (-0.217..-0.205) - [84.5%]
2. Rollout¹ 8/4 8/3 eq:-0.215 (-0.004)
Player: 48.94% (G:9.43% B:0.24%)
Opponent: 51.06% (G:10.45% B:0.30%)
Confidence: ±0.006 (-0.221..-0.210) - [15.5%]
¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 4-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller+
Search interval: Large
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release
---
Tim Chow
--- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
* Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)