• Which double hit?

    From Timothy Chow@21:1/5 to All on Fri Apr 21 09:53:48 2023
    XGID=-a---aE-DA--eC---b-ea---AA:0:0:1:55:0:0:0:0:10

    Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
    +13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
    | X O | | O O X |
    | X O | | O |
    | X | | O |
    | | | O |
    | | X | O |
    | |BAR| |
    | O | | X |
    | O X | | X |
    | O X | | X |
    | O X | | X |
    | O X X | | X O O |
    +12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
    Pip count X: 159 O: 160 X-O: 0-0
    Cube: 1
    X to play 55

    ---
    Tim Chow

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Robert Zimmerman@21:1/5 to Timothy Chow on Fri Apr 21 09:34:43 2023
    On Friday, April 21, 2023 at 9:53:51 AM UTC-4, Timothy Chow wrote:
    XGID=-a---aE-DA--eC---b-ea---AA:0:0:1:55:0:0:0:0:10

    Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
    +13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
    | X O | | O O X |
    | X O | | O |
    | X | | O |
    | | | O |
    | | X | O |
    | |BAR| |
    | O | | X |
    | O X | | X |
    | O X | | X |
    | O X | | X |
    | O X X | | X O O |
    +12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
    Pip count X: 159 O: 160 X-O: 0-0
    Cube: 1
    X to play 55

    ---
    Tim Chow
    It's a blitz. And things go better when you a. make points and b. excavate the front. So make the ace point. Play 20/15 with the last 5 since 13/8 strips the midpoint and stacks the 8.
    Bob

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Timothy Chow@21:1/5 to All on Sun Apr 23 08:25:41 2023
    XGID=-a---aE-DA--eC---b-ea---AA:0:0:1:55:0:0:0:0:10

    Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
    +13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
    | X O | | O O X |
    | X O | | O |
    | X | | O |
    | | | O |
    | | X | O |
    | |BAR| |
    | O | | X |
    | O X | | X |
    | O X | | X |
    | O X | | X |
    | O X X | | X O O |
    +12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
    Pip count X: 159 O: 160 X-O: 0-0
    Cube: 1
    X to play 55

    I didn't want O to anchor on my 5pt, but XG prefers unstacking the
    6pt and making a new home-board point. But see the variant below
    for comparison.

    1. Rollout¹ Bar/20* 20/15 6/1*(2) eq:+0.723
    Player: 64.31% (G:28.59% B:0.87%)
    Opponent: 35.69% (G:7.72% B:0.30%)
    Confidence: ±0.013 (+0.710..+0.736) - [100.0%]

    2. Rollout¹ Bar/20* 13/8 6/1*(2) eq:+0.663 (-0.060)
    Player: 62.31% (G:29.22% B:0.85%)
    Opponent: 37.69% (G:8.29% B:0.39%)
    Confidence: ±0.015 (+0.648..+0.677) - [0.0%]

    3. Rollout¹ Bar/20* 20/5* eq:+0.596 (-0.127)
    Player: 62.02% (G:23.61% B:1.65%)
    Opponent: 37.98% (G:8.14% B:0.32%)
    Confidence: ±0.016 (+0.580..+0.611) - [0.0%]

    ¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
    Dice Seed: 271828
    Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

    eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release

    -------
    Variant
    -------

    XGID=-a---aD-DA-AeC---b-ea---AA:0:0:1:55:0:0:0:0:10

    Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
    +13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
    | X O | | O O X |
    | X O | | O |
    | X | | O |
    | | | O |
    | | X | O |
    | |BAR| |
    | O | | |
    | O X | | X |
    | O X | | X |
    | O X | | X |
    | O X X X | | X O O |
    +12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
    Pip count X: 164 O: 160 X-O: 0-0
    Cube: 1
    X to play 55

    1. Rollout¹ Bar/20* 20/5* eq:+0.646
    Player: 63.43% (G:23.43% B:1.63%)
    Opponent: 36.57% (G:8.35% B:0.37%)
    Confidence: ±0.011 (+0.635..+0.657) - [89.4%]

    2. Rollout¹ Bar/20* 11/1* 6/1 eq:+0.636 (-0.010)
    Player: 62.13% (G:27.59% B:0.86%)
    Opponent: 37.87% (G:8.42% B:0.33%)
    Confidence: ±0.011 (+0.625..+0.647) - [10.6%]

    ¹ 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
    Dice Seed: 271828
    Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

    eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release

    ---
    Tim Chow

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Robert Zimmerman@21:1/5 to Timothy Chow on Mon Apr 24 11:28:48 2023
    On Sunday, April 23, 2023 at 8:25:46 AM UTC-4, Timothy Chow wrote:
    XGID=-a---aE-DA--eC---b-ea---AA:0:0:1:55:0:0:0:0:10

    Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
    +13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
    | X O | | O O X |
    | X O | | O |
    | X | | O |
    | | | O |
    | | X | O |
    | |BAR| |
    | O | | X |
    | O X | | X |
    | O X | | X |
    | O X | | X |
    | O X X | | X O O |
    +12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
    Pip count X: 159 O: 160 X-O: 0-0
    Cube: 1
    X to play 55
    I didn't want O to anchor on my 5pt, but XG prefers unstacking the
    6pt and making a new home-board point. But see the variant below
    for comparison.

    1. Rollout¹ Bar/20* 20/15 6/1*(2) eq:+0.723
    Player: 64.31% (G:28.59% B:0.87%)
    Opponent: 35.69% (G:7.72% B:0.30%)
    Confidence: ±0.013 (+0.710..+0.736) - [100.0%]

    2. Rollout¹ Bar/20* 13/8 6/1*(2) eq:+0.663 (-0.060)
    Player: 62.31% (G:29.22% B:0.85%)
    Opponent: 37.69% (G:8.29% B:0.39%)
    Confidence: ±0.015 (+0.648..+0.677) - [0.0%]

    3. Rollout¹ Bar/20* 20/5* eq:+0.596 (-0.127)
    Player: 62.02% (G:23.61% B:1.65%)
    Opponent: 37.98% (G:8.14% B:0.32%)
    Confidence: ±0.016 (+0.580..+0.611) - [0.0%]

    ¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
    Dice Seed: 271828
    Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

    eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release

    -------
    Variant
    -------

    XGID=-a---aD-DA-AeC---b-ea---AA:0:0:1:55:0:0:0:0:10
    Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
    +13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
    | X O | | O O X |
    | X O | | O |
    | X | | O |
    | | | O |
    | | X | O |
    | |BAR| |
    | O | | |
    | O X | | X |
    | O X | | X |
    | O X | | X |
    | O X X X | | X O O |
    +12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
    Pip count X: 164 O: 160 X-O: 0-0
    Cube: 1
    X to play 55
    1. Rollout¹ Bar/20* 20/5* eq:+0.646
    Player: 63.43% (G:23.43% B:1.63%)
    Opponent: 36.57% (G:8.35% B:0.37%)
    Confidence: ±0.011 (+0.635..+0.657) - [89.4%]

    2. Rollout¹ Bar/20* 11/1* 6/1 eq:+0.636 (-0.010)
    Player: 62.13% (G:27.59% B:0.86%)
    Opponent: 37.87% (G:8.42% B:0.33%)
    Confidence: ±0.011 (+0.625..+0.647) - [10.6%]

    ¹ 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
    Dice Seed: 271828
    Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

    eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release

    ---
    Tim Chow
    I like that variant! But bear in mind that it leaves a good 6 for X when playing to hit on the 5 point.
    Bob

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From MK@21:1/5 to Timothy Chow on Fri May 5 03:29:21 2023
    On April 21, 2023 at 7:53:51 AM UTC-6, Timothy Chow wrote:

    XGID=-a---aE-DA--eC---b-ea---AA:0:0:1:55:0:0:0:0:10
    X to play 55

    Kind of fun. Bar/1* 6/20* 20/15 6/1

    MK

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)