XGID=-BBbaCC--C-A----bbbcbaA---:1:-1:1:21:0:0:0:0:10

Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| O O O | | O O O X | +---+
| O O O | | O O | | 2 |
| | | O | +---+
| | | |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | |
| X | | X X |
| X | | X X O X X |
| X X | | X X O O X X |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 99 O: 145 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 2, O own cube
X to play 21

---
Tim Chow

--- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
* Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)

XGID=-BBbaCC--C-A----bbbcbaA---:1:-1:1:21:0:0:0:0:10

Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| O O O | | O O O X | +---+
| O O O | | O O | | 2 |
| | | O | +---+
| | | |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | |
| X | | X X |
| X | | X X O X X |
| X X | | X X O O X X |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 99 O: 145 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 2, O own cube
X to play 21

This one shouldn't have been so hard but I managed to mess it up OTB
anyway. After 6/4*, stepping up to the edge of the five-prime is
more urgent than covering the blot on the 4pt. If X could already
escape the straggler with a 6, it would be a different story (see
variant below).

1. Rollout¹ 22/21* 6/4* eq:+0.275
Player: 57.97% (G:37.82% B:0.62%)
Opponent: 42.03% (G:8.49% B:0.34%)
Confidence: ±0.019 (+0.255..+0.294) - [100.0%]

2. Rollout¹ 6/4* 5/4 eq:+0.112 (-0.163)
Player: 52.05% (G:35.42% B:0.65%)
Opponent: 47.95% (G:7.87% B:0.25%)
Confidence: ±0.019 (+0.093..+0.131) - [0.0%]

3. Rollout¹ 22/21* 9/7 eq:+0.064 (-0.210)
Player: 51.90% (G:33.29% B:0.68%)
Opponent: 48.10% (G:10.86% B:0.50%)
Confidence: ±0.020 (+0.045..+0.084) - [0.0%]

4. Rollout¹ 22/21* 11/9 eq:+0.051 (-0.223)
Player: 52.25% (G:30.52% B:0.58%)
Opponent: 47.75% (G:8.92% B:0.35%)
Confidence: ±0.019 (+0.032..+0.071) - [0.0%]

¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release

-------
Variant
-------

XGID=-BBbaCC--C-A-----cccbaA---:1:-1:1:21:0:0:0:0:10

Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| O O | | O O O X | +---+
| O O | | O O | | 2 |
| O O | | O | +---+
| | | |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | |
| X | | X X |
| X | | X X O X X |
| X X | | X X O O X X |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 99 O: 142 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 2, O own cube
X to play 21

1. Rollout¹ 6/4* 5/4 eq:+0.635
Player: 71.17% (G:36.41% B:0.61%)
Opponent: 28.83% (G:3.58% B:0.12%)
Confidence: ±0.008 (+0.627..+0.642) - [100.0%]

2. Rollout¹ 22/21* 6/4* eq:+0.611 (-0.023)
Player: 68.59% (G:43.16% B:0.73%)
Opponent: 31.41% (G:6.42% B:0.31%)
Confidence: ±0.009 (+0.602..+0.621) - [0.0%]

¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release

---
Tim Chow

--- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
* Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)