• Gravy

    From Robert Zimmerman@21:1/5 to All on Tue Mar 14 16:02:41 2023
    XGID=-a---BF-B---cEa-aa-bbbb---:0:0:1:63:0:0:0:5:10

    Score is X:0 O:0 5 pt.(s) match.
    +13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
    | X O O O | | O O O O |
    | X | | O O O O |
    | X | | |
    | X | | |
    | X | | |
    | |BAR| |
    | | | 6 |
    | | | X |
    | O | | X |
    | O X | | X X |
    | O X | | X X O |
    +12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
    Pip count X: 127 O: 127 X-O: 0-0/5
    Cube: 1
    X to play 63

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Timothy Chow@21:1/5 to Robert Zimmerman on Wed Mar 15 09:40:42 2023
    On 3/14/2023 7:02 PM, Robert Zimmerman wrote:
    XGID=-a---BF-B---cEa-aa-bbbb---:0:0:1:63:0:0:0:5:10

    Score is X:0 O:0 5 pt.(s) match.
    +13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
    | X O O O | | O O O O |
    | X | | O O O O |
    | X | | |
    | X | | |
    | X | | |
    | |BAR| |
    | | | 6 |
    | | | X |
    | O | | X |
    | O X | | X X |
    | O X | | X X O |
    +12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
    Pip count X: 127 O: 127 X-O: 0-0/5
    Cube: 1
    X to play 63

    The only plays I would consider seriously here are 13/4 and
    13/10 13/7. 13/10 13/7 leaves slightly more shots but it has
    a much bigger upside if we're missed; after 13/4, even if we're
    missed, we might have trouble covering, and some of our sixes
    are still bad. I would play 13/10 13/7.

    ---
    Tim Chow

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Robert Zimmerman@21:1/5 to All on Thu Mar 16 06:04:19 2023
    What Tim said.
    I got spooked by the prospect of two blots going to O's prison.

    Bob

    XGID=-a---BF-B---cEa-aa-bbbb---:0:0:1:63:0:0:0:5:10

    Score is X:0 O:0 5 pt.(s) match.
    +13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
    | X O O O | | O O O O |
    | X | | O O O O |
    | X | | |
    | X | | |
    | X | | |
    | |BAR| |
    | | | 6 |
    | | | X |
    | O | | X |
    | O X | | X X |
    | O X | | X X O |
    +12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
    Pip count X: 127 O: 127 X-O: 0-0/5
    Cube: 1
    X to play 63

    1. Rollout¹ 13/10 13/7 eq:-0.229
    Player: 44.80% (G:4.59% B:0.16%)
    Opponent: 55.20% (G:18.54% B:0.37%)
    Confidence: ±0.008 (-0.236..-0.221) - [100.0%]
    Duration: 4 minutes 16 seconds

    2. Rollout¹ 13/4 eq:-0.266 (-0.037)
    Player: 43.76% (G:4.71% B:0.15%)
    Opponent: 56.24% (G:16.32% B:0.25%)
    Confidence: ±0.008 (-0.274..-0.258) - [0.0%]
    Duration: 3 minutes 56 seconds

    3. Rollout¹ 8/5 8/2 eq:-0.297 (-0.068)
    Player: 42.27% (G:4.42% B:0.20%)
    Opponent: 57.73% (G:18.37% B:0.36%)
    Confidence: ±0.009 (-0.306..-0.287) - [0.0%]
    Duration: 4 minutes 21 seconds

    ¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
    Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller


    eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)