On Friday, February 24, 2023 at 7:35:45 AM UTC-5, Timothy Chow wrote:
On 2/23/2023 4:54 PM, Stick Rice wrote:
I feel like if you set the two plays up OtB and got an actual visual of what the position looked like after each play you might not be so inclined to try the blitzing play.
That advice might apply to other players, but not to me.
---
Tim Chow
It looks like the non-hitting play gets more wins by preserving the priming game as an option and not committing to a blitzing game.
In a variant where X is under just a little pressure, the blitz proves more valuable. It increases X's gammons and reduces O's gammons compared to the non-hitting move.
Bob
XGID=-aa-B-C-C--BcCA--b-d-b-bA-:0:0:1:55:0:0:3:0:10
1. XG Roller++ 14/9 13/3 8/3 eq:+0.314
Player: 58.39% (G:19.81% B:1.16%)
Opponent: 41.61% (G:15.60% B:0.53%)
2. XG Roller++ 11/1*(2) eq:+0.255 (-0.059)
Player: 55.93% (G:19.58% B:0.51%)
Opponent: 44.07% (G:14.39% B:0.51%)
VARIANT
XGID=-aa-B-C-C--BcCA--b-d-bAb--:0:0:1:55:0:0:3:0:10
Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game, Jacoby Beaver
+24-23-22-21-20-19------18-17-16-15-14-13-+
| O X O O | | O X X |
| O O O | | O X |
| O | | X |
| O | | |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | |
| X | | X O |
| X X | | X X O |
| O O X X | | X X O |
+-1--2--3--4--5--6-------7--8--9-10-11-12-+
Pip count X: 147 O: 138 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 1
X to play 55
1. XG Roller++ 11/1*(2) eq:+0.308
Player: 57.39% (G:19.42% B:0.50%)
Opponent: 42.61% (G:14.39% B:0.52%)
2. XG Roller++ 14/9 13/3 8/3 eq:+0.268 (-0.041)
Player: 57.59% (G:17.94% B:1.14%)
Opponent: 42.41% (G:16.01% B:0.48%)
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