• Spy vs. spy 2

    From Timothy Chow@21:1/5 to All on Tue Jan 31 08:39:15 2023
    XGID=--aa-BCBB-AAbB---accb-b-B-:0:0:1:52:0:0:0:0:10

    Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
    +13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
    | X O O | | O O O X |
    | X O | | O O O X |
    | O | | O |
    | | | |
    | | | |
    | |BAR| |
    | | | |
    | | | |
    | | | X |
    | O X X | | X X |
    | O X X X X | | X X O O |
    +12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
    Pip count X: 153 O: 134 X-O: 0-0
    Cube: 1
    X to play 52

    ---
    Tim Chow

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Timothy Chow@21:1/5 to All on Thu Feb 2 09:27:49 2023
    XGID=--aa-BCBB-AAbB---accb-b-B-:0:0:1:52:0:0:0:0:10

    Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
    +13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
    | X O O | | O O O X |
    | X O | | O O O X |
    | O | | O |
    | | | |
    | | | |
    | |BAR| |
    | | | |
    | | | |
    | | | X |
    | O X X | | X X |
    | O X X X X | | X X O O |
    +12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
    Pip count X: 153 O: 134 X-O: 0-0
    Cube: 1
    X to play 52

    This is not a good roll for improving X's prime. On the other hand,
    O is poised to improve her prime. Many of her rolls are excellent; combinations of 2's, 3's, and 4's make her 4pt, 5's make her 8pt,
    6's jump out. Hitting gains an important tempo. There's some chance
    it could also lead to a successful attack, but I would say that the
    main virtue of hitting is to take away half of O's roll.

    1. Rollout¹ 10/3* eq:-0.262
    Player: 44.93% (G:14.18% B:0.76%)
    Opponent: 55.07% (G:21.95% B:2.21%)
    Confidence: ±0.018 (-0.280..-0.244) - [100.0%]

    2. Rollout¹ 11/4 eq:-0.368 (-0.106)
    Player: 43.34% (G:11.59% B:0.63%)
    Opponent: 56.66% (G:24.79% B:2.82%)
    Confidence: ±0.017 (-0.385..-0.351) - [0.0%]

    3. Rollout¹ 13/11 13/8 eq:-0.426 (-0.164)
    Player: 40.35% (G:11.19% B:0.58%)
    Opponent: 59.65% (G:21.48% B:1.50%)
    Confidence: ±0.014 (-0.440..-0.411) - [0.0%]

    4. Rollout¹ 11/6 10/8 eq:-0.429 (-0.167)
    Player: 40.15% (G:12.03% B:0.57%)
    Opponent: 59.85% (G:21.26% B:1.39%)
    Confidence: ±0.015 (-0.444..-0.414) - [0.0%]

    ¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
    Dice Seed: 271828
    Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

    eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release

    ---
    Tim Chow

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)