• Ignoring opening position equity can be significant

    From MK@21:1/5 to All on Thu Jan 12 11:21:49 2023
    Let me again use a shortest double/drop sequence in
    gamblegammon as an example to illustrate my point:

    ============================================
    Player1 rolls 52, position equity +106, roll equity +30
    Luck total EMG (Points), Player1 +0.030, Player2 +0.000

    Player2 rolls 55, position equity -13, roll equity +492
    Luck total EMG (Points), Player1 +0.030, Player2 +0.505

    Player1 dances, position equity -549, roll equity -1000
    Luck total EMG (Points), Player1 -0.422, Player2 +0.505 ============================================

    Player1 rolled twice, Player2 rolled only once. Per Gnubg:

    Luck rate mEMG (Points), Player1 -210.8, Player2 +505.0

    However, if we calculated the "equity of only the roll" after
    Player1 won the right to roll and play first, we would have (+0.030)-(-0.106)=-0.076 and consequently final numbers:

    Luck total EMG (Points), Player1 -0.527, Player2 +0.505
    Luck rate mEMG (Points), Player1 -263.5, Player2 +505.0

    That's a substantian 25% difference of luck per roll! (And
    NOT "luck per move" since Player1 couldn't/didn't play his
    second roll! His "luck per move" would have been -0.422,
    or more correctly -0.527).

    Granted this is an extreme example but makes my point
    clearly enough. In the gamblegammon universe that you
    folks pretentiously calculate equities, etc. at four decimal
    accuracy, this should matter even in longer games.

    You arithmeticians shouldn't take your own fancy bullshit
    like mEMG too lightly... ;) Even 0.0001 should matter... :)

    MK

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