XGID=aA--a-D-C---dE---d-e----B-:0:0:1:64:0:0:0:0:10

Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X O | | O X |
| X O | | O X |
| X O | | O |
| X O | | O |
| X | | O |
| |BAR| |
| | O | |
| O | | X |
| O X | | X |
| O X | | X |
| O X | | X O X |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 162 O: 160 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 1
X to play 64

---
Tim Chow

--- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
* Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)

On Thursday, December 15, 2022 at 2:36:08 PM UTC, Tim Chow wrote:

XGID=aA--a-D-C---dE---d-e----B-:0:0:1:64:0:0:0:0:10

Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X O | | O X |
| X O | | O X |
| X O | | O |
| X O | | O |
| X | | O |
| |BAR| |
| | O | |
| O | | X |
| O X | | X |
| O X | | X |
| O X | | X O X |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 162 O: 160 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 1
X to play 64

---
Tim Chow

For lack of anything more appealing, I'll try a blitz with 8/4* then more wood with 13/7.
Even if the blitz stalls we may prevent O from making a good anchor.
--
BD

--- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
* Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)

On 12/15/2022 9:36 AM, Timothy Chow wrote:

XGID=aA--a-D-C---dE---d-e----B-:0:0:1:64:0:0:0:0:10

Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
 +13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
 | X           O    |   | O              X |
 | X           O    |   | O              X |
 | X           O    |   | O                |
 | X           O    |   | O                |
 | X                |   | O                |
 |                  |BAR|                  |
 |                  | O |                  |
 | O                |   | X                |
 | O           X    |   | X                |
 | O           X    |   | X                |
 | O           X    |   | X     O        X |
 +12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count  X: 162  O: 160 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 1
X to play 64

O is on the bar, so why not make a second home board point and increase
the dancing rolls by a factor of four?

Make the deuce point.

--
Ah....Clem
The future is fun, the future is fair.

--- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
* Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)

XGID=aA--a-D-C---dE---d-e----B-:0:0:1:64:0:0:0:0:10

Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X O | | O X |
| X O | | O X |
| X O | | O |
| X O | | O |
| X | | O |
| |BAR| |
| | O | |
| O | | X |
| O X | | X |
| O X | | X |
| O X | | X O X |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 162 O: 160 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 1
X to play 64

For Stick's benefit, let's mention the Nactation: 51S-41K-64<-64.

No play is particularly attractive here. Like ah...clem, I tried
8/2 6/2. The trouble is that unless O dances, 8/2 6/2 doesn't
accomplish too much; it's an attacking play, but O should be able
to enter easily, possibly anchoring or hitting in the process, and
X has only 8 checkers in the zone. If X is going to attack, then
hitting 8/4* and bringing another checker into the zone is the way
to go. I didn't like this play because it creates two blots in
my board, but at least it stops O from anchoring immediately, and
if things go well, it could turn into a blitz.

1. Rollout¹ 13/7 8/4* eq:-0.092
Player: 47.64% (G:15.46% B:0.46%)
Opponent: 52.36% (G:15.99% B:1.07%)
Confidence: ±0.014 (-0.106..-0.078) - [100.0%]

2. Rollout¹ 24/20 13/7 eq:-0.143 (-0.051)
Player: 46.73% (G:12.17% B:0.32%)
Opponent: 53.27% (G:14.46% B:0.77%)
Confidence: ±0.015 (-0.158..-0.128) - [0.0%]

3. Rollout¹ 24/18 8/4* eq:-0.152 (-0.060)
Player: 46.66% (G:12.52% B:0.37%)
Opponent: 53.34% (G:16.19% B:0.79%)
Confidence: ±0.015 (-0.167..-0.136) - [0.0%]

4. Rollout¹ 8/2 6/2 eq:-0.176 (-0.084)
Player: 45.60% (G:14.19% B:0.40%)
Opponent: 54.40% (G:15.99% B:0.80%)
Confidence: ±0.016 (-0.192..-0.160) - [0.0%]

5. Rollout¹ 24/14 eq:-0.213 (-0.121)
Player: 45.58% (G:10.39% B:0.36%)
Opponent: 54.42% (G:15.45% B:0.65%)
Confidence: ±0.014 (-0.227..-0.198) - [0.0%]

¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release

---
Tim Chow

--- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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