On Wednesday, December 14, 2022 at 8:53:38 AM UTC-5, Tim Chow wrote:
XGID=--b-BbCBC------A-c-bcBBba-:0:0:1:32:0:0:0:0:10
Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X O | | O O X X O O |
| O | | O O X X O |
| O | | O |
| | | |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | |
| X | | X |
| X X | | X O X O |
| X X | | X O X O |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 165 O: 142 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 1
X to play 32
Even when you have two anchors, breaking one of them can expose you to
an attack. But here, O has four checkers back herself, two of which
aren't so easy to escape, and her own board is not so strong. XG says
that X should take the opportunity to play 21/16, which increases X's flexibility and outfield control.
1. Rollout¹ 21/16 eq:+0.319
Player: 58.87% (G:16.93% B:0.95%)
Opponent: 41.13% (G:15.99% B:0.53%)
Confidence: ±0.019 (+0.300..+0.338) - [100.0%]
2. Rollout¹ 21/18 15/13 eq:+0.238 (-0.082)
Player: 57.20% (G:16.29% B:0.95%)
Opponent: 42.80% (G:17.81% B:0.57%)
Confidence: ±0.022 (+0.216..+0.260) - [0.0%]
3. Rollout¹ 15/12 8/6 eq:+0.227 (-0.092)
Player: 56.77% (G:15.32% B:0.83%)
Opponent: 43.23% (G:14.53% B:0.33%)
Confidence: ±0.015 (+0.212..+0.242) - [0.0%]
4. Rollout¹ 8/3 eq:+0.218 (-0.101)
Player: 57.11% (G:16.03% B:0.83%)
Opponent: 42.89% (G:16.94% B:0.58%)
Confidence: ±0.017 (+0.201..+0.235) - [0.0%]
5. Rollout¹ 15/12 6/4 eq:+0.209 (-0.110)
Player: 56.09% (G:15.09% B:0.81%)
Opponent: 43.91% (G:14.79% B:0.38%)
Confidence: ±0.015 (+0.194..+0.224) - [0.0%]
6. Rollout¹ 15/10 eq:+0.190 (-0.129)
Player: 55.87% (G:14.86% B:0.74%)
Opponent: 44.13% (G:15.38% B:0.39%)
Confidence: ±0.015 (+0.175..+0.206) - [0.0%]
¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release
---
Tim Chow
It's only right to run because of the opp's blotted ace point. Bring that checker back into play remaining in the zone and it won't be.
Stick
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