https://boinqserver20220506131748.azurewebsites.net/positionquiz
Art says that he's usually able to get the EPC correct to within half
a pip
using techniques that he's written about in his USBGF PrimeTime column
using techniques that he's written about in his USBGF PrimeTime column
Could you please provide a link?
The link is https://usbgf.org/primetime-magazine/ but that won't do
you much good unless you pay to join the USBGF.
I was talking with Art Benjamin about his recent work on racing
formulas, and he pointed me to the following cool page by Hal Heinrich
which lets you test your ability to estimate EPC.
https://boinqserver20220506131748.azurewebsites.net/positionquiz
Art says that he's usually able to get the EPC correct to within
half a pip, using techniques that he's written about in his USBGF
PrimeTime column.
On 11/22/2022 8:23 PM, Timothy Chow wrote:
I was talking with Art Benjamin about his recent work on racing
formulas, and he pointed me to the following cool page by Hal Heinrich
which lets you test your ability to estimate EPC.
https://boinqserver20220506131748.azurewebsites.net/positionquiz
Art says that he's usually able to get the EPC correct to within
half a pip, using techniques that he's written about in his USBGF
PrimeTime column.
Assuming I could get to the point where I could calculate EPC with that
level of accuracy, would that provide better cube decisions than simply
using ISight or something similar?
In addition to EPC, his main new idea is that one should try to
estimate the *variance* in the number of rolls needed to bear off, and
not just the *expected value* (i.e., EPC).
he claims you can achieve significantly higher accuracy than Keith or
ISight.
Whether it's worth all that effort to master his method is of course
another question.
Assuming I could get to the point where I could calculate EPC with
that level of accuracy, would that provide better cube decisions than
simply using ISight or something similar?
Timothy Chow <tchow12000@yahoo.com> writes:
The link is https://usbgf.org/primetime-magazine/ but that won't do
you much good unless you pay to join the USBGF.
Which does not make that much sense for a local player from Germany. I
was already suspecting this. Thanks anyway.
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