• Anchor, and then...?

    From Timothy Chow@21:1/5 to All on Fri Nov 18 08:44:33 2022
    XGID=-b----E-D---dC---c-dAAb-A-:1:1:1:41:0:0:0:0:10

    Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
    +13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
    | X O | | O X X O X |
    | X O | | O O |
    | X O | | O |
    | | | O |
    | | | |
    | |BAR| |
    | | | X |
    | O X | | X |
    | O X | | X | +---+
    | O X | | X O | | 2 |
    | O X | | X O | +---+
    +12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
    Pip count X: 166 O: 154 X-O: 0-0
    Cube: 2, X own cube
    X to play 41

    ---
    Tim Chow

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Timothy Chow@21:1/5 to All on Sun Nov 20 13:28:58 2022
    XGID=-b----E-D---dC---c-dAAb-A-:1:1:1:41:0:0:0:0:10

    Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
    +13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
    | X O | | O X X O X |
    | X O | | O O |
    | X O | | O |
    | | | O |
    | | | |
    | |BAR| |
    | | | X |
    | O X | | X |
    | O X | | X | +---+
    | O X | | X O | | 2 |
    | O X | | X O | +---+
    +12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
    Pip count X: 166 O: 154 X-O: 0-0
    Cube: 2, X own cube
    X to play 41

    Anchor, and then anchor again, says XG. 13/9 strips the midpoint,
    and 6/5 volunteers a direct shot for apparently insufficient gain.

    1. Rollout¹ 24/20 21/20 eq:+0.195
    Player: 48.75% (G:11.53% B:0.39%)
    Opponent: 51.25% (G:8.77% B:0.28%)
    Confidence: ±0.009 (+0.186..+0.203) - [100.0%]

    2. Rollout¹ 24/20 6/5 eq:+0.126 (-0.069)
    Player: 47.71% (G:12.15% B:0.45%)
    Opponent: 52.29% (G:13.61% B:0.42%)
    Confidence: ±0.010 (+0.116..+0.136) - [0.0%]

    3. Rollout¹ 21/20 13/9 eq:+0.124 (-0.070)
    Player: 47.15% (G:13.25% B:0.46%)
    Opponent: 52.85% (G:12.73% B:0.46%)
    Confidence: ±0.011 (+0.114..+0.135) - [0.0%]

    ¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
    Dice Seed: 271828
    Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

    eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release

    ---
    Tim Chow

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)