• Early game: up, down, split, reverse split, hit and split, something el

    From ah....Clem@21:1/5 to All on Thu Nov 10 21:39:46 2022
    XGID=-aa---EBB---dD--ac-e----B-:0:0:1:43:0:0:3:0:10

    X:Player 1 O:Player 2
    Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game, Jacoby Beaver
    +13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
    | X O O | | O X |
    | X O | | O X |
    | X O | | O |
    | X | | O |
    | | | O |
    | |BAR| |
    | | | X |
    | O | | X |
    | O | | X |
    | O X X | | X |
    | O X X | | X O O |
    +12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
    Pip count X: 160 O: 162 X-O: 0-0
    Cube: 1
    X to play 43




    --
    Ah....Clem
    The future is fun, the future is fair.

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  • From MK@21:1/5 to ah....Clem on Fri Nov 11 02:51:01 2022
    On November 11, 2022 at 3:39:45 AM UTC+1, ah....Clem wrote:

    XGID=-aa---EBB---dD--ac-e----B-:0:0:1:43:0:0:3:0:10
    X to play 43

    My Jamaican friend looked at it
    and started to reggae...

    Are we gonna bake it?
    No, noo, nooo, no.

    Are we gonna roast it?
    No, noo, nooo, no.

    Are we gonna fry it?
    No, noo, nooo, no.

    Are we gonna steam it?
    No, noo, nooo, no.

    Are we gonna smoke it?
    Yeeayyyahh... :)

    I couldn't decide between split, shiplit, shlit, shit.

    Whatever... Pffrrtt!!

    "Walter the Farting Dog" toy sells for $15.50 on Amazon:

    https://www.amazon.com/MerryMakers-Walter-Farting-Plush-8-Inch/dp/1579821715/ref=sr_1_3?keywords=farting+toys&qid=1668163152&sr=8-3

    MK

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  • From Timothy Chow@21:1/5 to ah....Clem on Fri Nov 11 10:19:49 2022
    On 11/10/2022 9:39 PM, ah....Clem wrote:

    XGID=-aa---EBB---dD--ac-e----B-:0:0:1:43:0:0:3:0:10

    X:Player 1   O:Player 2
    Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game, Jacoby Beaver
     +13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
     | X        O  O    |   | O              X |
     | X           O    |   | O              X |
     | X           O    |   | O                |
     | X                |   | O                |
     |                  |   | O                |
     |                  |BAR|                  |
     |                  |   | X                |
     | O                |   | X                |
     | O                |   | X                |
     | O           X  X |   | X                |
     | O           X  X |   | X           O  O |
     +12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
    Pip count  X: 160  O: 162 X-O: 0-0
    Cube: 1
    X to play 43

    Stick will want to call this 61P-41S-43. It really "should" be
    called 61P-41Z-43, but nobody's fighting that battle on r.g.b.

    I'm inclined to play two up here, 24/20 24/21. If it were the
    second roll of the game and the opponent had opened with 24/23 13/9
    then the computer would hit and split for lack of anything better
    to do, but now that X has made his bar point, he can try for more
    of an advantage. Two down strips the midpoint and gives O too many
    good rolls I think (those indirect shots from her split back checkers
    add up). 24/21 13/9 should be okay as well, but again gives O ways
    to attack on both sides of the board. Two up has the usual benefit
    of giving X a chance to make a high anchor even if one of those
    checkers is pointed on.

    ---
    Tim Chow

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  • From MK@21:1/5 to Tim Chow on Sat Nov 12 02:31:34 2022
    On November 11, 2022 at 8:19:51 AM UTC-7, Tim Chow wrote:

    On 11/10/2022 9:39 PM, ah....Clem wrote:

    XGID=-aa---EBB---dD--ac-e----B-:0:0:1:43:0:0:3:0:10
    X to play 43

    Stick will want to call this 61P-41S-43.

    Is it okay with Stick that you speak for him..? Just asking.

    It really "should" be called 61P-41Z-43, but nobody's
    fighting that battle on r.g.b.

    Sounds like you started that battle now, with an army of
    one man against a straw Stick... ;)

    I'm inclined to play two up here, 24/20 24/21. If it were...

    Why did you have to write all that unnecessary trite? Just
    to give support to a career bozo..?

    Since he started this thread, now I'm so curious to hear
    what he had in mind to say himself...? :)

    MK

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  • From Timothy Chow@21:1/5 to All on Sat Nov 12 18:20:00 2022
    On 11/12/2022 5:31 AM, MK wrote:
    Why did you have to write all that unnecessary trite? Just
    to give support to a career bozo..?

    No, in order to provoke you or one of your sock-puppets to
    spew nonsense so that I can get a good laugh today. Thanks!

    ---
    Tim Chow

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  • From MK@21:1/5 to Tim Chow on Sat Nov 12 16:04:43 2022
    On November 12, 2022 at 4:20:03 PM UTC-7, Tim Chow wrote:

    On 11/12/2022 5:31 AM, MK wrote:

    Why did you have to write all that unnecessary trite?
    Just to give support to a career bozo..?

    No, in order to provoke you

    You haven't.

    or one of your sock-puppets

    I have no sock-puppets.

    to spew nonsense

    I'm not one of you bozos.
    I don't spew nonsense.

    so that I can get a good laugh today.

    Sorry to disappoint you. :(

    Thanks!

    For what?

    Besides, I don't believe anything you
    said. I think you were lying. ;)

    MK

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  • From pepstein5@gmail.com@21:1/5 to All on Sun Nov 13 06:07:49 2022
    On Saturday, November 12, 2022 at 10:31:35 AM UTC, MK wrote:
    ...
    Is it okay with Stick that you speak for him..? Just asking.
    ...
    I definitely remember Tim posting stuff like "Paul would call this
    ..." or "Paul would say..."
    And no, I didn't mind when he did this.
    (It's possible that he only did this once.)

    Paul

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  • From Timothy Chow@21:1/5 to All on Sun Nov 13 09:08:27 2022
    On 11/12/2022 7:04 PM, MK wrote:
    [stuff deleted]

    LOL! Thanks for obliging me yet again! You're such a trooper.

    ---
    Tim Chow

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  • From ah...Clem@21:1/5 to All on Sun Nov 13 09:20:23 2022
    This looks like a fairly common third roll situation, but I can barely
    remember the opening replies let alone the replies to those.

    Down is counter-indicated since O is split.
    Up seems to be rarely the right move so I don't tend to play that.
    Reverse split is usually better than the vanilla split, so I went with Z.

    Didn't really consider Hit and Split since I'm wary of slotting low
    points (cf "The problem with slotting your 2 point...) but that's XG's
    choice at four-ply, XGR+, XGR++, and the full rollout below.

    The benefits to H+S is that it unstacks the six point, takes away half
    O's roll, activates the back checkers, and aims one of them at the blot
    on the 16. That's a fair amount of positives.


    XGID=-aa---EBB---dD--ac-e----B-:0:0:1:43:0:0:3:0:10

    X:Player 1 O:Player 2
    Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game, Jacoby Beaver
    +13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
    | X O O | | O X |
    | X O | | O X |
    | X O | | O |
    | X | | O |
    | | | O |
    | |BAR| |
    | | | X |
    | O | | X |
    | O | | X |
    | O X X | | X |
    | O X X | | X O O |
    +12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
    Pip count X: 160 O: 162 X-O: 0-0
    Cube: 1
    X to play 43

    1. Rollout¹ 24/21 6/2* eq:+0.124
    Player: 52.79% (G:15.10% B:0.73%)
    Opponent: 47.21% (G:13.07% B:0.58%)
    Confidence: ±0.015 (+0.109..+0.139) - [99.5%]
    Duration: 14 minutes 58 seconds

    2. Rollout¹ 24/21 13/9 eq:+0.094 (-0.030)
    Player: 52.25% (G:15.37% B:0.80%)
    Opponent: 47.75% (G:14.09% B:0.65%)
    Confidence: ±0.017 (+0.077..+0.111) - [0.4%]
    Duration: 13 minutes 11 seconds

    3. Rollout¹ 24/21 24/20 eq:+0.091 (-0.033)
    Player: 52.57% (G:14.16% B:0.73%)
    Opponent: 47.43% (G:13.89% B:0.55%)
    Confidence: ±0.016 (+0.075..+0.107) - [0.1%]
    Duration: 12 minutes 57 seconds

    4. Rollout¹ 24/20 13/10 eq:+0.066 (-0.059)
    Player: 51.92% (G:14.81% B:0.76%)
    Opponent: 48.08% (G:13.82% B:0.64%)
    Confidence: ±0.015 (+0.050..+0.081) - [0.0%]
    Duration: 13 minutes 44 seconds

    5. Rollout¹ 13/10 13/9 eq:+0.036 (-0.088)
    Player: 50.89% (G:16.02% B:0.77%)
    Opponent: 49.11% (G:14.72% B:0.91%)
    Confidence: ±0.016 (+0.020..+0.052) - [0.0%]
    Duration: 13 minutes 13 seconds


    ¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
    Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller


    eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

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  • From Timothy Chow@21:1/5 to All on Sun Nov 13 22:19:09 2022
    I thought this position was interesting enough to do a 5184-game rollout
    of my own. The equities of the top plays are a bit more closely bunched together than it might appear from your 1296-game rollout.

    XGID=-aa---EBB---dD--ac-e----B-:0:0:1:43:0:0:3:0:10

    Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game, Jacoby Beaver
    +13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
    | X O O | | O X |
    | X O | | O X |
    | X O | | O |
    | X | | O |
    | | | O |
    | |BAR| |
    | | | X |
    | O | | X |
    | O | | X |
    | O X X | | X |
    | O X X | | X O O |
    +12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
    Pip count X: 160 O: 162 X-O: 0-0
    Cube: 1
    X to play 43

    1. Rollout¹ 24/21 6/2* eq:+0.111
    Player: 52.69% (G:14.76% B:0.69%)
    Opponent: 47.31% (G:13.04% B:0.61%)
    Confidence: ±0.008 (+0.104..+0.119) - [99.8%]

    2. Rollout¹ 24/21 24/20 eq:+0.095 (-0.016)
    Player: 52.61% (G:13.75% B:0.70%)
    Opponent: 47.39% (G:13.74% B:0.48%)
    Confidence: ±0.008 (+0.087..+0.103) - [0.1%]

    3. Rollout¹ 24/21 13/9 eq:+0.089 (-0.022)
    Player: 52.22% (G:15.62% B:0.79%)
    Opponent: 47.78% (G:14.00% B:0.65%)
    Confidence: ±0.008 (+0.081..+0.097) - [0.0%]

    4. Rollout¹ 24/20 13/10 eq:+0.064 (-0.048)
    Player: 51.78% (G:14.91% B:0.83%)
    Opponent: 48.22% (G:14.23% B:0.66%)
    Confidence: ±0.008 (+0.055..+0.072) - [0.0%]

    ¹ 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
    Dice Seed: 271828
    Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

    eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release

    ---
    Tim Chow

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  • From Stick Rice@21:1/5 to Tim Chow on Mon Nov 14 13:24:30 2022
    On Sunday, November 13, 2022 at 10:19:12 PM UTC-5, Tim Chow wrote:
    I thought this position was interesting enough to do a 5184-game rollout
    of my own. The equities of the top plays are a bit more closely bunched together than it might appear from your 1296-game rollout. XGID=-aa---EBB---dD--ac-e----B-:0:0:1:43:0:0:3:0:10
    Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game, Jacoby Beaver +13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
    | X O O | | O X |
    | X O | | O X |
    | X O | | O |
    | X | | O |
    | | | O |
    | |BAR| |
    | | | X |
    | O | | X |
    | O | | X |
    | O X X | | X |
    | O X X | | X O O |
    +12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
    Pip count X: 160 O: 162 X-O: 0-0
    Cube: 1
    X to play 43
    1. Rollout¹ 24/21 6/2* eq:+0.111
    Player: 52.69% (G:14.76% B:0.69%)
    Opponent: 47.31% (G:13.04% B:0.61%)
    Confidence: ±0.008 (+0.104..+0.119) - [99.8%]

    2. Rollout¹ 24/21 24/20 eq:+0.095 (-0.016)
    Player: 52.61% (G:13.75% B:0.70%)
    Opponent: 47.39% (G:13.74% B:0.48%)
    Confidence: ±0.008 (+0.087..+0.103) - [0.1%]

    3. Rollout¹ 24/21 13/9 eq:+0.089 (-0.022)
    Player: 52.22% (G:15.62% B:0.79%)
    Opponent: 47.78% (G:14.00% B:0.65%)
    Confidence: ±0.008 (+0.081..+0.097) - [0.0%]

    4. Rollout¹ 24/20 13/10 eq:+0.064 (-0.048)
    Player: 51.78% (G:14.91% B:0.83%)
    Opponent: 48.22% (G:14.23% B:0.66%)
    Confidence: ±0.008 (+0.055..+0.072) - [0.0%]

    ¹ 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
    Dice Seed: 271828
    Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
    eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release

    ---
    Tim Chow

    I have all the third rolls rolled out so no need to waste your cpu time and electric bill, just ask.

    Stick

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  • From MK@21:1/5 to peps...@gmail.com on Tue Nov 15 16:48:30 2022
    On November 13, 2022 at 7:07:50 AM UTC-7, peps...@gmail.com wrote:

    On November 12, 2022 at 10:31:35 AM UTC, MK wrote:

    Is it okay with Stick that you speak for him..? Just asking.

    I definitely remember Tim posting stuff like
    "Paul would call this..." or "Paul would say..."
    And no, I didn't mind when he did this.
    (It's possible that he only did this once.)

    Yes, we all do it and I wasn't askin about you
    but wanted to know if Stick would agree with
    Tim's saying he would call this 61P-41S-43.

    He may or may not be reading every post and
    may or may not want to answer my question.

    MK

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  • From MK@21:1/5 to Tim Chow on Tue Nov 15 17:01:10 2022
    On November 13, 2022 at 7:08:29 AM UTC-7, Tim Chow wrote:

    On 11/12/2022 7:04 PM, MK wrote:

    [stuff deleted]
    LOL! Thanks for obliging me yet again!
    You're such a trooper.

    The stuff you deleted indicated that you had
    commented on ah..clem's post not as a reply
    to him but to provoke me.

    It sure must have made him feel as valuable
    as a million dollar's worth of shit! :(

    While giving me the pleasure of owning you. :)

    Why don't you try to exist and live your life for
    yourself, instead of wasting yourself trying in
    vain to provoke me all the time...?

    MK

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  • From MK@21:1/5 to Stick Rice on Tue Nov 15 17:05:50 2022
    On November 14, 2022 at 2:24:31 PM UTC-7, Stick Rice wrote:

    On November 13, 2022 at 10:19:12 PM UTC-5, Tim Chow wrote:

    XGID=-aa---EBB---dD--ac-e----B-:0:0:1:43:0:0:3:0:10
    X to play 43


    I have all the third rolls rolled out so no need to
    waste your cpu time and electric bill, just ask.

    Can I ask instead? What does your bot rollout say?

    And what about how would you play? 61P-41S-43?

    MK

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  • From Timothy Chow@21:1/5 to All on Tue Nov 15 22:27:44 2022
    On 11/15/2022 8:01 PM, MK wrote:
    The stuff you deleted indicated that you had
    commented on ah..clem's post not as a reply
    to him but to provoke me.

    It sure must have made him feel as valuable
    as a million dollar's worth of shit! :(

    While giving me the pleasure of owning you. :)

    Why don't you try to exist and live your life for
    yourself, instead of wasting yourself trying in
    vain to provoke me all the time...?

    Great stuff! Keep it coming. Please continue to post articles
    insisting that I'm not provoking you to post articles! Who knows,
    maybe, as in a famous Monty Python skit, you'll succeed in killing
    me by making me laugh so hard that I keel over and die.

    Come on, Murat. You know you want to. Take a deep breath and spew
    some vitriol! Own me! Feel the pleasure. Feel the pleasure of not
    being provoked by anything I say! I've got my popcorn and laugh track
    ready. Any time you're ready, I am!

    ---
    Tim Chow

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