XGID=a-aADBBBB--a----cbbbbB--a-:0:0:1:00:0:0:0:0:10

Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| O O O | | O O X O |
| O O O | | O O X |
| O | | |
| | | |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | O | |
| | | X |
| | | X |
| X X | | X X X |
| O X X | | X X X X O |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 113 O: 142 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 1
X on roll, cube action

---
Tim Chow

--- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
* Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)

XGID=a-aADBBBB--a----cbbbbB--a-:0:0:1:00:0:0:0:0:10

Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| O O O | | O O X O |
| O O O | | O O X |
| O | | |
| | | |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | O | |
| | | X |
| | | X |
| X X | | X X X |
| O X X | | X X X X O |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 113 O: 142 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 1
X on roll, cube action

X's forward position is inflexible, and he might not cover his blot,
so at first glance this might look like ND/T. However, O's position
has its own weaknesses, with a misplaced checker on her 1pt and a
blot in the outfield that jacks up X's gammon wins. According to the
rollout, this is a big double and a big take. But see also the variant.

Analyzed in Rollout
No double
Player Winning Chances: 63.04% (G:37.77% B:1.63%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 36.96% (G:7.12% B:0.29%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 63.15% (G:38.36% B:1.57%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 36.85% (G:7.33% B:0.32%)

Cubeful Equities:
No double: +0.723 (-0.125)
Double/Take: +0.848
Double/Pass: +1.000 (+0.152)

Best Cube action: Double / Take

Rollout:
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Confidence No Double: ± 0.014 (+0.709..+0.737)
Confidence Double: ± 0.022 (+0.827..+0.870)

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release

-------
Variant
-------

XGID=a-aADBBBB--a----cbbbcB----:0:0:1:00:0:0:0:0:10

Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| O O O | | O O X |
| O O O | | O O X |
| O | | O |
| | | |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | O | |
| | | X |
| | | X |
| X X | | X X X |
| O X X | | X X X X O |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 113 O: 146 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 1
X on roll, cube action

Analyzed in Rollout
No double
Player Winning Chances: 57.85% (G:35.76% B:1.33%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 42.15% (G:8.22% B:0.37%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 58.13% (G:36.16% B:1.37%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 41.87% (G:8.32% B:0.37%)

Cubeful Equities:
No double: +0.515 (-0.002)
Double/Take: +0.517
Double/Pass: +1.000 (+0.483)

Best Cube action: Double / Take

Rollout:
2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Confidence No Double: ± 0.017 (+0.499..+0.532)
Confidence Double: ± 0.020 (+0.498..+0.537)

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release

---
Tim Chow

--- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
* Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)