• Don't make the 5pt

    From Timothy Chow@21:1/5 to All on Tue Nov 8 07:53:10 2022
    Because that would be illegal.

    XGID=---BbAC-B---cE---c-eb--B--:0:0:1:54:0:0:0:0:10

    Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
    +13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
    | X O | | O O X |
    | X O | | O O X |
    | X O | | O |
    | X | | O |
    | X | | O |
    | |BAR| |
    | | | |
    | | | |
    | O | | X |
    | O X | | X O X |
    | O X | | X X O X |
    +12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
    Pip count X: 156 O: 145 X-O: 0-0
    Cube: 1
    X to play 54

    ---
    Tim Chow

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Timothy Chow@21:1/5 to All on Thu Nov 10 07:44:49 2022
    XGID=---BbAC-B---cE---c-eb--B--:0:0:1:54:0:0:0:0:10

    Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
    +13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
    | X O | | O O X |
    | X O | | O O X |
    | X O | | O |
    | X | | O |
    | X | | O |
    | |BAR| |
    | | | |
    | | | |
    | O | | X |
    | O X | | X O X |
    | O X | | X X O X |
    +12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
    Pip count X: 156 O: 145 X-O: 0-0
    Cube: 1
    X to play 54

    A fairly reliable rule is not to volunteer unnecessary shots in a
    mutual holding game. However, the safe plays here dump behind O's
    anchor and do not improve X's prospects for next turn. XG only
    has eyes for the bold 13/9 13/8!

    1. Rollout¹ 13/9 13/8 eq:-0.556
    Player: 37.02% (G:8.63% B:0.35%)
    Opponent: 62.98% (G:18.57% B:1.02%)
    Confidence: ±0.015 (-0.571..-0.541) - [100.0%]

    2. Rollout¹ 13/8 6/2 eq:-0.641 (-0.084)
    Player: 34.94% (G:8.19% B:0.29%)
    Opponent: 65.06% (G:18.58% B:1.04%)
    Confidence: ±0.014 (-0.654..-0.627) - [0.0%]

    3. Rollout¹ 6/1 5/1 eq:-0.655 (-0.099)
    Player: 33.95% (G:8.07% B:0.21%)
    Opponent: 66.05% (G:17.53% B:0.82%)
    Confidence: ±0.015 (-0.670..-0.640) - [0.0%]

    4. Rollout¹ 13/8 5/1 eq:-0.662 (-0.106)
    Player: 33.79% (G:7.73% B:0.21%)
    Opponent: 66.21% (G:17.17% B:0.79%)
    Confidence: ±0.014 (-0.676..-0.648) - [0.0%]

    ¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
    Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

    eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release

    ---
    Tim Chow

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Stick Rice@21:1/5 to Tim Chow on Sat Nov 12 12:21:26 2022
    On Thursday, November 10, 2022 at 7:44:51 AM UTC-5, Tim Chow wrote:
    XGID=---BbAC-B---cE---c-eb--B--:0:0:1:54:0:0:0:0:10

    Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
    +13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
    | X O | | O O X |
    | X O | | O O X |
    | X O | | O |
    | X | | O |
    | X | | O |
    | |BAR| |
    | | | |
    | | | |
    | O | | X |
    | O X | | X O X |
    | O X | | X X O X |
    +12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
    Pip count X: 156 O: 145 X-O: 0-0
    Cube: 1
    X to play 54
    A fairly reliable rule is not to volunteer unnecessary shots in a
    mutual holding game. However, the safe plays here dump behind O's
    anchor and do not improve X's prospects for next turn. XG only
    has eyes for the bold 13/9 13/8!

    1. Rollout¹ 13/9 13/8 eq:-0.556
    Player: 37.02% (G:8.63% B:0.35%)
    Opponent: 62.98% (G:18.57% B:1.02%)
    Confidence: ±0.015 (-0.571..-0.541) - [100.0%]

    2. Rollout¹ 13/8 6/2 eq:-0.641 (-0.084)
    Player: 34.94% (G:8.19% B:0.29%)
    Opponent: 65.06% (G:18.58% B:1.04%)
    Confidence: ±0.014 (-0.654..-0.627) - [0.0%]

    3. Rollout¹ 6/1 5/1 eq:-0.655 (-0.099)
    Player: 33.95% (G:8.07% B:0.21%)
    Opponent: 66.05% (G:17.53% B:0.82%)
    Confidence: ±0.015 (-0.670..-0.640) - [0.0%]

    4. Rollout¹ 13/8 5/1 eq:-0.662 (-0.106)
    Player: 33.79% (G:7.73% B:0.21%)
    Opponent: 66.21% (G:17.17% B:0.79%)
    Confidence: ±0.014 (-0.676..-0.648) - [0.0%]

    ¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
    Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

    eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release

    ---
    Tim Chow

    This is not a mutual holding game.

    Stick

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)