• I came, I saw, I Axelised

    From pepstein5@gmail.com@21:1/5 to All on Sat Oct 8 08:30:53 2022
    I think I Axelised correctly in (wrongly) taking the below -- I'm sure Axel will correct
    me if I'm wrong.
    For such an unusual position, I wouldn't be too critical about the fact that the algo gets it wrong, here. My PR for the game was sub-5 which is good
    by my standard.
    Unfortunately, the rollout makes my take slightly worse than the analysis
    do so my PR will slide down a notch.

    Paul

    XGID=-EBBBB----A--A-a--a-bbbcd-:0:0:-1:00:0:0:3:0:10
    X:eXtremeGammon O:Daniel

    Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game, Jacoby Beaver
    +13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
    | O | | O O O O O |
    | | | O O O O O |
    | | | O |
    | | | O |
    | | | O |
    | |BAR| |
    | | | |
    | | | X |
    | | | X X |
    | | | X X X X X |
    | O X X | | X X X X X |
    +12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
    Pip count X: 51 O: 56 X-O: 0-0
    Cube: 1
    X on roll, cube action

    Analyzed in Rollout
    No double
    Player Winning Chances: 79.65% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
    Opponent Winning Chances: 20.35% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
    Double/Take
    Player Winning Chances: 79.63% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
    Opponent Winning Chances: 20.37% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)

    Cubeless Equities: No Double=+0.593, Double=+1.185

    Cubeful Equities:
    No double: +0.847 (-0.153)
    Double/Take: +1.063 (+0.063)
    Double/Pass: +1.000

    Best Cube action: Double / Pass

    Rollout:
    1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
    Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
    Confidence No Double: ± 0.003 (+0.844..+0.851)
    Confidence Double: ± 0.004 (+1.059..+1.067)

    Double Decision confidence: 100.0%
    Take Decision confidence: 100.0%

    Duration: 2 minutes 00 second

    eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)