I came, I saw, I Axelised
From
pepstein5@gmail.com@21:1/5 to
All on Sat Oct 8 08:30:53 2022
I think I Axelised correctly in (wrongly) taking the below -- I'm sure Axel will correct
me if I'm wrong.
For such an unusual position, I wouldn't be too critical about the fact that the algo gets it wrong, here. My PR for the game was sub-5 which is good
by my standard.
Unfortunately, the rollout makes my take slightly worse than the analysis
do so my PR will slide down a notch.
Paul
XGID=-EBBBB----A--A-a--a-bbbcd-:0:0:-1:00:0:0:3:0:10
X:eXtremeGammon O:Daniel
Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game, Jacoby Beaver
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| O | | O O O O O |
| | | O O O O O |
| | | O |
| | | O |
| | | O |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | X |
| | | X X |
| | | X X X X X |
| O X X | | X X X X X |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 51 O: 56 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 1
X on roll, cube action
Analyzed in Rollout
No double
Player Winning Chances: 79.65% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 20.35% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 79.63% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 20.37% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Cubeless Equities: No Double=+0.593, Double=+1.185
Cubeful Equities:
No double: +0.847 (-0.153)
Double/Take: +1.063 (+0.063)
Double/Pass: +1.000
Best Cube action: Double / Pass
Rollout:
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Confidence No Double: ± 0.003 (+0.844..+0.851)
Confidence Double: ± 0.004 (+1.059..+1.067)
Double Decision confidence: 100.0%
Take Decision confidence: 100.0%
Duration: 2 minutes 00 second
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10
--- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
* Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)