I'm not Stick (or even Tim), so this checker play was not at all obvious
to me. And there is a significant amount of equity at stake.
I thought seriously about 8/3 4/off but made XG's choice in the end.
And why?
Because it gives the best Axelisation!
The 3 point stack from 8/3 incurs an extra Axelisation penalty
but there's no extra penalty from 8/4 5/off.

Paul

XGID=--BCBBE-A----------ccbcba-:3:1:1:54:0:0:3:0:10
X:Daniel O:eXtremeGammon


Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game, Jacoby Beaver
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| | | O O O O O O |
| | | O O O O O |
| | | O O O |
| | | |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | X |
| | | X |
| | | X X | +---+
| | | X X X X X | | 8 |
| X | | X X X X X | +---+
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 69 O: 55 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 8, X own cube
X to play 54

1. 4-ply 8/4 5/Off eq:-0.435
Player: 24.38% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Opponent: 75.62% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)

2. 4-ply 8/4 6/1 eq:-0.448 (-0.014)
Player: 23.81% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Opponent: 76.19% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)

3. 4-ply 6/2 6/1 eq:-0.521 (-0.086)
Player: 20.70% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Opponent: 79.30% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)

4. 3-ply 8/3 4/Off eq:-0.473 (-0.039)
Player: 22.79% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Opponent: 77.21% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)

5. 3-ply 8/3 6/2 eq:-0.508 (-0.074)
Player: 21.28% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Opponent: 78.72% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)


eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

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