I took the below, thinking that I have plenty of chances and that the threats aren't that dramatic.
I know that resulting is a horrible sin, and I don't like it as
someone who uses statistics professionally, but my take
was certainly vindicated when I become an equity favourite during the game. Why is taking so criminal?
When is a pure positional advantage, with no threats, good enough to
induce a drop?
Paul
XGID=-a---aE-D---bEaa-b-bbba--A:0:0:-1:00:8:2:3:0:10
X:eXtremeGammon O:Daniel
Score is X:2 O:8. Unlimited Game, Jacoby Beaver +13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X O | | O X X |
| X O | | O |
| O | | O |
| O | | O |
| | | O |
| |BAR| |
| O | O | |
| O | | |
| O | | |
| O X | | X X X |
| O X X X | | X X X X |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 140 O: 152 X-O: 2-8
Cube: 1
X on roll, cube action
Analyzed in XG Roller+
Player Winning Chances: 75.53% (G:38.56% B:0.54%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 24.47% (G:3.88% B:0.15%)
Cubeless Equities: No Double=+0.861, Double=+1.749
Cubeful Equities:
No double: +0.934 (-0.066)
Double/Take: +1.569 (+0.569)
Double/Pass: +1.000
Best Cube action: Double / Pass
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10
Why is taking so criminal?
"peps...@gmail.com" <peps...@gmail.com> writes:
Why is taking so criminal?Blitz.
Behind in the race, against a 3.5 board with 11 in the zone.
Axel
On 9/2/2022 1:20 PM, peps...@gmail.com wrote:I just meant that with 2.5 points open, the closeout won't happen any time soon.
When is a pure positional advantage, with no threats, good enough toNo threats? What's your definition of a threat? The position looks threatening to me. The opponent is threatening to close you out and
induce a drop?
win a gammon.
---
Tim Chow
I just meant that with 2.5 points open, the closeout won't happen any
time soon. I probably take too many, but I do sometimes get massively
dinged for bad drops, so it's tricky for me.
When is a pure positional advantage, with no threats, good enough to
induce a drop?
Sysop: | Keyop |
---|---|
Location: | Huddersfield, West Yorkshire, UK |
Users: | 297 |
Nodes: | 16 (2 / 14) |
Uptime: | 19:27:48 |
Calls: | 6,667 |
Calls today: | 1 |
Files: | 12,216 |
Messages: | 5,337,042 |