XGID=--a-ABBCB-A--C-----Acccbc-:2:1:1:00:0:2:3:0:10
X:Daniel O:eXtremeGammon
Score is X:0 O:2. Unlimited Game, Jacoby Beaver
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X | | X O O O O O |
| X | | O O O O O |
| X | | O O O O |
| | | |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | |
| X | | | +---+
| X X | | X X | | 4 |
| X X X | | X X X O | +---+
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 131 O: 66 X-O: 0-2
Cube: 4, X own cube
X on roll, cube action
XGID=--a-ABBCB-A--C-----Acccbc-:2:1:1:00:0:2:3:0:10
X:Daniel O:eXtremeGammon
Score is X:0 O:2. Unlimited Game, Jacoby Beaver
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X | | X O O O O O |
| X | | O O O O O |
| X | | O O O O |
| | | |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | |
| X | | | +---+
| X X | | X X | | 4 |
| X X X | | X X X O | +---+
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 131 O: 66 X-O: 0-2
Cube: 4, X own cube
X on roll, cube action
On 8/14/2022 7:31 AM, peps...@gmail.com wrote:
XGID=--a-ABBCB-A--C-----Acccbc-:2:1:1:00:0:2:3:0:10
X:Daniel O:eXtremeGammon
Score is X:0 O:2. Unlimited Game, Jacoby Beaver +13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+1) Looks like a pretty clear take since O has a strong board and a race lead. Regardless, cubing gives your opponent a chance to make a mistake while holding doesn't so I can't think of a reason to hold. Especially
| X | | X O O O O O |
| X | | O O O O O |
| X | | O O O O |
| | | |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | |
| X | | | +---+
| X X | | X X | | 4 |
| X X X | | X X X O | +---+
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 131 O: 66 X-O: 0-2
Cube: 4, X own cube
X on roll, cube action
since you say XG muffed the take.
2) See 1) above.
It's actually a clear pass, according to XG's rollout which is what I thought.
On 8/15/2022 3:25 PM, peps...@gmail.com wrote:
It's actually a clear pass, according to XG's rollout which is what I thought.Interesting. Even after I made some significant improvements to XG's position, it rolled out to a pass:
XGID=-a--ABBCB-A--C----Accbbbb-:2:1:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
X:Player 1 O:Player 2
Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game, Jacoby Beaver +13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X X | | O O O O O O |
| X | | O O O O O O |
| X | | O O |
| | | |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | |
| X | | | +---+
| X X | | X X | | 4 |
| X X X | | X X X O | +---+
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 130 O: 77 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 4, X own cube
X on roll, cube action
Analyzed in Rollout
No redouble
Player Winning Chances: 77.67% (G:3.92% B:0.06%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 22.33% (G:6.34% B:0.08%)
Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances: 79.09% (G:4.59% B:0.12%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 20.91% (G:6.97% B:0.08%)
Cubeful Equities:
No redouble: +0.818 (-0.182)
Redouble/Take: +1.055 (+0.055)
Redouble/Pass: +1.000
Best Cube action: Redouble / Pass
Rollout:
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Confidence No Double: ± 0.006 (+0.812..+0.824)
Confidence Double: ± 0.011 (+1.044..+1.065)
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.207.pre-release
As far as I can see, XG's good scenario is that 1) I fail to make the 5 prime. 2) XG leaps.
3) I miss the shot.
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