Hint: I don't think Jacoby Beaver matters.
XGID=-a--BaC-AA--cD-a-c-dA-b-BA:0:0:1:52:0:0:3:0:10
X:Player 1 O:Player 2
Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game, Jacoby Beaver
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X O O | | O X O X |
| X O | | O O X |
| X O | | O |
| X | | O |
| | X | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | |
| O | | X |
| O | | X X |
| O X X | | X O X O |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 188 O: 147 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 1
X to play 52
Interestingly, XGR++ reverses the order of second and third liking the
hit better than bar/20 13/10.
Confidence: ±0.017 (-0.284..-0.250) - [81.4%]
Confidence: ±0.021 (-0.300..-0.259) - [16.8%]
Confidence: ±0.019 (-0.311..-0.273) - [1.9%]
Confidence: ±0.020 (-0.335..-0.295) - [0.0%]
On 8/16/2022 9:25 AM, ah....Clem wrote:
Interestingly, XGR++ reverses the order of second and third liking the
hit better than bar/20 13/10.
There's a lot of variance left.
Confidence: ±0.017 (-0.284..-0.250) - [81.4%]
Confidence: ±0.021 (-0.300..-0.259) - [16.8%]
Confidence: ±0.019 (-0.311..-0.273) - [1.9%]
Confidence: ±0.020 (-0.335..-0.295) - [0.0%]
XGID=--BBaBC-A--bb----bccBC--b-:0:0:1:51:0:0:0:5:10
X:You O:O
Score is X:0 O:0 5 pt.(s) match.
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| O O | | O X X O |
| O O | | O X X O |
| O | | O X |
| | | |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | X |
| O O | | X X X X |
| O O X | | X X O X X |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 149 O: 132 X-O: 0-0/5
Cube: 1
X to play 51
But XG likes the banana split. Not sure why. I thought it might have something to do with O's made ace point, but (see variant below) that
doesn't seem to make much difference.
I played 8/7 (21/16 is obvious) and that's does much worse in the
rollout than the other non-hitting options. Not sure why that is either.
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