XGID=-a-a--EBB---dD---bbcb---B-:0:0:1:32:0:0:0:0:10

X:Player 1 O:Player 2
Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X O O | | O O X |
| X O O | | O O X |
| X | | O |
| X | | |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | X |
| O | | X |
| O | | X |
| O X X | | X |
| O X X | | X O O |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 160 O: 156 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 1
X to play 32

---
Tim Chow

--- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
* Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)

On 7/23/2022 8:48 AM, Timothy Chow wrote:

XGID=-a-a--EBB---dD---bbcb---B-:0:0:1:32:0:0:0:0:10

X:Player 1   O:Player 2
Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
 +13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
 | X           O  O |   | O  O           X |
 | X           O  O |   | O  O           X |
 | X                |   | O                |
 | X                |   |                  |
 |                  |   |                  |
 |                  |BAR|                  |
 |                  |   | X                |
 | O                |   | X                |
 | O                |   | X                |
 | O           X  X |   | X                |
 | O           X  X |   | X        O     O |
 +12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count  X: 160  O: 156 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 1
X to play 32

Splitting seems thematic. But whacking both has its merits too. The
chicken play seems weak. The hybrid plays 6/3* 24/22 and 6/3* 13/11 are intriguing too.

Hitting (one checker) loose seems to lack enough follow-on, but may well
be the bot play. I'll go for the simple split since I have a hunch it's
not all that wrong if not best. 24/21 13/11.


--
Ah....Clem
The future is fun, the future is fair.

--- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
* Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)

XGID=-a-a--EBB---dD---bbcb---B-:0:0:1:32:0:0:0:0:10

X:Player 1 O:Player 2
Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X O O | | O O X |
| X O O | | O O X |
| X | | O |
| X | | |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | X |
| O | | X |
| O | | X |
| O X X | | X |
| O X X | | X O O |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 160 O: 156 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 1
X to play 32

In his response, ah_clem mentioned many candidates, but not the bot play
of 24/22 24/21. This sort of play reminds me of former chess world
champion Mikhail Tal, who was famous for leaving multiple pieces en
prise (vulnerable to capture). He would say, "They can take only one
piece at a time!" In backgammon, some rolls actually allow O to hit
(or even point on) both of X's blots after 24/22 24/21, but most do not.
If only one checker is hit, X may escape, or anchor on, the other one.

1. Rollout¹ 24/22 24/21 eq:-0.445
Player: 40.31% (G:9.54% B:0.45%)
Opponent: 59.69% (G:20.32% B:0.70%)
Confidence: ±0.013 (-0.458..-0.432) - [100.0%]

2. Rollout¹ 24/21 13/11 eq:-0.532 (-0.087)
Player: 37.60% (G:9.16% B:0.41%)
Opponent: 62.40% (G:19.05% B:1.02%)
Confidence: ±0.019 (-0.551..-0.513) - [0.0%]

3. Rollout¹ 24/22 6/3* eq:-0.577 (-0.132)
Player: 36.23% (G:8.67% B:0.36%)
Opponent: 63.77% (G:18.19% B:0.95%)
Confidence: ±0.017 (-0.594..-0.560) - [0.0%]

4. Rollout¹ 24/22 13/10 eq:-0.600 (-0.155)
Player: 35.97% (G:8.48% B:0.35%)
Opponent: 64.03% (G:19.48% B:0.99%)
Confidence: ±0.013 (-0.613..-0.587) - [0.0%]

5. Rollout¹ 6/3* 3/1* eq:-0.660 (-0.214)
Player: 34.06% (G:9.31% B:0.26%)
Opponent: 65.94% (G:19.61% B:1.08%)
Confidence: ±0.015 (-0.675..-0.645) - [0.0%]

¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.207.pre-release

---
Tim Chow

--- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
* Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)