• 34 backgame

    From Timothy Chow@21:1/5 to All on Thu Sep 16 00:40:07 2021
    XGID=---BB-B-B-AA----b--fcBBbbA:1:1:1:41:0:0:0:0:10

    X:Player 1 O:Player 2
    Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
    +13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
    | O | | O O X X O O |
    | O | | O O X X O O |
    | | | O O |
    | | | O |
    | | X | 6 |
    | |BAR| |
    | | | |
    | | | |
    | | | | +---+
    | X | | X X X | | 2 |
    | X X X | | X X X | +---+
    +12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
    Pip count X: 174 O: 75 X-O: 0-0
    Cube: 2, X own cube
    X to play 41

    ---
    Tim Chow

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Timothy Chow@21:1/5 to All on Sun Sep 19 23:13:17 2021
    XGID=---BB-B-B-AA----b--fcBBbbA:1:1:1:41:0:0:0:0:10

    X:Player 1 O:Player 2
    Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
    +13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
    | O | | O O X X O O |
    | O | | O O X X O O |
    | | | O O |
    | | | O |
    | | X | 6 |
    | |BAR| |
    | | | |
    | | | |
    | | | | +---+
    | X | | X X X | | 2 |
    | X X X | | X X X | +---+
    +12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
    Pip count X: 174 O: 75 X-O: 0-0
    Cube: 2, X own cube
    X to play 41

    I found it surprising that XG wanted to button up with the ace
    instead of maximizing builders for the 5pt. I'm guessing that
    it's hoping to hit a shot next turn and doesn't want O to have
    the chance to hit back from the bar.

    1. Rollout¹ Bar/21 11/10 eq:-0.245
    Player: 43.44% (G:5.02% B:0.17%)
    Opponent: 56.56% (G:35.36% B:0.92%)
    Confidence: ±0.010 (-0.255..-0.235) - [100.0%]

    2. Rollout¹ Bar/21 10/9 eq:-0.296 (-0.051)
    Player: 42.25% (G:4.44% B:0.15%)
    Opponent: 57.75% (G:36.79% B:1.15%)
    Confidence: ±0.011 (-0.307..-0.285) - [0.0%]

    3. Rollout¹ Bar/21 8/7 eq:-0.310 (-0.065)
    Player: 42.13% (G:4.97% B:0.17%)
    Opponent: 57.87% (G:38.00% B:1.33%)
    Confidence: ±0.011 (-0.321..-0.299) - [0.0%]

    ¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
    Dice Seed: 271828
    Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

    eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.207.pre-release

    ---
    Tim Chow

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From pepstein5@gmail.com@21:1/5 to Tim Chow on Mon Sep 20 04:06:24 2021
    On Monday, September 20, 2021 at 4:13:18 AM UTC+1, Tim Chow wrote:
    XGID=---BB-B-B-AA----b--fcBBbbA:1:1:1:41:0:0:0:0:10

    X:Player 1 O:Player 2
    Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
    +13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
    | O | | O O X X O O |
    | O | | O O X X O O |
    | | | O O |
    | | | O |
    | | X | 6 |
    | |BAR| |
    | | | |
    | | | |
    | | | | +---+
    | X | | X X X | | 2 |
    | X X X | | X X X | +---+
    +12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
    Pip count X: 174 O: 75 X-O: 0-0
    Cube: 2, X own cube
    X to play 41
    I found it surprising that XG wanted to button up with the ace
    instead of maximizing builders for the 5pt. I'm guessing that
    it's hoping to hit a shot next turn and doesn't want O to have
    the chance to hit back from the bar.

    1. Rollout¹ Bar/21 11/10 eq:-0.245
    Player: 43.44% (G:5.02% B:0.17%)
    Opponent: 56.56% (G:35.36% B:0.92%)
    Confidence: ±0.010 (-0.255..-0.235) - [100.0%]

    2. Rollout¹ Bar/21 10/9 eq:-0.296 (-0.051)
    Player: 42.25% (G:4.44% B:0.15%)
    Opponent: 57.75% (G:36.79% B:1.15%)
    Confidence: ±0.011 (-0.307..-0.285) - [0.0%]

    3. Rollout¹ Bar/21 8/7 eq:-0.310 (-0.065)
    Player: 42.13% (G:4.97% B:0.17%)
    Opponent: 57.87% (G:38.00% B:1.33%)
    Confidence: ±0.011 (-0.321..-0.299) - [0.0%]

    ¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
    Dice Seed: 271828
    Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

    eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.207.pre-release

    ---
    Tim Chow
    I'm also surprised. I would have been thinking in terms of builders for the 5 point, and would have probably played 10/9.

    Paul

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)