On 6/4/2022 10:37 AM, peps...@gmail.com wrote:

Assuming that the DMP rule is still helpful, I think that the proviso
"when not bearing off against contact" needs to be applied.

This is an obvious exception that goes without saying, as is
known to anyone who studies and applies Stick's DMP rule as it is
intended to be studied and applied.

---
Tim Chow

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I found the below position tricky -- so tricky that I in fact got it wrong. Here, the DMP play is completely obvious.
But should we deliberately sacrifice wins by removing four checkers
in the hope of a gammon?
I didn't think so but I was wrong.
It is very common when bearing off against contact that you
deliberately take risks and leave your position awkward in order
to bear off faster and increase your gammons.
Assuming that the DMP rule is still helpful, I think that the proviso
"when not bearing off against contact" needs to be applied.

Paul

XGID=-CACaDB--a--------bdbbab--:1:-1:1:55:1:0:3:0:10
X:Daniel O:eXtremeGammon

Score is X:1 O:0. Unlimited Game, Jacoby Beaver
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| O | | O O O O O | +---+
| O | | O O O O | | 2 |
| | | O | +---+
| | | O |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | X |
| | | X X X |
| | | X X X X |
| O | | X X O X X X |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 46 O: 100 X-O: 1-0
Cube: 2, O own cube
X to play 55

1. XG Roller+ 5/Off(4) eq:+1.036
Player: 93.24% (G:19.39% B:0.09%)
Opponent: 6.76% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)

2. XG Roller+ 6/1(2) 5/Off(2) eq:+0.993 (-0.043)
Player: 96.10% (G:8.41% B:0.03%)
Opponent: 3.90% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)

3. 1-ply 6/1 5/Off(3) eq:+0.127 (-0.909)
Player: 59.36% (G:8.28% B:0.00%)
Opponent: 40.64% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)


eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

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On Saturday, June 4, 2022 at 4:13:06 PM UTC+1, Tim Chow wrote:

On 6/4/2022 10:37 AM, peps...@gmail.com wrote:

Assuming that the DMP rule is still helpful, I think that the proviso
"when not bearing off against contact" needs to be applied.

This is an obvious exception that goes without saying, as is
known to anyone who studies and applies Stick's DMP rule as it is
intended to be studied and applied.

---
Tim Chow

Perhaps it might be hard to tell, once you've seen the answer.
But do you think you would correctly make the greedy play or would you make the same mistake I did?

Paul

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On 6/4/2022 1:22 PM, peps...@gmail.com wrote:

Perhaps it might be hard to tell, once you've seen the answer.
But do you think you would correctly make the greedy play or would you make the same mistake I did?

I think I would have made the greedy play. I would have seen
that the greedy play would get me off in roughly five more rolls
and so the gammon race was close. Based on experience, I would
have figured that going for the gammon was indicated.

---
Tim Chow

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