• Early game 64 to play

    From Timothy Chow@21:1/5 to All on Fri May 20 08:21:41 2022
    XGID=--aa-AEBB---cD---daeA-----:1:-1:1:64:0:0:0:0:10

    X:Player 1 O:Player 2
    Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
    +13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
    | X O O | | O X | +---+
    | X O | | O | | 2 |
    | X O | | O | +---+
    | X O | | O |
    | | | O |
    | |BAR| |
    | | | X |
    | | | X |
    | O | | X |
    | O X X | | X |
    | O X X | | X X O O |
    +12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
    Pip count X: 137 O: 153 X-O: 0-0
    Cube: 2, O own cube
    X to play 64

    ---
    Tim Chow

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Timothy Chow@21:1/5 to All on Mon May 23 09:12:49 2022
    XGID=--aa-AEBB---cD---daeA-----:1:-1:1:64:0:0:0:0:10

    X:Player 1 O:Player 2
    Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
    +13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
    | X O O | | O X | +---+
    | X O | | O | | 2 |
    | X O | | O | +---+
    | X O | | O |
    | | | O |
    | |BAR| |
    | | | X |
    | | | X |
    | O | | X |
    | O X X | | X |
    | O X X | | X X O O |
    +12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
    Pip count X: 137 O: 153 X-O: 0-0
    Cube: 2, O own cube
    X to play 64

    They say that discretion is the better part of valor. It's not so
    common for X to want to give up his slotted 5pt this early in the
    game when O has no board, but X's main asset in this position is
    his racing lead, and leaving the 5pt slotted risks losing that lead.

    1. Rollout¹ 20/14 5/1 eq:+0.190
    Player: 63.39% (G:11.68% B:0.41%)
    Opponent: 36.61% (G:7.73% B:0.27%)
    Confidence: ±0.008 (+0.181..+0.198) - [100.0%]

    2. Rollout¹ 20/10 eq:+0.085 (-0.104)
    Player: 60.02% (G:12.05% B:0.49%)
    Opponent: 39.98% (G:9.16% B:0.30%)
    Confidence: ±0.010 (+0.075..+0.095) - [0.0%]

    3. Rollout¹ 13/7 5/1 eq:+0.051 (-0.139)
    Player: 57.42% (G:17.45% B:0.73%)
    Opponent: 42.58% (G:11.68% B:0.45%)
    Confidence: ±0.010 (+0.041..+0.061) - [0.0%]

    ¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
    Dice Seed: 271828
    Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

    eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.207.pre-release

    ---
    Tim Chow

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)