I expect that people (perhaps even Stick) will find this problem very difficult. That doesn't mean no one will get it right.
Maybe lots of people will get it right. But I would be really
impressed and surprised if someone got this right and was utterly
confident about it.

Paul

XGID=a-EADC-A----a------Abbbdc-:2:1:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
X:Daniel O:eXtremeGammon


Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game, Jacoby Beaver
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| | | X O O O O O |
| | | O O O O O |
| | | O O |
| | | O |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | O | X |
| | | X X |
| | | X X X | +---+
| | | X X X | | 4 |
| O X | | X X X X | +---+
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 70 O: 73 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 4, X own cube
X on roll, cube action

--- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
* Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)

On 4/22/2022 5:03 PM, peps...@gmail.com wrote:

Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game, Jacoby Beaver
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| | | X O O O O O |
| | | O O O O O |
| | | O O |
| | | O |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | O | X |
| | | X X |
| | | X X X | +---+
| | | X X X | | 4 |
| O X | | X X X X | +---+
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 70 O: 73 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 4, X own cube
X on roll, cube action

I think this is a take. X's priority will be to cover his blot if he
can, so for example if he rolls a 7, I think he will cover rather than
hit. Nine rolls fail to cover, and even some of the covering rolls give
O some return shots. If X does cover, O can still enter and have some
winning chances because of the close race and O's good board.

But covering and dancing looks like a market loser so I would double.

---
Tim Chow

--- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
* Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)