• Suspected crime by Isight -- the defence and prosecution

    From pepstein5@gmail.com@21:1/5 to All on Wed Apr 20 14:22:05 2022
    Although XG sees a fairly solid redouble (both by rollout and analysis),
    I make the Isight counts 57 and 63 so a (wrong) hold here (but a
    correct initial double).
    OTB, I wouldn't consider doubling here.

    Case for the prosection: A clear redouble is missed!

    Case for the defence: The only reason we're even talking about
    this position is the extreme stupidity of XG's opponent, Daniel.
    I submit to you that he made a series of cowardly and malicious blunders
    to avoid shotleaving, and showed callous and utter disregard of his grotesquely high stacks on his low points. Isight wouldn't consider
    such depravity and didn't contemplate such a scenario while reviewing
    its data. Furthermore, Isight gets the initial double and take both
    correct.

    Paul

    XGID=-FC-ABB---A---a-----bbcdc-:1:-1:-1:00:0:2:3:0:10
    X:eXtremeGammon O:Daniel

    Score is X:2 O:0. Unlimited Game, Jacoby Beaver
    +13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
    | O | | O O O O O |
    | | | O O O O |
    | | | O O |
    | | | O |
    | | | 6 |
    | |BAR| |
    | | | |
    | | | X |
    | | | X X X | +---+
    | | | X X X X X | | 2 |
    | X | | X X X X X | +---+
    +12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
    Pip count X: 49 O: 48 X-O: 2-0
    Cube: 2, X own cube
    X on roll, cube action

    Analyzed in Rollout
    No redouble
    Player Winning Chances: 74.48% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
    Opponent Winning Chances: 25.52% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
    Redouble/Take
    Player Winning Chances: 74.48% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
    Opponent Winning Chances: 25.52% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)

    Cubeless Equities: No Double=+0.490, Double=+0.979

    Cubeful Equities:
    No redouble: +0.774 (-0.067)
    Redouble/Take: +0.841
    Redouble/Pass: +1.000 (+0.159)

    Best Cube action: Redouble / Take

    Rollout:
    1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
    Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
    Confidence No Double: ± 0.003 (+0.772..+0.777)
    Confidence Double: ± 0.004 (+0.837..+0.846)

    Double Decision confidence: 100.0%
    Take Decision confidence: 100.0%

    Duration: 1 minute 49 seconds

    eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

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