XGID=-b--B-D-BA-AcC---b-db-b-B-:0:0:1:33:0:0:0:0:10

X:Player 1 O:Player 2
Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X O | | O O O X |
| X O | | O O O X |
| X | | O |
| | | O |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | X |
| O | | X |
| O X | | X X O |
| O X X X | | X X O |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 155 O: 143 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 1
X to play 33

---
Tim Chow

--- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
* Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)

Timothy Chow wrote:

XGID=-b--B-D-BA-AcC---b-db-b-B-:0:0:1:33:0:0:0:0:10

X:Player 1 O:Player 2
Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X O | | O O O X |
| X O | | O O O X |
| X | | O |
| | | O |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | X |
| O | | X |
| O X | | X X O |
| O X X X | | X X O | +12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 155 O: 143 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 1
X to play 33

---
Tim Chow

My play would be 24/21(2), 8/5(2)

I want to harass any outer board checkers and take my own 5-point.

--- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
* Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)

On Friday, September 3, 2021 at 1:16:53 PM UTC+1, Tim Chow wrote:

XGID=-b--B-D-BA-AcC---b-db-b-B-:0:0:1:33:0:0:0:0:10

X:Player 1 O:Player 2
Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X O | | O O O X |
| X O | | O O O X |
| X | | O |
| | | O |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | X |
| O | | X |
| O X | | X X O |
| O X X X | | X X O |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 155 O: 143 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 1
X to play 33

---
Tim Chow

I don't know whether I play golf badly or not, because i play too rarely to find out.
However, I imagine that I'd be really bad at it.
So the bad-golf play makes sense and, in any case, I had Waltishly decided on that
play before reading his response.

It isn't the wisest adage in the history of humanity but it does help me because I've
lost a lot of equity through wrongly making the 5 point. However, this position seems too
standard for me to do anything other than 24/21(2) 8/5(2).
This doesn't make my adage wrong because this is an obvious exception.

Paul

--- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
* Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)

XGID=-b--B-D-BA-AcC---b-db-b-B-:0:0:1:33:0:0:0:0:10

X:Player 1 O:Player 2
Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X O | | O O O X |
| X O | | O O O X |
| X | | O |
| | | O |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | X |
| O | | X |
| O X | | X X O |
| O X X X | | X X O |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 155 O: 143 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 1
X to play 33

I managed to overthink this one OTB and played 8/5(2) 6/3(2), but
there's no good reason to spurn the "obvious" play of grabbing the
advanced anchor and the 5pt.

1. Rollout¹ 24/21(2) 8/5(2) eq:+0.467
Player: 59.99% (G:20.47% B:0.66%)
Opponent: 40.01% (G:9.29% B:0.37%)
Confidence: ±0.013 (+0.454..+0.480) - [100.0%]

2. Rollout¹ 24/21(2) 6/3(2) eq:+0.360 (-0.107)
Player: 58.54% (G:18.01% B:0.68%)
Opponent: 41.46% (G:10.11% B:0.39%)
Confidence: ±0.013 (+0.347..+0.373) - [0.0%]

3. Rollout¹ 8/5(2) 6/3(2) eq:+0.346 (-0.121)
Player: 58.38% (G:20.69% B:1.26%)
Opponent: 41.62% (G:14.33% B:1.03%)
Confidence: ±0.015 (+0.330..+0.361) - [0.0%]

¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.207.pre-release

---
Tim Chow

--- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
* Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)