From
Timothy Chow@21:1/5 to
All on Sun Apr 3 09:14:50 2022
XGID=-a---BD-C---cC---b-b-cbAbB:0:0:1:55:0:1:1:2:10
X:Player 1 O:Player 2
Score is X:0 O:1 2 pt.(s) match.
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X O | | O O O X O |
| X O | | O O O O |
| X | | O |
| | X | |
| | X | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | X |
| O X | | X |
| O X | | X X |
| O X | | X X O |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 170 O: 111 X-O: 0-1/2 Crawford
Cube: 1
X to play 55
The "obvious" play is to run 23/13. But it's gammon go, and X is still
way behind in the pip count, so could it be right to attack with
6/1*(2)? According to XG, no, 6/1*(2) is a whopper.
1. Rollout¹ Bar/20(2) 23/13 eq:+0.064
Player: 44.11% (G:9.10% B:0.45%)
Opponent: 55.89% (G:19.20% B:0.17%)
Confidence: ±0.006 (+0.058..+0.071) - [100.0%]
2. Rollout¹ Bar/20(2) 8/3(2) eq:-0.036 (-0.100)
Player: 38.65% (G:9.56% B:0.51%)
Opponent: 61.35% (G:31.09% B:0.56%)
Confidence: ±0.006 (-0.042..-0.029) - [0.0%]
3. Rollout¹ Bar/20(2) 6/1*(2) eq:-0.055 (-0.119)
Player: 37.13% (G:10.14% B:0.38%)
Opponent: 62.87% (G:29.78% B:0.88%)
Confidence: ±0.006 (-0.061..-0.049) - [0.0%]
¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.207.pre-release, MET: Kazaross XG2
---
Tim Chow
--- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
* Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)