• 5pt or 7pt?

    From Timothy Chow@21:1/5 to All on Sun Mar 27 23:37:29 2022
    XGID=--aCBAB-C--AA---b-bdBbbb--:0:0:1:51:0:0:0:0:10

    X:Player 1 O:Player 2
    Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
    +13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
    | O O | | O X O O O |
    | O O | | O X O O O |
    | | | O |
    | | | O |
    | | | |
    | |BAR| |
    | | | |
    | | | |
    | X | | X |
    | X | | X X X |
    | X X X | | X X X X O |
    +12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
    Pip count X: 121 O: 97 X-O: 0-0
    Cube: 1
    X to play 51

    ---
    Tim Chow

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Timothy Chow@21:1/5 to All on Tue Mar 29 09:12:17 2022
    XGID=--aCBAB-C--AA---b-bdBbbb--:0:0:1:51:0:0:0:0:10

    X:Player 1 O:Player 2
    Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
    +13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
    | O O | | O X O O O |
    | O O | | O X O O O |
    | | | O |
    | | | O |
    | | | |
    | |BAR| |
    | | | |
    | | | |
    | X | | X |
    | X | | X X X |
    | X X X | | X X X X O |
    +12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
    Pip count X: 121 O: 97 X-O: 0-0
    Cube: 1
    X to play 51

    I have some thoughts about this one, but instead of sharing them, let
    me just post the variant and invite others to explain the difference
    between the two positions.

    1. Rollout¹ 12/7 8/7 eq:+0.392
    Player: 59.67% (G:7.23% B:0.22%)
    Opponent: 40.33% (G:12.73% B:0.24%)
    Confidence: ±0.009 (+0.383..+0.402) - [100.0%]

    2. Rollout¹ 11/5 eq:+0.315 (-0.077)
    Player: 59.41% (G:7.12% B:0.19%)
    Opponent: 40.59% (G:6.19% B:0.11%)
    Confidence: ±0.009 (+0.306..+0.324) - [0.0%]

    ¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
    Dice Seed: 271828
    Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

    eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.207.pre-release

    -------
    Variant
    -------

    XGID=-AaBBAB-C--AA---b-bdBbbb--:0:0:1:51:0:0:0:0:10

    X:Player 1 O:Player 2
    Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
    +13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
    | O O | | O X O O O |
    | O O | | O X O O O |
    | | | O |
    | | | O |
    | | | |
    | |BAR| |
    | | | |
    | | | |
    | X | | |
    | X | | X X X |
    | X X X | | X X X X O X |
    +12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
    Pip count X: 119 O: 97 X-O: 0-0
    Cube: 1
    X to play 51

    1. Rollout¹ 11/5 eq:+0.170
    Player: 55.27% (G:6.54% B:0.16%)
    Opponent: 44.73% (G:6.43% B:0.16%)
    Confidence: ±0.009 (+0.161..+0.179) - [100.0%]

    2. Rollout¹ 12/7 8/7 eq:+0.095 (-0.075)
    Player: 53.68% (G:5.87% B:0.15%)
    Opponent: 46.32% (G:13.54% B:0.26%)
    Confidence: ±0.010 (+0.085..+0.105) - [0.0%]

    ¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
    Dice Seed: 271828
    Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

    eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.207.pre-release

    ---
    Tim Chow

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)