From
Timothy Chow@21:1/5 to
All on Tue Mar 8 16:56:33 2022
XGID=--a--bDBC--Cb-aB-a-bbbb--A:1:1:1:61:0:0:0:0:10
X:Player 1 O:Player 2
Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| O X O | | O O O O |
| X | | O O O O |
| | | |
| | | |
| | X | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | X |
| X X | | X | +---+
| O X X X | | X O | | 2 |
| O X X X | | X O O | +---+
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 150 O: 144 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 2, X own cube
X to play 61
This time, 8/2* even hits, but the rollout below says it's a whopper.
I had to make several adjustments to get an interesting variant.
1. Rollout¹ Bar/18 eq:-0.230
Player: 40.49% (G:5.79% B:0.26%)
Opponent: 59.51% (G:26.17% B:0.69%)
Confidence: ±0.010 (-0.240..-0.220) - [100.0%]
2. Rollout¹ Bar/24 8/2* eq:-0.336 (-0.106)
Player: 36.57% (G:6.90% B:0.31%)
Opponent: 63.43% (G:27.73% B:0.95%)
Confidence: ±0.010 (-0.346..-0.327) - [0.0%]
¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.207.pre-release
-------
Variant
-------
XGID=-a---bEBB--Cb-aB-a-bbbb--A:1:1:1:52:0:0:0:0:10
X:Player 1 O:Player 2
Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| O X O | | O O O O |
| X | | O O O O |
| | | |
| | | |
| | X | |
| |BAR| |
| | | X |
| | | X |
| X | | X | +---+
| O X X X | | X O | | 2 |
| O X X X | | X O O | +---+
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 148 O: 145 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 2, X own cube
X to play 52
1. Rollout¹ Bar/23 6/1* eq:-0.318
Player: 37.70% (G:7.24% B:0.32%)
Opponent: 62.30% (G:29.32% B:0.99%)
Confidence: ±0.011 (-0.329..-0.307) - [59.7%]
2. Rollout¹ Bar/18 eq:-0.320 (-0.002)
Player: 37.63% (G:5.98% B:0.27%)
Opponent: 62.37% (G:28.27% B:0.78%)
Confidence: ±0.010 (-0.330..-0.310) - [40.3%]
3. Rollout¹ Bar/23 11/6 eq:-0.373 (-0.055)
Player: 35.93% (G:7.10% B:0.32%)
Opponent: 64.07% (G:30.28% B:1.02%)
Confidence: ±0.010 (-0.383..-0.363) - [0.0%]
¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.207.pre-release
---
Tim Chow
--- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
* Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)