• 61 to play

    From Timothy Chow@21:1/5 to All on Tue Feb 22 09:11:42 2022
    XGID=-AB-b-C-C-B-aB-b-c-c-Bbb--:0:0:1:61:0:0:0:0:10

    X:Player 1 O:Player 2
    Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
    +13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
    | X O O | | O X O O |
    | X O O | | O X O O |
    | O | | O |
    | | | |
    | | | |
    | |BAR| |
    | | | |
    | | | |
    | X | | X |
    | X X | | X O X |
    | O X X | | X O X X |
    +12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
    Pip count X: 135 O: 127 X-O: 0-0
    Cube: 1
    X to play 61

    ---
    Tim Chow

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Timothy Chow@21:1/5 to All on Thu Feb 24 09:37:56 2022
    XGID=-AB-b-C-C-B-aB-b-c-c-Bbb--:0:0:1:61:0:0:0:0:10

    X:Player 1 O:Player 2
    Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
    +13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
    | X O O | | O X O O |
    | X O O | | O X O O |
    | O | | O |
    | | | |
    | | | |
    | |BAR| |
    | | | |
    | | | |
    | X | | X |
    | X X | | X O X |
    | O X X | | X O X X |
    +12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
    Pip count X: 135 O: 127 X-O: 0-0
    Cube: 1
    X to play 61

    I chose to hit, but XG thinks my board is too weak for that. See the
    variant below for comparison.

    1. Rollout¹ 8/1 eq:-0.059
    Player: 48.36% (G:9.49% B:0.27%)
    Opponent: 51.64% (G:10.23% B:0.32%)
    Confidence: ±0.011 (-0.070..-0.048) - [100.0%]

    2. Rollout¹ 13/12* 12/6 eq:-0.146 (-0.087)
    Player: 46.49% (G:10.24% B:0.31%)
    Opponent: 53.51% (G:12.93% B:0.44%)
    Confidence: ±0.015 (-0.162..-0.131) - [0.0%]

    3. Rollout¹ 13/7 8/7 eq:-0.164 (-0.104)
    Player: 45.57% (G:9.72% B:0.28%)
    Opponent: 54.43% (G:11.99% B:0.46%)
    Confidence: ±0.012 (-0.176..-0.151) - [0.0%]

    ¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
    Dice Seed: 271828
    Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

    eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.207.pre-release

    -------
    Variant
    -------

    XGID=-A-Bb-C-C-B-aB-b-c-c-Bbb--:0:0:1:61:0:0:0:0:10

    X:Player 1 O:Player 2
    Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
    +13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
    | X O O | | O X O O |
    | X O O | | O X O O |
    | O | | O |
    | | | |
    | | | |
    | |BAR| |
    | | | |
    | | | |
    | X | | X |
    | X X | | X O X |
    | O X X | | X O X X |
    +12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
    Pip count X: 137 O: 127 X-O: 0-0
    Cube: 1
    X to play 61

    1. Rollout¹ 8/1 eq:+0.041
    Player: 50.67% (G:10.57% B:0.29%)
    Opponent: 49.33% (G:9.73% B:0.29%)
    Confidence: ±0.006 (+0.035..+0.047) - [99.2%]

    2. Rollout¹ 13/12* 12/6 eq:+0.029 (-0.011)
    Player: 50.87% (G:11.87% B:0.41%)
    Opponent: 49.13% (G:11.75% B:0.42%)
    Confidence: ±0.007 (+0.022..+0.037) - [0.8%]

    ¹ 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
    Dice Seed: 271828
    Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

    eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.207.pre-release

    ---
    Tim Chow

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)