From
Timothy Chow@21:1/5 to
All on Mon Feb 14 08:53:46 2022
XGID=-CB-BaB----A--AAbbccAcB-a-:1:1:1:63:0:0:0:0:10
X:Player 1 O:Player 2
Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X X O O O | | O X O X O |
| O O O | | O O X |
| O | | O O |
| | | |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | X | +---+
| | | X X X X | | 2 |
| X | | X O X X X | +---+
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 131 O: 106 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 2, X own cube
X to play 63
When it comes to containment, good outfield coverage can be as good as,
if not better than, hitting. Of course it depends on various factors,
such as how likely the opponent is to dance, how likely X is to cover
if O doesn't hit, and in this position, whether X needs to leap the
prime when he has the chance. For comparison, see the variant.
1. Rollout¹ 20/11 eq:-0.404
Player: 28.35% (G:3.79% B:0.05%)
Opponent: 71.65% (G:10.65% B:0.39%)
Confidence: ±0.007 (-0.411..-0.397) - [100.0%]
2. Rollout¹ 14/5* eq:-0.500 (-0.095)
Player: 28.61% (G:4.56% B:0.05%)
Opponent: 71.39% (G:20.52% B:1.03%)
Confidence: ±0.008 (-0.508..-0.492) - [0.0%]
3. Rollout¹ 15/12 11/5* eq:-0.513 (-0.109)
Player: 27.70% (G:4.45% B:0.05%)
Opponent: 72.30% (G:20.03% B:0.85%)
Confidence: ±0.008 (-0.521..-0.505) - [0.0%]
¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.207.pre-release
-------
Variant
-------
XGID=-BB-BaC----A--AAbbccAcB-a-:1:1:1:63:0:0:0:0:10
X:Player 1 O:Player 2
Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X X O O O | | O X O X O |
| O O O | | O O X |
| O | | O O |
| | | |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | X | +---+
| | | X X X X | | 2 |
| X | | X O X X X | +---+
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 136 O: 106 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 2, X own cube
X to play 63
1. Rollout¹ 14/5* eq:-0.249
Player: 36.26% (G:8.75% B:0.12%)
Opponent: 63.74% (G:19.06% B:1.01%)
Confidence: ±0.010 (-0.259..-0.238) - [89.6%]
2. Rollout¹ 20/11 eq:-0.257 (-0.008)
Player: 33.60% (G:7.15% B:0.12%)
Opponent: 66.40% (G:10.93% B:0.42%)
Confidence: ±0.008 (-0.264..-0.249) - [10.4%]
3. Rollout¹ 15/12 11/5* eq:-0.275 (-0.026)
Player: 35.15% (G:8.21% B:0.12%)
Opponent: 64.85% (G:18.29% B:0.81%)
Confidence: ±0.009 (-0.284..-0.266) - [0.0%]
¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.207.pre-release
---
Tim Chow
--- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
* Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)