XGID=aCCBBB-------a----adcbba--:1:-1:1:43:0:0:0:0:10At the risk of being anti-QF, I'd really rather not remove any checkers right now, thanks.
X:Player 1 O:Player 2
Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| O O | | O O O O O | +---+
| | | O O O O | | 2 |
| | | O O | +---+
| | | O |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | O | |
| | | |
| | | X X |
| | | X X X X X |
| | | X X X X X |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 33 O: 99 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 2, O own cube
X to play 43
---
Tim Chow
On Monday, August 30, 2021 at 1:40:51 PM UTC+1, Tim Chow wrote:Not changing my play by any means (although I'm less than 90% confident in it). But I do have further comments.
XGID=aCCBBB-------a----adcbba--:1:-1:1:43:0:0:0:0:10
X:Player 1 O:Player 2
Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game +13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| O O | | O O O O O | +---+
| | | O O O O | | 2 |
| | | O O | +---+
| | | O |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | O | |
| | | |
| | | X X |
| | | X X X X X |
| | | X X X X X |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 33 O: 99 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 2, O own cube
X to play 43
---At the risk of being anti-QF, I'd really rather not remove any checkers right now, thanks.
Tim Chow
The alternative play might bear off very slightly faster but it blots to 61/51/41 which seems not worth it.
My play is uniquely defined as the only play that doesn't blot and that doesn't remove any checkers.
Paul
XGID=aCCBBB-------a----adcbba--:1:-1:1:43:0:0:0:0:10
X:Player 1 O:Player 2
Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| O O | | O O O O O | +---+
| | | O O O O | | 2 |
| | | O O | +---+
| | | O |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | O | |
| | | |
| | | X X |
| | | X X X X X |
| | | X X X X X | +12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 33 O: 99 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 2, O own cube
X to play 43
---
Tim Chow
XGID=aCCBBB-------a----adcbba--:1:-1:1:43:0:0:0:0:10
X:Player 1 O:Player 2
Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| O O | | O O O O O | +---+
| | | O O O O | | 2 |
| | | O O | +---+
| | | O |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | O | |
| | | |
| | | X X |
| | | X X X X X |
| | | X X X X X |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 33 O: 99 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 2, O own cube
X to play 43
---
Tim Chow
On Thursday, September 2, 2021 at 6:39:45 PM UTC+1, Tim Chow wrote:
XGID=aCCBBB-------a----adcbba--:1:-1:1:43:0:0:0:0:10
X:Player 1 O:Player 2
Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game +13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| O O | | O O O O O | +---+
| | | O O O O | | 2 |
| | | O O | +---+
| | | O |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | O | |
| | | |
| | | X X |
| | | X X X X X |
| | | X X X X X |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 33 O: 99 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 2, O own cube
X to play 43
There's a tradeoff between wins and gammons here, but according to XG
it's about a 1:1 tradeoff rather than the 1:2 tradeoff that we are
looking for in a money game.
1. Rollout¹ 5/2 5/1 eq:+1.117
Player: 99.79% (G:12.18% B:0.03%)
Opponent: 0.21% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Confidence: ±0.001 (+1.116..+1.118) - [100.0%]
2. Rollout¹ 4/1 4/Off eq:+1.069 (-0.048)
Player: 96.58% (G:15.27% B:0.06%)
Opponent: 3.42% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Confidence: ±0.002 (+1.067..+1.071) - [0.0%]
¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.207.pre-release
---------
Gammon go
---------
XGID=aCCBBB-------a----adcbba--:0:0:1:43:0:1:1:2:10
X:Player 1 O:Player 2
Score is X:0 O:1 2 pt.(s) match. +13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| O O | | O O O O O |
| | | O O O O |
| | | O O |
| | | O |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | O | |
| | | |
| | | X X |
| | | X X X X X |
| | | X X X X X |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 33 O: 99 X-O: 0-1/2 Crawford
Cube: 1
X to play 43
1. Rollout¹ 5/2 5/1 eq:+1.240
Player: 99.80% (G:12.18% B:0.09%)
Opponent: 0.20% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Confidence: ±0.001 (+1.238..+1.241) - [99.9%]
2. Rollout¹ 4/1 4/Off eq:+1.236 (-0.003)
Player: 96.65% (G:15.17% B:0.17%)
Opponent: 3.35% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Confidence: ±0.002 (+1.235..+1.238) - [0.1%]
¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.207.pre-release, MET: Kazaross XG2
---And, of course, as Stick says, the fact that it's only a 1-1 tradeoff
Tim Chow
and not worth the greedy play is trivially obvious.
Not a dilemma at all.
Easiest bg quiz since bacon was invented.
Paul
XGID=aCCBBB-------a----adcbba--:1:-1:1:43:0:0:0:0:10And, of course, as Stick says, the fact that it's only a 1-1 tradeoff
X:Player 1 O:Player 2
Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| O O | | O O O O O | +---+
| | | O O O O | | 2 |
| | | O O | +---+
| | | O |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | O | |
| | | |
| | | X X |
| | | X X X X X |
| | | X X X X X |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 33 O: 99 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 2, O own cube
X to play 43
There's a tradeoff between wins and gammons here, but according to XG
it's about a 1:1 tradeoff rather than the 1:2 tradeoff that we are
looking for in a money game.
1. Rollout¹ 5/2 5/1 eq:+1.117
Player: 99.79% (G:12.18% B:0.03%)
Opponent: 0.21% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Confidence: ±0.001 (+1.116..+1.118) - [100.0%]
2. Rollout¹ 4/1 4/Off eq:+1.069 (-0.048)
Player: 96.58% (G:15.27% B:0.06%)
Opponent: 3.42% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Confidence: ±0.002 (+1.067..+1.071) - [0.0%]
¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.207.pre-release
---------
Gammon go
---------
XGID=aCCBBB-------a----adcbba--:0:0:1:43:0:1:1:2:10
X:Player 1 O:Player 2
Score is X:0 O:1 2 pt.(s) match.
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| O O | | O O O O O |
| | | O O O O |
| | | O O |
| | | O |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | O | |
| | | |
| | | X X |
| | | X X X X X |
| | | X X X X X |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 33 O: 99 X-O: 0-1/2 Crawford
Cube: 1
X to play 43
1. Rollout¹ 5/2 5/1 eq:+1.240
Player: 99.80% (G:12.18% B:0.09%)
Opponent: 0.20% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Confidence: ±0.001 (+1.238..+1.241) - [99.9%]
2. Rollout¹ 4/1 4/Off eq:+1.236 (-0.003)
Player: 96.65% (G:15.17% B:0.17%)
Opponent: 3.35% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Confidence: ±0.002 (+1.235..+1.238) - [0.1%]
¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.207.pre-release, MET: Kazaross XG2
---
Tim Chow
On Thursday, September 2, 2021 at 7:26:15 PM UTC-4, peps...@gmail.com wrote:
On Thursday, September 2, 2021 at 6:39:45 PM UTC+1, Tim Chow wrote:
XGID=aCCBBB-------a----adcbba--:1:-1:1:43:0:0:0:0:10
X:Player 1 O:Player 2
Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game +13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| O O | | O O O O O | +---+
| | | O O O O | | 2 |
| | | O O | +---+
| | | O |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | O | |
| | | |
| | | X X |
| | | X X X X X |
| | | X X X X X |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 33 O: 99 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 2, O own cube
X to play 43
There's a tradeoff between wins and gammons here, but according to XG it's about a 1:1 tradeoff rather than the 1:2 tradeoff that we are looking for in a money game.
1. Rollout¹ 5/2 5/1 eq:+1.117
Player: 99.79% (G:12.18% B:0.03%)
Opponent: 0.21% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Confidence: ±0.001 (+1.116..+1.118) - [100.0%]
2. Rollout¹ 4/1 4/Off eq:+1.069 (-0.048)
Player: 96.58% (G:15.27% B:0.06%)
Opponent: 3.42% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Confidence: ±0.002 (+1.067..+1.071) - [0.0%]
¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.207.pre-release
---------
Gammon go
---------
XGID=aCCBBB-------a----adcbba--:0:0:1:43:0:1:1:2:10
X:Player 1 O:Player 2
Score is X:0 O:1 2 pt.(s) match. +13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| O O | | O O O O O |
| | | O O O O |
| | | O O |
| | | O |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | O | |
| | | |
| | | X X |
| | | X X X X X |
| | | X X X X X |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 33 O: 99 X-O: 0-1/2 Crawford
Cube: 1
X to play 43
1. Rollout¹ 5/2 5/1 eq:+1.240
Player: 99.80% (G:12.18% B:0.09%)
Opponent: 0.20% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Confidence: ±0.001 (+1.238..+1.241) - [99.9%]
2. Rollout¹ 4/1 4/Off eq:+1.236 (-0.003)
Player: 96.65% (G:15.17% B:0.17%)
Opponent: 3.35% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Confidence: ±0.002 (+1.235..+1.238) - [0.1%]
¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.207.pre-release, MET: Kazaross XG2
---And, of course, as Stick says, the fact that it's only a 1-1 tradeoff
Tim Chow
and not worth the greedy play is trivially obvious.
Not a dilemma at all.
Easiest bg quiz since bacon was invented.
PaulThat's not even the ballpark of what I said. (iks)
On Thursday, September 2, 2021 at 7:26:15 PM UTC-4, peps...@gmail.com wrote:What does iks mean?
On Thursday, September 2, 2021 at 6:39:45 PM UTC+1, Tim Chow wrote:
XGID=aCCBBB-------a----adcbba--:1:-1:1:43:0:0:0:0:10
X:Player 1 O:Player 2
Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game +13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| O O | | O O O O O | +---+
| | | O O O O | | 2 |
| | | O O | +---+
| | | O |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | O | |
| | | |
| | | X X |
| | | X X X X X |
| | | X X X X X |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 33 O: 99 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 2, O own cube
X to play 43
There's a tradeoff between wins and gammons here, but according to XG it's about a 1:1 tradeoff rather than the 1:2 tradeoff that we are looking for in a money game.
1. Rollout¹ 5/2 5/1 eq:+1.117
Player: 99.79% (G:12.18% B:0.03%)
Opponent: 0.21% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Confidence: ±0.001 (+1.116..+1.118) - [100.0%]
2. Rollout¹ 4/1 4/Off eq:+1.069 (-0.048)
Player: 96.58% (G:15.27% B:0.06%)
Opponent: 3.42% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Confidence: ±0.002 (+1.067..+1.071) - [0.0%]
¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.207.pre-release
---------
Gammon go
---------
XGID=aCCBBB-------a----adcbba--:0:0:1:43:0:1:1:2:10
X:Player 1 O:Player 2
Score is X:0 O:1 2 pt.(s) match. +13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| O O | | O O O O O |
| | | O O O O |
| | | O O |
| | | O |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | O | |
| | | |
| | | X X |
| | | X X X X X |
| | | X X X X X |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 33 O: 99 X-O: 0-1/2 Crawford
Cube: 1
X to play 43
1. Rollout¹ 5/2 5/1 eq:+1.240
Player: 99.80% (G:12.18% B:0.09%)
Opponent: 0.20% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Confidence: ±0.001 (+1.238..+1.241) - [99.9%]
2. Rollout¹ 4/1 4/Off eq:+1.236 (-0.003)
Player: 96.65% (G:15.17% B:0.17%)
Opponent: 3.35% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Confidence: ±0.002 (+1.235..+1.238) - [0.1%]
¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.207.pre-release, MET: Kazaross XG2
---And, of course, as Stick says, the fact that it's only a 1-1 tradeoff
Tim Chow
and not worth the greedy play is trivially obvious.
Not a dilemma at all.
Easiest bg quiz since bacon was invented.
PaulThat's not even the ballpark of what I said. (iks)
Stick
On Friday, September 3, 2021 at 12:32:34 AM UTC+1, J R wrote:
That's not even the ballpark of what I said. (iks)What does iks mean?
Stick
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