From
Timothy Chow@21:1/5 to
All on Tue Feb 8 08:33:17 2022
XGID=-CDaB-D------------bbcbbc-:1:-1:1:63:0:0:0:0:10
X:Player 1 O:Player 2
Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| | | O O O O O O | +---+
| | | O O O O O O | | 2 |
| | | O O | +---+
| | | |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | X X |
| | | X X X |
| | | X X X X |
| | | X X O X X |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 43 O: 69 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 2, O own cube
X to play 63
Gammons are negligible here. Either 6/3* or 4/1 leaves the same
number of immediate return shots, but 6/3* is more likely to give
O further chances of hitting a shot. For example, if O dances,
X may not be able to clean up the blot. Note that if O rolls
something like 64 62 44, then we would prefer that she be forced
to run rather than stick around.
1. Rollout¹ 6/Off 4/1 eq:+0.296
Player: 67.73% (G:0.48% B:0.00%)
Opponent: 32.27% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Confidence: ±0.001 (+0.295..+0.298) - [100.0%]
2. Rollout¹ 6/3* 6/Off eq:+0.228 (-0.068)
Player: 65.82% (G:1.16% B:0.01%)
Opponent: 34.18% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Confidence: ±0.002 (+0.226..+0.229) - [0.0%]
¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.207.pre-release
---
Tim Chow
--- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
* Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)