In the above position, the 11 hits are very strong and missing leads to approximate equality.
Tried to follow O'Hagan's law
But the play just came out wrong
So I'll have to refer to O'Hagan
In a song.
XGID=---BCCB-BAb-aB-----bbcbba-:0:0:1:00:4:3:3:0:X:Daniel O:eXtremeGammon
10
Score is X:4 O:3. Unlimited Game, Jacoby Beaver +13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X | | O O O O O O |
| X | | O O O O O |
| | | O |
| | | |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | X X |
| O X | | X X X X |
| O O X X | | X X X X |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 96 O: 88 X-O: 4-3
Cube: 1
X on roll, cube action
In the above position, the 11 hits are very strong and missing leads to approximate equality. My instinct was that it looks like a hold, but this seemed counter to O'Hagan's principle. I don't have the patience
for a rollout but my cube does seem like a major blunder.
I'm really not sure that O'Hagan's law is all that helpful.
It seems like more of a tool for justifying a cube after the fact, than reaching a good decision OTB.
Paul
Analyzed in XG Roller+
Player Winning Chances: 57.41% (G:4.00% B:0.08%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 42.59% (G:1.26% B:0.03%)
Cubeless Equities: No Double=+0.176, Double=+0.339
Cubeful Equities:
No double: +0.220
Double/Take: +0.065 (-0.155)
Double/Pass: +1.000 (+0.780)
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 14.2%
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10
Sysop: | Keyop |
---|---|
Location: | Huddersfield, West Yorkshire, UK |
Users: | 296 |
Nodes: | 16 (2 / 14) |
Uptime: | 56:27:02 |
Calls: | 6,652 |
Calls today: | 4 |
Files: | 12,200 |
Messages: | 5,330,869 |