XGID=-aa--BC-C-A-AC-a-cbdb-Ba--:0:0:1:61:0:0:0:0:10

X:Player 1 O:Player 2
Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X O O O | | O O X O |
| X O O | | O O X |
| X O | | O |
| | | O |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | |
| X | | X |
| X | | X X |
| X X X | | X X O O |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 157 O: 131 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 1
X to play 61

---
Tim Chow

--- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
* Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)

XGID=-aa--BC-C-A-AC-a-cbdb-Ba--:0:0:1:61:0:0:0:0:10

X:Player 1 O:Player 2
Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X O O O | | O O X O |
| X O O | | O O X |
| X O | | O |
| | | O |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | |
| X | | X |
| X | | X X |
| X X X | | X X O O |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 157 O: 131 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 1
X to play 61

X is behind in the pip count, and he can try to address this problem
either by strengthening his own prime, or by hitting. The trouble
with hitting is that he has to break anchor to do so, giving O some counterattacking possibilities. If he makes the bar point then it
basically forces O to fight a priming battle that she has worse timing
for. For comparison, see the variant below.

1. Rollout¹ 13/7 8/7 eq:+0.608
Player: 65.40% (G:17.01% B:0.77%)
Opponent: 34.60% (G:10.22% B:0.39%)
Confidence: ±0.014 (+0.593..+0.622) - [100.0%]

2. Rollout¹ 22/15* eq:+0.413 (-0.194)
Player: 62.02% (G:16.24% B:1.08%)
Opponent: 37.98% (G:14.98% B:0.88%)
Confidence: ±0.015 (+0.398..+0.429) - [0.0%]

¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.207.pre-release

-------
Variant
-------

XGID=-aa--BC-C---AC-a-cbdb-Ca--:0:0:1:61:0:0:0:0:10

X:Player 1 O:Player 2
Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X O O O | | O O X O |
| X O O | | O O X |
| X O | | O X |
| | | O |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | |
| X | | X |
| X | | X X |
| X X | | X X O O |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 169 O: 131 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 1
X to play 61

1. Rollout¹ 22/15* eq:+0.471
Player: 62.37% (G:16.84% B:0.90%)
Opponent: 37.63% (G:11.48% B:0.47%)
Confidence: ±0.017 (+0.454..+0.489) - [99.8%]

2. Rollout¹ 13/7 8/7 eq:+0.438 (-0.033)
Player: 61.45% (G:15.84% B:0.68%)
Opponent: 38.55% (G:12.58% B:0.44%)
Confidence: ±0.013 (+0.425..+0.452) - [0.2%]

¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.207.pre-release

---
Tim Chow

--- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
* Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)