From
Timothy Chow@21:1/5 to
All on Sat Jan 15 12:23:42 2022
XGID=---bECC-a----B---bccbBb---:0:0:1:32:0:0:0:0:10
X:Player 1 O:Player 2
Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X O O | | O O X O |
| X O O | | O O X O |
| O | | O |
| | | |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | X |
| | | X |
| | | X X X |
| | | X X X O |
| O | | X X X O |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 121 O: 132 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 1
X to play 32
Hitting looks tempting, but there's no urgent need to hit. X doesn't
need a tempo and he doesn't even really need the pips. He has only a three-point board, and can productively unstack and make a potentially
useful point. On the other hand, if he is hit back, then a roughly
equal position may suddenly turn into a losing position.
1. Rollout¹ 5/2 4/2 eq:+0.035
Player: 50.06% (G:11.50% B:0.27%)
Opponent: 49.94% (G:9.98% B:0.43%)
Confidence: ±0.011 (+0.024..+0.046) - [100.0%]
2. Rollout¹ 4/2 4/1 eq:-0.044 (-0.079)
Player: 48.32% (G:11.13% B:0.24%)
Opponent: 51.68% (G:10.73% B:0.49%)
Confidence: ±0.011 (-0.055..-0.033) - [0.0%]
3. Rollout¹ 13/8* eq:-0.094 (-0.129)
Player: 47.61% (G:12.33% B:0.38%)
Opponent: 52.39% (G:12.46% B:0.54%)
Confidence: ±0.011 (-0.105..-0.082) - [0.0%]
¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.207.pre-release
-------
Variant
-------
XGID=-B-bDCB-a----B---bccbBb---:0:0:1:32:0:0:0:0:10
X:Player 1 O:Player 2
Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X O O | | O O X O |
| X O O | | O O X O |
| O | | O |
| | | |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | X |
| | | X X |
| | | X X X O X |
| O | | X X X O X |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 113 O: 132 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 1
X to play 32
1. Rollout¹ 13/8* eq:+0.052
Player: 50.96% (G:15.08% B:0.29%)
Opponent: 49.04% (G:11.72% B:0.62%)
Confidence: ±0.012 (+0.040..+0.064) - [100.0%]
2. Rollout¹ 5/2 4/2 eq:+0.014 (-0.038)
Player: 49.89% (G:12.15% B:0.24%)
Opponent: 50.11% (G:10.20% B:0.42%)
Confidence: ±0.010 (+0.005..+0.024) - [0.0%]
¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.207.pre-release
---
Tim Chow
--- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
* Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)