XGID=-aa---EBBA--bC----cd-bBb--:0:0:1:43:0:0:0:0:10

X:Player 1 O:Player 2
Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X O | | O O X O |
| X O | | O O X O |
| X O | | O |
| | | O |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | X |
| | | X |
| | | X |
| O X X | | X |
| O X X X | | X O O |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 152 O: 130 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 1
X to play 43

---
Tim Chow

--- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
* Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)

XGID=-aa---EBBA--bC----cd-bBb--:0:0:1:43:0:0:0:0:10

X:Player 1 O:Player 2
Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X O | | O O X O |
| X O | | O O X O |
| X O | | O |
| | | O |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | X |
| | | X |
| | | X |
| O X X | | X |
| O X X X | | X O O |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 152 O: 130 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 1
X to play 43

Despite the "tricky" subject line, I think the more interesting question
here is how to play the 3 after 13/9. At first glance, 13/10 might seem
to give O a lot fewer hitting rolls, but that's not true because of all
the indirect shots. Keeping the midpoint maintains some connectivity
with X's back checkers, and unstacks the heavy 6pt.

1. Rollout¹ 13/9 6/3 eq:+0.048
Player: 52.38% (G:11.97% B:0.47%)
Opponent: 47.62% (G:15.39% B:0.42%)
Confidence: ±0.015 (+0.033..+0.062) - [100.0%]

2. Rollout¹ 13/10 13/9 eq:-0.042 (-0.089)
Player: 50.13% (G:11.38% B:0.53%)
Opponent: 49.87% (G:16.02% B:0.44%)
Confidence: ±0.016 (-0.058..-0.026) - [0.0%]

3. Rollout¹ 9/5 8/5 eq:-0.095 (-0.143)
Player: 47.87% (G:12.63% B:0.43%)
Opponent: 52.13% (G:14.52% B:0.45%)
Confidence: ±0.013 (-0.108..-0.083) - [0.0%]

¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.207.pre-release

---
Tim Chow

--- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
* Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)