On Wednesday, February 18, 2004 at 12:04:16 AM UTC-5, The Beet Man wrote:
Brian Anthony alleged, in:
"No HONOURABLE person here posts moneyline plays on DOUBLE-DIGIT pt
spreads, which begins typically in the upper 500's or more, *because*
THAT would amount to nothing more than what I've coined "a shameless
grab for documentation units" and essentially be NO reflection of
handicapping skill whatsoever..."
but then in a different post, one which is not yet archived on Google,
...now I see where this BIG CHALK has been pushed to -1400
Sounds like the money is coming in on this BIG CHALK! But... but...
but... I thought no one would ever bet favorites in that range?
What a stupid thing to think.
I've previously acknowledged that the public
*DOES* tend these stronger favs and drive the number up!
So, uh, let's see. The general public makes these bets with such
frequency that the number gets driven up. In other words, these big
favorites are a POPULAR bet. But "no HONOURABLE person" would post
these bets to RGS because it's "no reflection of handicapping skill."
Am in the only one who sees the huge contradiction here? Is there
value in these bets, or isn't there? Is the vig lower, or is it
higher? Are these skillful bets, or not skillful? It sounds like
Brian Anthony is having trouble keeping his story straight!
This post brought to you courtesy of the Beet Man!
The good ole days.
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