• Re: "Walkaway: A Novel" by Cory Doctorow

    From John@21:1/5 to Lynn McGuire on Tue Jan 30 00:47:56 2024
    Lynn McGuire <lynnmcguire5@gmail.com> writes:

    "Walkaway: A Novel" by Cory Doctorow
    https://www.amazon.com/Walkaway-Novel-Cory-Doctorow/dp/0765392771/

    A standalone science fiction novel of the near future. I read the
    well printed and well bound 500 page trade paperback published by Tor
    Books in 2018 that I purchased new from Amazon in 2023. I was very
    proud of myself, I never threw the book against the wall even though I
    was tempted at least a half dozen times. I do not agree the premise
    of the book but I do see the possibility of the events in it
    occurring.

    The novel approximately starts in the year 2100 and ends up roughly 30
    years later. The primary focus of the book is the struggle between
    the haves and the have-nots of the future. There is no middle class
    in the future. The haves are billionaires and trillionaires after the tremendous inflation caused by the semi failure of the USA Dollar in
    2029 as documented by Lionel Shriver's masterpiece novel "The
    Mandibles: A Family, 2029-2047". The haves are nicknamed the zottas
    by the have-nots.

    https://www.amazon.com/Mandibles-Family-2029-2047-Lionel-Shriver/dp/006232828X/

    The have-nots are split into two groups, the wage slaves and
    walkaways. The wage slaves are tremendously burdened by debt due to
    failures of Social Security, Medicare, WIC, SNAP, and many other
    federal social programs. The walkaways have literally walked away
    from society and live individually or gathered together in communes,
    choosing not to participate in the cities. The walkaways are not
    highly regarded by society and are severely persecuted by the zottas,
    to the point of mass deaths. More and more have-nots are becoming
    walkaways over time which has the zottas extremely concerned.

    My rating: 4 out of 5 stars
    Amazon rating: 4.3 out of 5 stars (1,947 reviews)

    Lynn

    It sounds exactly as subtle as most of Doctorow's work so I'll commend
    him on his consistency.

    john

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From D@21:1/5 to Lynn McGuire on Tue Jan 30 10:55:06 2024
    On Mon, 29 Jan 2024, Lynn McGuire wrote:

    "Walkaway: A Novel" by Cory Doctorow
    https://www.amazon.com/Walkaway-Novel-Cory-Doctorow/dp/0765392771/

    A standalone science fiction novel of the near future. I read the well printed and well bound 500 page trade paperback published by Tor Books in 2018 that I purchased new from Amazon in 2023. I was very proud of myself, I never threw the book against the wall even though I was tempted at least a half dozen times. I do not agree the premise of the book but I do see the possibility of the events in it occurring.

    The novel approximately starts in the year 2100 and ends up roughly 30 years later. The primary focus of the book is the struggle between the haves and the have-nots of the future. There is no middle class in the future. The haves are billionaires and trillionaires after the tremendous inflation caused by the semi failure of the USA Dollar in 2029 as documented by Lionel Shriver's masterpiece novel "The Mandibles: A Family, 2029-2047". The haves are nicknamed the zottas by the have-nots.

    https://www.amazon.com/Mandibles-Family-2029-2047-Lionel-Shriver/dp/006232828X/

    The have-nots are split into two groups, the wage slaves and walkaways. The wage slaves are tremendously burdened by debt due to failures of Social Security, Medicare, WIC, SNAP, and many other federal social programs. The walkaways have literally walked away from society and live individually or gathered together in communes, choosing not to participate in the cities.
    The walkaways are not highly regarded by society and are severely persecuted by the zottas, to the point of mass deaths. More and more have-nots are becoming walkaways over time which has the zottas extremely concerned.

    My rating: 4 out of 5 stars
    Amazon rating: 4.3 out of 5 stars (1,947 reviews)

    Lynn


    Thank you Lynn, might give it a go. However, I don't like overly
    politicized books that lean heavily on feminism, libertarianism or in
    fact, what ever "ism" the author enjoys. Would you say that this is one
    where the "ism" sits in the front seat and the story in the back seat?

    Heinlein for me, strikes a good balance between exploring ism, while
    having story and not letting the ism dictate too much.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From John@21:1/5 to nospam@example.net on Tue Jan 30 15:51:39 2024
    D <nospam@example.net> writes:

    Thank you Lynn, might give it a go. However, I don't like overly
    politicized books that lean heavily on feminism, libertarianism or in
    fact, what ever "ism" the author enjoys. Would you say that this is
    one where the "ism" sits in the front seat and the story in the back
    seat?

    Heinlein for me, strikes a good balance between exploring ism, while
    having story and not letting the ism dictate too much.


    Or perhaps Heinlein uses -isms that you find less objectionable and
    therefore don't notice as much. As much as I enjoy his stories, I've
    always found his characters' habit of stopping everything to lecture
    about some topic or another for several pages a bit tiring, whether the
    topic is libertarianism (early Heinlein) or
    having-sex-with-your-kids-ism (late Heinlein).

    john

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From D@21:1/5 to Lynn McGuire on Wed Jan 31 11:07:36 2024
    This message is in MIME format. The first part should be readable text,
    while the remaining parts are likely unreadable without MIME-aware tools.

    On Tue, 30 Jan 2024, Lynn McGuire wrote:

    On 1/30/2024 3:55 AM, D wrote:


    On Mon, 29 Jan 2024, Lynn McGuire wrote:

    "Walkaway: A Novel" by Cory Doctorow
      https://www.amazon.com/Walkaway-Novel-Cory-Doctorow/dp/0765392771/

    A standalone science fiction novel of the near future.  I read the well >>> printed and well bound 500 page trade paperback published by Tor Books in >>> 2018 that I purchased new from Amazon in 2023.  I was very proud of
    myself, I never threw the book against the wall even though I was tempted >>> at least a half dozen times.  I do not agree the premise of the book but I
    do see the possibility of the events in it occurring.

    The novel approximately starts in the year 2100 and ends up roughly 30
    years later.  The primary focus of the book is the struggle between the >>> haves and the have-nots of the future.  There is no middle class in the >>> future.  The haves are billionaires and trillionaires after the tremendous
    inflation caused by the semi failure of the USA Dollar in 2029 as
    documented by Lionel Shriver's masterpiece novel "The Mandibles: A Family, >>> 2029-2047".  The haves are nicknamed the zottas by the have-nots.

    https://www.amazon.com/Mandibles-Family-2029-2047-Lionel-Shriver/dp/006232828X/

    The have-nots are split into two groups, the wage slaves and walkaways. >>> The wage slaves are tremendously burdened by debt due to failures of
    Social Security, Medicare, WIC, SNAP, and many other federal social
    programs.  The walkaways have literally walked away from society and live >>> individually or gathered together in communes, choosing not to participate >>> in the cities. The walkaways are not highly regarded by society and are >>> severely persecuted by the zottas, to the point of mass deaths.  More and >>> more have-nots are becoming walkaways over time which has the zottas
    extremely concerned.

    My rating:  4 out of 5 stars
    Amazon rating:  4.3 out of 5 stars (1,947 reviews)

    Lynn


    Thank you Lynn, might give it a go. However, I don't like overly
    politicized books that lean heavily on feminism, libertarianism or in fact, >> what ever "ism" the author enjoys. Would you say that this is one where the >> "ism" sits in the front seat and the story in the back seat?

    Heinlein for me, strikes a good balance between exploring ism, while having >> story and not letting the ism dictate too much.

    Tough to say. The story is well woven between the isms. However, the isms are you need to be self reliant, the government is bad, the rich are bad, we need to stop trashing the planet, fossil fuels are bad, hydrogen fuel is good, back to nature is good, hot and cold spas are good, money is bad, ownership is bad, etc, etc, etc.

    The problem that I had was the communes. Work is voluntary but eating is necessary, nobody owned the commune so they had to shame people into working,
    etc. It is a good story and one possible outlook over the next hundred years
    that I find not likely just due to human nature.

    Definitely not a Heinlein. Or a Scalzi. Or a Steven Gould. You have my six
    star list, nothing from Cory Doctorow is on the list. But, "Little Brother" was the closest.
    https://www.amazon.com/Little-Brother-Cory-Doctorow/dp/0765323117/

    Lynn


    Thank you very much for the clarification Lynn. I have read Little Brother
    and it was ok but not great. I will look up Scalzi and Gould instead. =)

    Best regards,
    Daniel

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From D@21:1/5 to John on Wed Jan 31 11:05:35 2024
    On Tue, 30 Jan 2024, John wrote:

    D <nospam@example.net> writes:

    Thank you Lynn, might give it a go. However, I don't like overly
    politicized books that lean heavily on feminism, libertarianism or in
    fact, what ever "ism" the author enjoys. Would you say that this is
    one where the "ism" sits in the front seat and the story in the back
    seat?

    Heinlein for me, strikes a good balance between exploring ism, while
    having story and not letting the ism dictate too much.


    Or perhaps Heinlein uses -isms that you find less objectionable and
    therefore don't notice as much. As much as I enjoy his stories, I've
    always found his characters' habit of stopping everything to lecture
    about some topic or another for several pages a bit tiring, whether the
    topic is libertarianism (early Heinlein) or
    having-sex-with-your-kids-ism (late Heinlein).

    No, that's not it. I found whithur we (or however its spelled) very
    tedious despite it being heavily libertarian. But thank you for the
    suggestion anyway.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From D@21:1/5 to Lynn McGuire on Thu Feb 1 11:07:47 2024
    This message is in MIME format. The first part should be readable text,
    while the remaining parts are likely unreadable without MIME-aware tools.

    On Wed, 31 Jan 2024, Lynn McGuire wrote:

    On 1/31/2024 4:07 AM, D wrote:


    On Tue, 30 Jan 2024, Lynn McGuire wrote:

    On 1/30/2024 3:55 AM, D wrote:


    On Mon, 29 Jan 2024, Lynn McGuire wrote:

    "Walkaway: A Novel" by Cory Doctorow
      https://www.amazon.com/Walkaway-Novel-Cory-Doctorow/dp/0765392771/ >>>>>
    A standalone science fiction novel of the near future.  I read the well >>>>> printed and well bound 500 page trade paperback published by Tor Books >>>>> in 2018 that I purchased new from Amazon in 2023.  I was very proud of >>>>> myself, I never threw the book against the wall even though I was
    tempted at least a half dozen times.  I do not agree the premise of the >>>>> book but I do see the possibility of the events in it occurring.

    The novel approximately starts in the year 2100 and ends up roughly 30 >>>>> years later.  The primary focus of the book is the struggle between the >>>>> haves and the have-nots of the future.  There is no middle class in the >>>>> future.  The haves are billionaires and trillionaires after the
    tremendous inflation caused by the semi failure of the USA Dollar in >>>>> 2029 as documented by Lionel Shriver's masterpiece novel "The Mandibles: >>>>> A Family, 2029-2047".  The haves are nicknamed the zottas by the
    have-nots.

    https://www.amazon.com/Mandibles-Family-2029-2047-Lionel-Shriver/dp/006232828X/

    The have-nots are split into two groups, the wage slaves and walkaways. >>>>> The wage slaves are tremendously burdened by debt due to failures of >>>>> Social Security, Medicare, WIC, SNAP, and many other federal social >>>>> programs.  The walkaways have literally walked away from society and >>>>> live individually or gathered together in communes, choosing not to >>>>> participate in the cities. The walkaways are not highly regarded by >>>>> society and are severely persecuted by the zottas, to the point of mass >>>>> deaths.  More and more have-nots are becoming walkaways over time which >>>>> has the zottas extremely concerned.

    My rating:  4 out of 5 stars
    Amazon rating:  4.3 out of 5 stars (1,947 reviews)

    Lynn


    Thank you Lynn, might give it a go. However, I don't like overly
    politicized books that lean heavily on feminism, libertarianism or in >>>> fact, what ever "ism" the author enjoys. Would you say that this is one >>>> where the "ism" sits in the front seat and the story in the back seat? >>>>
    Heinlein for me, strikes a good balance between exploring ism, while
    having story and not letting the ism dictate too much.

    Tough to say.  The story is well woven between the isms.  However, the >>> isms are you need to be self reliant, the government is bad, the rich are >>> bad, we need to stop trashing the planet, fossil fuels are bad, hydrogen >>> fuel is good, back to nature is good, hot and cold spas are good, money is >>> bad, ownership is bad, etc, etc, etc.

    The problem that I had was the communes.  Work is voluntary but eating is >>> necessary, nobody owned the commune so they had to shame people into
    working, etc.  It is a good story and one possible outlook over the next >>> hundred years that I find not likely just due to human nature.

    Definitely not a Heinlein.  Or a Scalzi.  Or a Steven Gould.  You have my
    six star list, nothing from Cory Doctorow is on the list.  But, "Little >>> Brother" was the closest.
      https://www.amazon.com/Little-Brother-Cory-Doctorow/dp/0765323117/

    Lynn


    Thank you very much for the clarification Lynn. I have read Little Brother >> and it was ok but not great. I will look up Scalzi and Gould instead. =)

    Best regards,
    Daniel

    I will be posting a Steven Gould review today. All of his books are excellent even though he is a Global Warming XXXXXX XXXXXX Climate Change XXXXXX XXXXXX Climate Disruption warrior. So is John Scalzi, so is John Varley, another excellent author.

    Lynn

    Looking forward to it! And I am very skeptical when it comes to man
    made climate doomsday scenarios myself, so depending on the X:s and
    what they mean, that could actually be a bonus. ;)

    Best regards,
    Daniel

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Mike Van Pelt@21:1/5 to lynnmcguire5@gmail.com on Sun Feb 4 00:05:24 2024
    In article <upeb3l$1m4ku$1@dont-email.me>,
    Lynn McGuire <lynnmcguire5@gmail.com> wrote:
    I will be posting a Steven Gould review today. All of his books are >excellent even though he is a Global Warming XXXXXX XXXXXX Climate
    Change XXXXXX XXXXXX Climate Disruption warrior. So is John Scalzi, so
    is John Varley, another excellent author.

    What are these people's position on nuclear power?

    My touchstone remains the same: Anyone who is opposed to
    nuclear power *does not really care* about CO2/climate-whatever.
    They have another agenda entirely.

    (I've been advocating phasing out coal in favor of nuclear
    for going on 50 years.)

    --
    Mike Van Pelt | "I don't advise it unless you're nuts."
    mvp at calweb.com | -- Ray Wilkinson, after riding out Hurricane
    KE6BVH | Ike on Surfside Beach in Galveston

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Titus G@21:1/5 to Mike Van Pelt on Sun Feb 4 17:22:40 2024
    On 4/02/24 13:05, Mike Van Pelt wrote:
    In article <upeb3l$1m4ku$1@dont-email.me>,
    Lynn McGuire <lynnmcguire5@gmail.com> wrote:
    I will be posting a Steven Gould review today. All of his books are
    excellent even though he is a Global Warming XXXXXX XXXXXX Climate
    Change XXXXXX XXXXXX Climate Disruption warrior. So is John Scalzi, so
    is John Varley, another excellent author.

    What are these people's position on nuclear power?

    My touchstone remains the same: Anyone who is opposed to
    nuclear power *does not really care* about CO2/climate-whatever.
    They have another agenda entirely.

    (I've been advocating phasing out coal in favor of nuclear
    for going on 50 years.)


    New Zealand officially disapproves of nuclear power but turned a blind
    eye to the USA's Antarctic plant being transported through Christchurch airport. I am not familiar with details of our position but think it is electricity we are depending on to phase out coal though we still export
    coal to China! Our current government pays lip service to "climate
    whatever".

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From D@21:1/5 to Mike Van Pelt on Sun Feb 4 12:19:59 2024
    On Sun, 4 Feb 2024, Mike Van Pelt wrote:

    In article <upeb3l$1m4ku$1@dont-email.me>,
    Lynn McGuire <lynnmcguire5@gmail.com> wrote:
    I will be posting a Steven Gould review today. All of his books are
    excellent even though he is a Global Warming XXXXXX XXXXXX Climate
    Change XXXXXX XXXXXX Climate Disruption warrior. So is John Scalzi, so
    is John Varley, another excellent author.

    What are these people's position on nuclear power?

    My touchstone remains the same: Anyone who is opposed to
    nuclear power *does not really care* about CO2/climate-whatever.
    They have another agenda entirely.

    (I've been advocating phasing out coal in favor of nuclear
    for going on 50 years.)



    I think nuclear power is one of those healing technologies where
    environmental "hysterics" and environmental "deniers" can happily agree.
    The deniers get clean, reliable and cheap (if you de-politicize the
    technology to lower the cost and use modern SMR:s) energy, and the
    hysterics get less CO2.

    Everyone wins!

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Dimensional Traveler@21:1/5 to All on Sun Feb 4 10:40:16 2024
    On 2/4/2024 3:19 AM, D wrote:


    On Sun, 4 Feb 2024, Mike Van Pelt wrote:

    In article <upeb3l$1m4ku$1@dont-email.me>,
    Lynn McGuire  <lynnmcguire5@gmail.com> wrote:
    I will be posting a Steven Gould review today.  All of his books are
    excellent even though he is a Global Warming XXXXXX XXXXXX Climate
    Change XXXXXX XXXXXX Climate Disruption warrior.  So is John Scalzi, so >>> is John Varley, another excellent author.

    What are these people's position on nuclear power?

    My touchstone remains the same:  Anyone who is opposed to
    nuclear power *does not really care* about CO2/climate-whatever.
    They have another agenda entirely.

    (I've been advocating phasing out coal in favor of nuclear
    for going on 50 years.)



    I think nuclear power is one of those healing technologies where environmental "hysterics" and environmental "deniers" can happily agree.
    The deniers get clean, reliable and cheap (if you de-politicize the technology to lower the cost and use modern SMR:s) energy, and the
    hysterics get less CO2.

    Everyone wins!

    Except many of the "deniers" are deniers because they _want_
    hydrocarbons. To keep their jobs, their profits, their "history" or
    just because they can't handle being told about better ways of doing
    something. "Change is EVIL!"

    --
    I've done good in this world. Now I'm tired and just want to be a cranky
    dirty old man.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From D@21:1/5 to Robert Carnegie on Mon Feb 5 13:41:35 2024
    On Mon, 5 Feb 2024, Robert Carnegie wrote:

    On 04/02/2024 00:05, Mike Van Pelt wrote:
    In article <upeb3l$1m4ku$1@dont-email.me>,
    Lynn McGuire <lynnmcguire5@gmail.com> wrote:
    I will be posting a Steven Gould review today. All of his books are
    excellent even though he is a Global Warming XXXXXX XXXXXX Climate
    Change XXXXXX XXXXXX Climate Disruption warrior. So is John Scalzi, so
    is John Varley, another excellent author.

    What are these people's position on nuclear power?

    My touchstone remains the same: Anyone who is opposed to
    nuclear power *does not really care* about CO2/climate-whatever.
    They have another agenda entirely.

    (I've been advocating phasing out coal in favor of nuclear
    for going on 50 years.)

    Nuclear power can be done well, but traditionally
    it's been a figleaf for the nuclear weapons
    programme, and a source of covered-up everlasting
    deadly pollution. So I use the stuff, but
    I look at it sceptically.

    I was raised on science fiction in which future
    men had to protect their posterity by wearing
    lead-lined underwear to block radiation
    when they visited Earth from space, and that
    is saying something. I suppose it also would
    apply to women, if there were any in the stories.

    I think SMR:s are a great step in the right direction! I don't think any
    of the designs are currently in production, but I am looking forward to it
    and I am hopeful that I will see one in production within the next 5 years
    or so.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Paul S Person@21:1/5 to dtravel@sonic.net on Mon Feb 5 08:36:53 2024
    On Sun, 4 Feb 2024 10:40:16 -0800, Dimensional Traveler
    <dtravel@sonic.net> wrote:

    On 2/4/2024 3:19 AM, D wrote:


    On Sun, 4 Feb 2024, Mike Van Pelt wrote:

    In article <upeb3l$1m4ku$1@dont-email.me>,
    Lynn McGuire <lynnmcguire5@gmail.com> wrote:
    I will be posting a Steven Gould review today. All of his books are
    excellent even though he is a Global Warming XXXXXX XXXXXX Climate
    Change XXXXXX XXXXXX Climate Disruption warrior. So is John Scalzi, so >>>> is John Varley, another excellent author.

    What are these people's position on nuclear power?

    My touchstone remains the same: Anyone who is opposed to
    nuclear power *does not really care* about CO2/climate-whatever.
    They have another agenda entirely.

    (I've been advocating phasing out coal in favor of nuclear
    for going on 50 years.)



    I think nuclear power is one of those healing technologies where
    environmental "hysterics" and environmental "deniers" can happily agree.
    The deniers get clean, reliable and cheap (if you de-politicize the
    technology to lower the cost and use modern SMR:s) energy, and the
    hysterics get less CO2.

    Everyone wins!

    Except many of the "deniers" are deniers because they _want_
    hydrocarbons. To keep their jobs, their profits, their "history" or
    just because they can't handle being told about better ways of doing >something. "Change is EVIL!"

    And here is a word for them:

    plastic
    --
    "Here lies the Tuscan poet Aretino,
    Who evil spoke of everyone but God,
    Giving as his excuse, 'I never knew him.'"

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Paul S Person@21:1/5 to nospam@example.net on Mon Feb 5 08:39:14 2024
    On Mon, 5 Feb 2024 13:41:35 +0100, D <nospam@example.net> wrote:



    On Mon, 5 Feb 2024, Robert Carnegie wrote:

    On 04/02/2024 00:05, Mike Van Pelt wrote:
    In article <upeb3l$1m4ku$1@dont-email.me>,
    Lynn McGuire <lynnmcguire5@gmail.com> wrote:
    I will be posting a Steven Gould review today. All of his books are
    excellent even though he is a Global Warming XXXXXX XXXXXX Climate
    Change XXXXXX XXXXXX Climate Disruption warrior. So is John Scalzi, so >>>> is John Varley, another excellent author.

    What are these people's position on nuclear power?

    My touchstone remains the same: Anyone who is opposed to
    nuclear power *does not really care* about CO2/climate-whatever.
    They have another agenda entirely.

    (I've been advocating phasing out coal in favor of nuclear
    for going on 50 years.)

    Nuclear power can be done well, but traditionally
    it's been a figleaf for the nuclear weapons
    programme, and a source of covered-up everlasting
    deadly pollution. So I use the stuff, but
    I look at it sceptically.

    I was raised on science fiction in which future
    men had to protect their posterity by wearing
    lead-lined underwear to block radiation
    when they visited Earth from space, and that
    is saying something. I suppose it also would
    apply to women, if there were any in the stories.

    I think SMR:s are a great step in the right direction! I don't think any
    of the designs are currently in production, but I am looking forward to it >and I am hopeful that I will see one in production within the next 5 years >or so.

    And how long have they been only 5 years away?

    Which is not to say it might happen ... this time.
    --
    "Here lies the Tuscan poet Aretino,
    Who evil spoke of everyone but God,
    Giving as his excuse, 'I never knew him.'"

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Paul S Person@21:1/5 to rja.carnegie@gmail.com on Mon Feb 5 08:42:14 2024
    On Mon, 5 Feb 2024 10:43:42 +0000, Robert Carnegie
    <rja.carnegie@gmail.com> wrote:

    On 04/02/2024 00:05, Mike Van Pelt wrote:
    In article <upeb3l$1m4ku$1@dont-email.me>,
    Lynn McGuire <lynnmcguire5@gmail.com> wrote:
    I will be posting a Steven Gould review today. All of his books are
    excellent even though he is a Global Warming XXXXXX XXXXXX Climate
    Change XXXXXX XXXXXX Climate Disruption warrior. So is John Scalzi, so
    is John Varley, another excellent author.

    What are these people's position on nuclear power?

    My touchstone remains the same: Anyone who is opposed to
    nuclear power *does not really care* about CO2/climate-whatever.
    They have another agenda entirely.

    (I've been advocating phasing out coal in favor of nuclear
    for going on 50 years.)

    Nuclear power can be done well, but traditionally
    it's been a figleaf for the nuclear weapons
    programme, and a source of covered-up everlasting
    deadly pollution. So I use the stuff, but
    I look at it sceptically.

    I was raised on science fiction in which future
    men had to protect their posterity by wearing
    lead-lined underwear to block radiation
    when they visited Earth from space, and that
    is saying something. I suppose it also would
    apply to women, if there were any in the stories.

    PK Dick's /Do Androids Dream of Electric Sheep?/ has something like
    that.

    One of the advantages of moving to "the colonies" is that the
    led-lined undies can be ditched.

    The film /Blade Runner/ was not set in quite the same universe.
    --
    "Here lies the Tuscan poet Aretino,
    Who evil spoke of everyone but God,
    Giving as his excuse, 'I never knew him.'"

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Scott Dorsey@21:1/5 to usenet@mikevanpelt.com on Mon Feb 5 17:38:46 2024
    Mike Van Pelt <usenet@mikevanpelt.com> wrote:
    Lynn McGuire <lynnmcguire5@gmail.com> wrote:
    I will be posting a Steven Gould review today. All of his books are >>excellent even though he is a Global Warming XXXXXX XXXXXX Climate
    Change XXXXXX XXXXXX Climate Disruption warrior. So is John Scalzi, so
    is John Varley, another excellent author.

    What are these people's position on nuclear power?

    My touchstone remains the same: Anyone who is opposed to
    nuclear power *does not really care* about CO2/climate-whatever.
    They have another agenda entirely.

    I am very, very much in favor of nuclear power. But I am against nuclear
    power systems which produce plutonium as a byproduct, because refining plutonium for use in bombs is chemical process that is relatively simple compared with separating uranium isotopes. And I am not in favor of nuclear bombs.

    It's a thing that can be done, but people need to actually spend the money
    to do it instead of yelling about how nuclear power is terrible or how nuclear power is wonderful.
    --scott

    --
    "C'est un Nagra. C'est suisse, et tres, tres precis."

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Scott Lurndal@21:1/5 to Scott Dorsey on Mon Feb 5 18:27:17 2024
    kludge@panix.com (Scott Dorsey) writes:
    Mike Van Pelt <usenet@mikevanpelt.com> wrote:
    Lynn McGuire <lynnmcguire5@gmail.com> wrote:
    I will be posting a Steven Gould review today. All of his books are >>>excellent even though he is a Global Warming XXXXXX XXXXXX Climate
    Change XXXXXX XXXXXX Climate Disruption warrior. So is John Scalzi, so >>>is John Varley, another excellent author.

    What are these people's position on nuclear power?

    My touchstone remains the same: Anyone who is opposed to
    nuclear power *does not really care* about CO2/climate-whatever.
    They have another agenda entirely.

    I am very, very much in favor of nuclear power. But I am against nuclear >power systems which produce plutonium as a byproduct, because refining >plutonium for use in bombs is chemical process that is relatively simple >compared with separating uranium isotopes. And I am not in favor of nuclear >bombs.

    It's a thing that can be done, but people need to actually spend the money
    to do it instead of yelling about how nuclear power is terrible or how nuclear >power is wonderful.

    A good discussion here. TL;DNR - viable as an adjunct to other forms of energy production, but not capable of replacing fossil fuels on its own.

    https://escholarship.org/uc/item/9js5291m#etoc@tocid.16

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Scott Lurndal@21:1/5 to Paul S Person on Mon Feb 5 18:21:30 2024
    Paul S Person <psperson@old.netcom.invalid> writes:
    On Sun, 4 Feb 2024 10:40:16 -0800, Dimensional Traveler
    <dtravel@sonic.net> wrote:

    On 2/4/2024 3:19 AM, D wrote:
    =20
    =20
    On Sun, 4 Feb 2024, Mike Van Pelt wrote:
    =20
    In article <upeb3l$1m4ku$1@dont-email.me>,
    Lynn McGuire=A0 <lynnmcguire5@gmail.com> wrote:
    I will be posting a Steven Gould review today.=A0 All of his books =
    are
    excellent even though he is a Global Warming XXXXXX XXXXXX Climate
    Change XXXXXX XXXXXX Climate Disruption warrior.=A0 So is John =
    Scalzi, so
    is John Varley, another excellent author.

    What are these people's position on nuclear power?

    My touchstone remains the same:=A0 Anyone who is opposed to
    nuclear power *does not really care* about CO2/climate-whatever.
    They have another agenda entirely.

    (I've been advocating phasing out coal in favor of nuclear
    for going on 50 years.)


    =20
    I think nuclear power is one of those healing technologies where=20
    environmental "hysterics" and environmental "deniers" can happily = >agree.=20
    The deniers get clean, reliable and cheap (if you de-politicize the=20
    technology to lower the cost and use modern SMR:s) energy, and the=20
    hysterics get less CO2.
    =20
    Everyone wins!

    Except many of the "deniers" are deniers because they _want_=20 >>hydrocarbons. To keep their jobs, their profits, their "history" or=20 >>just because they can't handle being told about better ways of doing=20 >>something. "Change is EVIL!"

    And here is a word for them:

    plastic

    chemical feedstocks in general.

    But 90% of the deniers profit comes from the stuff that's burned.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Scott Lurndal@21:1/5 to Paul S Person on Mon Feb 5 18:22:23 2024
    Paul S Person <psperson@old.netcom.invalid> writes:
    On Mon, 5 Feb 2024 13:41:35 +0100, D <nospam@example.net> wrote:



    On Mon, 5 Feb 2024, Robert Carnegie wrote:

    On 04/02/2024 00:05, Mike Van Pelt wrote:
    In article <upeb3l$1m4ku$1@dont-email.me>,
    Lynn McGuire <lynnmcguire5@gmail.com> wrote:
    I will be posting a Steven Gould review today. All of his books are >>>>> excellent even though he is a Global Warming XXXXXX XXXXXX Climate
    Change XXXXXX XXXXXX Climate Disruption warrior. So is John Scalzi,=
    so
    is John Varley, another excellent author.
    =20
    What are these people's position on nuclear power?
    =20
    My touchstone remains the same: Anyone who is opposed to
    nuclear power *does not really care* about CO2/climate-whatever.
    They have another agenda entirely.
    =20
    (I've been advocating phasing out coal in favor of nuclear
    for going on 50 years.)

    Nuclear power can be done well, but traditionally
    it's been a figleaf for the nuclear weapons
    programme, and a source of covered-up everlasting
    deadly pollution. So I use the stuff, but
    I look at it sceptically.

    I was raised on science fiction in which future
    men had to protect their posterity by wearing
    lead-lined underwear to block radiation
    when they visited Earth from space, and that
    is saying something. I suppose it also would
    apply to women, if there were any in the stories.

    I think SMR:s are a great step in the right direction! I don't think any= >=20
    of the designs are currently in production, but I am looking forward to = >it=20
    and I am hopeful that I will see one in production within the next 5 = >years=20
    or so.

    And how long have they been only 5 years away?

    Which is not to say it might happen ... this time.

    Not very likely:

    https://www.utilitydive.com/news/nuscale-uamps-project-small-modular-reactor-ramanasmr-/705717/

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From The Horny Goat@21:1/5 to usenet@mikevanpelt.com on Tue Feb 6 01:38:15 2024
    On Sun, 4 Feb 2024 00:05:24 -0000 (UTC), Mike Van Pelt
    <usenet@mikevanpelt.com> wrote:

    In article <upeb3l$1m4ku$1@dont-email.me>,
    Lynn McGuire <lynnmcguire5@gmail.com> wrote:
    I will be posting a Steven Gould review today. All of his books are >>excellent even though he is a Global Warming XXXXXX XXXXXX Climate
    Change XXXXXX XXXXXX Climate Disruption warrior. So is John Scalzi, so
    is John Varley, another excellent author.

    What are these people's position on nuclear power?

    My touchstone remains the same: Anyone who is opposed to
    nuclear power *does not really care* about CO2/climate-whatever.
    They have another agenda entirely.

    (I've been advocating phasing out coal in favor of nuclear
    for going on 50 years.)

    Jerry Pournelle was also constantly rantng about nuclear power in his
    BYTE magazine columns 20 years ago.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From The Horny Goat@21:1/5 to rja.carnegie@gmail.com on Tue Feb 6 01:42:14 2024
    On Mon, 5 Feb 2024 10:43:42 +0000, Robert Carnegie
    <rja.carnegie@gmail.com> wrote:

    Nuclear power can be done well, but traditionally
    it's been a figleaf for the nuclear weapons
    programme, and a source of covered-up everlasting
    deadly pollution. So I use the stuff, but
    I look at it sceptically.

    I was raised on science fiction in which future
    men had to protect their posterity by wearing
    lead-lined underwear to block radiation
    when they visited Earth from space, and that
    is saying something. I suppose it also would
    apply to women, if there were any in the stories.

    I dunno - my brother's brother in law was a Canadian nuclear engineer
    who in his prime (70s/80s) was regularly installing CANDUs in all
    sorts of foreign climes.

    Canada (mostly due to its proximity to the US) has managed without
    nukes though is clearly one of at least 3-4 countries (e.g. plus
    Germany and Japan, maybe S Korea) in 6-12 months if the order went out
    from their president / prime minister

    Obviously I mean without Uncle Sam or other nuclear power gifting it
    to them.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From James Nicoll@21:1/5 to lcraver@home.ca on Tue Feb 6 14:51:54 2024
    In article <8hv3si1jbfiotk80h12m4mc2qpm0u8ibte@4ax.com>,
    The Horny Goat <lcraver@home.ca> wrote:

    Canada (mostly due to its proximity to the US) has managed without
    nukes though is clearly one of at least 3-4 countries (e.g. plus
    Germany and Japan, maybe S Korea) in 6-12 months if the order went out
    from their president / prime minister

    Yes and no. We didn't have an indigenous nuclear weapon capacity
    but from 1963 to 1984, we had nuclear weapons on loan from the US.

    Hilariously, while the US very reasonably requested security measures
    at least as stringent as American bomb security, this was waived
    early on so that the Quebec facility could open at the same time as
    the Ontario one. While the Quebec facility was an easy commute from
    Montreal, it was felt the risk of a political backlash due to a delay
    was unacceptable.

    --
    My reviews can be found at http://jamesdavisnicoll.com/
    My tor pieces at https://www.tor.com/author/james-davis-nicoll/
    My Dreamwidth at https://james-davis-nicoll.dreamwidth.org/
    My patreon is at https://www.patreon.com/jamesdnicoll

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From James Nicoll@21:1/5 to lcraver@home.ca on Tue Feb 6 14:53:52 2024
    In article <eev3si9pet0n8tecluu7jf4tg6ftv5rome@4ax.com>,
    The Horny Goat <lcraver@home.ca> wrote:
    On Sun, 4 Feb 2024 00:05:24 -0000 (UTC), Mike Van Pelt ><usenet@mikevanpelt.com> wrote:

    In article <upeb3l$1m4ku$1@dont-email.me>,
    Lynn McGuire <lynnmcguire5@gmail.com> wrote:
    I will be posting a Steven Gould review today. All of his books are >>>excellent even though he is a Global Warming XXXXXX XXXXXX Climate
    Change XXXXXX XXXXXX Climate Disruption warrior. So is John Scalzi, so >>>is John Varley, another excellent author.

    What are these people's position on nuclear power?

    My touchstone remains the same: Anyone who is opposed to
    nuclear power *does not really care* about CO2/climate-whatever.
    They have another agenda entirely.

    (I've been advocating phasing out coal in favor of nuclear
    for going on 50 years.)

    Jerry Pournelle was also constantly rantng about nuclear power in his
    BYTE magazine columns 20 years ago.

    I regret to inform you Byte ceased publication a quarter century ago.
    --
    My reviews can be found at http://jamesdavisnicoll.com/
    My tor pieces at https://www.tor.com/author/james-davis-nicoll/
    My Dreamwidth at https://james-davis-nicoll.dreamwidth.org/
    My patreon is at https://www.patreon.com/jamesdnicoll

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Paul S Person@21:1/5 to petertrei@gmail.com on Tue Feb 6 08:48:44 2024
    On Mon, 5 Feb 2024 17:12:14 -0500, Cryptoengineer
    <petertrei@gmail.com> wrote:

    On 2/5/2024 1:21 PM, Scott Lurndal wrote:
    Paul S Person <psperson@old.netcom.invalid> writes:
    On Sun, 4 Feb 2024 10:40:16 -0800, Dimensional Traveler
    <dtravel@sonic.net> wrote:

    On 2/4/2024 3:19 AM, D wrote:
    =20
    =20
    On Sun, 4 Feb 2024, Mike Van Pelt wrote:
    =20
    In article <upeb3l$1m4ku$1@dont-email.me>,
    Lynn McGuire=A0 <lynnmcguire5@gmail.com> wrote:
    I will be posting a Steven Gould review today.=A0 All of his books = >>> are
    excellent even though he is a Global Warming XXXXXX XXXXXX Climate >>>>>>> Change XXXXXX XXXXXX Climate Disruption warrior.=A0 So is John =
    Scalzi, so
    is John Varley, another excellent author.

    What are these people's position on nuclear power?

    My touchstone remains the same:=A0 Anyone who is opposed to
    nuclear power *does not really care* about CO2/climate-whatever.
    They have another agenda entirely.

    (I've been advocating phasing out coal in favor of nuclear
    for going on 50 years.)


    =20
    I think nuclear power is one of those healing technologies where=20
    environmental "hysterics" and environmental "deniers" can happily =
    agree.=20
    The deniers get clean, reliable and cheap (if you de-politicize the=20 >>>>> technology to lower the cost and use modern SMR:s) energy, and the=20 >>>>> hysterics get less CO2.
    =20
    Everyone wins!

    Except many of the "deniers" are deniers because they _want_=20
    hydrocarbons. To keep their jobs, their profits, their "history" or=20 >>>> just because they can't handle being told about better ways of doing=20 >>>> something. "Change is EVIL!"

    And here is a word for them:

    plastic

    chemical feedstocks in general.

    But 90% of the deniers profit comes from the stuff that's burned.

    It is difficult to get a man to understand something, when his
    salary depends on his not understanding it. - Upton Sinclair

    It may take awhile, but if we keep burning fossil fuels, the price
    paid for them to make plastic (OK, chemical feedstocks in general)
    will rise to the point that they /do/ make more that way, and not
    burning them will suddenly make sense to them.

    As I've noted before, the simplest way to get something done is to
    show a 1%-er how he can make money doing it. He has both the means and
    the motivation.
    --
    "Here lies the Tuscan poet Aretino,
    Who evil spoke of everyone but God,
    Giving as his excuse, 'I never knew him.'"

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Dimensional Traveler@21:1/5 to The Horny Goat on Tue Feb 6 08:51:01 2024
    On 2/6/2024 1:42 AM, The Horny Goat wrote:
    On Mon, 5 Feb 2024 10:43:42 +0000, Robert Carnegie
    <rja.carnegie@gmail.com> wrote:

    Nuclear power can be done well, but traditionally
    it's been a figleaf for the nuclear weapons
    programme, and a source of covered-up everlasting
    deadly pollution. So I use the stuff, but
    I look at it sceptically.

    I was raised on science fiction in which future
    men had to protect their posterity by wearing
    lead-lined underwear to block radiation
    when they visited Earth from space, and that
    is saying something. I suppose it also would
    apply to women, if there were any in the stories.

    I dunno - my brother's brother in law was a Canadian nuclear engineer
    who in his prime (70s/80s) was regularly installing CANDUs in all
    sorts of foreign climes.

    Canada (mostly due to its proximity to the US) has managed without
    nukes though is clearly one of at least 3-4 countries (e.g. plus
    Germany and Japan, maybe S Korea) in 6-12 months if the order went out
    from their president / prime minister

    Obviously I mean without Uncle Sam or other nuclear power gifting it
    to them.

    Part of why Canada can do without nukes is that a Canadian is in command
    of NORAD 50% of the time.

    --
    I've done good in this world. Now I'm tired and just want to be a cranky
    dirty old man.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Dimensional Traveler@21:1/5 to James Nicoll on Tue Feb 6 08:51:59 2024
    On 2/6/2024 6:53 AM, James Nicoll wrote:
    In article <eev3si9pet0n8tecluu7jf4tg6ftv5rome@4ax.com>,
    The Horny Goat <lcraver@home.ca> wrote:
    On Sun, 4 Feb 2024 00:05:24 -0000 (UTC), Mike Van Pelt
    <usenet@mikevanpelt.com> wrote:

    In article <upeb3l$1m4ku$1@dont-email.me>,
    Lynn McGuire <lynnmcguire5@gmail.com> wrote:
    I will be posting a Steven Gould review today. All of his books are
    excellent even though he is a Global Warming XXXXXX XXXXXX Climate
    Change XXXXXX XXXXXX Climate Disruption warrior. So is John Scalzi, so >>>> is John Varley, another excellent author.

    What are these people's position on nuclear power?

    My touchstone remains the same: Anyone who is opposed to
    nuclear power *does not really care* about CO2/climate-whatever.
    They have another agenda entirely.

    (I've been advocating phasing out coal in favor of nuclear
    for going on 50 years.)

    Jerry Pournelle was also constantly rantng about nuclear power in his
    BYTE magazine columns 20 years ago.

    I regret to inform you Byte ceased publication a quarter century ago.

    Just proves how determined and dedicated Pournelle was.

    --
    I've done good in this world. Now I'm tired and just want to be a cranky
    dirty old man.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From D@21:1/5 to Scott Lurndal on Tue Feb 6 19:44:16 2024
    On Mon, 5 Feb 2024, Scott Lurndal wrote:

    Paul S Person <psperson@old.netcom.invalid> writes:
    On Mon, 5 Feb 2024 13:41:35 +0100, D <nospam@example.net> wrote:



    On Mon, 5 Feb 2024, Robert Carnegie wrote:

    On 04/02/2024 00:05, Mike Van Pelt wrote:
    In article <upeb3l$1m4ku$1@dont-email.me>,
    Lynn McGuire <lynnmcguire5@gmail.com> wrote:
    I will be posting a Steven Gould review today. All of his books are >>>>>> excellent even though he is a Global Warming XXXXXX XXXXXX Climate >>>>>> Change XXXXXX XXXXXX Climate Disruption warrior. So is John Scalzi,=
    so
    is John Varley, another excellent author.
    =20
    What are these people's position on nuclear power?
    =20
    My touchstone remains the same: Anyone who is opposed to
    nuclear power *does not really care* about CO2/climate-whatever.
    They have another agenda entirely.
    =20
    (I've been advocating phasing out coal in favor of nuclear
    for going on 50 years.)

    Nuclear power can be done well, but traditionally
    it's been a figleaf for the nuclear weapons
    programme, and a source of covered-up everlasting
    deadly pollution. So I use the stuff, but
    I look at it sceptically.

    I was raised on science fiction in which future
    men had to protect their posterity by wearing
    lead-lined underwear to block radiation
    when they visited Earth from space, and that
    is saying something. I suppose it also would
    apply to women, if there were any in the stories.

    I think SMR:s are a great step in the right direction! I don't think any= >> =20
    of the designs are currently in production, but I am looking forward to = >> it=20
    and I am hopeful that I will see one in production within the next 5 =
    years=20
    or so.

    And how long have they been only 5 years away?

    Which is not to say it might happen ... this time.

    Not very likely:

    https://www.utilitydive.com/news/nuscale-uamps-project-small-modular-reactor-ramanasmr-/705717/


    What a shame, but thank you very much for the link. There are others
    though:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/BWRX-300

    and

    https://www.knxt.se/studsvik

    Will be very exciting to see if any of those potential projects will
    actually initiate something or if they will remain frozen in feasibility studies for another couple of years or so.

    This is another favourite: https://www.blykalla.com/.

    Best regards,
    Daniel

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Scott Lurndal@21:1/5 to Paul S Person on Tue Feb 6 19:24:24 2024
    Paul S Person <psperson@old.netcom.invalid> writes:
    On Mon, 5 Feb 2024 17:12:14 -0500, Cryptoengineer
    <petertrei@gmail.com> wrote:

    On 2/5/2024 1:21 PM, Scott Lurndal wrote:
    Paul S Person <psperson@old.netcom.invalid> writes:
    On Sun, 4 Feb 2024 10:40:16 -0800, Dimensional Traveler
    <dtravel@sonic.net> wrote:


    Except many of the "deniers" are deniers because they _want_=3D20
    hydrocarbons. To keep their jobs, their profits, their "history" = >or=3D20
    just because they can't handle being told about better ways of = >doing=3D20
    something. "Change is EVIL!"

    And here is a word for them:

    plastic
    =20
    chemical feedstocks in general.
    =20
    But 90% of the deniers profit comes from the stuff that's burned.

    =93It is difficult to get a man to understand something, when his
    salary depends on his not understanding it.=94 - Upton Sinclair

    It may take awhile, but if we keep burning fossil fuels, the price
    paid for them to make plastic (OK, chemical feedstocks in general)
    will rise to the point that they /do/ make more that way, and not
    burning them will suddenly make sense to them.

    By that time, the damage will be irreversable, if it isn't already.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Scott Lurndal@21:1/5 to nospam@example.net on Tue Feb 6 19:34:21 2024
    D <nospam@example.net> writes:


    On Mon, 5 Feb 2024, Scott Lurndal wrote:

    Paul S Person <psperson@old.netcom.invalid> writes:
    On Mon, 5 Feb 2024 13:41:35 +0100, D <nospam@example.net> wrote:



    On Mon, 5 Feb 2024, Robert Carnegie wrote:

    On 04/02/2024 00:05, Mike Van Pelt wrote:
    In article <upeb3l$1m4ku$1@dont-email.me>,
    Lynn McGuire <lynnmcguire5@gmail.com> wrote:
    I will be posting a Steven Gould review today. All of his books are >>>>>>> excellent even though he is a Global Warming XXXXXX XXXXXX Climate >>>>>>> Change XXXXXX XXXXXX Climate Disruption warrior. So is John Scalzi,= >>> so
    is John Varley, another excellent author.
    =20
    What are these people's position on nuclear power?
    =20
    My touchstone remains the same: Anyone who is opposed to
    nuclear power *does not really care* about CO2/climate-whatever.
    They have another agenda entirely.
    =20
    (I've been advocating phasing out coal in favor of nuclear
    for going on 50 years.)

    Nuclear power can be done well, but traditionally
    it's been a figleaf for the nuclear weapons
    programme, and a source of covered-up everlasting
    deadly pollution. So I use the stuff, but
    I look at it sceptically.

    I was raised on science fiction in which future
    men had to protect their posterity by wearing
    lead-lined underwear to block radiation
    when they visited Earth from space, and that
    is saying something. I suppose it also would
    apply to women, if there were any in the stories.

    I think SMR:s are a great step in the right direction! I don't think any= >>> =20
    of the designs are currently in production, but I am looking forward to = >>> it=20
    and I am hopeful that I will see one in production within the next 5 =
    years=20
    or so.

    And how long have they been only 5 years away?

    Which is not to say it might happen ... this time.

    Not very likely:

    https://www.utilitydive.com/news/nuscale-uamps-project-small-modular-reactor-ramanasmr-/705717/


    What a shame, but thank you very much for the link. There are others
    though:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/BWRX-300

    and

    https://www.knxt.se/studsvik

    Will be very exciting to see if any of those potential projects will
    actually initiate something or if they will remain frozen in feasibility >studies for another couple of years or so.

    This is another favourite: https://www.blykalla.com/.

    As much as I favor it, nuclear fission electricity production will
    always be niche, perhaps a significant portion of the baseload
    production, but nowhere near enough to displace CH4 and Coal.

    Given the 90-year known fissionable uranium supply, one might be
    confident that it's a viable alternative to fossil fuels. Until
    one realizes that 90-year estimate is for the existing fleet of
    reactors (many of which are nearing end-of-life, but that's a separate discussion). To expand nuclear to displace fossil fuels for power
    production would require in the vicinity of 20 or 30 thousand new
    reactors, where that 90-year supply quickly disappears in just a
    few years. (not to mention the costs of building 20k 1GW reactors,
    look at vogtle for how much a current build costs - it was 17$billion
    over budget!).

    So, Thorium is abundant in the crust, you say. Sure, but there aren't
    any thorium reactors in operation (aside a research reactor here and there
    from the 1960s).

    Then you might note that there is massive amounts of U in seawater, but,
    of course it is highly dilute - what is the cost of 'mining' it in quantities sufficient to provide fuel for 20,000 1GW reactors?

    Conservation is the most viable path to reducing fuel requirements,
    but that doesn't help much if the world population doubles every
    70 years. Exponential growth is bad.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Scott Lurndal@21:1/5 to Cryptoengineer on Tue Feb 6 23:19:52 2024
    Cryptoengineer <petertrei@gmail.com> writes:
    On 2/6/2024 2:34 PM, Scott Lurndal wrote:
    D <nospam@example.net> writes:


    On Mon, 5 Feb 2024, Scott Lurndal wrote:

    Paul S Person <psperson@old.netcom.invalid> writes:
    On Mon, 5 Feb 2024 13:41:35 +0100, D <nospam@example.net> wrote:



    On Mon, 5 Feb 2024, Robert Carnegie wrote:

    On 04/02/2024 00:05, Mike Van Pelt wrote:
    In article <upeb3l$1m4ku$1@dont-email.me>,
    Lynn McGuire <lynnmcguire5@gmail.com> wrote:
    I will be posting a Steven Gould review today. All of his books are >>>>>>>>> excellent even though he is a Global Warming XXXXXX XXXXXX Climate >>>>>>>>> Change XXXXXX XXXXXX Climate Disruption warrior. So is John Scalzi,= >>>>> so
    is John Varley, another excellent author.
    =20
    What are these people's position on nuclear power?
    =20
    My touchstone remains the same: Anyone who is opposed to
    nuclear power *does not really care* about CO2/climate-whatever. >>>>>>>> They have another agenda entirely.
    =20
    (I've been advocating phasing out coal in favor of nuclear
    for going on 50 years.)

    Nuclear power can be done well, but traditionally
    it's been a figleaf for the nuclear weapons
    programme, and a source of covered-up everlasting
    deadly pollution. So I use the stuff, but
    I look at it sceptically.

    I was raised on science fiction in which future
    men had to protect their posterity by wearing
    lead-lined underwear to block radiation
    when they visited Earth from space, and that
    is saying something. I suppose it also would
    apply to women, if there were any in the stories.

    I think SMR:s are a great step in the right direction! I don't think any=
    =20
    of the designs are currently in production, but I am looking forward to =
    it=20
    and I am hopeful that I will see one in production within the next 5 = >>>>> years=20
    or so.

    And how long have they been only 5 years away?

    Which is not to say it might happen ... this time.

    Not very likely:

    https://www.utilitydive.com/news/nuscale-uamps-project-small-modular-reactor-ramanasmr-/705717/


    What a shame, but thank you very much for the link. There are others
    though:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/BWRX-300

    and

    https://www.knxt.se/studsvik

    Will be very exciting to see if any of those potential projects will
    actually initiate something or if they will remain frozen in feasibility >>> studies for another couple of years or so.

    This is another favourite: https://www.blykalla.com/.

    As much as I favor it, nuclear fission electricity production will
    always be niche, perhaps a significant portion of the baseload
    production, but nowhere near enough to displace CH4 and Coal.

    You're aware that France already generates nearly 3/4 of its
    electricity with nukes? To me, that's quite a bit of 'displacement'.

    pt


    Yes. I'm also aware that they have a population of 67 million,
    which on a planet with almost eight billion humans is almost in the noise.

    Consider that the planet has a global usage rate of 18TW (per Murphy, see below)

    France has 56 reactors producing 61 GW.

    That is less than 1% (.3%) of the global total if my math is right.

    On a global scale that is definitely in the noise.

    Scaling it up to displace the full 18TW (we can adjust
    downward somewhat if we remove hydro and renewables and
    just consider coal and CH4). So, let's say we need
    10 TW (assuming 8TW of renewables/hydro) supplied
    by fission reactors.

    That's 10,000 1GW reactors. Leaving aside the cost
    (Vogle 3 was $15 billion _over_), there's not enough
    known reserves of U to run that size fleet for more
    than a few weeks (assuming standard low-enriched U235).

    Using breeders reactors will extend that time period,
    but it's not clear how long.

    Completely ignoring waste disposal here, but that must also
    factor into the solution.

    Thorium? Who knows. There aren't any working power producing
    reactors yet (although India is developing one), and I wouldn't
    expect any substantial power production from such for a couple
    of decades.

    Use it, sure. Don't expect it to supplant fossil fuels.

    Full discussion here, see chapter 15.

    -Energy and Human Ambitions on a Finite Planet-
    Professor Tom Murphy, UCSD

    https://escholarship.org/uc/item/9js5291m#etoc@tocid.16

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From The Horny Goat@21:1/5 to dtravel@sonic.net on Tue Feb 6 23:25:24 2024
    On Tue, 6 Feb 2024 08:51:01 -0800, Dimensional Traveler
    <dtravel@sonic.net> wrote:

    Part of why Canada can do without nukes is that a Canadian is in command
    of NORAD 50% of the time.

    Is it really 50% of the time? I know a Canadian was in command on 9/11
    and was greatly praised by Dubya for his fast action in closing US
    skies after the first collision with one of the Twin Towers

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From D@21:1/5 to Scott Lurndal on Wed Feb 7 11:39:43 2024
    On Tue, 6 Feb 2024, Scott Lurndal wrote:

    D <nospam@example.net> writes:


    On Mon, 5 Feb 2024, Scott Lurndal wrote:

    Paul S Person <psperson@old.netcom.invalid> writes:
    On Mon, 5 Feb 2024 13:41:35 +0100, D <nospam@example.net> wrote:



    On Mon, 5 Feb 2024, Robert Carnegie wrote:

    On 04/02/2024 00:05, Mike Van Pelt wrote:
    In article <upeb3l$1m4ku$1@dont-email.me>,
    Lynn McGuire <lynnmcguire5@gmail.com> wrote:
    I will be posting a Steven Gould review today. All of his books are >>>>>>>> excellent even though he is a Global Warming XXXXXX XXXXXX Climate >>>>>>>> Change XXXXXX XXXXXX Climate Disruption warrior. So is John Scalzi,= >>>> so
    is John Varley, another excellent author.
    =20
    What are these people's position on nuclear power?
    =20
    My touchstone remains the same: Anyone who is opposed to
    nuclear power *does not really care* about CO2/climate-whatever. >>>>>>> They have another agenda entirely.
    =20
    (I've been advocating phasing out coal in favor of nuclear
    for going on 50 years.)

    Nuclear power can be done well, but traditionally
    it's been a figleaf for the nuclear weapons
    programme, and a source of covered-up everlasting
    deadly pollution. So I use the stuff, but
    I look at it sceptically.

    I was raised on science fiction in which future
    men had to protect their posterity by wearing
    lead-lined underwear to block radiation
    when they visited Earth from space, and that
    is saying something. I suppose it also would
    apply to women, if there were any in the stories.

    I think SMR:s are a great step in the right direction! I don't think any= >>>> =20
    of the designs are currently in production, but I am looking forward to = >>>> it=20
    and I am hopeful that I will see one in production within the next 5 = >>>> years=20
    or so.

    And how long have they been only 5 years away?

    Which is not to say it might happen ... this time.

    Not very likely:

    https://www.utilitydive.com/news/nuscale-uamps-project-small-modular-reactor-ramanasmr-/705717/


    What a shame, but thank you very much for the link. There are others
    though:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/BWRX-300

    and

    https://www.knxt.se/studsvik

    Will be very exciting to see if any of those potential projects will
    actually initiate something or if they will remain frozen in feasibility
    studies for another couple of years or so.

    This is another favourite: https://www.blykalla.com/.

    As much as I favor it, nuclear fission electricity production will
    always be niche, perhaps a significant portion of the baseload
    production, but nowhere near enough to displace CH4 and Coal.

    Given the 90-year known fissionable uranium supply, one might be
    confident that it's a viable alternative to fossil fuels. Until
    one realizes that 90-year estimate is for the existing fleet of
    reactors (many of which are nearing end-of-life, but that's a separate discussion). To expand nuclear to displace fossil fuels for power
    production would require in the vicinity of 20 or 30 thousand new
    reactors, where that 90-year supply quickly disappears in just a
    few years. (not to mention the costs of building 20k 1GW reactors,
    look at vogtle for how much a current build costs - it was 17$billion
    over budget!).

    So, Thorium is abundant in the crust, you say. Sure, but there aren't
    any thorium reactors in operation (aside a research reactor here and there from the 1960s).

    Then you might note that there is massive amounts of U in seawater, but,
    of course it is highly dilute - what is the cost of 'mining' it in quantities sufficient to provide fuel for 20,000 1GW reactors?

    Conservation is the most viable path to reducing fuel requirements,
    but that doesn't help much if the world population doubles every
    70 years. Exponential growth is bad.


    Taking a brief look there seems to be plenty of predictions... one cherry picked by me from here (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Uranium_mining#Optimistic_predictions) is:

    "The OECD estimates that with the world nuclear electricity generating
    rates of 2002, with LWR, once-through fuel cycle, there are enough
    conventional resources to last 85 years using known resources and 270
    years using known and as yet undiscovered resources. With breeders, this
    is extended to 8,500 years.[187]"

    Let's assume the lower estimate of 85 years, that's _plenty_ to either go
    for Thorium or build more efficient reactor which can reuse old uranium.

    We also must keep in mind that endless "peak oil" predictions that always
    fail.

    If the market judges that new uranium shall be mined, they will.

    So nuclear is the only sustainable way forward, especially coupled with increase research efforts.

    Best regards,
    Daniel

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Scott Lurndal@21:1/5 to Robert Carnegie on Wed Feb 7 15:57:12 2024
    Robert Carnegie <rja.carnegie@gmail.com> writes:
    On 06/02/2024 19:34, Scott Lurndal wrote:
    As much as I favor it, nuclear fission electricity production will
    always be niche, perhaps a significant portion of the baseload
    production, but nowhere near enough to displace CH4 and Coal.

    Given the 90-year known fissionable uranium supply, one might be
    confident that it's a viable alternative to fossil fuels. Until
    one realizes that 90-year estimate is for the existing fleet of
    reactors (many of which are nearing end-of-life, but that's a separate
    discussion). To expand nuclear to displace fossil fuels for power
    production would require in the vicinity of 20 or 30 thousand new
    reactors, where that 90-year supply quickly disappears in just a
    few years. (not to mention the costs of building 20k 1GW reactors,
    look at vogtle for how much a current build costs - it was 17$billion
    over budget!).

    Is this perhaps in the same way that "known"
    oil reserves in the 1970s were drained dry
    some time before the present day?

    No. And without fracking, the prediction from the
    70's would pretty accurate. Fracking just delays the
    inevitiable.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Scott Lurndal@21:1/5 to Lynn McGuire on Wed Feb 7 15:56:04 2024
    Lynn McGuire <lynnmcguire5@gmail.com> writes:
    On 2/6/2024 10:48 AM, Paul S Person wrote:

    As I've noted before, the simplest way to get something done is to
    show a 1%-er how he can make money doing it. He has both the means and
    the motivation.

    Plastics are made from natural gas and sea water. We have an unlimited >amount of each in the USA.

    "unlimited" is hyperbole.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Scott Lurndal@21:1/5 to nospam@example.net on Wed Feb 7 16:08:15 2024
    D <nospam@example.net> writes:


    On Tue, 6 Feb 2024, Scott Lurndal wrote:

    D <nospam@example.net> writes:

    As much as I favor it, nuclear fission electricity production will
    always be niche, perhaps a significant portion of the baseload
    production, but nowhere near enough to displace CH4 and Coal.

    Given the 90-year known fissionable uranium supply, one might be
    confident that it's a viable alternative to fossil fuels. Until
    one realizes that 90-year estimate is for the existing fleet of
    reactors (many of which are nearing end-of-life, but that's a separate
    discussion). To expand nuclear to displace fossil fuels for power
    production would require in the vicinity of 20 or 30 thousand new
    reactors, where that 90-year supply quickly disappears in just a
    few years. (not to mention the costs of building 20k 1GW reactors,
    look at vogtle for how much a current build costs - it was 17$billion
    over budget!).

    So, Thorium is abundant in the crust, you say. Sure, but there aren't
    any thorium reactors in operation (aside a research reactor here and there >> from the 1960s).

    Then you might note that there is massive amounts of U in seawater, but,
    of course it is highly dilute - what is the cost of 'mining' it in quantities
    sufficient to provide fuel for 20,000 1GW reactors?

    Conservation is the most viable path to reducing fuel requirements,
    but that doesn't help much if the world population doubles every
    70 years. Exponential growth is bad.


    Taking a brief look there seems to be plenty of predictions... one cherry >picked by me from here >(https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Uranium_mining#Optimistic_predictions) is:

    "The OECD estimates that with the world nuclear electricity generating
    rates of 2002, with LWR, once-through fuel cycle, there are enough >conventional resources to last 85 years using known resources

    That 85 years assumes the current reactor fleet of 440 reactors.

    Add 10,000 more and what happens to that 85 year 'estimate'?


    and 270
    years using known and as yet undiscovered resources.

    Undiscovered. Wishful thinking is not a path to energy sufficiency.



    Let's assume the lower estimate of 85 years, that's _plenty_ to either go
    for Thorium or build more efficient reactor which can reuse old uranium.

    Again, that 85 years assumes the current fleet size. What do we do in
    the mean time? Assuming past population growth rates, in that 85 years
    the worlds population would double to 15 billion or so (not necesarily
    a valid assumption as resource conflicts will likely lead to further
    wars, thus reducing population and the concommittant energy consumption).



    We also must keep in mind that endless "peak oil" predictions that always >fail.

    Actually, we hit peak oil a few years ago.


    https://www.macrotrends.net/2562/us-crude-oil-production-historical-chart

    And that's thanks to fracking, which just extends the end-date by a
    decade or two.

    And the abiogenic theories of crude formation are bullshit.

    If the market judges that new uranium shall be mined, they will.

    Where will they find the uranium? And at what cost?


    So nuclear is the only sustainable way forward, especially coupled with >increase research efforts.

    No, a mix of sources (wind, solar, pumped storage, nuclear, hydro) all
    working together will provide energy security. No single source will.

    But there limits to all of them, solar included.

    You really must read Dr Murphy's textbook, "Energy and Human ambitions
    on a finite Planet". https://escholarship.org/uc/energy_ambitions

    It's very accessible and the first chapter is a good, laymans introduction
    to the physical and chemical concepts involved in energy production.

    It discusses all potential sources of energy, their advantages and their limitations. From a physics standpoint.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Dimensional Traveler@21:1/5 to The Horny Goat on Wed Feb 7 08:10:17 2024
    On 2/6/2024 11:25 PM, The Horny Goat wrote:
    On Tue, 6 Feb 2024 08:51:01 -0800, Dimensional Traveler
    <dtravel@sonic.net> wrote:

    Part of why Canada can do without nukes is that a Canadian is in command
    of NORAD 50% of the time.

    Is it really 50% of the time? I know a Canadian was in command on 9/11
    and was greatly praised by Dubya for his fast action in closing US
    skies after the first collision with one of the Twin Towers

    It has been some years since I checked and when I did the information I remember finding was that the NORAD CO rotates between an American and a Canadian every year. BUT checking again just now that was apparently
    wrong. The CO is always an American and the Deputy CO is always a
    Canadian. My apologies for the error.

    --
    I've done good in this world. Now I'm tired and just want to be a cranky
    dirty old man.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Dimensional Traveler@21:1/5 to Scott Lurndal on Wed Feb 7 11:21:29 2024
    On 2/7/2024 8:08 AM, Scott Lurndal wrote:
    D <nospam@example.net> writes:


    On Tue, 6 Feb 2024, Scott Lurndal wrote:

    D <nospam@example.net> writes:

    As much as I favor it, nuclear fission electricity production will
    always be niche, perhaps a significant portion of the baseload
    production, but nowhere near enough to displace CH4 and Coal.

    Given the 90-year known fissionable uranium supply, one might be
    confident that it's a viable alternative to fossil fuels. Until
    one realizes that 90-year estimate is for the existing fleet of
    reactors (many of which are nearing end-of-life, but that's a separate
    discussion). To expand nuclear to displace fossil fuels for power
    production would require in the vicinity of 20 or 30 thousand new
    reactors, where that 90-year supply quickly disappears in just a
    few years. (not to mention the costs of building 20k 1GW reactors,
    look at vogtle for how much a current build costs - it was 17$billion
    over budget!).

    So, Thorium is abundant in the crust, you say. Sure, but there aren't
    any thorium reactors in operation (aside a research reactor here and there >>> from the 1960s).

    Then you might note that there is massive amounts of U in seawater, but, >>> of course it is highly dilute - what is the cost of 'mining' it in quantities
    sufficient to provide fuel for 20,000 1GW reactors?

    Conservation is the most viable path to reducing fuel requirements,
    but that doesn't help much if the world population doubles every
    70 years. Exponential growth is bad.


    Taking a brief look there seems to be plenty of predictions... one cherry
    picked by me from here
    (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Uranium_mining#Optimistic_predictions) is:

    "The OECD estimates that with the world nuclear electricity generating
    rates of 2002, with LWR, once-through fuel cycle, there are enough
    conventional resources to last 85 years using known resources

    That 85 years assumes the current reactor fleet of 440 reactors.

    Add 10,000 more and what happens to that 85 year 'estimate'?


    and 270
    years using known and as yet undiscovered resources.

    Undiscovered. Wishful thinking is not a path to energy sufficiency.



    Let's assume the lower estimate of 85 years, that's _plenty_ to either go
    for Thorium or build more efficient reactor which can reuse old uranium.

    Again, that 85 years assumes the current fleet size. What do we do in
    the mean time? Assuming past population growth rates, in that 85 years
    the worlds population would double to 15 billion or so (not necesarily
    a valid assumption as resource conflicts will likely lead to further
    wars, thus reducing population and the concommittant energy consumption).

    You are apparently unaware that many parts of the planet are
    experiencing population crashes and birth rates have been declining
    world-wide for many years now.

    --
    I've done good in this world. Now I'm tired and just want to be a cranky
    dirty old man.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Scott Lurndal@21:1/5 to Dimensional Traveler on Wed Feb 7 20:40:18 2024
    Dimensional Traveler <dtravel@sonic.net> writes:
    On 2/7/2024 8:08 AM, Scott Lurndal wrote:
    D <nospam@example.net> writes:


    On Tue, 6 Feb 2024, Scott Lurndal wrote:

    D <nospam@example.net> writes:

    As much as I favor it, nuclear fission electricity production will
    always be niche, perhaps a significant portion of the baseload
    production, but nowhere near enough to displace CH4 and Coal.

    Given the 90-year known fissionable uranium supply, one might be
    confident that it's a viable alternative to fossil fuels. Until
    one realizes that 90-year estimate is for the existing fleet of
    reactors (many of which are nearing end-of-life, but that's a separate >>>> discussion). To expand nuclear to displace fossil fuels for power
    production would require in the vicinity of 20 or 30 thousand new
    reactors, where that 90-year supply quickly disappears in just a
    few years. (not to mention the costs of building 20k 1GW reactors,
    look at vogtle for how much a current build costs - it was 17$billion
    over budget!).

    So, Thorium is abundant in the crust, you say. Sure, but there aren't >>>> any thorium reactors in operation (aside a research reactor here and there >>>> from the 1960s).

    Then you might note that there is massive amounts of U in seawater, but, >>>> of course it is highly dilute - what is the cost of 'mining' it in quantities
    sufficient to provide fuel for 20,000 1GW reactors?

    Conservation is the most viable path to reducing fuel requirements,
    but that doesn't help much if the world population doubles every
    70 years. Exponential growth is bad.


    Taking a brief look there seems to be plenty of predictions... one cherry >>> picked by me from here
    (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Uranium_mining#Optimistic_predictions) is: >>>
    "The OECD estimates that with the world nuclear electricity generating
    rates of 2002, with LWR, once-through fuel cycle, there are enough
    conventional resources to last 85 years using known resources

    That 85 years assumes the current reactor fleet of 440 reactors.

    Add 10,000 more and what happens to that 85 year 'estimate'?


    and 270
    years using known and as yet undiscovered resources.

    Undiscovered. Wishful thinking is not a path to energy sufficiency.



    Let's assume the lower estimate of 85 years, that's _plenty_ to either go >>> for Thorium or build more efficient reactor which can reuse old uranium.

    Again, that 85 years assumes the current fleet size. What do we do in
    the mean time? Assuming past population growth rates, in that 85 years
    the worlds population would double to 15 billion or so (not necesarily
    a valid assumption as resource conflicts will likely lead to further
    wars, thus reducing population and the concommittant energy consumption).

    You are apparently unaware that many parts of the planet are
    experiencing population crashes and birth rates have been declining >world-wide for many years now.

    Yet the population keeps increasing. And the major econonomic
    systems are all based on continual growth, which relies on growth
    in energy consumption.

    Yes, "15 billion" is a stretch, but somewhere between 8 and 15 before
    growth stops isn't unlikely, absent war.

    Then, if all 8 billion current residents using as much energy per
    capita as the United States, that would significantly increase the
    planetary energy consumption beyond the current 18TW.

    Regardless, it doesn't appear nuclear fission power production
    can supply more than a fraction of planetary energy consumption
    absent wishful thinking.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Scott Lurndal@21:1/5 to Lynn McGuire on Wed Feb 7 20:44:25 2024
    Lynn McGuire <lynnmcguire5@gmail.com> writes:
    On 2/7/2024 9:56 AM, Scott Lurndal wrote:
    Lynn McGuire <lynnmcguire5@gmail.com> writes:
    On 2/6/2024 10:48 AM, Paul S Person wrote:

    As I've noted before, the simplest way to get something done is to
    show a 1%-er how he can make money doing it. He has both the means and >>>> the motivation.

    Plastics are made from natural gas and sea water. We have an unlimited
    amount of each in the USA.

    "unlimited" is hyperbole.

    Not in this case. We have 200 years of proven reserves of natural gas
    in the USA.

    Cite? Economically recoverable? At what environmental cost?

    We have over 1,000 years of unproven reserves of natural gas in the US

    Cite? At what recovery cost and what annual usage rate? And who
    has provided the 'estimate'? EIA or industry?

    The only problem is adding pipelines, treating
    facilities, and compressors to get the natural gas to markets. The
    wonders of fracking.

    Ah, which goes back to cost.

    And of course, the inevitable massive leakage that your industry
    cannot seem to contain - Texas being amongst the larger emitters.

    Of course, you seem to be of the minority opinion that atmospheric
    CH4 and CO2 emissions from combustion aren't a problem and don't
    affect global temperatures.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Dimensional Traveler@21:1/5 to Lynn McGuire on Wed Feb 7 13:28:37 2024
    On 2/7/2024 1:17 PM, Lynn McGuire wrote:
    On 2/7/2024 2:44 PM, Scott Lurndal wrote:
    Lynn McGuire <lynnmcguire5@gmail.com> writes:
    On 2/7/2024 9:56 AM, Scott Lurndal wrote:
    Lynn McGuire <lynnmcguire5@gmail.com> writes:
    On 2/6/2024 10:48 AM, Paul S Person wrote:

    As I've noted before, the simplest way to get something done is to >>>>>> show a 1%-er how he can make money doing it. He has both the means >>>>>> and
    the motivation.

    Plastics are made from natural gas and sea water.  We have an
    unlimited
    amount of each in the USA.

    "unlimited" is hyperbole.

    Not in this case.  We have 200 years of proven reserves of natural gas
    in the USA.

    Cite? Economically recoverable?   At what environmental cost?

    We have over 1,000 years of unproven reserves of natural gas in the US

    Cite?  At what recovery cost and what annual usage rate?  And who
    has provided the 'estimate'? EIA or industry?

    The only problem is adding pipelines, treating
    facilities, and compressors to get the natural gas to markets.  The
    wonders of fracking.

    Ah, which goes back to cost.

    And of course, the inevitable massive leakage that your industry
    cannot seem to contain - Texas being amongst the larger emitters.

    Of course, you seem to be of the minority opinion that atmospheric
    CH4 and CO2 emissions from combustion aren't a problem and don't
    affect global temperatures.

    Do your own research and prove to me that I am wrong.  Just remember one thing, I work in crude oil and natural gas daily from the long term
    planning viewpoint.

    First on your list should be to figure the difference between proven
    reserves and unproven reserves.  Those are legal terms and mean a big
    deal to Exxon, Shell, and many others.

    There is a (sometimes very big) difference between "legal terms" and "scientific terms".

    --
    I've done good in this world. Now I'm tired and just want to be a cranky
    dirty old man.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Scott Dorsey@21:1/5 to dtravel@sonic.net on Wed Feb 7 21:27:50 2024
    Dimensional Traveler <dtravel@sonic.net> wrote:

    You are apparently unaware that many parts of the planet are
    experiencing population crashes and birth rates have been declining >world-wide for many years now.

    Except in sub-saharan Africa, yes. But the reduction in population is a
    very good thing because we could in fact consider global warming to really
    just be a consequence of overpopulation. Still, we'd need a whole lot more reduction a whole lot faster for it to help sufficiently.
    --scott
    --
    "C'est un Nagra. C'est suisse, et tres, tres precis."

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Chris Buckley@21:1/5 to Scott Lurndal on Wed Feb 7 22:28:11 2024
    On 2024-02-07, Scott Lurndal <scott@slp53.sl.home> wrote:
    D <nospam@example.net> writes:


    On Tue, 6 Feb 2024, Scott Lurndal wrote:

    D <nospam@example.net> writes:

    As much as I favor it, nuclear fission electricity production will
    always be niche, perhaps a significant portion of the baseload
    production, but nowhere near enough to displace CH4 and Coal.

    Given the 90-year known fissionable uranium supply, one might be
    confident that it's a viable alternative to fossil fuels. Until
    one realizes that 90-year estimate is for the existing fleet of
    reactors (many of which are nearing end-of-life, but that's a separate
    discussion). To expand nuclear to displace fossil fuels for power
    production would require in the vicinity of 20 or 30 thousand new
    reactors, where that 90-year supply quickly disappears in just a
    few years. (not to mention the costs of building 20k 1GW reactors,
    look at vogtle for how much a current build costs - it was 17$billion
    over budget!).

    So, Thorium is abundant in the crust, you say. Sure, but there aren't
    any thorium reactors in operation (aside a research reactor here and there >>> from the 1960s).

    Then you might note that there is massive amounts of U in seawater, but, >>> of course it is highly dilute - what is the cost of 'mining' it in quantities
    sufficient to provide fuel for 20,000 1GW reactors?

    Conservation is the most viable path to reducing fuel requirements,
    but that doesn't help much if the world population doubles every
    70 years. Exponential growth is bad.


    Taking a brief look there seems to be plenty of predictions... one cherry >>picked by me from here >>(https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Uranium_mining#Optimistic_predictions) is:

    "The OECD estimates that with the world nuclear electricity generating >>rates of 2002, with LWR, once-through fuel cycle, there are enough >>conventional resources to last 85 years using known resources

    That 85 years assumes the current reactor fleet of 440 reactors.

    Add 10,000 more and what happens to that 85 year 'estimate'?


    and 270
    years using known and as yet undiscovered resources.

    Undiscovered. Wishful thinking is not a path to energy sufficiency.



    Let's assume the lower estimate of 85 years, that's _plenty_ to either go >>for Thorium or build more efficient reactor which can reuse old uranium.

    Again, that 85 years assumes the current fleet size. What do we do in
    the mean time? Assuming past population growth rates, in that 85 years
    the worlds population would double to 15 billion or so (not necesarily
    a valid assumption as resource conflicts will likely lead to further
    wars, thus reducing population and the concommittant energy consumption).



    We also must keep in mind that endless "peak oil" predictions that always >>fail.

    Actually, we hit peak oil a few years ago.


    https://www.macrotrends.net/2562/us-crude-oil-production-historical-chart

    And that's thanks to fracking, which just extends the end-date by a
    decade or two.

    And the abiogenic theories of crude formation are bullshit.

    If the market judges that new uranium shall be mined, they will.

    Where will they find the uranium? And at what cost?


    So nuclear is the only sustainable way forward, especially coupled with >>increase research efforts.

    No, a mix of sources (wind, solar, pumped storage, nuclear, hydro) all working together will provide energy security. No single source will.

    But there limits to all of them, solar included.

    You really must read Dr Murphy's textbook, "Energy and Human ambitions
    on a finite Planet". https://escholarship.org/uc/energy_ambitions

    It's very accessible and the first chapter is a good, laymans introduction
    to the physical and chemical concepts involved in energy production.

    It discusses all potential sources of energy, their advantages and their limitations. From a physics standpoint.

    Nonsense.

    You correctly castigate the 1970's doom-predicting running-out-of-oil
    articles and then make exactly the same mistakes yourself!

    Your "90 years of U (Uranium)" is 90 years of *proven reserves*, not
    global supply of U. The global supply of U is enough for many
    thousands of years. Why is predicting oil-death based upon proven oil
    reserves wrong, but it's fine to predict U-death based on proven
    reserves?

    The 70's articles tended to emphasis the exponential population growth
    ala Club of Rome. You do the the same. It certainly has an effect, but
    nowhere near the "Limits of Growth" effect that was predicted.

    The 70's articles did not take into account the effect of technology;
    you dismiss the effect also. There was a tremendous improvement in effectiveness in oil technology, even apart from fracking. Technology
    will improve as it is exercised, and nuclear technology more than most
    given it hasn't entered the large-scale commercial world yet; it's still
    mostly custom design. Breeders would undoubtedly play a much more
    important role as they get cheaper and energy gets more expensive. The
    reason they are not getting more attention now is that there is no real
    need at the moment. U is just too cheap.

    U cost is NOT currently a major factor in the cost of nuclear power.
    Nuclear power is expensive because of the capital costs not the
    operating costs. And even the operating costs are not that highly
    dependent on U costs. Doubling the cost of enriched U will increase
    the operating cost by 10-25% (compare to natural gas 70-90%). A 1000
    MWe nuclear plant uses about 27 tonnes of enriched U a year. The raw
    cost of enriched U is $40/lb, which doesn't include costs like
    fabrication but still gives an idea of cheapness of U. This is
    mentioned by Murphy (15.4.4.1) "fuel cost is not the limiting factor
    for nuclear plants" but then ignored other than to say proven
    reserves would be a bit higher (more U deposits are cost effective).

    Repeating the 70's oil arguments for uranium should convince no-one in
    today's world. Even you argue the 70's oil arguments weren't valid (the
    ones claiming we would run out based on proven reserves, not the more scientific ones estimating global supply).

    Further nuclear economic reading (obviously biased but still full of facts): https://world-nuclear.org/information-library/economic-aspects/economics-of-nuclear-power.aspx

    Chris

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Scott Lurndal@21:1/5 to Lynn McGuire on Wed Feb 7 22:55:20 2024
    Lynn McGuire <lynnmcguire5@gmail.com> writes:
    On 2/7/2024 2:40 PM, Scott Lurndal wrote:
    ...
    You are apparently unaware that many parts of the planet are
    experiencing population crashes and birth rates have been declining
    world-wide for many years now.

    Yet the population keeps increasing. And the major econonomic
    systems are all based on continual growth, which relies on growth
    in energy consumption.

    Yes, "15 billion" is a stretch, but somewhere between 8 and 15 before
    growth stops isn't unlikely, absent war.

    Then, if all 8 billion current residents using as much energy per
    capita as the United States, that would significantly increase the
    planetary energy consumption beyond the current 18TW.

    Regardless, it doesn't appear nuclear fission power production
    can supply more than a fraction of planetary energy consumption
    absent wishful thinking.

    “Keep a very careful eye on China's economy”

    https://bayourenaissanceman.blogspot.com/2024/02/keep-very-careful-eye-on-chinas-economy.html

    "The Chinese demographics are a total horror show, with Shanghai
    university recently publishing an article to the effect of "Urban birth
    rate of .5" or less, because "China." Russia is on race to the bottom
    with them. I Remember Peter Zeihan (demographer among other things)
    saying that with the current data China would be at 645 million or less
    by 2050. NOT 2100. Fastest aging society in history. With lowest birth
    rate (worse than during the Holocaust) and worse than during the Black
    death. And absolute Enron numbers on their economy. And 1 child policy,
    now 2, now 3, now Please have kids you peasants! The demographics chart
    for China looks like a lopsided mushroom cloud. CCP admitted to over 100 >million people dont exist, mostly women under 40. (The ones who have all
    the kids) over 30 million more men than women. Which is so much worse
    than it sounds."

    Wow.


    A blog entry? By an ex-pastor?

    Try again.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Scott Lurndal@21:1/5 to Chris Buckley on Wed Feb 7 23:14:07 2024
    Chris Buckley <alan@sabir.com> writes:
    On 2024-02-07, Scott Lurndal <scott@slp53.sl.home> wrote:

    Your "90 years of U (Uranium)" is 90 years of *proven reserves*, not
    global supply of U.

    Yes, that's what I said.

    The global supply of U is enough for many
    thousands of years.

    That's pure speculation. There is a shitload of U
    dispersed throughout the ocean. But at 3ppb, the cost of
    "mining" it is far more than would be economically feasible.


    ? Why is predicting oil-death based upon proven oil
    reserves wrong, but it's fine to predict U-death based on proven
    reserves?

    You are conflating me with Lynn - I never anything about proving
    oil-death either way.


    The 70's articles tended to emphasis the exponential population growth
    ala Club of Rome. You do the the same. It certainly has an effect, but >nowhere near the "Limits of Growth" effect that was predicted.

    I understand exponential growth. The recommended inflation rate
    of circa 2.8% is exponential, with about a 70 year doubling period, for example.


    The 70's articles did not take into account the effect of technology;
    you dismiss the effect also.

    I don't know who you're talking to here. I certainly take that into
    account - in all respects from energy efficiency to energy production.

    Clearly fracking, for example, has extended the usefulness of a lot
    of played out oilfields. But, the output curves for fracking wells
    are significantly shorter than regular production wells.

    Fracking is a temporary blip in the exploitation of a fundamentally
    limited resource. Technology can't create energy from nothing
    (absent Stargate zed-pee-emms)



    U cost is NOT currently a major factor in the cost of nuclear power.
    Nuclear power is expensive because of the capital costs not the

    Indeed. Look at Vogtle #3, which just came on line, or Vogtle #4.

    That's for two 1GB reactors. Do the math. Who's gonna bankroll
    additional nuclear plants using the current state of the art
    technology?

    Don't get me wrong - I believe nuclear fission power production
    will always play a role in energy production. It cannot, however
    ever produce enough to replace current a future fossil sources
    by itself. I never wrote otherwise.

    operating costs. And even the operating costs are not that highly
    dependent on U costs. Doubling the cost of enriched U will increase

    You are basing all this on the assumption that there are 1000 years
    of U reserves (yes, 2.8ppb throughout the crust).

    "Total world resources of uranium, as with any other mineral
    or metal, are not known exactly. The only meaningful measure
    of long-term security of supply is the known reserves in the
    ground capable of being mined."


    The chart shows 8 million tons assured and inferred resources as
    of 2017. Of which 3 million have already been mined. Each reactor
    requires 67,500 tonnes per year.

    https://world-nuclear.org/information-library/nuclear-fuel-cycle/uranium-resources/supply-of-uranium.aspx

    They note the 90 year supply (for a four-hundred reactor fleet).

    They go on to add

    " Further exploration and higher prices will certainly, on the
    basis of present geological knowledge, yield further resources
    as present ones are used up."


    Repeating the 70's oil arguments for uranium should convince no-one in >today's world.

    I just posted the facts. You're posting speculation. I'll be happy
    to see more economically discoverable Uranium on the market - I've been
    a shareholder in CCJ for more than a decade. I just would not make
    any plans that _count_ on it for survival.

    I'll just note that fracking is like squeezing the last drops from
    a sponge. Eventually, the sponge is dry.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Mike Van Pelt@21:1/5 to Scott Lurndal on Wed Feb 7 23:42:02 2024
    In article <1RvwN.58394$24ld.10093@fx07.iad>,
    Scott Lurndal <slp53@pacbell.net> wrote:
    Then you might note that there is massive amounts of U in seawater, but,
    of course it is highly dilute - what is the cost of 'mining' it in quantities >sufficient to provide fuel for 20,000 1GW reactors?

    According to a paper I read back in the early 80s, Japan
    demonstrated sometime about 1979 an ion exchange process
    that could extract uranium from seawater at a cost of about
    $750/pound in 1979 dollars. Expensive, yes, but given the
    energy content of uranium...


    --
    Mike Van Pelt | "I don't advise it unless you're nuts."
    mvp at calweb.com | -- Ray Wilkinson, after riding out Hurricane
    KE6BVH | Ike on Surfside Beach in Galveston

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Mike Van Pelt@21:1/5 to nospam@example.net on Wed Feb 7 23:33:48 2024
    In article <467a464c-e30e-897e-982c-b841d618f410@example.net>,
    D <nospam@example.net> wrote:
    On Sun, 4 Feb 2024, Mike Van Pelt wrote:
    What are these people's position on nuclear power?

    My touchstone remains the same: Anyone who is opposed to
    nuclear power *does not really care* about CO2/climate-whatever.
    They have another agenda entirely.

    I think nuclear power is one of those healing technologies where >environmental "hysterics" and environmental "deniers" can happily agree.
    The deniers get clean, reliable and cheap (if you de-politicize the >technology to lower the cost and use modern SMR:s) energy, and the
    hysterics get less CO2.

    Everyone wins!

    Assuming, of course, that the "environmental hysterics"
    really care about the environment, and aren't just using
    it as a ploy for an entirely other agenda.

    And also assuming, of course, that the other side isn't
    just a shill for the fossil fuel industries.

    --
    Mike Van Pelt | "I don't advise it unless you're nuts."
    mvp at calweb.com | -- Ray Wilkinson, after riding out Hurricane
    KE6BVH | Ike on Surfside Beach in Galveston

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Scott Lurndal@21:1/5 to Mike Van Pelt on Thu Feb 8 02:00:51 2024
    Mike Van Pelt <usenet@mikevanpelt.com> writes:
    In article <1RvwN.58394$24ld.10093@fx07.iad>,
    Scott Lurndal <slp53@pacbell.net> wrote:
    Then you might note that there is massive amounts of U in seawater, but,
    of course it is highly dilute - what is the cost of 'mining' it in quantities >>sufficient to provide fuel for 20,000 1GW reactors?

    According to a paper I read back in the early 80s, Japan
    demonstrated sometime about 1979 an ion exchange process
    that could extract uranium from seawater at a cost of about
    $750/pound in 1979 dollars. Expensive, yes, but given the
    energy content of uranium...

    Note that is for non fissile Uranium. Only 0.72% of that
    is fissile 235U.

    So don't forget the enrichment costs.


    From Energy and Human Ambitions on a Finite Planet:

    First, we take 0.72 % of the 7.6 million tons available to
    represent the portion of uranium in the form of 235U. Enrichment (next
    section) will not separate all of the 235U, and the reactor can't burn all of
    it away before the fuel rod is essentially useless. So optimistically, we
    burn half of the mined U in the reactor. Multiplying the resulting
    27,300 tons of usable 235U by the 17 million kcal/g we derived earlier
    yields a total of 2x10^21 J. Table 15.10 puts this in context against fossil fuel
    proven reserves from page 127. We see from this that proven uranium
    reserves give us only 20% as much energy as our proven oil reserves,
    and about 5% of our total remaining fossil fuel supply. If we tried to get
    all 18 TW from this uranium supply, it would last less than 4 years! This
    does not sound like a salvation.

    He then goes on to a discussion about breeder reactors, which can burn
    the 238U without the expensive (and hazardous) enrichment processes
    required to concentrate 235U. (238U + N = 239U. 23 minutes later, 239U - B = 239Np,
    2.4 days later, 239Np - B = 239Pu).

    The downsides of course are proliferation risks.

    And something needs to be done about the waste situation, particularly
    if the fleet is to be expanded substantially.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Mike Van Pelt@21:1/5 to Scott Lurndal on Thu Feb 8 02:52:34 2024
    In article <nBWwN.270326$Ama9.40917@fx12.iad>,
    Scott Lurndal <slp53@pacbell.net> wrote:
    And something needs to be done about the waste situation, particularly
    if the fleet is to be expanded substantially.

    Existing solutions to the waste issue need to be implemented
    in spite of the omni-obstructionism of the people who don't
    want any nuclear power at all, and are using the waste issue
    they are blocking any solution for as a scare point.

    We should reprocess, not throw away valuable fuel.

    Transuranics (the long-lived stuff) can in principle be burned
    up by putting them in new fuel rods. They'll alternately absorb
    neutrons and decay until they hit a fissionable isotope, and
    enter the fission product problem set. This is especially true
    of everybody's favorite scare item, plutonium.

    Fission products are the super-hot stuff, and they are
    relatively short-lived. In a few hundred years, there is less
    total radioactivity in the fission products than there was in
    the ore that was mined to make the fuel that created that part
    of the waste.
    --
    Mike Van Pelt | "I don't advise it unless you're nuts."
    mvp at calweb.com | -- Ray Wilkinson, after riding out Hurricane
    KE6BVH | Ike on Surfside Beach in Galveston

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Chris Buckley@21:1/5 to Scott Lurndal on Thu Feb 8 06:10:28 2024
    On 2024-02-07, Scott Lurndal <scott@slp53.sl.home> wrote:
    Chris Buckley <alan@sabir.com> writes:
    On 2024-02-07, Scott Lurndal <scott@slp53.sl.home> wrote:

    Your "90 years of U (Uranium)" is 90 years of *proven reserves*, not
    global supply of U.

    Yes, that's what I said.

    The global supply of U is enough for many
    thousands of years.

    That's pure speculation. There is a shitload of U
    dispersed throughout the ocean. But at 3ppb, the cost of
    "mining" it is far more than would be economically feasible.

    The uranium is out there. That is NOT "pure speculation". Yes, I
    agree it is not currently economic to get at the uranium in the ocean.
    The current cost is 10 times the cost of mined uranium or lower; do
    you claim that that cost won't go down?


    ? Why is predicting oil-death based upon proven oil
    reserves wrong, but it's fine to predict U-death based on proven
    reserves?

    You are conflating me with Lynn - I never anything about proving
    oil-death either way.

    But you did state that the 1970's oil estimates were accurate. I
    mistakenly gave you credit for understanding that the
    total-oil-out-there estimates of scientists were the important
    estimates, and those have indeed not changed much. However, the
    known-reserves estimates that were used by the doomsayers back then were
    quite inaccurate. Even the estimates of the mid-70s that had risen to
    500-600 million barrels were badly off. We've already consumed about
    twice that and the current remaining known-reserves are about three
    times that now.


    The 70's articles tended to emphasis the exponential population growth
    ala Club of Rome. You do the the same. It certainly has an effect, but >>nowhere near the "Limits of Growth" effect that was predicted.

    I understand exponential growth. The recommended inflation rate
    of circa 2.8% is exponential, with about a 70 year doubling period, for example.


    The 70's articles did not take into account the effect of technology;
    you dismiss the effect also.

    I don't know who you're talking to here. I certainly take that into
    account - in all respects from energy efficiency to energy production. Clearly fracking, for example, has extended the usefulness of a lot
    of played out oilfields. But, the output curves for fracking wells
    are significantly shorter than regular production wells.

    Fracking is a temporary blip in the exploitation of a fundamentally
    limited resource. Technology can't create energy from nothing
    (absent Stargate zed-pee-emms)



    U cost is NOT currently a major factor in the cost of nuclear power. >>Nuclear power is expensive because of the capital costs not the

    Indeed. Look at Vogtle #3, which just came on line, or Vogtle #4.

    That's for two 1GB reactors. Do the math. Who's gonna bankroll
    additional nuclear plants using the current state of the art
    technology?

    Don't get me wrong - I believe nuclear fission power production
    will always play a role in energy production. It cannot, however
    ever produce enough to replace current a future fossil sources
    by itself. I never wrote otherwise.

    But you haven't proven that at all.

    operating costs. And even the operating costs are not that highly >>dependent on U costs. Doubling the cost of enriched U will increase

    You are basing all this on the assumption that there are 1000 years
    of U reserves (yes, 2.8ppb throughout the crust).

    Note you're off by a factor of 1000 here (ppm not ppb), not that it
    changes much. The uranium exists; seawater by itself is many times more
    than 1000 years.

    "Total world resources of uranium, as with any other mineral
    or metal, are not known exactly. The only meaningful measure
    of long-term security of supply is the known reserves in the
    ground capable of being mined."


    The chart shows 8 million tons assured and inferred resources as
    of 2017. Of which 3 million have already been mined. Each reactor
    requires 67,500 tonnes per year.

    https://world-nuclear.org/information-library/nuclear-fuel-cycle/uranium-resources/supply-of-uranium.aspx

    They note the 90 year supply (for a four-hundred reactor fleet).

    They go on to add

    " Further exploration and higher prices will certainly, on the
    basis of present geological knowledge, yield further resources
    as present ones are used up."

    They also say that 90 years is a higher level of assurance than is
    available for most minerals. They then say that some folks view the
    supply of uranium as the Achilles heel of nuclear power but then they
    go on at great length to say why this is wrong and lacks "empirical
    support".

    Why on earth would anybody spend large sums of money to find new
    reserves of uranium when we have a 90 year supply already? The lead
    time on building nuclear plants is so large that there will be decades
    before that 90 year supply is significantly affected even with massive
    growth of nuclear power.

    The cost of uranium is a small part of the cost of a nuclear plant.
    The capital costs are enormous and the other operating costs are more
    than the uranium. The cost of uranium can easily rise by a factor of
    5-10 before it really affects the economics, assuming that the capital
    costs can be substantially diminished with the massive adaptation you
    have been talking about.


    Repeating the 70's oil arguments for uranium should convince no-one in >>today's world.

    I just posted the facts. You're posting speculation. I'll be happy
    to see more economically discoverable Uranium on the market - I've been
    a shareholder in CCJ for more than a decade. I just would not make
    any plans that _count_ on it for survival.
    I'll just note that fracking is like squeezing the last drops from
    a sponge. Eventually, the sponge is dry.

    Exactly what "speculation" of mine do you disagree with? That
    1. There is a lot of uranium out there?
    2. That the costs of technology like seawater extraction will go down?
    3. That the costs of uranium are a small part of the cost of a nuclear
    plant and have room to rise substantially if the capital costs go down?
    4. That there will be much greater reserves discovered when it is
    financially worth-while looking for more?

    There are reasonable arguments against nuclear power, eg capital costs,
    waste management, danger. But availability of uranium is not a major
    danger at all.

    Chris

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Scott Dorsey@21:1/5 to usenet@mikevanpelt.com on Thu Feb 8 13:52:51 2024
    Mike Van Pelt <usenet@mikevanpelt.com> wrote:

    Transuranics (the long-lived stuff) can in principle be burned
    up by putting them in new fuel rods. They'll alternately absorb
    neutrons and decay until they hit a fissionable isotope, and
    enter the fission product problem set. This is especially true
    of everybody's favorite scare item, plutonium.

    From a technical standpoint this makes perfect sense. The problem is
    that those transuranics are greatly desired by people who want to make
    bombs. You don't need a lot of security to transport reactor-grade
    uranium rods because nobody sane really wants to steal them. But stuff containing even relatively small amounts of plutonium have to be kept
    under pretty tight security because the difficulty of refining it to make
    a bomb is not anywhere near as great.

    Fission products are the super-hot stuff, and they are
    relatively short-lived. In a few hundred years, there is less
    total radioactivity in the fission products than there was in
    the ore that was mined to make the fuel that created that part
    of the waste.

    I'm not worried about radioactivity so much. There's plenty of it
    out there already. I mean, I would like to eliminate it because I have
    a freezer full of film that is being slowly degraded by cosmic radiation already. But a little terrestrial radiation does not disturb me.

    Proliferation of nuclear weapons disturbs me. I have enough trouble
    with Google as it is... I don't want them to have a bomb...
    --scott
    --
    "C'est un Nagra. C'est suisse, et tres, tres precis."

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From James Nicoll@21:1/5 to Scott Dorsey on Thu Feb 8 14:36:23 2024
    In article <uq2nm8$7hs$1@panix2.panix.com>,
    Scott Dorsey <kludge@panix.com> wrote:
    Scott Lurndal <slp53@pacbell.net> wrote:
    And of course, the inevitable massive leakage that your industry
    cannot seem to contain - Texas being amongst the larger emitters.

    This is the real problem with fracking, the fact that so much gas is
    wasted and released into the air instead of being recovered. For
    the oil companies this is a waste of money, for local residents
    it is a safety hazard, and for all of us it is a big contributor
    to global warming. Methane is much worse per unit volume than CO2
    release.

    But this is a technical issue that likely can be solved. The problem
    is that the companies currently making money from the fracking process
    don't really have any incentive to solve it.

    It's a self-limiting problem, though. Once climate change begins
    to significantly affect agriculture, the human population should
    decline and with it demand. In the long run, no more serious than
    the effects of the Siberian traps.
    --
    My reviews can be found at http://jamesdavisnicoll.com/
    My tor pieces at https://www.tor.com/author/james-davis-nicoll/
    My Dreamwidth at https://james-davis-nicoll.dreamwidth.org/
    My patreon is at https://www.patreon.com/jamesdnicoll

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Scott Dorsey@21:1/5 to Scott Lurndal on Thu Feb 8 14:15:36 2024
    Scott Lurndal <slp53@pacbell.net> wrote:
    And of course, the inevitable massive leakage that your industry
    cannot seem to contain - Texas being amongst the larger emitters.

    This is the real problem with fracking, the fact that so much gas is
    wasted and released into the air instead of being recovered. For
    the oil companies this is a waste of money, for local residents
    it is a safety hazard, and for all of us it is a big contributor
    to global warming. Methane is much worse per unit volume than CO2
    release.

    But this is a technical issue that likely can be solved. The problem
    is that the companies currently making money from the fracking process
    don't really have any incentive to solve it.
    --scott
    --
    "C'est un Nagra. C'est suisse, et tres, tres precis."

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Jaimie Vandenbergh@21:1/5 to All on Thu Feb 8 15:18:19 2024
    On 8 Feb 2024 at 14:15:36 GMT, "Scott Dorsey" <Scott Dorsey> wrote:

    Scott Lurndal <slp53@pacbell.net> wrote:
    And of course, the inevitable massive leakage that your industry
    cannot seem to contain - Texas being amongst the larger emitters.

    This is the real problem with fracking, the fact that so much gas is
    wasted and released into the air instead of being recovered. For
    the oil companies this is a waste of money, for local residents
    it is a safety hazard, and for all of us it is a big contributor
    to global warming. Methane is much worse per unit volume than CO2
    release.

    But this is a technical issue that likely can be solved. The problem
    is that the companies currently making money from the fracking process
    don't really have any incentive to solve it.
    --scott

    The problem is that they're making money from it by externalising a vast
    amount of their costs to, well, everyone else. Charge them a true rate
    for environmental cleanup and suddenly the problem is solved.

    Cheers - Jaimie
    --
    I hope I live long enough
    to vindicate my pessimism
    -- http://www.boasas.com/?c=1108

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From James Nicoll@21:1/5 to jaimie@usually.sessile.org on Thu Feb 8 15:27:22 2024
    In article <l2k9lrFo4a6U1@mid.individual.net>,
    Jaimie Vandenbergh <jaimie@usually.sessile.org> wrote:

    The problem is that they're making money from it by externalising a vast >amount of their costs to, well, everyone else. Charge them a true rate
    for environmental cleanup and suddenly the problem is solved.

    One of the more horrifying shows I've House Managed was a scientist
    from Alberta explaining how oil companies in Alberta manage to
    circumvent laws about how wells are supposed to be dealt with once
    they are no longer commercially viable.
    --
    My reviews can be found at http://jamesdavisnicoll.com/
    My tor pieces at https://www.tor.com/author/james-davis-nicoll/
    My Dreamwidth at https://james-davis-nicoll.dreamwidth.org/
    My patreon is at https://www.patreon.com/jamesdnicoll

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From Scott Lurndal@21:1/5 to Chris Buckley on Thu Feb 8 15:57:07 2024
    Chris Buckley <alan@sabir.com> writes:
    On 2024-02-07, Scott Lurndal <scott@slp53.sl.home> wrote:
    Chris Buckley <alan@sabir.com> writes:
    On 2024-02-07, Scott Lurndal <scott@slp53.sl.home> wrote:

    Your "90 years of U (Uranium)" is 90 years of *proven reserves*, not >>>global supply of U.

    Yes, that's what I said.

    The global supply of U is enough for many
    thousands of years.

    That's pure speculation. There is a shitload of U
    dispersed throughout the ocean. But at 3ppb, the cost of
    "mining" it is far more than would be economically feasible.

    The uranium is out there. That is NOT "pure speculation". Yes, I
    agree it is not currently economic to get at the uranium in the ocean.
    The current cost is 10 times the cost of mined uranium or lower; do
    you claim that that cost won't go down?


    ? Why is predicting oil-death based upon proven oil
    reserves wrong, but it's fine to predict U-death based on proven >>>reserves?

    You are conflating me with Lynn - I never anything about proving
    oil-death either way.

    But you did state that the 1970's oil estimates were accurate.

    No, I did not. I never addressed 1970's oil estimates at all.

    I was discussing Uranium, not oil.



    You are basing all this on the assumption that there are 1000 years
    of U reserves (yes, 2.8ppb throughout the crust).

    Note you're off by a factor of 1000 here (ppm not ppb),

    Yes. Typo.

    not that it
    changes much.

    Indeed.

    The uranium exists; seawater by itself is many times more
    than 1000 years.

    Assuming it can be economnically mined. and subsequently enriched.


    They also say that 90 years is a higher level of assurance than is
    available for most minerals. They then say that some folks view the
    supply of uranium as the Achilles heel of nuclear power but then they
    go on at great length to say why this is wrong and lacks "empirical
    support".

    Why on earth would anybody spend large sums of money to find new
    reserves of uranium when we have a 90 year supply already?

    Because the topic was replacing fossil fuels with U before they
    run out. Do try to keep up.


    The cost of uranium is a small part of the cost of a nuclear plant.

    As I noted previously.


    Exactly what "speculation" of mine do you disagree with? That
    1. There is a lot of uranium out there?

    I quibble about economic extraction in useful quantities.

    2. That the costs of technology like seawater extraction will go down?

    Maybe, but I consider it unlikely to matter in this context.

    3. That the costs of uranium are a small part of the cost of a nuclear
    plant and have room to rise substantially if the capital costs go down?

    I didn't address this one way or the other. The cost of the physical
    plant is irrelevent if you don't have fissile 235U (absent breeders).

    Looking at the costs for Vogtle units 3 and 4, I'm not sanguine
    about the changes for future builds.

    4. That there will be much greater reserves discovered when it is
    financially worth-while looking for more?

    Wishful thinking, if you qualify it with 'economically retrieveable'.

    I'd be happy to be proven wrong. I'm not sanguine about the probability thereof.

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  • From D@21:1/5 to Dimensional Traveler on Thu Feb 8 17:40:56 2024
    On Wed, 7 Feb 2024, Dimensional Traveler wrote:

    On 2/7/2024 8:08 AM, Scott Lurndal wrote:
    D <nospam@example.net> writes:


    On Tue, 6 Feb 2024, Scott Lurndal wrote:

    D <nospam@example.net> writes:

    As much as I favor it, nuclear fission electricity production will
    always be niche, perhaps a significant portion of the baseload
    production, but nowhere near enough to displace CH4 and Coal.

    Given the 90-year known fissionable uranium supply, one might be
    confident that it's a viable alternative to fossil fuels. Until
    one realizes that 90-year estimate is for the existing fleet of
    reactors (many of which are nearing end-of-life, but that's a separate >>>> discussion). To expand nuclear to displace fossil fuels for power
    production would require in the vicinity of 20 or 30 thousand new
    reactors, where that 90-year supply quickly disappears in just a
    few years. (not to mention the costs of building 20k 1GW reactors,
    look at vogtle for how much a current build costs - it was 17$billion
    over budget!).

    So, Thorium is abundant in the crust, you say. Sure, but there aren't >>>> any thorium reactors in operation (aside a research reactor here and
    there
    from the 1960s).

    Then you might note that there is massive amounts of U in seawater, but, >>>> of course it is highly dilute - what is the cost of 'mining' it in
    quantities
    sufficient to provide fuel for 20,000 1GW reactors?

    Conservation is the most viable path to reducing fuel requirements,
    but that doesn't help much if the world population doubles every
    70 years. Exponential growth is bad.


    Taking a brief look there seems to be plenty of predictions... one cherry >>> picked by me from here
    (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Uranium_mining#Optimistic_predictions) is: >>>
    "The OECD estimates that with the world nuclear electricity generating
    rates of 2002, with LWR, once-through fuel cycle, there are enough
    conventional resources to last 85 years using known resources

    That 85 years assumes the current reactor fleet of 440 reactors.

    Add 10,000 more and what happens to that 85 year 'estimate'?


    and 270
    years using known and as yet undiscovered resources.

    Undiscovered. Wishful thinking is not a path to energy sufficiency.



    Let's assume the lower estimate of 85 years, that's _plenty_ to either go >>> for Thorium or build more efficient reactor which can reuse old uranium.

    Again, that 85 years assumes the current fleet size. What do we do in
    the mean time? Assuming past population growth rates, in that 85 years
    the worlds population would double to 15 billion or so (not necesarily
    a valid assumption as resource conflicts will likely lead to further
    wars, thus reducing population and the concommittant energy consumption).

    You are apparently unaware that many parts of the planet are experiencing population crashes and birth rates have been declining world-wide for many years now.

    Let me add the anecdote that Hans Rosling of gapminder fame (in the EU
    atleast, doubt anyone in US has heard about him) has theorized that the population of earth will reach an equilibrium at around 12 billion.

    That would have implications on the argument above.

    Best regards,
    Daniel

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  • From D@21:1/5 to Lynn McGuire on Thu Feb 8 17:44:54 2024
    On Wed, 7 Feb 2024, Lynn McGuire wrote:

    On 2/7/2024 2:44 PM, Scott Lurndal wrote:
    Lynn McGuire <lynnmcguire5@gmail.com> writes:
    On 2/7/2024 9:56 AM, Scott Lurndal wrote:
    Lynn McGuire <lynnmcguire5@gmail.com> writes:
    On 2/6/2024 10:48 AM, Paul S Person wrote:

    As I've noted before, the simplest way to get something done is to >>>>>> show a 1%-er how he can make money doing it. He has both the means and >>>>>> the motivation.

    Plastics are made from natural gas and sea water. We have an unlimited >>>>> amount of each in the USA.

    "unlimited" is hyperbole.

    Not in this case. We have 200 years of proven reserves of natural gas
    in the USA.

    Cite? Economically recoverable? At what environmental cost?

    We have over 1,000 years of unproven reserves of natural gas in the US

    Cite? At what recovery cost and what annual usage rate? And who
    has provided the 'estimate'? EIA or industry?

    The only problem is adding pipelines, treating
    facilities, and compressors to get the natural gas to markets. The
    wonders of fracking.

    Ah, which goes back to cost.

    And of course, the inevitable massive leakage that your industry
    cannot seem to contain - Texas being amongst the larger emitters.

    Of course, you seem to be of the minority opinion that atmospheric
    CH4 and CO2 emissions from combustion aren't a problem and don't
    affect global temperatures.

    Do your own research and prove to me that I am wrong. Just remember one thing, I work in crude oil and natural gas daily from the long term planning viewpoint.

    Lynn, you are a hero! How does one start to work in the oil industry? My Chevron shares have been very kind to me the last couple of years! =)

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  • From D@21:1/5 to Lynn McGuire on Thu Feb 8 17:43:06 2024
    On Wed, 7 Feb 2024, Lynn McGuire wrote:

    On 2/7/2024 9:57 AM, Scott Lurndal wrote:
    Robert Carnegie <rja.carnegie@gmail.com> writes:
    On 06/02/2024 19:34, Scott Lurndal wrote:
    As much as I favor it, nuclear fission electricity production will
    always be niche, perhaps a significant portion of the baseload
    production, but nowhere near enough to displace CH4 and Coal.

    Given the 90-year known fissionable uranium supply, one might be
    confident that it's a viable alternative to fossil fuels. Until
    one realizes that 90-year estimate is for the existing fleet of
    reactors (many of which are nearing end-of-life, but that's a separate >>>> discussion). To expand nuclear to displace fossil fuels for power
    production would require in the vicinity of 20 or 30 thousand new
    reactors, where that 90-year supply quickly disappears in just a
    few years. (not to mention the costs of building 20k 1GW reactors,
    look at vogtle for how much a current build costs - it was 17$billion
    over budget!).

    Is this perhaps in the same way that "known"
    oil reserves in the 1970s were drained dry
    some time before the present day?

    No. And without fracking, the prediction from the
    70's would pretty accurate. Fracking just delays the
    inevitiable.

    Always with the negative thoughts ! You and the other Peak Oilers are continuously predicting the running out of natural resources on the planet.
    I believe in the continuous ability of mankind to figure out how to make more of what we need.

    In my lifetime, the estimate of Peak Oil has moved from 1972 to 2052. I wonder what it will be next decade.
    https://infinity-renewables.com/162-2/

    Lynn


    This summarizes my position as well. You are a very intelligent woman
    Lynn! =)

    Best regards,
    Daniel

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  • From D@21:1/5 to Scott Lurndal on Thu Feb 8 17:39:33 2024
    On Wed, 7 Feb 2024, Scott Lurndal wrote:

    Taking a brief look there seems to be plenty of predictions... one cherry
    picked by me from here
    (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Uranium_mining#Optimistic_predictions) is:

    "The OECD estimates that with the world nuclear electricity generating
    rates of 2002, with LWR, once-through fuel cycle, there are enough
    conventional resources to last 85 years using known resources

    I don't think we will progress. I will make a few brief notes where I
    agree with you and where we disagree.

    years using known and as yet undiscovered resources.

    Undiscovered. Wishful thinking is not a path to energy sufficiency.


    Undiscovered is not wishful thinking. As economics change new areas and
    ways will become profitable to exploit. This has happend with oil and
    will happen with any material that is traded on a free market.

    Let's assume the lower estimate of 85 years, that's _plenty_ to either go
    for Thorium or build more efficient reactor which can reuse old uranium.

    Again, that 85 years assumes the current fleet size. What do we do in
    the mean time? Assuming past population growth rates, in that 85 years
    the worlds population would double to 15 billion or so (not necesarily
    a valid assumption as resource conflicts will likely lead to further
    wars, thus reducing population and the concommittant energy consumption).

    85 year is not set in stone. New deposits will be discovered and we can
    reuse uranium which is now in storage. No need to panic.

    We also must keep in mind that endless "peak oil" predictions that always
    fail.

    Actually, we hit peak oil a few years ago.


    https://www.macrotrends.net/2562/us-crude-oil-production-historical-chart

    And that's thanks to fracking, which just extends the end-date by a
    decade or two.

    Incorrect. Remove all taxes, regulations and watch oil use explode. US
    crude oil production has nothing to do with peak oil. New deposites, technologies will be found and you admit fracking which proves my point.

    If the market judges that new uranium shall be mined, they will.

    Where will they find the uranium? And at what cost?

    That's for the markets and innovators and consumers to decide. Remove
    all regulations and tax penalties on nuclear and watch the price drop.
    The reason current nuclear is so expensive is political and not
    technical.

    So nuclear is the only sustainable way forward, especially coupled with
    increase research efforts.

    No, a mix of sources (wind, solar, pumped storage, nuclear, hydro) all working together will provide energy security. No single source will.

    Aha! Here I agree. I believe nuclear could solve everything, but, that
    does not mean I am against any other source that can survive on a free
    market without political subsidies.

    But there limits to all of them, solar included.

    Assuming we're not talking about mining asteroid belts and tapping other
    suns, but limit ourselves to the planet, everything has a limit. I agree
    given this assumption.

    You really must read Dr Murphy's textbook, "Energy and Human ambitions
    on a finite Planet". https://escholarship.org/uc/energy_ambitions

    It's very accessible and the first chapter is a good, laymans introduction
    to the physical and chemical concepts involved in energy production.

    Thank you. I will make a note of it, but I won't promise to read it
    tonight.

    It discusses all potential sources of energy, their advantages and their limitations. From a physics standpoint.

    Best regards,
    Daniel

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  • From Jay E. Morris@21:1/5 to All on Thu Feb 8 11:09:22 2024
    On 2/8/2024 10:43 AM, D wrote:


    On Wed, 7 Feb 2024, Lynn McGuire wrote:

    On 2/7/2024 9:57 AM, Scott Lurndal wrote:
    Robert Carnegie <rja.carnegie@gmail.com> writes:
    On 06/02/2024 19:34, Scott Lurndal wrote:
    As much as I favor it, nuclear fission electricity production will
    always be niche, perhaps a significant portion of the baseload
    production, but nowhere near enough to displace CH4 and Coal.

    Given the 90-year known fissionable uranium supply, one might be
    confident that it's a viable alternative to fossil fuels.   Until
    one realizes that 90-year estimate is for the existing fleet of
    reactors (many of which are nearing end-of-life, but that's a separate >>>>> discussion).  To expand nuclear to displace fossil fuels for power
    production would require in the vicinity of 20 or 30 thousand new
    reactors, where that 90-year supply quickly disappears in just a
    few years. (not to mention the costs of building 20k 1GW reactors,
    look at vogtle for how much a current build costs - it was 17$billion >>>>> over budget!).

    Is this perhaps in the same way that "known"
    oil reserves in the 1970s were drained dry
    some time before the present day?

    No.    And without fracking, the prediction from the
    70's would pretty accurate.   Fracking just delays the
    inevitiable.

    Always with the negative thoughts !  You and the other Peak Oilers are
    continuously predicting the running out of natural resources on the
    planet. I believe in the continuous ability of mankind to figure out
    how to make more of what we need.

    In my lifetime, the estimate of Peak Oil has moved from 1972 to 2052.
    I wonder what it will be next decade.
      https://infinity-renewables.com/162-2/

    Lynn


    This summarizes my position as well. You are a very intelligent woman
    Lynn! =)

    Best regards,
    Daniel


    There really needs to be a gender identifying version of Lynn, such as Frances/Francis.

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  • From Scott Lurndal@21:1/5 to nospam@example.net on Thu Feb 8 17:12:59 2024
    D <nospam@example.net> writes:


    On Wed, 7 Feb 2024, Dimensional Traveler wrote:


    Again, that 85 years assumes the current fleet size. What do we do in
    the mean time? Assuming past population growth rates, in that 85 years >>> the worlds population would double to 15 billion or so (not necesarily
    a valid assumption as resource conflicts will likely lead to further
    wars, thus reducing population and the concommittant energy consumption). >>>
    You are apparently unaware that many parts of the planet are experiencing
    population crashes and birth rates have been declining world-wide for many >> years now.

    Let me add the anecdote that Hans Rosling of gapminder fame (in the EU >atleast, doubt anyone in US has heard about him) has theorized that the >population of earth will reach an equilibrium at around 12 billion.

    That's an increase of 50% from today. With a corresponding increase
    in global energy consumption. Good luck with that. The horseman
    will likely ride first, if they haven't already started....

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  • From Scott Lurndal@21:1/5 to nospam@example.net on Thu Feb 8 17:14:20 2024
    D <nospam@example.net> writes:


    On Wed, 7 Feb 2024, Lynn McGuire wrote:

    On 2/7/2024 9:57 AM, Scott Lurndal wrote:
    Robert Carnegie <rja.carnegie@gmail.com> writes:
    On 06/02/2024 19:34, Scott Lurndal wrote:
    As much as I favor it, nuclear fission electricity production will
    always be niche, perhaps a significant portion of the baseload
    production, but nowhere near enough to displace CH4 and Coal.

    Given the 90-year known fissionable uranium supply, one might be
    confident that it's a viable alternative to fossil fuels. Until
    one realizes that 90-year estimate is for the existing fleet of
    reactors (many of which are nearing end-of-life, but that's a separate >>>>> discussion). To expand nuclear to displace fossil fuels for power
    production would require in the vicinity of 20 or 30 thousand new
    reactors, where that 90-year supply quickly disappears in just a
    few years. (not to mention the costs of building 20k 1GW reactors,
    look at vogtle for how much a current build costs - it was 17$billion >>>>> over budget!).

    Is this perhaps in the same way that "known"
    oil reserves in the 1970s were drained dry
    some time before the present day?

    No. And without fracking, the prediction from the
    70's would pretty accurate. Fracking just delays the
    inevitiable.

    Always with the negative thoughts ! You and the other Peak Oilers are
    continuously predicting the running out of natural resources on the planet. >> I believe in the continuous ability of mankind to figure out how to make more
    of what we need.

    In my lifetime, the estimate of Peak Oil has moved from 1972 to 2052. I
    wonder what it will be next decade.
    https://infinity-renewables.com/162-2/

    Lynn


    This summarizes my position as well. You are a very intelligent woman
    Lynn! =)

    He may not appreciate that remark.

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  • From Chris Buckley@21:1/5 to nospam@example.net on Thu Feb 8 19:54:55 2024
    On 2024-02-08, D <nospam@example.net> wrote:
    On Wed, 7 Feb 2024, Scott Lurndal wrote:

    You really must read Dr Murphy's textbook, "Energy and Human ambitions
    on a finite Planet". https://escholarship.org/uc/energy_ambitions

    It's very accessible and the first chapter is a good, laymans introduction >> to the physical and chemical concepts involved in energy production.

    Thank you. I will make a note of it, but I won't promise to read it
    tonight.

    It's not clear it's worth it. Murphy is a doom predictor of the same ilk
    as the Club of Rome in the 60s or the oil doom-sayers of the 70s.

    From a review in the American Journal of Physics. https://pubs.aip.org/aapt/ajp/article/89/9/897/593796/Energy-and-Human-Ambitions-on-a-Finite-Planet
    The book's structural awkwardness may be a side effect of the
    author's main agenda: convincing the reader that humanity's future
    is in great peril. On the spectrum that runs from technological
    optimists to Malthusian pessimists, Murphy lies near the
    Malthusian extreme.
    ...
    He advises his readers to learn to grow their own food, choose a
    career that doesn't depend too much on technology, take up
    backpacking as a way to “toughen up” for a “less cushy” lifestyle,
    and consider the “toll on our planet” of choosing to have
    children.

    Murphy ignores evidence and arguments that don't advance his central
    thesis. At least he did that in chapter 15 on nuclear fission (the
    only one I read) with his arguments on the scarcity of uranium. No
    reputable scientist in the area would now base anything on "proven
    reserves". Even in the 70s oil estimates, most scientists knew much
    better; it was just the popular press that considered proven reserves
    instead of global resource supply. See for example "Oil Forecasts,
    Past and Present" in https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/pdf/10.1260/014459802321615108

    Chris

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  • From Scott Lurndal@21:1/5 to Lynn McGuire on Thu Feb 8 22:38:27 2024
    Lynn McGuire <lynnmcguire5@gmail.com> writes:
    On 2/8/2024 12:10 AM, Chris Buckley wrote:
    On 2024-02-07, Scott Lurndal <scott@slp53.sl.home> wrote:
    Chris Buckley <alan@sabir.com> writes:
    On 2024-02-07, Scott Lurndal <scott@slp53.sl.home> wrote:



    The USA has 100+ years of proven oil reserves at 10+ million barrels per
    day. That is roughly 365,000,000,000 barrels of crude oil.

    cite? Wikipedia says 44 billion bbl. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Oil_reserves_in_the_United_States

    Worldometer states:
    "The United States has proven reserves equivalent to
    4.9 times its annual consumption. This means that, without
    imports, there would be about 5 years of oil left (at current
    consumption levels and excluding unproven reserves).

    EIA (US Energy Information Agency) concur, at 41 billion bbl.

    https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/pet_crd_pres_dcu_NUS_a.htm


    And as you say, expensive.


    The current
    USA production rate is 13+ million barrels per day at a cost of roughly >$45/bbl (Exxon). Much of those proven oil reserves will cost much more
    than $100/bbl to produce due to their remoteness.

    Lynn


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  • From Chris Buckley@21:1/5 to Scott Lurndal on Thu Feb 8 22:24:12 2024
    On 2024-02-08, Scott Lurndal <scott@slp53.sl.home> wrote:
    Chris Buckley <alan@sabir.com> writes:
    On 2024-02-07, Scott Lurndal <scott@slp53.sl.home> wrote:
    Chris Buckley <alan@sabir.com> writes:
    On 2024-02-07, Scott Lurndal <scott@slp53.sl.home> wrote:

    Your "90 years of U (Uranium)" is 90 years of *proven reserves*, not >>>>global supply of U.

    Yes, that's what I said.

    The global supply of U is enough for many
    thousands of years.

    That's pure speculation. There is a shitload of U
    dispersed throughout the ocean. But at 3ppb, the cost of
    "mining" it is far more than would be economically feasible.

    The uranium is out there. That is NOT "pure speculation". Yes, I
    agree it is not currently economic to get at the uranium in the ocean.
    The current cost is 10 times the cost of mined uranium or lower; do
    you claim that that cost won't go down?


    ? Why is predicting oil-death based upon proven oil
    reserves wrong, but it's fine to predict U-death based on proven >>>>reserves?

    You are conflating me with Lynn - I never anything about proving
    oil-death either way.

    But you did state that the 1970's oil estimates were accurate.

    No, I did not. I never addressed 1970's oil estimates at all.

    I was discussing Uranium, not oil.

    Oh????

    From scott@slp53.sl.home Thu Feb 8 14:57:00 2024
    Robert Carnegie <rja.carnegie@gmail.com> writes:
    >On 06/02/2024 19:34, Scott Lurndal wrote:
    ...
    >> Given the 90-year known fissionable uranium supply, one might be
    >> confident that it's a viable alternative to fossil fuels. Until
    >> one realizes that 90-year estimate is for the existing fleet of
    >> reactors (many of which are nearing end-of-life, but that's a separate
    >> discussion). ...
    >
    >Is this perhaps in the same way that "known"
    >oil reserves in the 1970s were drained dry
    >some time before the present day?
    No. And without fracking, the prediction from the
    70's would pretty accurate. Fracking just delays the
    inevitiable.

    As I said on the part you snipped, since the 70s we've already
    consumed about twice the 70s proven reserves. Proven reserves say
    very little; few scientists in the area direcctly use those figures.


    You are basing all this on the assumption that there are 1000 years
    of U reserves (yes, 2.8ppb throughout the crust).

    Note you're off by a factor of 1000 here (ppm not ppb),

    Yes. Typo.

    not that it
    changes much.

    Indeed.

    The uranium exists; seawater by itself is many times more
    than 1000 years.

    Assuming it can be economnically mined. and subsequently enriched.

    You snipped my statements of economics of seawater extraction, presumably because you didn't want to disagree with them. Good, we agree. A 6500
    year supply of uranium in seawater seems to be the current scientific
    estimate for amounts.


    They also say that 90 years is a higher level of assurance than is >>available for most minerals. They then say that some folks view the
    supply of uranium as the Achilles heel of nuclear power but then they
    go on at great length to say why this is wrong and lacks "empirical >>support".

    Why on earth would anybody spend large sums of money to find new
    reserves of uranium when we have a 90 year supply already?

    Because the topic was replacing fossil fuels with U before they
    run out. Do try to keep up.
    How can I possibly keep up when you keep on snipping the parts of
    my responses that are relevant!

    As I said in the sentences after this that you snipped, it will take
    decades before the *first* new power plants are running. It will take
    many decades before the thousands of power plants of this scenario are
    running. The current 90 year known reserves may only last 30 years
    under aggressive building, but the precise need for new uranium will
    be known decades in advance. It is then (in plenty of time) that
    folks will be willing to commit to spending large sums of money on
    exploration and efficiency improvements.

    The cost of uranium is a small part of the cost of a nuclear plant.

    As I noted previously.

    When? see point 3 below where you deny addressing this.


    Exactly what "speculation" of mine do you disagree with? That
    1. There is a lot of uranium out there?

    I quibble about economic extraction in useful quantities.

    2. That the costs of technology like seawater extraction will go down?

    Maybe, but I consider it unlikely to matter in this context.

    As stated previously (but snipped) current seawater extraction is about
    10 times more expensive than mining.

    3. That the costs of uranium are a small part of the cost of a nuclear
    plant and have room to rise substantially if the capital costs go down?

    I didn't address this one way or the other. The cost of the physical
    plant is irrelevent if you don't have fissile 235U (absent breeders).

    Let's look at economics. There will be several sources of additional
    reserves, but let's just consider seawater extraction for now.

    Going backwards, suppose we allow the total cost of nuclear energy to
    increase increase by 10% due completely to the cost of uranium
    increasing. How much did uranium go up?

    Roughly speaking, the ratio of amortized capital costs vs operating costs
    for nuclear is about 9 to 1 (depends *strongly* on interest rates). A 10% overall increase means that operating costs doubled. According to the calculations in economic citation I gave earlier, for the best US plants
    a 10-fold increase will double the operating cost. Stating it going forwards (which I probably should have done in the first place but I'm not going
    to rewrite), if uranium prices increase by a factor of 10, overall cost per
    kWh of nuclear energy will go up by 10%.

    Thus seawater extraction of uranium is already in the ballpark of cost effectiveness if we allow the cost of nuclear power to increase by
    10%. And that assumes the capital costs of nuclear power remain
    constant. Given the massive expansion of the scenario (thousands of
    plants), the capital costs should diminish dramatically; the overall
    cost should diminish. And any improvement in seawater extraction
    efficiency (point 2 above) will definitely have a direct impact on overall cost.

    Looking at the costs for Vogtle units 3 and 4, I'm not sanguine
    about the changes for future builds.

    4. That there will be much greater reserves discovered when it is
    financially worth-while looking for more?

    Wishful thinking, if you qualify it with 'economically retrieveable'.

    I'd be happy to be proven wrong. I'm not sanguine about the probability thereof.

    I await your response to the analysis above.

    I will note that you completely ignored yet another point of mine that
    you snipped. The citation that *you* gave and are arguing from takes
    the position that the supply of uranium is not a worry at all. It directly contradicts your thesis and goes into a couple of pages of arguments
    against it. You didn't bother to mention that or give any defense against those arguments (related to my objections, but in greater depth with
    much more historical info). Why are these arguments wrong?

    Chris

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  • From Scott Lurndal@21:1/5 to Lynn McGuire on Thu Feb 8 22:40:32 2024
    Lynn McGuire <lynnmcguire5@gmail.com> writes:
    On 2/7/2024 8:00 PM, Scott Lurndal wrote:
    Mike Van Pelt <usenet@mikevanpelt.com> writes:

    And something needs to be done about the waste situation, particularly
    if the fleet is to be expanded substantially.

    Throw the unreclaimable nuclear waste into the Sun.


    Silly idea to waste it that way. In any case, it's not as
    easy as you might think to 'throw it into the sun.

    https://www.forbes.com/sites/startswithabang/2019/09/20/this-is-why-we-dont-shoot-earths-garbage-into-the-sun/?sh=6a0a1a05d63e

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  • From Jay E. Morris@21:1/5 to Lynn McGuire on Thu Feb 8 20:29:53 2024
    On 2/8/2024 2:31 PM, Lynn McGuire wrote:
    On 2/8/2024 11:14 AM, Scott Lurndal wrote:
    D <nospam@example.net> writes:


    On Wed, 7 Feb 2024, Lynn McGuire wrote:

    On 2/7/2024 9:57 AM, Scott Lurndal wrote:
    Robert Carnegie <rja.carnegie@gmail.com> writes:
    On 06/02/2024 19:34, Scott Lurndal wrote:
    As much as I favor it, nuclear fission electricity production will >>>>>>> always be niche, perhaps a significant portion of the baseload
    production, but nowhere near enough to displace CH4 and Coal.

    Given the 90-year known fissionable uranium supply, one might be >>>>>>> confident that it's a viable alternative to fossil fuels.   Until >>>>>>> one realizes that 90-year estimate is for the existing fleet of
    reactors (many of which are nearing end-of-life, but that's a
    separate
    discussion).  To expand nuclear to displace fossil fuels for power >>>>>>> production would require in the vicinity of 20 or 30 thousand new >>>>>>> reactors, where that 90-year supply quickly disappears in just a >>>>>>> few years. (not to mention the costs of building 20k 1GW reactors, >>>>>>> look at vogtle for how much a current build costs - it was
    17$billion
    over budget!).

    Is this perhaps in the same way that "known"
    oil reserves in the 1970s were drained dry
    some time before the present day?

    No.    And without fracking, the prediction from the
    70's would pretty accurate.   Fracking just delays the
    inevitiable.

    Always with the negative thoughts !  You and the other Peak Oilers are >>>> continuously predicting the running out of natural resources on the
    planet.
    I believe in the continuous ability of mankind to figure out how to
    make more
    of what we need.

    In my lifetime, the estimate of Peak Oil has moved from 1972 to
    2052.  I
    wonder what it will be next decade.
       https://infinity-renewables.com/162-2/

    Lynn


    This summarizes my position as well. You are a very intelligent woman
    Lynn! =)

    He may not appreciate that remark.

    I am used to it.  And Lynn is not my first name.

    Lynn


    Robin?

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  • From D@21:1/5 to Scott Lurndal on Fri Feb 9 11:25:05 2024
    On Thu, 8 Feb 2024, Scott Lurndal wrote:

    D <nospam@example.net> writes:


    On Wed, 7 Feb 2024, Lynn McGuire wrote:

    On 2/7/2024 9:57 AM, Scott Lurndal wrote:
    Robert Carnegie <rja.carnegie@gmail.com> writes:
    On 06/02/2024 19:34, Scott Lurndal wrote:
    As much as I favor it, nuclear fission electricity production will >>>>>> always be niche, perhaps a significant portion of the baseload
    production, but nowhere near enough to displace CH4 and Coal.

    Given the 90-year known fissionable uranium supply, one might be
    confident that it's a viable alternative to fossil fuels. Until
    one realizes that 90-year estimate is for the existing fleet of
    reactors (many of which are nearing end-of-life, but that's a separate >>>>>> discussion). To expand nuclear to displace fossil fuels for power >>>>>> production would require in the vicinity of 20 or 30 thousand new
    reactors, where that 90-year supply quickly disappears in just a
    few years. (not to mention the costs of building 20k 1GW reactors, >>>>>> look at vogtle for how much a current build costs - it was 17$billion >>>>>> over budget!).

    Is this perhaps in the same way that "known"
    oil reserves in the 1970s were drained dry
    some time before the present day?

    No. And without fracking, the prediction from the
    70's would pretty accurate. Fracking just delays the
    inevitiable.

    Always with the negative thoughts ! You and the other Peak Oilers are
    continuously predicting the running out of natural resources on the planet. >>> I believe in the continuous ability of mankind to figure out how to make more
    of what we need.

    In my lifetime, the estimate of Peak Oil has moved from 1972 to 2052. I >>> wonder what it will be next decade.
    https://infinity-renewables.com/162-2/

    Lynn


    This summarizes my position as well. You are a very intelligent woman
    Lynn! =)

    He may not appreciate that remark.

    Haha, true. That's what I get for not being a native english speaker. But
    I'm not fragile, so I think I can take the potential wrath of Lynn, alternatively, I might be lucky and the compliment might get through
    although a bit damaged. ;)

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  • From D@21:1/5 to Scott Lurndal on Fri Feb 9 11:24:03 2024
    On Thu, 8 Feb 2024, Scott Lurndal wrote:

    D <nospam@example.net> writes:


    On Wed, 7 Feb 2024, Dimensional Traveler wrote:


    Again, that 85 years assumes the current fleet size. What do we do in >>>> the mean time? Assuming past population growth rates, in that 85 years >>>> the worlds population would double to 15 billion or so (not necesarily >>>> a valid assumption as resource conflicts will likely lead to further
    wars, thus reducing population and the concommittant energy consumption). >>>>
    You are apparently unaware that many parts of the planet are experiencing >>> population crashes and birth rates have been declining world-wide for many >>> years now.

    Let me add the anecdote that Hans Rosling of gapminder fame (in the EU
    atleast, doubt anyone in US has heard about him) has theorized that the
    population of earth will reach an equilibrium at around 12 billion.

    That's an increase of 50% from today. With a corresponding increase
    in global energy consumption. Good luck with that. The horseman
    will likely ride first, if they haven't already started....

    I disagree.

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  • From D@21:1/5 to Chris Buckley on Fri Feb 9 11:30:19 2024
    This message is in MIME format. The first part should be readable text,
    while the remaining parts are likely unreadable without MIME-aware tools.

    On Thu, 8 Feb 2024, Chris Buckley wrote:

    On 2024-02-08, D <nospam@example.net> wrote:
    On Wed, 7 Feb 2024, Scott Lurndal wrote:

    You really must read Dr Murphy's textbook, "Energy and Human ambitions
    on a finite Planet". https://escholarship.org/uc/energy_ambitions

    It's very accessible and the first chapter is a good, laymans introduction >>> to the physical and chemical concepts involved in energy production.

    Thank you. I will make a note of it, but I won't promise to read it
    tonight.

    It's not clear it's worth it. Murphy is a doom predictor of the same ilk
    as the Club of Rome in the 60s or the oil doom-sayers of the 70s.

    From a review in the American Journal of Physics. https://pubs.aip.org/aapt/ajp/article/89/9/897/593796/Energy-and-Human-Ambitions-on-a-Finite-Planet
    The book's structural awkwardness may be a side effect of the
    author's main agenda: convincing the reader that humanity's future
    is in great peril. On the spectrum that runs from technological
    optimists to Malthusian pessimists, Murphy lies near the
    Malthusian extreme.
    ...
    He advises his readers to learn to grow their own food, choose a
    career that doesn't depend too much on technology, take up
    backpacking as a way to “toughen up” for a “less cushy” lifestyle,
    and consider the “toll on our planet” of choosing to have
    children.

    Murphy ignores evidence and arguments that don't advance his central
    thesis. At least he did that in chapter 15 on nuclear fission (the
    only one I read) with his arguments on the scarcity of uranium. No
    reputable scientist in the area would now base anything on "proven
    reserves". Even in the 70s oil estimates, most scientists knew much
    better; it was just the popular press that considered proven reserves
    instead of global resource supply. See for example "Oil Forecasts,
    Past and Present" in https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/pdf/10.1260/014459802321615108

    Thank you for bringing this up Chris. You saved me a lot of time. I'm a balanced fanatic believer in science and very optimistic by nature, so it
    is very difficult for me to accept doom & gloom people.

    As I stated above, I see now problem with our energy future, I do agree
    with Scott that other power generation technologies are good, since they
    can complement nuclear, but I do believe nuclear is our god and saviour in
    the near-future (0-50 years).

    I also believe nuclear will become better, safer and more efficient over
    time. Now fusion power... that's a different matter. Maybe it's at least
    10 years away? ;)

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  • From D@21:1/5 to Cryptoengineer on Fri Feb 9 11:25:56 2024
    This message is in MIME format. The first part should be readable text,
    while the remaining parts are likely unreadable without MIME-aware tools.

    On Thu, 8 Feb 2024, Cryptoengineer wrote:

    On 2/8/2024 11:40 AM, D wrote:


    On Wed, 7 Feb 2024, Dimensional Traveler wrote:

    On 2/7/2024 8:08 AM, Scott Lurndal wrote:
    D <nospam@example.net> writes:


    On Tue, 6 Feb 2024, Scott Lurndal wrote:

    D <nospam@example.net> writes:

    As much as I favor it, nuclear fission electricity production will >>>>>> always be niche, perhaps a significant portion of the baseload
    production, but nowhere near enough to displace CH4 and Coal.

    Given the 90-year known fissionable uranium supply, one might be
    confident that it's a viable alternative to fossil fuels.   Until >>>>>> one realizes that 90-year estimate is for the existing fleet of
    reactors (many of which are nearing end-of-life, but that's a separate >>>>>> discussion).  To expand nuclear to displace fossil fuels for power >>>>>> production would require in the vicinity of 20 or 30 thousand new
    reactors, where that 90-year supply quickly disappears in just a
    few years. (not to mention the costs of building 20k 1GW reactors, >>>>>> look at vogtle for how much a current build costs - it was 17$billion >>>>>> over budget!).

    So, Thorium is abundant in the crust, you say.   Sure, but there aren't
    any thorium reactors in operation (aside a research reactor here and >>>>>> there
    from the 1960s).

    Then you might note that there is massive amounts of U in seawater, >>>>>> but,
    of course it is highly dilute - what is the cost of 'mining' it in >>>>>> quantities
    sufficient to provide fuel for 20,000 1GW reactors?

    Conservation is the most viable path to reducing fuel requirements, >>>>>> but that doesn't help much if the world population doubles every
    70 years.   Exponential growth is bad.


    Taking a brief look there seems to be plenty of predictions... one
    cherry
    picked by me from here
    (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Uranium_mining#Optimistic_predictions) >>>>> is:

    "The OECD estimates that with the world nuclear electricity generating >>>>> rates of 2002, with LWR, once-through fuel cycle, there are enough
    conventional resources to last 85 years using known resources

    That 85 years assumes the current reactor fleet of 440 reactors.

    Add 10,000 more and what happens to that 85 year 'estimate'?


    and 270
    years using known and as yet undiscovered resources.

    Undiscovered.  Wishful thinking is not a path to energy sufficiency.



    Let's assume the lower estimate of 85 years, that's _plenty_ to either >>>>> go
    for Thorium or build more efficient reactor which can reuse old uranium. >>>>
    Again, that 85 years assumes the current fleet size.  What do we do in >>>> the mean time?   Assuming past population growth rates, in that 85 years >>>> the worlds population would double to 15 billion or so (not necesarily >>>> a valid assumption as resource conflicts will likely lead to further
    wars, thus reducing population and the concommittant energy consumption). >>>>
    You are apparently unaware that many parts of the planet are experiencing >>> population crashes and birth rates have been declining world-wide for many >>> years now.

    Let me add the anecdote that Hans Rosling of gapminder fame (in the EU
    atleast, doubt anyone in US has heard about him) has theorized that the
    population of earth will reach an equilibrium at around 12 billion.

    That would have implications on the argument above.

    12B is definitely at the high end of estimates.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_population#/media/File:World_Population_Prospects.svg

    the median estimate is closer to 10B, and I suspect it will be less.

    Interesting! Thank you very much for the pointer.

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  • From D@21:1/5 to Lynn McGuire on Fri Feb 9 11:32:26 2024
    This message is in MIME format. The first part should be readable text,
    while the remaining parts are likely unreadable without MIME-aware tools.

    On Thu, 8 Feb 2024, Lynn McGuire wrote:

    Do your own research and prove to me that I am wrong.  Just remember one >>> thing, I work in crude oil and natural gas daily from the long term
    planning viewpoint.

    Lynn, you are a hero! How does one start to work in the oil industry? My
    Chevron shares have been very kind to me the last couple of years! =)

    I did some free work for Chevron a couple of years ago. When I started asking for payment, they shut the project down. Turns out they were using me
    to beat on their current software supplier who could not get the job done. Typical.

    I have been working in the crude oil and natural gas business since 1975, I was 15. I was writing software for my father way back then.

    Lynn

    Wow!

    I imagine a multi-generation software shop for the oil business. That's a business I
    would like to be in! =)

    Sorry to hear about Chevron, but I've experienced the same. Just deny
    and move on (sadly).

    Best regards,
    Daniel

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  • From D@21:1/5 to Lynn McGuire on Fri Feb 9 11:35:16 2024
    On Thu, 8 Feb 2024, Lynn McGuire wrote:

    He then goes on to a discussion about breeder reactors, which can burn
    the 238U without the expensive (and hazardous) enrichment processes
    required to concentrate 235U. (238U + N = 239U. 23 minutes later, 239U - >> B = 239Np,
    2.4 days later, 239Np - B = 239Pu).

    The downsides of course are proliferation risks.

    And something needs to be done about the waste situation, particularly
    if the fleet is to be expanded substantially.

    Throw the unreclaimable nuclear waste into the Sun.

    Lynn

    I often thought about this, and of course one question that does pop up
    is...

    How would an exploding rocket full of nuclear waste affect our
    environment if it explodes within our atmosphere?

    At the risk of becoming a bit "sci fi" here, I could easily imagine
    however, if we had rail gun launch systems or even more "sci fi" space elevators, that this could become much more feasible and more safe than
    putting the stuff in a rocket and throwing it in the sun.

    Best regards,
    Daniel

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  • From D@21:1/5 to Scott Lurndal on Fri Feb 9 11:40:33 2024
    On Thu, 8 Feb 2024, Scott Lurndal wrote:

    The USA has 100+ years of proven oil reserves at 10+ million barrels per
    day. That is roughly 365,000,000,000 barrels of crude oil.

    cite? Wikipedia says 44 billion bbl. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Oil_reserves_in_the_United_States

    Worldometer states:
    "The United States has proven reserves equivalent to
    4.9 times its annual consumption. This means that, without
    imports, there would be about 5 years of oil left (at current
    consumption levels and excluding unproven reserves).

    EIA (US Energy Information Agency) concur, at 41 billion bbl.

    https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/pet_crd_pres_dcu_NUS_a.htm


    And as you say, expensive.


    The current
    USA production rate is 13+ million barrels per day at a cost of roughly
    $45/bbl (Exxon). Much of those proven oil reserves will cost much more
    than $100/bbl to produce due to their remoteness.


    Let me add this to the thread (from perplexity.ai):

    "The United States has proven reserves equivalent to about 5 years of
    oil left at current consumption levels, excluding unproven reserves and imports1 . The U.S. Energy Information Administration reported that in
    2021, U.S. proved reserves of crude oil and lease condensate increased
    to 44.4 billion barrels4 . Additionally, the U.S. Geological Survey
    estimates there are 373.1 billion barrels of technically recoverable
    reserves of crude oil in the United States."

    Source:
    https://www.eia.gov/outlooks/aeo/assumptions/pdf/oilgas.pdf
    and
    https://www.reuters.com/article/idUSL1N2Z72AC/ .

    Best regards,
    Daniel

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  • From Chris Buckley@21:1/5 to Chris Buckley on Fri Feb 9 12:02:37 2024
    On 2024-02-08, Chris Buckley <alan@sabir.com> wrote:
    Let's look at economics. There will be several sources of additional reserves, but let's just consider seawater extraction for now.

    Going backwards, suppose we allow the total cost of nuclear energy to increase increase by 10% due completely to the cost of uranium
    increasing. How much did uranium go up?

    Roughly speaking, the ratio of amortized capital costs vs operating costs
    for nuclear is about 9 to 1 (depends *strongly* on interest rates). A 10% overall increase means that operating costs doubled. According to the calculations in economic citation I gave earlier, for the best US plants
    a 10-fold increase will double the operating cost. Stating it going forwards (which I probably should have done in the first place but I'm not going
    to rewrite), if uranium prices increase by a factor of 10, overall cost per kWh of nuclear energy will go up by 10%.

    Thus seawater extraction of uranium is already in the ballpark of cost effectiveness if we allow the cost of nuclear power to increase by
    10%. And that assumes the capital costs of nuclear power remain
    constant. Given the massive expansion of the scenario (thousands of
    plants), the capital costs should diminish dramatically; the overall
    cost should diminish. And any improvement in seawater extraction
    efficiency (point 2 above) will definitely have a direct impact on overall cost.

    Correction: When doing the above calculation, I completely forgot
    about the effect of raising the price of uranium by 10 times would
    have on capital costs (due to the cost of the initial uranium). It
    would a bit more than double the capital costs. Sigh...

    So we're not quite yet in the ballpark of seawater extraction being
    economical with only a modest raise in energy price; the price would
    would have to double. But the overall point remains: there will be
    plenty of uranium out there when we need it. Energy prices are going
    to increase and the cost of seawater extraction will decrease.
    Availability of uranium is not a worry.

    Chris

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  • From Paul S Person@21:1/5 to Chris Buckley on Fri Feb 9 08:08:03 2024
    On 8 Feb 2024 22:24:12 GMT, Chris Buckley <alan@sabir.com> wrote:

    <snippo>

    How can I possibly keep up when you keep on snipping the parts of
    my responses that are relevant!

    If he didn't do /that/, he wouldn't be able to "win".
    --
    "Here lies the Tuscan poet Aretino,
    Who evil spoke of everyone but God,
    Giving as his excuse, 'I never knew him.'"

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From Scott Lurndal@21:1/5 to Chris Buckley on Fri Feb 9 16:36:26 2024
    Chris Buckley <alan@sabir.com> writes:

    So we're not quite yet in the ballpark of seawater extraction being >economical with only a modest raise in energy price; the price would
    would have to double. But the overall point remains: there will be
    plenty of uranium out there when we need it. Energy prices are going
    to increase and the cost of seawater extraction will decrease.
    Availability of uranium is not a worry.

    You are still not accounting for the enrichment costs. 99+% of
    the U extracted from seawater is non-fissile, so it needs to
    be enriched to 235U (or used in a breader).

    Nor have you addressed the costs associated with building
    nuclear plants and disposing of the concomittent waste.

    I still classify it as wishful thinking at this time.

    Given the current decade+ and $$$$$$ it takes to build a plant, I'm not
    holding my breath that there will be a substantial reactor
    fleet by 2050 (and some of the existing fleet will be decomissioned
    by then - they do have a lifetime in the 60 year range due to
    the effects of constant radiation exposure).

    As for Chris' summary of the Energy and Human Ambitions textbook,
    realize that summary isn't universally shared. Read the entire
    textbook yourself and come to a conclusion based on the physics
    and facts - don't rely on some anonymous poster to summarize it
    for you. Yes, it is not all is sunshine, but then that describes
    the real world.

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  • From Chris Buckley@21:1/5 to Scott Lurndal on Fri Feb 9 21:10:22 2024
    On 2024-02-09, Scott Lurndal <scott@slp53.sl.home> wrote:
    Chris Buckley <alan@sabir.com> writes:

    So we're not quite yet in the ballpark of seawater extraction being >>economical with only a modest raise in energy price; the price would
    would have to double. But the overall point remains: there will be
    plenty of uranium out there when we need it. Energy prices are going
    to increase and the cost of seawater extraction will decrease.
    Availability of uranium is not a worry.

    You are still not accounting for the enrichment costs. 99+% of
    the U extracted from seawater is non-fissile, so it needs to
    be enriched to 235U (or used in a breader).

    Agreed. But mined uranium is not enriched either. Please give your
    calculations showing the added costs for enriched seawater uranium
    make it economically infeasible in the future.

    Nor have you addressed the costs associated with building
    nuclear plants and disposing of the concomittent waste.

    Agreed. But that's not and never has been the topic at hand. The only
    issue here is your ridiculous claim that lack of uranium will keep nuclear fission from being an answer.

    Note that unlike you and Murphy, who envision scenarios where nuclear
    fission is required to replace *all* fossil fuels by itself (your
    multiple thousands of reactors that use up all proven resources in 4
    years), I expect the answer will be a combination of technologies with
    nuclear fission playing a very important part.

    I still classify it as wishful thinking at this time.

    Given the current decade+ and $$$$$$ it takes to build a plant, I'm not holding my breath that there will be a substantial reactor
    fleet by 2050 (and some of the existing fleet will be decomissioned
    by then - they do have a lifetime in the 60 year range due to
    the effects of constant radiation exposure).

    As for Chris' summary of the Energy and Human Ambitions textbook,
    realize that summary isn't universally shared. Read the entire
    textbook yourself and come to a conclusion based on the physics
    and facts - don't rely on some anonymous poster to summarize it
    for you. Yes, it is not all is sunshine, but then that describes
    the real world.

    Are you really questioning the credentials of the review in the
    American Journal of Physics??? That wasn't just my summary. And who
    is this "anonymous poster" you are talking about? It's certainly not
    me. You can google me and see (you may have to add "information
    retrieval" to distinguish me from others with the same name).

    This indeed isn't my research area, but coincidentally the very first
    lecture I gave as a Teaching Assistant to a class was a dissection of
    the Club of Rome's _Limits of Growth_. I've maintained an interest
    in improper extrapolation and improper computer modeling ever since.

    I'll end with another quote from the quite negative American Journal
    of Physics review:
    We do tremendous harm if we mislead students into believing that
    physical constraints will require large parts of the world to
    return to a pre-industrial state of deep poverty and high child
    mortality.

    Chris

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  • From D@21:1/5 to Lynn McGuire on Fri Feb 9 22:51:29 2024
    This message is in MIME format. The first part should be readable text,
    while the remaining parts are likely unreadable without MIME-aware tools.

    On Fri, 9 Feb 2024, Lynn McGuire wrote:

    On 2/9/2024 4:32 AM, D wrote:


    On Thu, 8 Feb 2024, Lynn McGuire wrote:

    On 2/8/2024 11:14 AM, Scott Lurndal wrote:
    D <nospam@example.net> writes:


    On Wed, 7 Feb 2024, Lynn McGuire wrote:

    On 2/7/2024 9:57 AM, Scott Lurndal wrote:
    Robert Carnegie <rja.carnegie@gmail.com> writes:
    On 06/02/2024 19:34, Scott Lurndal wrote:
    As much as I favor it, nuclear fission electricity production will >>>>>>>>> always be niche, perhaps a significant portion of the baseload >>>>>>>>> production, but nowhere near enough to displace CH4 and Coal. >>>>>>>>>
    Given the 90-year known fissionable uranium supply, one might be >>>>>>>>> confident that it's a viable alternative to fossil fuels.   Until >>>>>>>>> one realizes that 90-year estimate is for the existing fleet of >>>>>>>>> reactors (many of which are nearing end-of-life, but that's a >>>>>>>>> separate
    discussion).  To expand nuclear to displace fossil fuels for power >>>>>>>>> production would require in the vicinity of 20 or 30 thousand new >>>>>>>>> reactors, where that 90-year supply quickly disappears in just a >>>>>>>>> few years. (not to mention the costs of building 20k 1GW reactors, >>>>>>>>> look at vogtle for how much a current build costs - it was
    17$billion
    over budget!).

    Is this perhaps in the same way that "known"
    oil reserves in the 1970s were drained dry
    some time before the present day?

    No.    And without fracking, the prediction from the
    70's would pretty accurate.   Fracking just delays the
    inevitiable.

    Always with the negative thoughts !  You and the other Peak Oilers are >>>>>> continuously predicting the running out of natural resources on the >>>>>> planet.
    I believe in the continuous ability of mankind to figure out how to >>>>>> make more
    of what we need.

    In my lifetime, the estimate of Peak Oil has moved from 1972 to 2052.  >>>>>> I
    wonder what it will be next decade.
       https://infinity-renewables.com/162-2/

    Lynn


    This summarizes my position as well. You are a very intelligent woman >>>>> Lynn! =)

    He may not appreciate that remark.

    I am used to it.  And Lynn is not my first name.

    Lynn

    I apologize. I only blame not being a native english speaker and ignorance. >> =(

    No worries !

    Lynn


    Thank you Lynn! =)

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From D@21:1/5 to Lynn McGuire on Fri Feb 9 22:53:12 2024
    On Fri, 9 Feb 2024, Lynn McGuire wrote:

    On 2/8/2024 4:38 PM, Scott Lurndal wrote:
    Lynn McGuire <lynnmcguire5@gmail.com> writes:
    On 2/8/2024 12:10 AM, Chris Buckley wrote:
    On 2024-02-07, Scott Lurndal <scott@slp53.sl.home> wrote:
    Chris Buckley <alan@sabir.com> writes:
    On 2024-02-07, Scott Lurndal <scott@slp53.sl.home> wrote:



    The USA has 100+ years of proven oil reserves at 10+ million barrels per >>> day. That is roughly 365,000,000,000 barrels of crude oil.

    cite? Wikipedia says 44 billion bbl.
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Oil_reserves_in_the_United_States

    Worldometer states:
    "The United States has proven reserves equivalent to
    4.9 times its annual consumption. This means that, without
    imports, there would be about 5 years of oil left (at current
    consumption levels and excluding unproven reserves).

    EIA (US Energy Information Agency) concur, at 41 billion bbl.

    https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/pet_crd_pres_dcu_NUS_a.htm


    And as you say, expensive.


    The current
    USA production rate is 13+ million barrels per day at a cost of roughly
    $45/bbl (Exxon). Much of those proven oil reserves will cost much more
    than $100/bbl to produce due to their remoteness.

    Lynn

    As mentioned before, I work in the crude oil and natural gas industry. With 30+ years of going to engineering conferences, you hear a lot more than the government puts out. The amount of crude oil and natural gas in the USA is just amazing since directional drilling started in the 1990s and fracking starting in 2008.

    However, with so much crude oil and natural gas coming out of so few sources (Eagle Ford, Permian Basin, etc), this has had profound effect on the oil and gas business in the USA. There used to be 15 million of us employed in the oil and gas sector, there is now 11 million and it is still dropping. There used to be 250+ refineries in the USA in 1980 and that has dropped to 90 now.

    Back in 2007, when the natural gas companies were getting ready to build coal to natural gas conversion plants, the demand for my software jumped like crazy as the price of natural gas jumped from $3/mmbtu to $14/mmbtu in 2008. And the price of crude oil jumped from $40/bbl to $130/bbl. Today those prices are $2/mmbtu and $75/bbl respectively. The demand for my software has dropped considerably.

    Three years ago, 70% of the natural gas only wells in the USA were closed off. Now it is 50% are closed off. More pipelines are being built but most of the new demand is coming from the 22 new LNG plants on the Gulf Coast. Another 23+ LNG plants are being built (at $12 billion each !) but nobody knows if they will all be finished.

    Lynn

    From an investment point of view, what do you say about US oil companies
    the next 5 to 10 years?

    Best regards,
    Daniel

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From Scott Lurndal@21:1/5 to Chris Buckley on Sat Feb 10 00:10:02 2024
    Chris Buckley <alan@sabir.com> writes:
    On 2024-02-09, Scott Lurndal <scott@slp53.sl.home> wrote:
    Chris Buckley <alan@sabir.com> writes:

    So we're not quite yet in the ballpark of seawater extraction being >>>economical with only a modest raise in energy price; the price would >>>would have to double. But the overall point remains: there will be >>>plenty of uranium out there when we need it. Energy prices are going
    to increase and the cost of seawater extraction will decrease. >>>Availability of uranium is not a worry.

    You are still not accounting for the enrichment costs. 99+% of
    the U extracted from seawater is non-fissile, so it needs to
    be enriched to 235U (or used in a breader).

    Agreed. But mined uranium is not enriched either. Please give your >calculations showing the added costs for enriched seawater uranium
    make it economically infeasible in the future.

    Nor have you addressed the costs associated with building
    nuclear plants and disposing of the concomittent waste.

    Agreed. But that's not and never has been the topic at hand. The only
    issue here is your ridiculous claim that lack of uranium will keep nuclear >fission from being an answer.

    Again, you put words in my mouth. I've always said that nuclear
    will play a role in the answer. I continue to believe that it cannot
    be the sole answer and that renewables must play play a large role.


    Note that unlike you and Murphy, who envision scenarios where nuclear
    fission is required to replace *all* fossil fuels by itself (your
    multiple thousands of reactors that use up all proven resources in 4
    years), I expect the answer will be a combination of technologies with >nuclear fission playing a very important part.

    That's what I've said at least a half dozen times in this thread,
    maybe quibbling over the word 'very'.


    Are you really questioning the credentials of the review in the
    American Journal of Physics???

    Did you offer the cite so I can judge the article myself?


    I'll end with another quote from the quite negative American Journal
    of Physics review:
    We do tremendous harm if we mislead students into believing that
    physical constraints will require large parts of the world to
    return to a pre-industrial state of deep poverty and high child
    mortality.

    I've certainly never said anything like that, nor has Dr. Murphy.

    Parts of the world are in a state of deep poverty and high child
    mortality today, and growing worse.

    But vague promises of unlimited energy in the future don't convince me.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Scott Lurndal@21:1/5 to Chris Buckley on Sat Feb 10 00:27:27 2024
    Chris Buckley <alan@sabir.com> writes:
    On 2024-02-09, Scott Lurndal <scott@slp53.sl.home> wrote:
    Chris Buckley <alan@sabir.com> writes:

    Note that unlike you and Murphy, who envision scenarios where nuclear
    fission is required to replace *all* fossil fuels by itself

    Murphy took many scenarious to the point of absurdity (and said
    so) to make a point, including this one.

    I did find that review, by Daniel V. Schroeder that
    you have referred to.

    So, Schroeder writes;

    "The book's structural awkwardness may be a side effect
    of the author's main agenda: convincing the reader that humanity's
    future is in great peril."

    He's putting words in the author's mouth. Murphy does point out
    the absurdity of the growth of energy consumption continuing as it
    has in the past, it's physically unsurvivable.

    He also points out that the sources of energy currently available
    to us are insufficent to support such growth.

    Schroeders opinion is strong, but IMO just opinion. He does
    like overall that the physics in the textbook is strong
    if a bit above the typical undergrad level in areas.

    I stand by my suggestion that one should read the textbook
    and draw ones own conclusions rather than relying on the
    opinion of a book reviewer.

    And I was certainly able to determine how a combination of
    technologies could supply sustainable power from the textbook
    even if Schroeder was unable to do so.

    So, support your assertion that there is boundless supply
    of usable fission fuel that can, in a relatively short
    time, replace fossil fuels world-wide (when oil runs out,
    and it will run out, it will be too late).

    How many years from today before the first reactors come
    on-line? Financing? Politics?

    Would it not be better to invest in solar, wind and storage?
    Vogtle units 3 and 4 has cost $35 billion. So far.

    It's easy to state that's because of regulations, etc. et. al.

    So, please suggest exactly which regulations can be eliminated
    to streamline the build process and significantly reduce the cost.

    Not vague statements like "less regulation", be specific. Which
    regulations are unnecessary? Which regulations lead to the
    cost overruns? What's the impact of eliminating the regulation?

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From Chris Buckley@21:1/5 to Scott Lurndal on Sat Feb 10 05:02:36 2024
    On 2024-02-10, Scott Lurndal <scott@slp53.sl.home> wrote:
    Chris Buckley <alan@sabir.com> writes:
    On 2024-02-09, Scott Lurndal <scott@slp53.sl.home> wrote:
    Chris Buckley <alan@sabir.com> writes:

    So we're not quite yet in the ballpark of seawater extraction being >>>>economical with only a modest raise in energy price; the price would >>>>would have to double. But the overall point remains: there will be >>>>plenty of uranium out there when we need it. Energy prices are going
    to increase and the cost of seawater extraction will decrease. >>>>Availability of uranium is not a worry.

    You are still not accounting for the enrichment costs. 99+% of
    the U extracted from seawater is non-fissile, so it needs to
    be enriched to 235U (or used in a breader).

    Agreed. But mined uranium is not enriched either. Please give your >>calculations showing the added costs for enriched seawater uranium
    make it economically infeasible in the future.

    Nor have you addressed the costs associated with building
    nuclear plants and disposing of the concomittent waste.

    Agreed. But that's not and never has been the topic at hand. The only
    issue here is your ridiculous claim that lack of uranium will keep nuclear >>fission from being an answer.

    Again, you put words in my mouth. I've always said that nuclear
    will play a role in the answer. I continue to believe that it cannot
    be the sole answer and that renewables must play play a large role.

    What words did I put in your mouth either before or here (but see below)? Please read and understand that last paragraph since it's clear you
    haven't yet. The only focus of my argument has been whether there is
    enough uranium to supply the 10,000 plants you claim are needed for
    nuclear fission to replace gas,oil,coal. I have never claimed that it's feasible to build those plants.


    Note that unlike you and Murphy, who envision scenarios where nuclear >>fission is required to replace *all* fossil fuels by itself (your
    multiple thousands of reactors that use up all proven resources in 4 >>years), I expect the answer will be a combination of technologies with >>nuclear fission playing a very important part.

    That's what I've said at least a half dozen times in this thread,
    maybe quibbling over the word 'very'.

    Here I apologize. I was confusing your overall position (a combination
    solution with nuclear playing a niche part) with your position in
    your uranium argument with the 10,000 plants.


    Are you really questioning the credentials of the review in the
    American Journal of Physics???

    Did you offer the cite so I can judge the article myself?

    Yes. Have you actually been reading my posts???


    I'll end with another quote from the quite negative American Journal
    of Physics review:
    We do tremendous harm if we mislead students into believing that
    physical constraints will require large parts of the world to
    return to a pre-industrial state of deep poverty and high child
    mortality.

    I've certainly never said anything like that, nor has Dr. Murphy.

    Here again I should not have included you - you have not talked about consequences at all. Murphy on the other hand was certainly implying this
    with his prognostications of doom and the necessity to reduce our
    technology. More on Murphy in my next response.

    Parts of the world are in a state of deep poverty and high child
    mortality today, and growing worse.

    But vague promises of unlimited energy in the future don't convince me.

    Chris

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Chris Buckley@21:1/5 to Scott Lurndal on Sat Feb 10 07:29:41 2024
    On 2024-02-10, Scott Lurndal <scott@slp53.sl.home> wrote:
    Chris Buckley <alan@sabir.com> writes:
    On 2024-02-09, Scott Lurndal <scott@slp53.sl.home> wrote:
    Chris Buckley <alan@sabir.com> writes:

    Note that unlike you and Murphy, who envision scenarios where nuclear >>fission is required to replace *all* fossil fuels by itself

    Murphy took many scenarious to the point of absurdity (and said
    so) to make a point, including this one.

    The problem is that he then assumed these absurd scenarios represented
    truth and then based his central thesis on them (at least he did in
    the chapter on nuclear fission.) I see no problems with Murphy's
    knowledge of physics but it's clear he has only a rudimentary
    knowledge of modeling and a massive lack of understanding of "proven
    reserves".

    "Proven reserves" is a commercial/economic term, not a scientific
    term. It represents the part of the global supply of a resource that
    has been or will be economically worthwhile to find, test, claim, and eventually produce. As the economics change, the proven reserves will
    change. No reputable scientist of the past 50 years would use a
    proven reserve estimate as indicative of anything except the very near
    future. Scientists use estimates of global supply instead.

    A 90 year proven supply for uranium is abnormally high for any
    mineral. The only reason it's so high is that companies gambled and
    lost the bet that nuclear power would expand now. Spending money
    finding new resources that won't be recouped for 90 years is not going
    to be profitable!

    Murphy using the 90 year proven reserve number as the basis to decide
    that fission can't supply enough energy to replace fossil fuel is
    ridiculous. That's particularly true for uranium which not only has
    the guarantee of increasing conventional mine reserves, but the
    possibilities of alternative sources such as reprocessing, breeder
    reactions for enriching, and the seawater extraction I've talked
    about. This argument would never be allowed in a peer-reviewed paper
    or textbook.

    The book's central thesis is that since limited resources like uranium
    prevent any alternative from replacing fossil fuels, we must drastically
    reduce our energy usage. But that argument doesn't work if uranium is
    not a limiting factor.

    I did find that review, by Daniel V. Schroeder that
    you have referred to.

    So, Schroeder writes;

    "The book's structural awkwardness may be a side effect
    of the author's main agenda: convincing the reader that humanity's
    future is in great peril."

    He's putting words in the author's mouth. Murphy does point out
    the absurdity of the growth of energy consumption continuing as it
    has in the past, it's physically unsurvivable.

    He also points out that the sources of energy currently available
    to us are insufficent to support such growth.

    No. He incorrectly claims that. (You even say that below).

    Schroeders opinion is strong, but IMO just opinion. He does
    like overall that the physics in the textbook is strong
    if a bit above the typical undergrad level in areas.

    No. Schroeder backs up most of his opinions with concrete topics
    that Murphy handles poorly.


    I stand by my suggestion that one should read the textbook
    and draw ones own conclusions rather than relying on the
    opinion of a book reviewer.

    And I was certainly able to determine how a combination of
    technologies could supply sustainable power from the textbook
    even if Schroeder was unable to do so.

    It's not that Schroeder couldn't do so. I'm sure both of you could.
    It's that Murphy did not do so. Or alternatively, Murphy did not show
    that it was impossible for a combination to replace fossil fuels.
    This is a humongous flaw that seemingly invalidates Murphy's entire
    thesis. Murphy "showed" that no single alternative could replace
    fossil fuels by itself and then falsely concluded that it was thus
    imperative all humans reduce their technology and energy usage, spending
    the last few chapters on what was needed and how this could be done.
    He didn't consider a combination of alternatives.

    This is perhaps the primary reason (among several) that this book
    could not possibly pass the peer-review process of an academic
    publisher. It is a self-published book and it needed to be.

    So, support your assertion that there is boundless supply
    of usable fission fuel that can, in a relatively short
    time, replace fossil fuels world-wide (when oil runs out,
    and it will run out, it will be too late).

    I have done so already, though hundreds of years, not a boundless
    supply. You have not refuted my claim that if you allow energy prices
    to double (or a bit more), then the current technology of seawater
    extraction of uranium will be economically feasible. (And I think no
    one would expect that extraction process not to rapidly improve.)

    The supply of uranium is just a comparatively modest economic problem
    as opposed to all the other problems building 10,000 plants will
    encounter. The uranium will not be the limiting factor.

    How many years from today before the first reactors come
    on-line? Financing? Politics?

    Would it not be better to invest in solar, wind and storage?
    Vogtle units 3 and 4 has cost $35 billion. So far.

    It's easy to state that's because of regulations, etc. et. al.

    So, please suggest exactly which regulations can be eliminated
    to streamline the build process and significantly reduce the cost.

    Not vague statements like "less regulation", be specific. Which
    regulations are unnecessary? Which regulations lead to the
    cost overruns? What's the impact of eliminating the regulation?

    Those are fine questions that would have to be answered by somebody
    claiming that fission can replace all fossil fuels. But that is not
    me; I don't believe it can be done. My claim throughout has been
    much more modest: that your (and Murphy's) statement that there is
    not enough uranium for it is ridiculous and not supported by the science.

    Chris

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From D@21:1/5 to Lynn McGuire on Sat Feb 10 11:59:07 2024
    This message is in MIME format. The first part should be readable text,
    while the remaining parts are likely unreadable without MIME-aware tools.

    On Fri, 9 Feb 2024, Lynn McGuire wrote:

    On 2/9/2024 3:53 PM, D wrote:


    On Fri, 9 Feb 2024, Lynn McGuire wrote:

    On 2/8/2024 4:38 PM, Scott Lurndal wrote:
    Lynn McGuire <lynnmcguire5@gmail.com> writes:
    On 2/8/2024 12:10 AM, Chris Buckley wrote:
    On 2024-02-07, Scott Lurndal <scott@slp53.sl.home> wrote:
    Chris Buckley <alan@sabir.com> writes:
    On 2024-02-07, Scott Lurndal <scott@slp53.sl.home> wrote:



    The USA has 100+ years of proven oil reserves at 10+ million barrels per >>>>> day.  That is roughly 365,000,000,000 barrels of crude oil.

    cite?  Wikipedia says 44 billion bbl.
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Oil_reserves_in_the_United_States

    Worldometer states:
        "The United States has proven reserves equivalent to
         4.9 times its annual consumption. This means that, without
         imports, there would be about 5 years of oil left (at current >>>>      consumption levels and excluding unproven reserves).

    EIA (US Energy Information Agency) concur, at 41 billion bbl.

    https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/pet_crd_pres_dcu_NUS_a.htm


    And as you say, expensive.


    The current
    USA production rate is 13+ million barrels per day at a cost of roughly >>>>> $45/bbl (Exxon).  Much of those proven oil reserves will cost much more >>>>> than $100/bbl to produce due to their remoteness.

    Lynn

    As mentioned before, I work in the crude oil and natural gas industry.
    With 30+ years of going to engineering conferences, you hear a lot more >>> than the government puts out.  The amount of crude oil and natural gas in >>> the USA is just amazing since directional drilling started in the 1990s >>> and fracking starting in 2008.

    However, with so much crude oil and natural gas coming out of so few
    sources (Eagle Ford, Permian Basin, etc), this has had profound effect on >>> the oil and gas business in the USA.  There used to be 15 million of us >>> employed in the oil and gas sector, there is now 11 million and it is
    still dropping.  There used to be 250+ refineries in the USA in 1980 and >>> that has dropped to 90 now.

    Back in 2007, when the natural gas companies were getting ready to build >>> coal to natural gas conversion plants, the demand for my software jumped >>> like crazy as the price of natural gas jumped from $3/mmbtu to $14/mmbtu >>> in 2008. And the price of crude oil jumped from $40/bbl to $130/bbl. Today >>> those prices are $2/mmbtu and $75/bbl respectively.  The demand for my >>> software has dropped considerably.

    Three years ago, 70% of the natural gas only wells in the USA were closed >>> off.  Now it is 50% are closed off.  More pipelines are being built but >>> most of the new demand is coming from the 22 new LNG plants on the Gulf >>> Coast. Another 23+ LNG plants are being built (at $12 billion each !) but >>> nobody knows if they will all be finished.

    Lynn

    From an investment point of view, what do you say about US oil companies >> the next 5 to 10 years?

    Best regards,
    Daniel

    There will be continued consolidation of energy companies in the USA. The USA
    is quite unique in that it has both extensive natural resources and multiple energy companies. Most other countries with natural resources only have one national energy company.

    Crude oil wells will continue to be drilled in the USA but natural gas only wells will not be drilled or produced. Note that several small wildcatters are redrilling old natural gas only wells from the 1980s and 1990s, fracking them, and getting mixed crude oil and natural gas out of them for a 50% increase in production cost. We call that a win.

    Conversion of the coal baseload power plants in the USA to natural gas gas turbines peakers will continue in the USA as electricity demands are growing with the population growth in the South and other areas across the USA. More
    and more electrical baseload is being covered by Solar Power Plants and Wind Turbines, especially in Texas and other Southern states. Battery power plants are being built rapidly also but, they only store power with a 10% loss, they do not generate power.

    Would I invest in Exxon and Chevron ? I am invested in those companies but nothing compared to my investments in real estate, Netflix, and Amazon.

    Lynn

    Thank you for the analysis Lynn. I am invested as well, and I'm not
    worried about the near future, but decades in the future I could see other technologies slowly taking over.

    On the other hand the oil companies see (and plan) for this too, so consolidation is one way and slowly diversifying away from oil is another
    way. I think, but can't remember for sure at the moment, that Chevron has quite some cash reserves.

    Well, let's see what the future holds.

    Best regards,
    Daniel

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From D@21:1/5 to Lynn McGuire on Sun Feb 11 12:06:37 2024
    On Sat, 10 Feb 2024, Lynn McGuire wrote:

    On 2/9/2024 4:35 AM, D wrote:
    ...
    Throw the unreclaimable nuclear waste into the Sun.

    Lynn

    I often thought about this, and of course one question that does pop up
    is...

    How would an exploding rocket full of nuclear waste affect our
    environment if it explodes within our atmosphere?

    At the risk of becoming a bit "sci fi" here, I could easily imagine
    however, if we had rail gun launch systems or even more "sci fi" space
    elevators, that this could become much more feasible and more safe than
    putting the stuff in a rocket and throwing it in the sun.

    Best regards, Daniel

    I actually started writing a short story once about nuclear waste hauler space ships throwing nuclear waste into the Sun. The haulers were specially built with water ringed centers for crew protections during solar storms.
    The problem is that the solar storms are becoming more frequent.

    Lynn

    I think shooting nuclear waste into the sun probably won't be feasible
    until we have some form of launch system that does not rely on rockets.

    It seems like there are some early stage startups here and there working
    on it, and I wonder how many years before one of them succeeds?

    That would surely revolutionize nuclear waste management.

    I wonder if lowering the cost of launching something to space with a
    facetor of 10 or 100 will make it possible for other sci fi concepts to
    finally become true, such as space-based solar power, beaming electricity
    back to earth?

    Best regards,
    Daniel

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From James Nicoll@21:1/5 to nospam@example.net on Sun Feb 11 14:50:29 2024
    In article <d807a0be-c3f4-ddf3-66c5-c4035902b1aa@example.net>,
    D <nospam@example.net> wrote:


    On Sat, 10 Feb 2024, Lynn McGuire wrote:

    On 2/9/2024 4:35 AM, D wrote:
    ...
    Throw the unreclaimable nuclear waste into the Sun.

    Lynn

    I often thought about this, and of course one question that does pop up
    is...

    How would an exploding rocket full of nuclear waste affect our
    environment if it explodes within our atmosphere?

    At the risk of becoming a bit "sci fi" here, I could easily imagine
    however, if we had rail gun launch systems or even more "sci fi" space
    elevators, that this could become much more feasible and more safe than
    putting the stuff in a rocket and throwing it in the sun.

    Best regards, Daniel

    I actually started writing a short story once about nuclear waste hauler
    space ships throwing nuclear waste into the Sun. The haulers were specially >> built with water ringed centers for crew protections during solar storms.
    The problem is that the solar storms are becoming more frequent.

    Lynn

    I think shooting nuclear waste into the sun probably won't be feasible
    until we have some form of launch system that does not rely on rockets.

    In terms of delta vee, interstellar space is closer than the Sun. Of
    course, there are much easier to reach sufficiently safe to me
    repositories on Earth.

    It seems like there are some early stage startups here and there working
    on it, and I wonder how many years before one of them succeeds?

    That would surely revolutionize nuclear waste management.

    I wonder if lowering the cost of launching something to space with a
    facetor of 10 or 100 will make it possible for other sci fi concepts to >finally become true, such as space-based solar power, beaming electricity >back to earth?

    Solar panels work just dandy on Earth. The main benefit to SPS is
    providing a justification for activity in space.
    --
    My reviews can be found at http://jamesdavisnicoll.com/
    My tor pieces at https://www.tor.com/author/james-davis-nicoll/
    My Dreamwidth at https://james-davis-nicoll.dreamwidth.org/
    My patreon is at https://www.patreon.com/jamesdnicoll

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From James Nicoll@21:1/5 to rja.carnegie@gmail.com on Sun Feb 11 14:52:01 2024
    In article <uqadpv$v64t$2@dont-email.me>,
    Robert Carnegie <rja.carnegie@gmail.com> wrote:
    On 10/02/2024 21:31, Lynn McGuire wrote:
    On 2/9/2024 4:35 AM, D wrote:
    ...
    Throw the unreclaimable nuclear waste into the Sun.

    Lynn

    I often thought about this, and of course one question that does pop up
    is...

    How would an exploding rocket full of nuclear waste affect our
    environment if it explodes within our atmosphere?

    At the risk of becoming a bit "sci fi" here, I could easily imagine
    however, if we had rail gun launch systems or even more "sci fi" space
    elevators, that this could become much more feasible and more safe than
    putting the stuff in a rocket and throwing it in the sun.

    Best regards, Daniel

    I actually started writing a short story once about nuclear waste hauler
    space ships throwing nuclear waste into the Sun.  The haulers were
    specially built with water ringed centers for crew protections during
    solar storms.  The problem is that the solar storms are becoming more
    frequent.

    Lynn

    This sounds like an allegory of terrestrial
    climate change. Is the message that the
    nuclear power industry is ruining the Sun?
    So it's back to oil and coal, then, eh?

    Can someone remind me which one of E.E. Smith's
    futurologial fictions has Earth importing
    its fossil fuels from extra-solar planets?
    I hope it's only one.

    I don't know about Smith but King's "The Jaunt" has Earth importing
    oil (and later, water) from Mars and Venus. It's a very 1950 story
    for something published in 1981.


    --
    My reviews can be found at http://jamesdavisnicoll.com/
    My tor pieces at https://www.tor.com/author/james-davis-nicoll/
    My Dreamwidth at https://james-davis-nicoll.dreamwidth.org/
    My patreon is at https://www.patreon.com/jamesdnicoll

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Robert Woodward@21:1/5 to Robert Carnegie on Sun Feb 11 09:47:55 2024
    In article <uqadpv$v64t$2@dont-email.me>,
    Robert Carnegie <rja.carnegie@gmail.com> wrote:

    On 10/02/2024 21:31, Lynn McGuire wrote:
    On 2/9/2024 4:35 AM, D wrote:
    ...
    Throw the unreclaimable nuclear waste into the Sun.

    Lynn

    I often thought about this, and of course one question that does pop up
    is...

    How would an exploding rocket full of nuclear waste affect our
    environment if it explodes within our atmosphere?

    At the risk of becoming a bit "sci fi" here, I could easily imagine
    however, if we had rail gun launch systems or even more "sci fi" space
    elevators, that this could become much more feasible and more safe than
    putting the stuff in a rocket and throwing it in the sun.

    Best regards, Daniel

    I actually started writing a short story once about nuclear waste hauler space ships throwing nuclear waste into the Sun.  The haulers were specially built with water ringed centers for crew protections during
    solar storms.  The problem is that the solar storms are becoming more frequent.

    Lynn

    This sounds like an allegory of terrestrial
    climate change. Is the message that the
    nuclear power industry is ruining the Sun?
    So it's back to oil and coal, then, eh?

    Can someone remind me which one of E.E. Smith's
    futurologial fictions has Earth importing
    its fossil fuels from extra-solar planets?
    I hope it's only one.

    _Subspace Explorers_ (While many SF fans believe that _The Galactic
    Primes_ is the worse E. E. "Doc" Smith novel, I would rank _SE_ below
    that).

    --
    "We have advanced to new and surprising levels of bafflement."
    Imperial Auditor Miles Vorkosigan describes progress in _Komarr_. —-----------------------------------------------------
    Robert Woodward robertaw@drizzle.com

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From The Horny Goat@21:1/5 to rja.carnegie@gmail.com on Sun Feb 11 14:54:57 2024
    On Fri, 9 Feb 2024 20:54:23 +0000, Robert Carnegie
    <rja.carnegie@gmail.com> wrote:

    There really needs to be a gender identifying version of Lynn, such as
    Frances/Francis.

    If I didn't already suggest announcing
    one's pronouns, then I do so now,
    waiting to hear perhaps Lynn's head
    exploding (he, him).

    Could be worse - I and a very good female friend of mine hold titles
    from the World Chess Federation - who for reasons best known to
    themselves got the idea that she was male and I was female and
    published our names on their master list of title-holders.

    (I didn't go ballistic just e-mailed Canada's rep to the international
    body and asked him to get them to fix the mis-gendeirng which they did reasonably quickly - and 10 years later am still wondering and
    somewhat amused as to how they got confused. For the record - her name
    was Lynn - alas she died two years ago)

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From The Horny Goat@21:1/5 to lynnmcguire5@gmail.com on Sun Feb 11 14:39:16 2024
    On Wed, 7 Feb 2024 15:38:16 -0600, Lynn McGuire
    <lynnmcguire5@gmail.com> wrote:

    "The Chinese demographics are a total horror show, with Shanghai
    university recently publishing an article to the effect of "Urban birth
    rate of .5" or less, because "China." Russia is on race to the bottom
    with them. I Remember Peter Zeihan (demographer among other things)
    saying that with the current data China would be at 645 million or less
    by 2050. NOT 2100. Fastest aging society in history. With lowest birth
    rate (worse than during the Holocaust) and worse than during the Black
    death. And absolute Enron numbers on their economy. And 1 child policy,
    now 2, now 3, now Please have kids you peasants! The demographics chart
    for China looks like a lopsided mushroom cloud. CCP admitted to over 100 >million people dont exist, mostly women under 40. (The ones who have all
    the kids) over 30 million more men than women. Which is so much worse
    than it sounds."

    The essential problem for the Chinese is that the lowest birthrates
    are amongst their industrial population while their highest are among
    the agricultural population - and they have a serious problem with the
    standard of education outside their big cities. So even if every rural "peasant" woman had 5 kids it wouldn't begin to solve their
    demographic problems.

    If there really were that many more men than women then there would be
    a major push to encourage them to travel in search of foreign brides.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From The Horny Goat@21:1/5 to dtravel@sonic.net on Sun Feb 11 14:31:17 2024
    On Wed, 7 Feb 2024 08:10:17 -0800, Dimensional Traveler
    <dtravel@sonic.net> wrote:

    On 2/6/2024 11:25 PM, The Horny Goat wrote:
    On Tue, 6 Feb 2024 08:51:01 -0800, Dimensional Traveler
    <dtravel@sonic.net> wrote:

    Part of why Canada can do without nukes is that a Canadian is in command >>> of NORAD 50% of the time.

    Is it really 50% of the time? I know a Canadian was in command on 9/11
    and was greatly praised by Dubya for his fast action in closing US
    skies after the first collision with one of the Twin Towers

    It has been some years since I checked and when I did the information I >remember finding was that the NORAD CO rotates between an American and a >Canadian every year. BUT checking again just now that was apparently
    wrong. The CO is always an American and the Deputy CO is always a
    Canadian. My apologies for the error.

    Thanks was wondering - I had a particular interest in this one as my
    late wife's uncle was a career RCAF colonel though did not to my
    knowledge ever serve at NORAD. Her other uncle was also a Royal
    Military College of Canada graduate but went to the National Research
    Council of Canada as soon as his military commitment was done and he
    got his PhD in one of the engineering specialties.

    (This had consequences since all three of them were born in Poland -
    their family came to Canada a month before Hitler invaded Poland thus
    kicking off WW2 - after Poland joined the western bloc they came up
    with a plan to give Polish citizenship to any children or
    grandchildren of persons born in Poland but who had emigrated the
    exception being descendents of those who had served in non-Polish
    militaries - thus since my father-in-law did NOT attend RMCC he did
    NOT get the automatic commission RMCC and West Point grads get on
    graduation. She emigrated from Canada to the UK in 2014 and now holds
    Canadian, British and Polish citizenship - and since Brexit she finds
    it extremely useful to hold an EU passport in her line of work)

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Scott Dorsey@21:1/5 to lcraver@home.ca on Mon Feb 12 01:07:35 2024
    The Horny Goat <lcraver@home.ca> wrote:
    The essential problem for the Chinese is that the lowest birthrates
    are amongst their industrial population while their highest are among
    the agricultural population - and they have a serious problem with the >standard of education outside their big cities. So even if every rural >"peasant" woman had 5 kids it wouldn't begin to solve their
    demographic problems.

    This is true, but this is a problem that many other countries have as well, including the US. The Chinese have a particularly distinct version though.

    If there really were that many more men than women then there would be
    a major push to encourage them to travel in search of foreign brides.

    This is a major issue for some social classes in China, not so much for
    others.
    --scott
    --
    "C'est un Nagra. C'est suisse, et tres, tres precis."

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From D@21:1/5 to The Horny Goat on Mon Feb 12 10:11:31 2024
    On Sun, 11 Feb 2024, The Horny Goat wrote:

    On Wed, 7 Feb 2024 15:38:16 -0600, Lynn McGuire
    <lynnmcguire5@gmail.com> wrote:

    "The Chinese demographics are a total horror show, with Shanghai
    university recently publishing an article to the effect of "Urban birth
    rate of .5" or less, because "China." Russia is on race to the bottom
    with them. I Remember Peter Zeihan (demographer among other things)
    saying that with the current data China would be at 645 million or less
    by 2050. NOT 2100. Fastest aging society in history. With lowest birth
    rate (worse than during the Holocaust) and worse than during the Black
    death. And absolute Enron numbers on their economy. And 1 child policy,
    now 2, now 3, now Please have kids you peasants! The demographics chart
    for China looks like a lopsided mushroom cloud. CCP admitted to over 100
    million people dont exist, mostly women under 40. (The ones who have all
    the kids) over 30 million more men than women. Which is so much worse
    than it sounds."

    The essential problem for the Chinese is that the lowest birthrates
    are amongst their industrial population while their highest are among
    the agricultural population - and they have a serious problem with the standard of education outside their big cities. So even if every rural "peasant" woman had 5 kids it wouldn't begin to solve their
    demographic problems.

    If there really were that many more men than women then there would be
    a major push to encourage them to travel in search of foreign brides.

    I've heard from people I know who are good friends with russians, that the living conditions outside the biggest russian cities are medieval in
    quality, especially the country side.

    I wonder if the same goes for china?

    The big cities are show cases for the world, and outside them, medieval conditions reign.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Scott Lurndal@21:1/5 to nospam@example.net on Mon Feb 12 15:29:34 2024
    D <nospam@example.net> writes:

    I think shooting nuclear waste into the sun probably won't be feasible
    until we have some form of launch system that does not rely on rockets.

    It takes far less energy to "shoot nuclear waste" into deep space.

    To hit the sun requires massive amounts of fuel to slow the orbital
    speed of the rocket, or very long trips using multiple gravity assists
    around the inner planets to slow the rocket.

    Throwing "nuclear waste" into the sun is a non-starter.

    Then, you must consider the mass of the waste - it consists of
    heavy elements and there is a considerable amount of it. We're
    talking thousands of rocket launches. Just one launch
    failure could contaminate large areas of the planet. Are you
    willing to take that risk?

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Chris Buckley@21:1/5 to Scott Lurndal on Mon Feb 12 16:16:06 2024
    On 2024-02-12, Scott Lurndal <scott@slp53.sl.home> wrote:
    D <nospam@example.net> writes:

    I think shooting nuclear waste into the sun probably won't be feasible >>until we have some form of launch system that does not rely on rockets.

    It takes far less energy to "shoot nuclear waste" into deep space.

    To hit the sun requires massive amounts of fuel to slow the orbital
    speed of the rocket, or very long trips using multiple gravity assists
    around the inner planets to slow the rocket.

    Throwing "nuclear waste" into the sun is a non-starter.

    Then, you must consider the mass of the waste - it consists of
    heavy elements and there is a considerable amount of it. We're
    talking thousands of rocket launches. Just one launch
    failure could contaminate large areas of the planet. Are you
    willing to take that risk?

    Yes, I agree that the danger is large. It's already difficult
    politically to launch nuclear powered spacecraft where the dangerous
    amounts are much smaller.

    If we ever accumulate much nuclear waste in orbit or on the moon,it may
    be less dangerous to shoot it into the sun than let it stay around.

    Chris

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Paul S Person@21:1/5 to All on Mon Feb 12 08:26:21 2024
    On Sun, 11 Feb 2024 14:39:16 -0800, The Horny Goat <lcraver@home.ca>
    wrote:

    On Wed, 7 Feb 2024 15:38:16 -0600, Lynn McGuire
    <lynnmcguire5@gmail.com> wrote:

    "The Chinese demographics are a total horror show, with Shanghai >>university recently publishing an article to the effect of "Urban birth >>rate of .5" or less, because "China." Russia is on race to the bottom
    with them. I Remember Peter Zeihan (demographer among other things)
    saying that with the current data China would be at 645 million or less
    by 2050. NOT 2100. Fastest aging society in history. With lowest birth >>rate (worse than during the Holocaust) and worse than during the Black >>death. And absolute Enron numbers on their economy. And 1 child policy, >>now 2, now 3, now Please have kids you peasants! The demographics chart >>for China looks like a lopsided mushroom cloud. CCP admitted to over 100 >>million people dont exist, mostly women under 40. (The ones who have all >>the kids) over 30 million more men than women. Which is so much worse
    than it sounds."

    The essential problem for the Chinese is that the lowest birthrates
    are amongst their industrial population while their highest are among
    the agricultural population - and they have a serious problem with the >standard of education outside their big cities. So even if every rural >"peasant" woman had 5 kids it wouldn't begin to solve their
    demographic problems.

    If there really were that many more men than women then there would be
    a major push to encourage them to travel in search of foreign brides.

    Actually, the traditional solution to that problem is a land war with
    a neighboring country featuring large mass infantry attacks. /That's/
    how you get rid of surplus males.
    --
    "Here lies the Tuscan poet Aretino,
    Who evil spoke of everyone but God,
    Giving as his excuse, 'I never knew him.'"

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Paul S Person@21:1/5 to nospam@example.net on Mon Feb 12 08:27:35 2024
    On Mon, 12 Feb 2024 10:11:31 +0100, D <nospam@example.net> wrote:



    On Sun, 11 Feb 2024, The Horny Goat wrote:

    On Wed, 7 Feb 2024 15:38:16 -0600, Lynn McGuire
    <lynnmcguire5@gmail.com> wrote:

    "The Chinese demographics are a total horror show, with Shanghai
    university recently publishing an article to the effect of "Urban birth
    rate of .5" or less, because "China." Russia is on race to the bottom
    with them. I Remember Peter Zeihan (demographer among other things)
    saying that with the current data China would be at 645 million or less
    by 2050. NOT 2100. Fastest aging society in history. With lowest birth
    rate (worse than during the Holocaust) and worse than during the Black
    death. And absolute Enron numbers on their economy. And 1 child policy,
    now 2, now 3, now Please have kids you peasants! The demographics chart
    for China looks like a lopsided mushroom cloud. CCP admitted to over 100 >>> million people dont exist, mostly women under 40. (The ones who have all >>> the kids) over 30 million more men than women. Which is so much worse
    than it sounds."

    The essential problem for the Chinese is that the lowest birthrates
    are amongst their industrial population while their highest are among
    the agricultural population - and they have a serious problem with the
    standard of education outside their big cities. So even if every rural
    "peasant" woman had 5 kids it wouldn't begin to solve their
    demographic problems.

    If there really were that many more men than women then there would be
    a major push to encourage them to travel in search of foreign brides.

    I've heard from people I know who are good friends with russians, that the >living conditions outside the biggest russian cities are medieval in >quality, especially the country side.

    I wonder if the same goes for china?

    The big cities are show cases for the world, and outside them, medieval >conditions reign.

    "Medieval" might be a stretch. Even in Russia.

    Something much older might well be the case.
    --
    "Here lies the Tuscan poet Aretino,
    Who evil spoke of everyone but God,
    Giving as his excuse, 'I never knew him.'"

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Robert Woodward@21:1/5 to Scott Lurndal on Mon Feb 12 09:47:59 2024
    In article <yPqyN.429034$p%Mb.366608@fx15.iad>,
    scott@slp53.sl.home (Scott Lurndal) wrote:

    D <nospam@example.net> writes:

    I think shooting nuclear waste into the sun probably won't be feasible >until we have some form of launch system that does not rely on rockets.

    It takes far less energy to "shoot nuclear waste" into deep space.

    To hit the sun requires massive amounts of fuel to slow the orbital
    speed of the rocket, or very long trips using multiple gravity assists
    around the inner planets to slow the rocket.


    Or you send it to do a close retrograde flyby by Jupiter which results
    in the cargo heading directly into the Sun.

    --
    "We have advanced to new and surprising levels of bafflement."
    Imperial Auditor Miles Vorkosigan describes progress in _Komarr_. -----------------------------------------------------
    Robert Woodward robertaw@drizzle.com

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From D@21:1/5 to Cryptoengineer on Mon Feb 12 20:35:24 2024
    On Mon, 12 Feb 2024, Cryptoengineer wrote:

    On 2/12/2024 11:27 AM, Paul S Person wrote:
    On Mon, 12 Feb 2024 10:11:31 +0100, D <nospam@example.net> wrote:



    On Sun, 11 Feb 2024, The Horny Goat wrote:

    On Wed, 7 Feb 2024 15:38:16 -0600, Lynn McGuire
    <lynnmcguire5@gmail.com> wrote:

    "The Chinese demographics are a total horror show, with Shanghai
    university recently publishing an article to the effect of "Urban birth >>>>> rate of .5" or less, because "China." Russia is on race to the bottom >>>>> with them. I Remember Peter Zeihan (demographer among other things)
    saying that with the current data China would be at 645 million or less >>>>> by 2050. NOT 2100. Fastest aging society in history. With lowest birth >>>>> rate (worse than during the Holocaust) and worse than during the Black >>>>> death. And absolute Enron numbers on their economy. And 1 child policy, >>>>> now 2, now 3, now Please have kids you peasants! The demographics chart >>>>> for China looks like a lopsided mushroom cloud. CCP admitted to over 100 >>>>> million people dont exist, mostly women under 40. (The ones who have all >>>>> the kids) over 30 million more men than women. Which is so much worse >>>>> than it sounds."

    The essential problem for the Chinese is that the lowest birthrates
    are amongst their industrial population while their highest are among
    the agricultural population - and they have a serious problem with the >>>> standard of education outside their big cities. So even if every rural >>>> "peasant" woman had 5 kids it wouldn't begin to solve their
    demographic problems.

    If there really were that many more men than women then there would be >>>> a major push to encourage them to travel in search of foreign brides.

    I've heard from people I know who are good friends with russians, that the >>> living conditions outside the biggest russian cities are medieval in
    quality, especially the country side.

    I wonder if the same goes for china?

    The big cities are show cases for the world, and outside them, medieval
    conditions reign.

    "Medieval" might be a stretch. Even in Russia.

    Something much older might well be the case.

    About 20% of Russian households do not have flush toilets. https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2019/04/02/indoor-plumbing-still-a-pipe-dream-for-20-of-russian-households-reports-say-a65049

    vs 0.1% to 0.5% in the US, depending who you believe.

    I can add some anecdotal evidence here as well. I met a Ukrainian refugee
    in my local bar a couple of months ago and she told me that in her home
    town, after the russians invaded, all the toilets where missing from the houses.

    The russian soldiers removed all of them, loaded on trucks and sent back
    to their home villages in russia.

    Best regards,
    Daniel

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Scott Lurndal@21:1/5 to Chris Buckley on Mon Feb 12 20:31:54 2024
    Chris Buckley <alan@sabir.com> writes:
    On 2024-02-12, Scott Lurndal <scott@slp53.sl.home> wrote:
    D <nospam@example.net> writes:

    I think shooting nuclear waste into the sun probably won't be feasible >>>until we have some form of launch system that does not rely on rockets.

    It takes far less energy to "shoot nuclear waste" into deep space.

    To hit the sun requires massive amounts of fuel to slow the orbital
    speed of the rocket, or very long trips using multiple gravity assists
    around the inner planets to slow the rocket.

    Throwing "nuclear waste" into the sun is a non-starter.

    Then, you must consider the mass of the waste - it consists of
    heavy elements and there is a considerable amount of it. We're
    talking thousands of rocket launches. Just one launch
    failure could contaminate large areas of the planet. Are you
    willing to take that risk?

    Yes, I agree that the danger is large. It's already difficult
    politically to launch nuclear powered spacecraft where the dangerous
    amounts are much smaller.

    If we ever accumulate much nuclear waste in orbit or on the moon,it may
    be less dangerous to shoot it into the sun than let it stay around.

    Surely you meant "shoot it into deep space"? What if it turns out
    to be potentially useful in 200 years? (even today, some can be
    reprocessed into useful fuel).

    I'd park it in the orbital plane of the asteroid belt.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Chris Buckley@21:1/5 to Scott Lurndal on Mon Feb 12 20:53:32 2024
    On 2024-02-12, Scott Lurndal <scott@slp53.sl.home> wrote:
    Chris Buckley <alan@sabir.com> writes:
    On 2024-02-12, Scott Lurndal <scott@slp53.sl.home> wrote:
    D <nospam@example.net> writes:

    I think shooting nuclear waste into the sun probably won't be feasible >>>>until we have some form of launch system that does not rely on rockets.

    It takes far less energy to "shoot nuclear waste" into deep space.

    To hit the sun requires massive amounts of fuel to slow the orbital
    speed of the rocket, or very long trips using multiple gravity assists
    around the inner planets to slow the rocket.

    Throwing "nuclear waste" into the sun is a non-starter.

    Then, you must consider the mass of the waste - it consists of
    heavy elements and there is a considerable amount of it. We're
    talking thousands of rocket launches. Just one launch
    failure could contaminate large areas of the planet. Are you
    willing to take that risk?

    Yes, I agree that the danger is large. It's already difficult
    politically to launch nuclear powered spacecraft where the dangerous >>amounts are much smaller.

    If we ever accumulate much nuclear waste in orbit or on the moon,it may
    be less dangerous to shoot it into the sun than let it stay around.

    Surely you meant "shoot it into deep space"? What if it turns out
    to be potentially useful in 200 years? (even today, some can be
    reprocessed into useful fuel).
    I'd park it in the orbital plane of the asteroid belt.

    No. There are two types of danger here to avoid.

    The first is the direct danger of the nuclear material. Deep space
    is fine for that and the benefits are as you say.

    The second is that nefarious parties could take control of the
    material. It's a tremendous extortion weapon for a criminal element.
    I don't want to leave dangerous weapons like that just lying around.
    I wouldn't trust whatever safeguards then-present-day technology would
    put on. I would much prefer to get rid of the danger altogether.

    The potential benefits aren't worth the risks, IMO.

    Chris

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Scott Lurndal@21:1/5 to Chris Buckley on Mon Feb 12 21:02:12 2024
    Chris Buckley <alan@sabir.com> writes:
    On 2024-02-12, Scott Lurndal <scott@slp53.sl.home> wrote:
    Chris Buckley <alan@sabir.com> writes:
    On 2024-02-12, Scott Lurndal <scott@slp53.sl.home> wrote:
    D <nospam@example.net> writes:

    I think shooting nuclear waste into the sun probably won't be feasible >>>>>until we have some form of launch system that does not rely on rockets. >>>>
    It takes far less energy to "shoot nuclear waste" into deep space.

    To hit the sun requires massive amounts of fuel to slow the orbital
    speed of the rocket, or very long trips using multiple gravity assists >>>> around the inner planets to slow the rocket.

    Throwing "nuclear waste" into the sun is a non-starter.

    Then, you must consider the mass of the waste - it consists of
    heavy elements and there is a considerable amount of it. We're
    talking thousands of rocket launches. Just one launch
    failure could contaminate large areas of the planet. Are you
    willing to take that risk?

    Yes, I agree that the danger is large. It's already difficult >>>politically to launch nuclear powered spacecraft where the dangerous >>>amounts are much smaller.

    If we ever accumulate much nuclear waste in orbit or on the moon,it may >>>be less dangerous to shoot it into the sun than let it stay around.

    Surely you meant "shoot it into deep space"? What if it turns out
    to be potentially useful in 200 years? (even today, some can be
    reprocessed into useful fuel).
    I'd park it in the orbital plane of the asteroid belt.

    No. There are two types of danger here to avoid.

    The first is the direct danger of the nuclear material. Deep space
    is fine for that and the benefits are as you say.

    The second is that nefarious parties could take control of the
    material.

    A bit of a stretch, perhaps. If someone has the wherewithal to
    get to the the asteroid belt (or interstellar space, if that's
    where you decide to send it) they probably don't need the waste
    stocks to cause trouble.

    But, point noted.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Chris Buckley@21:1/5 to Scott Lurndal on Mon Feb 12 21:24:04 2024
    On 2024-02-12, Scott Lurndal <scott@slp53.sl.home> wrote:
    Chris Buckley <alan@sabir.com> writes:
    On 2024-02-12, Scott Lurndal <scott@slp53.sl.home> wrote:
    Chris Buckley <alan@sabir.com> writes:
    On 2024-02-12, Scott Lurndal <scott@slp53.sl.home> wrote:
    D <nospam@example.net> writes:

    I think shooting nuclear waste into the sun probably won't be feasible >>>>>>until we have some form of launch system that does not rely on rockets. >>>>>
    It takes far less energy to "shoot nuclear waste" into deep space.

    To hit the sun requires massive amounts of fuel to slow the orbital
    speed of the rocket, or very long trips using multiple gravity assists >>>>> around the inner planets to slow the rocket.

    Throwing "nuclear waste" into the sun is a non-starter.

    Then, you must consider the mass of the waste - it consists of
    heavy elements and there is a considerable amount of it. We're
    talking thousands of rocket launches. Just one launch
    failure could contaminate large areas of the planet. Are you
    willing to take that risk?

    Yes, I agree that the danger is large. It's already difficult >>>>politically to launch nuclear powered spacecraft where the dangerous >>>>amounts are much smaller.

    If we ever accumulate much nuclear waste in orbit or on the moon,it may >>>>be less dangerous to shoot it into the sun than let it stay around.

    Surely you meant "shoot it into deep space"? What if it turns out
    to be potentially useful in 200 years? (even today, some can be
    reprocessed into useful fuel).
    I'd park it in the orbital plane of the asteroid belt.

    No. There are two types of danger here to avoid.

    The first is the direct danger of the nuclear material. Deep space
    is fine for that and the benefits are as you say.

    The second is that nefarious parties could take control of the
    material.

    A bit of a stretch, perhaps. If someone has the wherewithal to
    get to the the asteroid belt (or interstellar space, if that's
    where you decide to send it) they probably don't need the waste
    stocks to cause trouble.
    But, point noted.

    Somewhat a stretch. It occurrs to me now that terrestrial governments
    not wanting to give such a weapon to outer-space populations may be more
    of a reason to fire the dangers into the sun.

    I really don't know what society will be like in, say, 150 years. As
    technology increases, the availability of civilization-affecting
    catastrophes increases. Society is going to have to have to have
    some mechanisms for controlling those dangers; I don't know what they
    will be. I fear I won't like many of those mechanisms!

    Chris

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From Scott Lurndal@21:1/5 to Chris Buckley on Mon Feb 12 22:20:25 2024
    Chris Buckley <alan@sabir.com> writes:
    On 2024-02-12, Scott Lurndal <scott@slp53.sl.home> wrote:
    Chris Buckley <alan@sabir.com> writes:
    On 2024-02-12, Scott Lurndal <scott@slp53.sl.home> wrote:
    Chris Buckley <alan@sabir.com> writes:
    On 2024-02-12, Scott Lurndal <scott@slp53.sl.home> wrote:
    D <nospam@example.net> writes:

    I think shooting nuclear waste into the sun probably won't be feasible >>>>>>>until we have some form of launch system that does not rely on rockets. >>>>>>
    It takes far less energy to "shoot nuclear waste" into deep space. >>>>>>
    To hit the sun requires massive amounts of fuel to slow the orbital >>>>>> speed of the rocket, or very long trips using multiple gravity assists >>>>>> around the inner planets to slow the rocket.

    Throwing "nuclear waste" into the sun is a non-starter.

    Then, you must consider the mass of the waste - it consists of
    heavy elements and there is a considerable amount of it. We're
    talking thousands of rocket launches. Just one launch
    failure could contaminate large areas of the planet. Are you
    willing to take that risk?

    Yes, I agree that the danger is large. It's already difficult >>>>>politically to launch nuclear powered spacecraft where the dangerous >>>>>amounts are much smaller.

    If we ever accumulate much nuclear waste in orbit or on the moon,it may >>>>>be less dangerous to shoot it into the sun than let it stay around.

    Surely you meant "shoot it into deep space"? What if it turns out
    to be potentially useful in 200 years? (even today, some can be
    reprocessed into useful fuel).
    I'd park it in the orbital plane of the asteroid belt.

    No. There are two types of danger here to avoid.

    The first is the direct danger of the nuclear material. Deep space
    is fine for that and the benefits are as you say.

    The second is that nefarious parties could take control of the
    material.

    A bit of a stretch, perhaps. If someone has the wherewithal to
    get to the the asteroid belt (or interstellar space, if that's
    where you decide to send it) they probably don't need the waste
    stocks to cause trouble.
    But, point noted.

    Somewhat a stretch. It occurrs to me now that terrestrial governments
    not wanting to give such a weapon to outer-space populations may be more
    of a reason to fire the dangers into the sun.

    Elon Musk aside, 'outer-space populations' are also a bit of a stretch,
    and it's likely that any outer-space population will have a high
    technology level. It doesn't require transuranics to nudge an asteroid
    into an earth-interesecting orbit.

    I really don't know what society will be like in, say, 150 years. As >technology increases, the availability of civilization-affecting
    catastrophes increases. Society is going to have to have to have
    some mechanisms for controlling those dangers; I don't know what they
    will be. I fear I won't like many of those mechanisms!

    Resource conflicts are already underway....

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Titus G@21:1/5 to All on Tue Feb 13 16:42:21 2024
    On 13/02/24 08:35, D wrote:


    On Mon, 12 Feb 2024, Cryptoengineer wrote:
    snip


    About 20% of Russian households do not have flush toilets.

    9% of Urban households.

    https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2019/04/02/indoor-plumbing-still-a-pipe-dream-for-20-of-russian-households-reports-say-a65049

    vs 0.1% to 0.5% in the US, depending who you believe.

    I can add some anecdotal evidence here as well. I met a Ukrainian
    refugee in my local bar a couple of months ago and she told me that in
    her home town, after the russians invaded, all the toilets where missing
    from the houses.

    The russian soldiers removed all of them, loaded on trucks and sent back
    to their home villages in russia.

    Best regards,
    Daniel


    Next time you are drunk, ask her if they took the plumbing and piping as
    well.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From D@21:1/5 to Titus G on Tue Feb 13 10:13:00 2024
    On Tue, 13 Feb 2024, Titus G wrote:

    On 13/02/24 08:35, D wrote:


    On Mon, 12 Feb 2024, Cryptoengineer wrote:
    snip


    About 20% of Russian households do not have flush toilets.

    9% of Urban households.

    https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2019/04/02/indoor-plumbing-still-a-pipe-dream-for-20-of-russian-households-reports-say-a65049

    vs 0.1% to 0.5% in the US, depending who you believe.

    I can add some anecdotal evidence here as well. I met a Ukrainian
    refugee in my local bar a couple of months ago and she told me that in
    her home town, after the russians invaded, all the toilets where missing
    from the houses.

    The russian soldiers removed all of them, loaded on trucks and sent back
    to their home villages in russia.

    Best regards,
    Daniel


    Next time you are drunk, ask her if they took the plumbing and piping as well.


    I wasn't drunk, and they did not take plumbing and piping. Any other
    questions?

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Quadibloc@21:1/5 to Scott Lurndal on Tue Feb 13 11:44:31 2024
    On Sat, 10 Feb 2024 00:10:02 +0000, Scott Lurndal wrote:

    Again, you put words in my mouth. I've always said that nuclear
    will play a role in the answer. I continue to believe that it cannot
    be the sole answer and that renewables must play play a large role.

    And that is quite a reasonable position. However, when I look
    at the rate at which we are currently addressing global warming,
    I think we have to do *much* better.

    And if nuclear plays a much larger role, one that dwarfs renewables
    like wind and solar (but not hydroelectric), _then_ the current
    major political objection (the visible one, not hidden ones like environmentalists having a hidden agenda and conservatives
    being shills for the oil companies) vanishes - that renewables
    won't supply the vast amounts of energy (felt to be?) required
    for the desired level of economic activity, and the heavy
    industry needed for national defense.

    So presumably it ought to be possible to find the right conservatives
    to make support for adequately addressing global warming
    bipartisan.

    John Savard

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From Quadibloc@21:1/5 to Cryptoengineer on Tue Feb 13 11:59:29 2024
    On Thu, 08 Feb 2024 13:07:37 -0500, Cryptoengineer wrote:

    On 2/8/2024 9:36 AM, James Nicoll wrote:

    It's a self-limiting problem, though. Once climate change begins
    to significantly affect agriculture, the human population should
    decline and with it demand. In the long run, no more serious than
    the effects of the Siberian traps.

    Yup, only 70-90% of life dies, and only a few million years to recover.

    From that point of view, it's easy to see why some would prefer
    letting Russia or China conquer the world. There, it would only
    be a thousand years or so to recover.

    John Savard

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From D@21:1/5 to Quadibloc on Tue Feb 13 17:19:32 2024
    On Tue, 13 Feb 2024, Quadibloc wrote:

    Also, if Donald Trump becomes the next President, the
    proliferation of nuclear weapons to Canada, Australia, and
    most especially Finland, Sweden, Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania
    and Poland doesn't actually sound like a bad thing to me.
    Instead, it sounds like a *necessity* to maintain the stability

    I agree.

    of the current global situation. Pity Ukraine did not have a
    full-scale strategic nuclear deterrent; the current conflict

    Didn't russia persuade Ukraine to hand back all nuclear weapons on their
    soil when they became free or was it that they had to promise to destroy
    the nukes?

    there would simply never have happened, and it would have
    remained as peacefully independent of Russia as, say, France
    currently is.

    True.


    John Savard


    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From Christian Weisgerber@21:1/5 to nospam@example.net on Tue Feb 13 18:40:50 2024
    On 2024-02-13, D <nospam@example.net> wrote:

    Didn't russia persuade Ukraine to hand back all nuclear weapons on their
    soil when they became free

    It's a bit more complicated, but basically Ukraine received security assurances, including from Russia, for giving up the Soviet nuclear
    weapons it had inherited on its territory. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Budapest_Memorandum

    --
    Christian "naddy" Weisgerber naddy@mips.inka.de

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From Scott Lurndal@21:1/5 to Lynn McGuire on Tue Feb 13 20:47:43 2024
    Lynn McGuire <lynnmcguire5@gmail.com> writes:
    On 2/13/2024 4:46 AM, Quadibloc wrote:
    On Wednesday, February 7, 2024 at 3:33:29 AM UTC-7, Robert Carnegie wrote: >>
    I perceive that your "natural gas"
    is fossil reserves of methane.
    Which is worse to let into the
    atmosphere than carbon dioxide is,
    on a human lifespan scale.

    This applies to cow farts.

    When people dig natural gas out of
    the ground, it is done with the intent
    of burning it, producing some
    carbon dioxide, and some water
    vapor. While most hydrocarbons
    have about half as many carbon atoms
    as hydrogen atoms, the ratio in the case
    of methane is one carbon atom to four
    hydrogen atoms.

    Of course, methane production and use
    is not absolutely without a small percentage
    of leakage, but that doesn't automatically
    make natural gas worse than other
    hydrocarbons.

    John Savard

    Natural gas is typically 90+% methane. Methane is 40% hydrogen by
    weight. The conversion equation is CH4 + 2O2 -> CO2 + 2H2O.

    Methane in the atmosphere naturally converts to CO2 and H2O within ten
    years.
    [7 to 12 years]

    And all three are potent greenhouse gasses, so the decomposition of
    CH4 in a decade doesn't really matter in that context.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From D@21:1/5 to Christian Weisgerber on Tue Feb 13 22:48:49 2024
    On Tue, 13 Feb 2024, Christian Weisgerber wrote:

    On 2024-02-13, D <nospam@example.net> wrote:

    Didn't russia persuade Ukraine to hand back all nuclear weapons on their
    soil when they became free

    It's a bit more complicated, but basically Ukraine received security assurances, including from Russia, for giving up the Soviet nuclear
    weapons it had inherited on its territory. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Budapest_Memorandum

    Ahhh... thank you for refreshing my memory!

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Mad Hamish@21:1/5 to naddy@mips.inka.de on Wed Feb 14 10:25:59 2024
    On Tue, 13 Feb 2024 18:40:50 -0000 (UTC), Christian Weisgerber <naddy@mips.inka.de> wrote:

    On 2024-02-13, D <nospam@example.net> wrote:

    Didn't russia persuade Ukraine to hand back all nuclear weapons on their
    soil when they became free

    It's a bit more complicated, but basically Ukraine received security >assurances, including from Russia, for giving up the Soviet nuclear
    weapons it had inherited on its territory. >https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Budapest_Memorandum

    and they've almost been worth the paper they're printed on...

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Mad Hamish@21:1/5 to jsavard@ecn.ab.ca on Wed Feb 14 11:03:42 2024
    On Tue, 13 Feb 2024 02:46:25 -0800 (PST), Quadibloc
    <jsavard@ecn.ab.ca> wrote:

    On Wednesday, February 7, 2024 at 3:33:29?AM UTC-7, Robert Carnegie wrote:

    I perceive that your "natural gas"
    is fossil reserves of methane.
    Which is worse to let into the
    atmosphere than carbon dioxide is,
    on a human lifespan scale.

    This applies to cow farts.

    When people dig natural gas out of
    the ground, it is done with the intent
    of burning it, producing some
    carbon dioxide, and some water
    vapor. While most hydrocarbons
    have about half as many carbon atoms
    as hydrogen atoms, the ratio in the case
    of methane is one carbon atom to four
    hydrogen atoms.

    Of course, methane production and use
    is not absolutely without a small percentage
    of leakage, but that doesn't automatically
    make natural gas worse than other
    hydrocarbons.

    Some people have checked around fracking and other natural gas
    extraction areas and found much higher leakage levels than the
    industry claims.
    If those figures are accurate then it puts natural gas at about the
    same level of greenhouse emissions as coal generators for produced
    energy
    I think it's something that needs independent, reputable investigation
    rather than depending on the industry or environment groups figures
    but it's a concern.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Mad Hamish@21:1/5 to quadibloc@servername.invalid on Wed Feb 14 11:06:44 2024
    On Tue, 13 Feb 2024 11:44:31 -0000 (UTC), Quadibloc <quadibloc@servername.invalid> wrote:

    On Sat, 10 Feb 2024 00:10:02 +0000, Scott Lurndal wrote:

    Again, you put words in my mouth. I've always said that nuclear
    will play a role in the answer. I continue to believe that it cannot
    be the sole answer and that renewables must play play a large role.

    And that is quite a reasonable position. However, when I look
    at the rate at which we are currently addressing global warming,
    I think we have to do *much* better.

    Which is not achieved by delaying the rapid building of renewables in
    order to have yet another decades long debate on maybe in the future
    building some nuclear power plants with decade long construction time
    and massive construction costs.

    And if nuclear plays a much larger role, one that dwarfs renewables
    like wind and solar (but not hydroelectric), _then_ the current
    major political objection (the visible one, not hidden ones like >environmentalists having a hidden agenda and conservatives
    being shills for the oil companies) vanishes - that renewables
    won't supply the vast amounts of energy (felt to be?) required
    for the desired level of economic activity, and the heavy
    industry needed for national defense.

    So presumably it ought to be possible to find the right conservatives
    to make support for adequately addressing global warming
    bipartisan.

    fossil fuel companies donate a lot more to politicians than nuclear
    does.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From Mike Van Pelt@21:1/5 to petertrei@gmail.com on Wed Feb 14 03:32:50 2024
    In article <uq35b6$22opb$2@dont-email.me>,
    Cryptoengineer <petertrei@gmail.com> wrote:
    On 2/7/2024 6:33 PM, Mike Van Pelt wrote:
    Assuming, of course, that the "environmental hysterics"
    really care about the environment, and aren't just using
    it as a ploy for an entirely other agenda.

    What 'other agenda' are you proposing?

    Who knows? Whatever it is, it isn't CO2 if they oppose
    nuclear power. "Back to Nature" seems to be a big
    part of it. I suspect those would be shocked to find
    that to be "red in tooth and claw". But reality
    doesn't seem to be their strong suit.

    --
    Mike Van Pelt | "I don't advise it unless you're nuts."
    mvp at calweb.com | -- Ray Wilkinson, after riding out Hurricane
    KE6BVH | Ike on Surfside Beach in Galveston

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From Mike Van Pelt@21:1/5 to lynnmcguire5@gmail.com on Wed Feb 14 03:46:58 2024
    In article <uq3fp6$24lb7$2@dont-email.me>,
    Lynn McGuire <lynnmcguire5@gmail.com> wrote:
    Throw the unreclaimable nuclear waste into the Sun.

    Realizing that this comment might have been intended
    to be somewhat flippant...

    The energy requirement to throw something into the Sun
    is considerably higher than to eject it from the Solar
    System entirely. Orbital mechanics be weird. Or, at
    least, non-intuitive.
    --
    Mike Van Pelt | "I don't advise it unless you're nuts."
    mvp at calweb.com | -- Ray Wilkinson, after riding out Hurricane
    KE6BVH | Ike on Surfside Beach in Galveston

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Mike Van Pelt@21:1/5 to Scott Lurndal on Wed Feb 14 03:39:45 2024
    In article <ewsxN.78098$Sf59.8@fx48.iad>,
    Scott Lurndal <slp53@pacbell.net> wrote:
    Given the current decade+ and $$$$$$ it takes to build a plant, ...

    It didn't used to take that long to build a nuclear power
    plant, and the laws of physics have not changed.

    What we have once accomplished in the past, we can
    aspire to do in the future.

    --
    Mike Van Pelt | "I don't advise it unless you're nuts."
    mvp at calweb.com | -- Ray Wilkinson, after riding out Hurricane
    KE6BVH | Ike on Surfside Beach in Galveston

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Scott Dorsey@21:1/5 to newsunspammelaws@iinet.unspamme.net on Wed Feb 14 03:54:14 2024
    Mad Hamish <newsunspammelaws@iinet.unspamme.net.au> wrote:
    Some people have checked around fracking and other natural gas
    extraction areas and found much higher leakage levels than the
    industry claims.

    It is pretty clear that the leakage is very, very high. This is a bad
    thing for the gas industry not only because it gets them terrible
    publicity what with people's wells getting contaminated and flammable
    gas coming out of their water taps, but ALSO because the gas industry
    is in the business of selling gas. Gas that escapes into the atmosphere
    is gas that cannot be sold.

    If those figures are accurate then it puts natural gas at about the
    same level of greenhouse emissions as coal generators for produced
    energy

    I can believe that.

    I think it's something that needs independent, reputable investigation
    rather than depending on the industry or environment groups figures
    but it's a concern.

    It is a concern but I think if it can be presented to the industry as
    a source of financial loss they might actually be able to investigate
    ways to stop it.
    --scott
    --
    "C'est un Nagra. C'est suisse, et tres, tres precis."

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Scott Dorsey@21:1/5 to noone@nowhere.com on Wed Feb 14 03:35:52 2024
    In article <uqeof0$1ud4r$1@dont-email.me>, Titus G <noone@nowhere.com> wrote: >On 13/02/24 08:35, D wrote:
    On Mon, 12 Feb 2024, Cryptoengineer wrote:


    About 20% of Russian households do not have flush toilets.

    9% of Urban households.

    To be honest, the second fact is far more alarming than the first. The
    county adjacent to mine here in Virginia has something like 200 homes
    with outdoor toilets but... living without a flush toilet in a city has
    got to be a horror.
    --scott

    --
    "C'est un Nagra. C'est suisse, et tres, tres precis."

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From Scott Dorsey@21:1/5 to jsavard@ecn.ab.ca on Wed Feb 14 03:40:44 2024
    Quadibloc <jsavard@ecn.ab.ca> wrote:
    As the United States *already has* nuclear weapons, there is
    no risk of nuclear proliferation if the United States gets its
    electricity from breeder reactors.

    It's alarming enough that the US government has nuclear weapons. I am much more worried about Google, Wells Fargo, AT&T, or MS13 having them. The
    more transuranics are out there, the greater that chance of them getting diverted. It's not difficult to make a bomb once you have either
    uranium that has been enriched to weapons grade, or low grade plutonium
    alloy which can be enriched with a comparatively simple chemical process. --scott
    --
    "C'est un Nagra. C'est suisse, et tres, tres precis."

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From Scott Dorsey@21:1/5 to rja.carnegie@gmail.com on Wed Feb 14 14:11:36 2024
    Robert Carnegie <rja.carnegie@gmail.com> wrote:
    On 14/02/2024 03:39, Mike Van Pelt wrote:
    In article <ewsxN.78098$Sf59.8@fx48.iad>,
    Scott Lurndal <slp53@pacbell.net> wrote:
    Given the current decade+ and $$$$$$ it takes to build a plant, ...

    It didn't used to take that long to build a nuclear power
    plant, and the laws of physics have not changed.

    What we have once accomplished in the past, we can
    aspire to do in the future.

    I think we don't want to have more
    nuclear power stations built the old way.

    And "the old way" probably runs up to about
    last year.

    I'm speaking in general, not particularly.
    But there are conspicuous examples of "oops".

    Much of the problem to my mind is that these plants are being designed by
    civil engineers.... aero engineers think very differently about risks... --scott
    --
    "C'est un Nagra. C'est suisse, et tres, tres precis."

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From Scott Dorsey@21:1/5 to lynnmcguire5@gmail.com on Wed Feb 14 14:08:14 2024
    Lynn McGuire <lynnmcguire5@gmail.com> wrote:

    Natural gas is typically 90+% methane. Methane is 40% hydrogen by
    weight. The conversion equation is CH4 + 2O2 -> CO2 + 2H2O.

    Yes. Unfortunately methane is very very effective at trapping radiation in
    the atmosphere, something like 28 times more effective than CO2. So even though the total amount of methane in the atmosphere is pretty low, it has
    an outsized contribution to warming.

    Most of that methane has been the product of agriculture but nobody is really sure what the actual amount produced by fracking is now. Finding that out is the first step and there is some resistance on the part of the industry to
    do that.

    Methane in the atmosphere naturally converts to CO2 and H2O within ten
    years.

    Yes, but ten years is a very long time. This is the problem.
    --scott

    --
    "C'est un Nagra. C'est suisse, et tres, tres precis."

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From Scott Dorsey@21:1/5 to jsavard@ecn.ab.ca on Wed Feb 14 14:10:15 2024
    Quadibloc <jsavard@ecn.ab.ca> wrote:
    On Tuesday, February 13, 2024 at 8:40:49=E2=80=AFPM UTC-7, Scott Dorsey wro= >te:

    It's alarming enough that the US government has nuclear weapons. I am muc= >h=20
    more worried about Google, Wells Fargo, AT&T, or MS13 having them.

    In that case, panic! Because General Electric already has them!

    Oh, I have been panicking about that for a long time now, yes.
    --scott
    --
    "C'est un Nagra. C'est suisse, et tres, tres precis."

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From Scott Dorsey@21:1/5 to rja.carnegie@gmail.com on Wed Feb 14 14:15:18 2024
    Robert Carnegie <rja.carnegie@gmail.com> wrote:
    As worded, I'd expect that /exclusive/
    access to an /outhouse/ with plumbing
    counts. Though now I'm anxious about
    washing of hands.

    You really don't want an outhouse with plumbing in a cold climate where
    it freezes. Okay in Thailand though.
    --scott
    --
    "C'est un Nagra. C'est suisse, et tres, tres precis."

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From Scott Lurndal@21:1/5 to Scott Dorsey on Wed Feb 14 15:43:07 2024
    kludge@panix.com (Scott Dorsey) writes:
    Robert Carnegie <rja.carnegie@gmail.com> wrote:
    As worded, I'd expect that /exclusive/
    access to an /outhouse/ with plumbing
    counts. Though now I'm anxious about
    washing of hands.

    You really don't want an outhouse with plumbing in a cold climate where
    it freezes.

    You don't want an outhouse _without_ plumbing in a cold climate, either.

    Trust me, it's quite unpleasant at 2200 hours when it's -10F.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From Quadibloc@21:1/5 to The Horny Goat on Wed Feb 14 16:31:23 2024
    On Sun, 11 Feb 2024 14:39:16 -0800, The Horny Goat wrote:

    If there really were that many more men than women then there would be
    a major push to encourage them to travel in search of foreign brides.

    This would assume China is considerably wealthier than it actually
    is on a per capita basis, I would think.

    John Savard

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Paul S Person@21:1/5 to petertrei@gmail.com on Wed Feb 14 08:49:34 2024
    On Wed, 14 Feb 2024 08:56:15 -0500, Cryptoengineer
    <petertrei@gmail.com> wrote:

    On 2/13/2024 10:32 PM, Mike Van Pelt wrote:
    In article <uq35b6$22opb$2@dont-email.me>,
    Cryptoengineer <petertrei@gmail.com> wrote:
    On 2/7/2024 6:33 PM, Mike Van Pelt wrote:
    Assuming, of course, that the "environmental hysterics"
    really care about the environment, and aren't just using
    it as a ploy for an entirely other agenda.

    What 'other agenda' are you proposing?

    Being anti-nuclear makes no sense now that we have
    anthropic climate change to worry about. I suspect
    that at least some of the Green's anti-nuke stance
    is a hangover from before when ACC was a major worry.

    More likely it stemmed from the Comintern, to try to get nuclear
    weapons out of Europe so Europe could be conquered.

    Note that your "at least some" applies here.

    I have no idea what "ACC" refers to. Bing shows a sports organization
    and an instution of higher learning, neither of which seem likely.
    --
    "Here lies the Tuscan poet Aretino,
    Who evil spoke of everyone but God,
    Giving as his excuse, 'I never knew him.'"

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Paul S Person@21:1/5 to Scott Dorsey on Wed Feb 14 08:51:14 2024
    On 14 Feb 2024 03:35:52 -0000, kludge@panix.com (Scott Dorsey) wrote:

    In article <uqeof0$1ud4r$1@dont-email.me>, Titus G <noone@nowhere.com> wrote: >>On 13/02/24 08:35, D wrote:
    On Mon, 12 Feb 2024, Cryptoengineer wrote:


    About 20% of Russian households do not have flush toilets.

    9% of Urban households.

    To be honest, the second fact is far more alarming than the first. The >county adjacent to mine here in Virginia has something like 200 homes
    with outdoor toilets but... living without a flush toilet in a city has
    got to be a horror.

    If back yards exist, it shouldn't be any worse than in the country.

    Or before "water closets" were developed.
    --
    "Here lies the Tuscan poet Aretino,
    Who evil spoke of everyone but God,
    Giving as his excuse, 'I never knew him.'"

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Paul S Person@21:1/5 to Scott Dorsey on Wed Feb 14 08:58:10 2024
    On 14 Feb 2024 14:11:36 -0000, kludge@panix.com (Scott Dorsey) wrote:

    Robert Carnegie <rja.carnegie@gmail.com> wrote:
    On 14/02/2024 03:39, Mike Van Pelt wrote:
    In article <ewsxN.78098$Sf59.8@fx48.iad>,
    Scott Lurndal <slp53@pacbell.net> wrote:
    Given the current decade+ and $$$$$$ it takes to build a plant, ...

    It didn't used to take that long to build a nuclear power
    plant, and the laws of physics have not changed.

    What we have once accomplished in the past, we can
    aspire to do in the future.

    I think we don't want to have more
    nuclear power stations built the old way.

    And "the old way" probably runs up to about
    last year.

    I'm speaking in general, not particularly.
    But there are conspicuous examples of "oops".

    Much of the problem to my mind is that these plants are being designed by >civil engineers.... aero engineers think very differently about risks...

    Being run by MBAs may not be helping very much either.

    IIRC, the people actually doing the work at one such plant reported
    having to mark the really important switches with pull-tabs because
    the people-in-charge wanted to see nice clean control boards with all
    switches looking exactly the same.
    --
    "Here lies the Tuscan poet Aretino,
    Who evil spoke of everyone but God,
    Giving as his excuse, 'I never knew him.'"

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Scott Lurndal@21:1/5 to Paul S Person on Wed Feb 14 17:03:03 2024
    Paul S Person <psperson@old.netcom.invalid> writes:
    On Wed, 14 Feb 2024 08:56:15 -0500, Cryptoengineer
    <petertrei@gmail.com> wrote:

    On 2/13/2024 10:32 PM, Mike Van Pelt wrote:
    In article <uq35b6$22opb$2@dont-email.me>,
    Cryptoengineer <petertrei@gmail.com> wrote:
    On 2/7/2024 6:33 PM, Mike Van Pelt wrote:
    Assuming, of course, that the "environmental hysterics"
    really care about the environment, and aren't just using
    it as a ploy for an entirely other agenda.

    What 'other agenda' are you proposing?

    Being anti-nuclear makes no sense now that we have
    anthropic climate change to worry about. I suspect
    that at least some of the Green's anti-nuke stance
    is a hangover from before when ACC was a major worry.

    More likely it stemmed from the Comintern, to try to get nuclear
    weapons out of Europe so Europe could be conquered.

    Note that your "at least some" applies here.

    I have no idea what "ACC" refers to. Bing shows a sports organization
    and an instution of higher learning, neither of which seem likely.

    From context, I'd guess "Anthropological Climate Change"

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Paul S Person@21:1/5 to newsunspammelaws@iinet.unspamme.net on Wed Feb 14 09:10:05 2024
    On Wed, 14 Feb 2024 10:25:59 +1100, Mad Hamish <newsunspammelaws@iinet.unspamme.net.au> wrote:

    On Tue, 13 Feb 2024 18:40:50 -0000 (UTC), Christian Weisgerber ><naddy@mips.inka.de> wrote:

    On 2024-02-13, D <nospam@example.net> wrote:

    Didn't russia persuade Ukraine to hand back all nuclear weapons on their >>> soil when they became free

    It's a bit more complicated, but basically Ukraine received security >>assurances, including from Russia, for giving up the Soviet nuclear
    weapons it had inherited on its territory. >>https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Budapest_Memorandum

    and they've almost been worth the paper they're printed on...

    The one with Russia, yes. But the USA and others helping the Ukraine
    could be viewed as honoring them.

    At least in the past. And in the future as well if the Republicans
    ever wake up and decide to actually /do/ their jobs.
    --
    "Here lies the Tuscan poet Aretino,
    Who evil spoke of everyone but God,
    Giving as his excuse, 'I never knew him.'"

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Paul S Person@21:1/5 to rja.carnegie@gmail.com on Wed Feb 14 09:03:04 2024
    On Wed, 14 Feb 2024 11:27:56 +0000, Robert Carnegie
    <rja.carnegie@gmail.com> wrote:

    On 12/02/2024 23:19, Lynn McGuire wrote:
    On 2/12/2024 4:20 PM, Scott Lurndal wrote:
    Chris Buckley <alan@sabir.com> writes:
    On 2024-02-12, Scott Lurndal <scott@slp53.sl.home> wrote:
    Chris Buckley <alan@sabir.com> writes:
    On 2024-02-12, Scott Lurndal <scott@slp53.sl.home> wrote:
    Chris Buckley <alan@sabir.com> writes:
    On 2024-02-12, Scott Lurndal <scott@slp53.sl.home> wrote:
    D <nospam@example.net> writes:

    I think shooting nuclear waste into the sun probably won't be >>>>>>>>>> feasible
    until we have some form of launch system that does not rely on >>>>>>>>>> rockets.

    It takes far less energy to "shoot nuclear waste" into deep space. >>>>>>>>>
    To hit the sun requires massive amounts of fuel to slow the orbital >>>>>>>>> speed of the rocket, or very long trips using multiple gravity >>>>>>>>> assists
    around the inner planets to slow the rocket.

    Throwing "nuclear waste" into the sun is a non-starter.

    Then, you must consider the mass of the waste - it consists of >>>>>>>>> heavy elements and there is a considerable amount of it. We're >>>>>>>>> talking thousands of rocket launches. Just one launch
    failure could contaminate large areas of the planet. Are you >>>>>>>>> willing to take that risk?

    Yes, I agree that the danger is large. It's already difficult >>>>>>>> politically to launch nuclear powered spacecraft where the dangerous >>>>>>>> amounts are much smaller.

    If we ever accumulate much nuclear waste in orbit or on the
    moon,it may
    be less dangerous to shoot it into the sun than let it stay around. >>>>>>>
    Surely you meant "shoot it into deep space"? What if it turns out >>>>>>> to be potentially useful in 200 years? (even today, some can be >>>>>>> reprocessed into useful fuel).
    I'd park it in the orbital plane of the asteroid belt.

    No. There are two types of danger here to avoid.

    The first is the direct danger of the nuclear material. Deep space >>>>>> is fine for that and the benefits are as you say.

    The second is that nefarious parties could take control of the
    material.

    A bit of a stretch, perhaps. If someone has the wherewithal to
    get to the the asteroid belt (or interstellar space, if that's
    where you decide to send it) they probably don't need the waste
    stocks to cause trouble.
    But, point noted.

    Somewhat a stretch. It occurrs to me now that terrestrial governments >>>> not wanting to give such a weapon to outer-space populations may be more >>>> of a reason to fire the dangers into the sun.

    Elon Musk aside, 'outer-space populations' are also a bit of a stretch,
    and it's likely that any outer-space population will have a high
    technology level. It doesn't require transuranics to nudge an asteroid
    into an earth-interesecting orbit.

    I really don't know what society will be like in, say, 150 years. As
    technology increases, the availability of civilization-affecting
    catastrophes increases. Society is going to have to have to have
    some mechanisms for controlling those dangers; I don't know what they
    will be. I fear I won't like many of those mechanisms!

    Resource conflicts are already underway....

    The first documented resource conflict happened over 6,000 years between
    Cain and Able. Who knows how many resource conflicts happened before
    that ?

    Abel. I think the message of that story
    is, "When it comes to sacrificing property
    to God, priests prefer meat. Also,
    if your sacrifice pleases God, you may
    still get killed. Don't come crying to us
    if you do."

    An interesting possibility.

    I think I recall another story where
    the availability of good fruit to eat
    seemed to be a concern.

    I also recall an interpretation that meat
    eating was prohibited until Noah's time,
    so why was Abel raising livestock anyway?

    IIRC, this was sheep. He could have been raising them for the wool.
    And the hide. You don't have to eat 'em for them to have value.
    --
    "Here lies the Tuscan poet Aretino,
    Who evil spoke of everyone but God,
    Giving as his excuse, 'I never knew him.'"

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Titus G@21:1/5 to Robert Carnegie on Thu Feb 15 10:22:06 2024
    On 15/02/24 00:13, Robert Carnegie wrote:
    On 12/02/2024 19:35, D wrote:
    I can add some anecdotal evidence here as well. I met a Ukrainian
    refugee in my local bar a couple of months ago and she told me that in
    her home town, after the russians invaded, all the toilets where
    missing from the houses.

    The russian soldiers removed all of them, loaded on trucks and sent
    back to their home villages in russia.

    I'm shocked by the loo-ting.  :-)

    The reason why about 20% of Russian households do not have flush toilets
    is that villages do not have a common sewerage collection point nor the underground piping to do so.
    Stealing toilets would be illogical. Together with the great army
    discipline, it smells strongly of naive bullshit.

    And by the murderous iniquitous
    aggression, of course.


    Most refugees leaving Ukraine would be doing so to avoid conscription.
    Is that form of slavery what you mean by "murderous iniquitous aggression"?

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From D@21:1/5 to Titus G on Wed Feb 14 22:48:48 2024
    This message is in MIME format. The first part should be readable text,
    while the remaining parts are likely unreadable without MIME-aware tools.

    On Thu, 15 Feb 2024, Titus G wrote:

    On 15/02/24 00:13, Robert Carnegie wrote:
    On 12/02/2024 19:35, D wrote:
    I can add some anecdotal evidence here as well. I met a Ukrainian
    refugee in my local bar a couple of months ago and she told me that in
    her home town, after the russians invaded, all the toilets where
    missing from the houses.

    The russian soldiers removed all of them, loaded on trucks and sent
    back to their home villages in russia.

    I'm shocked by the loo-ting.  :-)

    The reason why about 20% of Russian households do not have flush toilets
    is that villages do not have a common sewerage collection point nor the underground piping to do so.
    Stealing toilets would be illogical. Together with the great army
    discipline, it smells strongly of naive bullshit.

    I have seen toilets in houses without common sewage, so that does not mean that you cannot use them.

    And by the murderous iniquitous
    aggression, of course.


    Most refugees leaving Ukraine would be doing so to avoid conscription.
    Is that form of slavery what you mean by "murderous iniquitous aggression"?

    Incorrect. Most refugees who leave are ukrainian women, children, elderly, sick and others who are allowed to leave.

    Are you pro Putin? You sound very pro Putin to me.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Scott Lurndal@21:1/5 to nospam@example.net on Wed Feb 14 22:08:04 2024
    D <nospam@example.net> writes:
    This message is in MIME format. The first part should be readable text,
    while the remaining parts are likely unreadable without MIME-aware tools.

    Please configure your usenet client to _NOT_ send MIME
    format posts. This is a text medium.


    --8323328-1183054958-1707947330=:4785
    Content-Type: text/plain; charset=UTF-8; format=flowed >Content-Transfer-Encoding: QUOTED-PRINTABLE



    On Thu, 15 Feb 2024, Titus G wrote:


    Most refugees leaving Ukraine would be doing so to avoid conscription.
    Is that form of slavery what you mean by "murderous iniquitous aggression= >"?

    Incorrect. Most refugees who leave are ukrainian women, children, elderly,= >=20
    sick and others who are allowed to leave.

    Are you pro Putin? You sound very pro Putin to me.

    I believe Titus is a kiwi, and not a mainstream kiwi.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Scott Lurndal@21:1/5 to Lynn McGuire on Wed Feb 14 22:05:44 2024
    Lynn McGuire <lynnmcguire5@gmail.com> writes:
    On 2/13/2024 9:46 PM, Mike Van Pelt wrote:
    In article <uq3fp6$24lb7$2@dont-email.me>,
    Lynn McGuire <lynnmcguire5@gmail.com> wrote:
    Throw the unreclaimable nuclear waste into the Sun.

    Realizing that this comment might have been intended
    to be somewhat flippant...

    The energy requirement to throw something into the Sun
    is considerably higher than to eject it from the Solar
    System entirely. Orbital mechanics be weird. Or, at
    least, non-intuitive.

    Nope, entirely serious. Many SF books and movies have stuff thrown into
    the Sun or the local star. It should be a downhill trip once you
    achieve LEO.

    Why should it be a downhill trip? You need to slow the orbital speed
    of the rocket[*] in order to orbit close enough to the sun for it to "fall" into
    the sun. Think shuttle re-entry writ very very large.

    And LEO is far from escape velocity (or did you mean Low Solar Orbit?)

    [*] Which leaves the earth in an orbit 1AU from the sun, at the same speed
    as the earth. You need to move the rocket to a closer orbit, which
    means slowing it down. That takes energy. Lots of energy. More than
    it would to send the rocket to interstellar space.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Scott Dorsey@21:1/5 to noone@nowhere.com on Wed Feb 14 22:40:12 2024
    In article <uqjatv$2qq8k$1@dont-email.me>, Titus G <noone@nowhere.com> wrote: >The reason why about 20% of Russian households do not have flush toilets
    is that villages do not have a common sewerage collection point nor the >underground piping to do so.

    We don't have any of that here either... we have septic systems in our backyards in most of the area. This is actually the limit to population density around here, I suspect.

    Stealing toilets would be illogical. Together with the great army
    discipline, it smells strongly of naive bullshit.

    People don't really get the notion of infrastructure. They think the toilet
    is magic, that they just flush and it all goes away. Talk to random people
    on the street about how cellphones work some time and you will boggle.

    One can argue that this is why politicians have a hard time putting money
    into infrastructure, because people don't notice it until it fails.
    --scott

    --
    "C'est un Nagra. C'est suisse, et tres, tres precis."

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Scott Dorsey@21:1/5 to rja.carnegie@gmail.com on Wed Feb 14 22:30:57 2024
    Robert Carnegie <rja.carnegie@gmail.com> wrote:
    This is true; however, I see no reason to believe that the United States
    is not capable of providing adequate security to shipments of nuclear
    materials for its power plants.

    But what if the U.S. decides, for radiological
    safety, to build its nuclear power plants
    in Canada?

    I think governments are more worried (as they should be) about nuclear proliferation than about radiological safety. The Soviet Union went through
    a big debate about whether they should build nuclear plants in other Warsaw Pact nations because they were worried about security of fissile materials.

    The US probably trusts Canada more than the Soviet Union trusted Poland
    and East Germany... although the US probably trusts Mexico even less unfortunately.

    Personally, I would rather see Canadians building nuclear power plants in
    the US.... they have done a better job on the whole of it than we have.

    And what about the rest of the world's need
    for energy production?

    They can eat Brioche!
    --scott
    --
    "C'est un Nagra. C'est suisse, et tres, tres precis."

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Scott Dorsey@21:1/5 to psperson@old.netcom.invalid on Wed Feb 14 22:35:09 2024
    Paul S Person <psperson@old.netcom.invalid> wrote:

    IIRC, the people actually doing the work at one such plant reported
    having to mark the really important switches with pull-tabs because
    the people-in-charge wanted to see nice clean control boards with all >switches looking exactly the same.

    Oh yeah, I see that kind of mentality all the time, and you can only fight
    so many of those fights with management.
    --scott
    --
    "C'est un Nagra. C'est suisse, et tres, tres precis."

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Scott Dorsey@21:1/5 to lynnmcguire5@gmail.com on Wed Feb 14 22:41:42 2024
    Lynn McGuire <lynnmcguire5@gmail.com> wrote:
    The bigger problem with outhouses here in Texas is yellow jackets and >copperheads. Both seem attracted to the rich, earthy smells. A
    detailed look above and in the pit is needful before just sitting down.

    This is why they are called "pit vipers," yes.

    I am fairly happy when the outhouse has real toilet paper. Leaves and
    grass really suck.

    A lot of people have had to install plumbing now that Sears Roebuck has
    shut down. National Geographic is too slick.
    --scott


    --
    "C'est un Nagra. C'est suisse, et tres, tres precis."

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Scott Lurndal@21:1/5 to Lynn McGuire on Wed Feb 14 23:33:28 2024
    Lynn McGuire <lynnmcguire5@gmail.com> writes:
    On 2/14/2024 4:46 PM, Cryptoengineer wrote:
    On 2/14/2024 4:48 PM, D wrote:


    On Thu, 15 Feb 2024, Titus G wrote:

    On 15/02/24 00:13, Robert Carnegie wrote:
    On 12/02/2024 19:35, D wrote:
    I can add some anecdotal evidence here as well. I met a Ukrainian
    refugee in my local bar a couple of months ago and she told me that in >>>>>> her home town, after the russians invaded, all the toilets where
    missing from the houses.

    The russian soldiers removed all of them, loaded on trucks and sent >>>>>> back to their home villages in russia.

    I'm shocked by the loo-ting.  :-)

    The reason why about 20% of Russian households do not have flush toilets >>>> is that villages do not have a common sewerage collection point nor the >>>> underground piping to do so.
    Stealing toilets would be illogical. Together with the great army
    discipline, it smells strongly of naive bullshit.

    I have seen toilets in houses without common sewage, so that does not
    mean that you cannot use them.

    Indeed, I live in such a house, as do most folk out in the country.
    What do you think a septic tank is for?

    pt

    Me too. Both my house and my office building have aerobic septic
    systems, 1,750 gallons for my house and 2,500 gallons for my office
    building and warehouse. Both are a total pain in the butt and expensive
    to maintain. But, maintenance is much better than sewage backup in the
    house like I had last year.

    I have a 1,200 gallon concrete tank, with a leach field. Aside
    from pumping every four or five years, cost has been zilch.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Ahasuerus@21:1/5 to Cryptoengineer on Wed Feb 14 18:26:26 2024
    On 2/14/2024 5:57 PM, Cryptoengineer wrote:
    On 2/14/2024 4:45 PM, Lynn McGuire wrote:
    On 2/13/2024 9:46 PM, Mike Van Pelt wrote:
    In article <uq3fp6$24lb7$2@dont-email.me>,
    Lynn McGuire  <lynnmcguire5@gmail.com> wrote:
    Throw the unreclaimable nuclear waste into the Sun.

    Realizing that this comment might have been intended
    to be somewhat flippant...

    The energy requirement to throw something into the Sun
    is considerably higher than to eject it from the Solar
    System entirely.  Orbital mechanics be weird. Or, at
    least, non-intuitive.

    Nope, entirely serious.  Many SF books and movies have stuff thrown
    into the Sun or the local star.  It should be a downhill trip once you
    achieve LEO.


    No, you also have to kill the orbital velocity of the Earth -
    that's another 67,000 mph, on top of the 17,500 mph just to get to LEO.

    That take a LOT of fuel.

    Believe it or not, 'SF books and movies' rarely get orbital
    mechanics right.

    ObSF:

    "For twenty-five years, ever since the first of the super rockets had
    gushed out to the barren Moon and then to semibarren Mars, Venus had
    been the goal of the explorers. Journeys there, however, had been
    forbidden until some means was discovered to overcome the danger of
    ships falling into the Sun. That incandescent fate had befallen two
    ships. And it had been mathematically proven, not merely by cranks, that
    such a catastrophe would happen to every spaceship until the planets
    Earth and Venus attained a certain general position with relation to
    each other and Jupiter." A. E. van Vogt, "A Can of Paint", _Astounding
    Science Fiction_, September 1944.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Paul S Person@21:1/5 to jsavard@ecn.ab.ca on Thu Feb 15 07:58:55 2024
    On Wed, 14 Feb 2024 09:10:18 -0800 (PST), Quadibloc
    <jsavard@ecn.ab.ca> wrote:

    On Wednesday, February 14, 2024 at 10:03:08?AM UTC-7, Scott Lurndal wrote:

    From context, I'd guess "Anthropological Climate Change"

    Anthropogenic, please. It isn't the fault of people like Franz Boas.

    But does he know the difference?
    --
    "Here lies the Tuscan poet Aretino,
    Who evil spoke of everyone but God,
    Giving as his excuse, 'I never knew him.'"

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Paul S Person@21:1/5 to Scott Dorsey on Thu Feb 15 08:09:11 2024
    On 14 Feb 2024 22:41:42 -0000, kludge@panix.com (Scott Dorsey) wrote:

    Lynn McGuire <lynnmcguire5@gmail.com> wrote:
    The bigger problem with outhouses here in Texas is yellow jackets and >>copperheads. Both seem attracted to the rich, earthy smells. A
    detailed look above and in the pit is needful before just sitting down.

    This is why they are called "pit vipers," yes.

    Ah. Humor. <https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pit_viper>
    --
    "Here lies the Tuscan poet Aretino,
    Who evil spoke of everyone but God,
    Giving as his excuse, 'I never knew him.'"

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Paul S Person@21:1/5 to petertrei@gmail.com on Thu Feb 15 08:04:18 2024
    On Wed, 14 Feb 2024 17:50:57 -0500, Cryptoengineer
    <petertrei@gmail.com> wrote:

    On 2/14/2024 11:49 AM, Paul S Person wrote:
    On Wed, 14 Feb 2024 08:56:15 -0500, Cryptoengineer
    <petertrei@gmail.com> wrote:

    On 2/13/2024 10:32 PM, Mike Van Pelt wrote:
    In article <uq35b6$22opb$2@dont-email.me>,
    Cryptoengineer <petertrei@gmail.com> wrote:
    On 2/7/2024 6:33 PM, Mike Van Pelt wrote:
    Assuming, of course, that the "environmental hysterics"
    really care about the environment, and aren't just using
    it as a ploy for an entirely other agenda.

    What 'other agenda' are you proposing?

    Being anti-nuclear makes no sense now that we have
    anthropic climate change to worry about. I suspect
    that at least some of the Green's anti-nuke stance
    is a hangover from before when ACC was a major worry.

    More likely it stemmed from the Comintern, to try to get nuclear
    weapons out of Europe so Europe could be conquered.

    Note that your "at least some" applies here.

    I have no idea what "ACC" refers to. Bing shows a sports organization
    and an instution of higher learning, neither of which seem likely.

    Anthropic Climate Change, mentioned earlier in the paragraph.

    And so it is. It helps if the acronym were given in parentheses after
    the term.

    Since Bing, when prompted by "anthropic climate change" (with or
    without the quotes) produces hits an "anthropogenic climate change"
    first and formost, I think Quaddie gets the prize here for actually
    knowing the terminology.

    There's a good deal of evidence that the German anti-nuclear
    movement was funded and promoted by Russia, to hook them on
    Russian natural gas.

    I was thinking "Soviet Union in the 70s/80s", but, if this has
    continued after the Soviet Union was no more, securing a market for
    natural gas is certainly plausible.
    --
    "Here lies the Tuscan poet Aretino,
    Who evil spoke of everyone but God,
    Giving as his excuse, 'I never knew him.'"

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Paul S Person@21:1/5 to lynnmcguire5@gmail.com on Thu Feb 15 08:13:38 2024
    On Wed, 14 Feb 2024 15:36:41 -0600, Lynn McGuire
    <lynnmcguire5@gmail.com> wrote:

    On 2/14/2024 4:40 AM, Robert Carnegie wrote:
    On 14/02/2024 03:35, Scott Dorsey wrote:
    In article <uqeof0$1ud4r$1@dont-email.me>, Titus G
    <noone@nowhere.com> wrote:
    On 13/02/24 08:35, D wrote:
    On Mon, 12 Feb 2024, Cryptoengineer wrote:


    About 20% of Russian households do not have flush toilets.

    9% of Urban households.

    To be honest, the second fact is far more alarming than the first. The
    county adjacent to mine here in Virginia has something like 200 homes
    with outdoor toilets but... living without a flush toilet in a city has
    got to be a horror.

    Some people speak well of the earth closet,
    but I don't know if Russia has those instead.

    Also, if the statistic is sourced, and
    is reasonably current i.e. later than
    say 1990, I'd also want to know whether
    /access/ to an indoor toilet counts.
    Such as in a boarding-house.

    As worded, I'd expect that /exclusive/
    access to an /outhouse/ with plumbing
    counts. Though now I'm anxious about
    washing of hands.

    I have never seen an outhouse with plumbing in Texas, Montana, Japan, >Europe, or Alaska.

    The bigger problem with outhouses here in Texas is yellow jackets and >copperheads. Both seem attracted to the rich, earthy smells. A
    detailed look above and in the pit is needful before just sitting down.

    I am fairly happy when the outhouse has real toilet paper. Leaves and
    grass really suck.

    This is where a habit of always carrying a roll of TP with you comes
    in handy.

    Except at home, of course, provided you have indoor plumbing and keep
    the shelves near the toilet stocked.

    Proper Planning Precludes Poor Performance

    My former USMC son reports that camel spiders are a serious problem in >outhouses in the middle east. The bites are quite serious.
    --
    "Here lies the Tuscan poet Aretino,
    Who evil spoke of everyone but God,
    Giving as his excuse, 'I never knew him.'"

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Paul S Person@21:1/5 to quadibloc@servername.invalid on Thu Feb 15 08:27:16 2024
    On Wed, 14 Feb 2024 16:31:23 -0000 (UTC), Quadibloc <quadibloc@servername.invalid> wrote:

    On Sun, 11 Feb 2024 14:39:16 -0800, The Horny Goat wrote:

    If there really were that many more men than women then there would be
    a major push to encourage them to travel in search of foreign brides.

    This would assume China is considerably wealthier than it actually
    is on a per capita basis, I would think.

    Alternately, China could re-institute a mail-order bride/indentured
    servant program. Or try to, anyway.
    --
    "Here lies the Tuscan poet Aretino,
    Who evil spoke of everyone but God,
    Giving as his excuse, 'I never knew him.'"

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Paul S Person@21:1/5 to petertrei@gmail.com on Thu Feb 15 08:33:25 2024
    On Wed, 14 Feb 2024 17:51:50 -0500, Cryptoengineer
    <petertrei@gmail.com> wrote:

    On 2/14/2024 11:58 AM, Paul S Person wrote:
    On 14 Feb 2024 14:11:36 -0000, kludge@panix.com (Scott Dorsey) wrote:

    Robert Carnegie <rja.carnegie@gmail.com> wrote:
    On 14/02/2024 03:39, Mike Van Pelt wrote:
    In article <ewsxN.78098$Sf59.8@fx48.iad>,
    Scott Lurndal <slp53@pacbell.net> wrote:
    Given the current decade+ and $$$$$$ it takes to build a plant, ... >>>>>
    It didn't used to take that long to build a nuclear power
    plant, and the laws of physics have not changed.

    What we have once accomplished in the past, we can
    aspire to do in the future.

    I think we don't want to have more
    nuclear power stations built the old way.

    And "the old way" probably runs up to about
    last year.

    I'm speaking in general, not particularly.
    But there are conspicuous examples of "oops".

    Much of the problem to my mind is that these plants are being designed by >>> civil engineers.... aero engineers think very differently about risks...

    Being run by MBAs may not be helping very much either.

    IIRC, the people actually doing the work at one such plant reported
    having to mark the really important switches with pull-tabs because
    the people-in-charge wanted to see nice clean control boards with all
    switches looking exactly the same.


    ITYM Beer Taps????

    A "beer tap" is a "tap" used for beer. A "tap" is a valve used to get
    a fluid out of a barrel. Or maple syrup out of a maple tree.

    The "pull-tab" meant here is the "built-in device used to open a
    beverage can" Bing brings up. The can can be said to have been
    "popped" when opened. The "beverage" could, of course, be beer.
    --
    "Here lies the Tuscan poet Aretino,
    Who evil spoke of everyone but God,
    Giving as his excuse, 'I never knew him.'"

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Scott Lurndal@21:1/5 to Paul S Person on Thu Feb 15 17:08:55 2024
    Paul S Person <psperson@old.netcom.invalid> writes:


    The "pull-tab" meant here is the "built-in device used to open a
    beverage can" Bing brings up. The can can be said to have been
    "popped" when opened. The "beverage" could, of course, be beer.

    I actually found a spent beer tab at the local county park
    yesterday. First one I've seen in decades.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Scott Lurndal@21:1/5 to Cryptoengineer on Thu Feb 15 17:50:41 2024
    Cryptoengineer <petertrei@gmail.com> writes:
    On 2/15/2024 10:58 AM, Paul S Person wrote:
    On Wed, 14 Feb 2024 09:10:18 -0800 (PST), Quadibloc
    <jsavard@ecn.ab.ca> wrote:

    On Wednesday, February 14, 2024 at 10:03:08?AM UTC-7, Scott Lurndal wrote: >>>
    From context, I'd guess "Anthropological Climate Change"

    Anthropogenic, please. It isn't the fault of people like Franz Boas.

    But does he know the difference?

    Just a brain fart. I do know the difference.

    Likewise.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From D@21:1/5 to Scott Lurndal on Thu Feb 15 23:21:57 2024
    On Wed, 14 Feb 2024, Scott Lurndal wrote:

    D <nospam@example.net> writes:
    This message is in MIME format. The first part should be readable text,
    while the remaining parts are likely unreadable without MIME-aware tools.

    Please configure your usenet client to _NOT_ send MIME
    format posts. This is a text medium.


    --8323328-1183054958-1707947330=:4785
    Content-Type: text/plain; charset=UTF-8; format=flowed
    Content-Transfer-Encoding: QUOTED-PRINTABLE



    On Thu, 15 Feb 2024, Titus G wrote:


    Most refugees leaving Ukraine would be doing so to avoid conscription.
    Is that form of slavery what you mean by "murderous iniquitous aggression= >> "?

    Incorrect. Most refugees who leave are ukrainian women, children, elderly,= >> =20
    sick and others who are allowed to leave.

    Are you pro Putin? You sound very pro Putin to me.

    I believe Titus is a kiwi, and not a mainstream kiwi.


    Got it! Thank you for the information! =)

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Scott Dorsey@21:1/5 to petertrei@gmail.com on Fri Feb 16 01:44:10 2024
    Cryptoengineer <petertrei@gmail.com> wrote:

    I was thinking of the highly differentiated and decorative tops
    placed on beer taps in a bar. I've seen photos of (I think) the
    3 Mile Island control room where they were on a number of critical
    controls to make it harder to grab the wrong one by accident.

    Yes. Aircraft radar systems do similar things, where the knobs all
    have different shapes so you can tell exactly which is which by feel.

    The term seems to be 'beer tap handle': >https://www.bradfordsauction.com/auction-lot/7pc-lot-of-domestic-craft-import-beer-tap-handle_4804023AAA

    Many beer manufacturers seem to put more money into fancy tap handles
    than into making good beer.
    --scott
    --
    "C'est un Nagra. C'est suisse, et tres, tres precis."

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Scott Dorsey@21:1/5 to psperson@old.netcom.invalid on Fri Feb 16 01:41:25 2024
    Paul S Person <psperson@old.netcom.invalid> wrote:
    On 14 Feb 2024 22:41:42 -0000, kludge@panix.com (Scott Dorsey) wrote:

    Lynn McGuire <lynnmcguire5@gmail.com> wrote:
    The bigger problem with outhouses here in Texas is yellow jackets and=20 >>>copperheads. Both seem attracted to the rich, earthy smells. A=20 >>>detailed look above and in the pit is needful before just sitting down.

    This is why they are called "pit vipers," yes.

    Ah. Humor. <https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pit_viper>

    Well, why else? They don't actually have armpits, being snakey
    and all.
    --scott

    --
    "C'est un Nagra. C'est suisse, et tres, tres precis."

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From rkshullat@rosettacondot.com@21:1/5 to Cryptoengineer on Fri Feb 16 02:48:46 2024
    Cryptoengineer <petertrei@gmail.com> wrote:
    On 2/14/2024 6:03 PM, Lynn McGuire wrote:
    On 2/14/2024 4:46 PM, Cryptoengineer wrote:
    On 2/14/2024 4:48 PM, D wrote:


    On Thu, 15 Feb 2024, Titus G wrote:

    On 15/02/24 00:13, Robert Carnegie wrote:
    On 12/02/2024 19:35, D wrote:
    I can add some anecdotal evidence here as well. I met a Ukrainian >>>>>>> refugee in my local bar a couple of months ago and she told me
    that in
    her home town, after the russians invaded, all the toilets where >>>>>>> missing from the houses.

    The russian soldiers removed all of them, loaded on trucks and sent >>>>>>> back to their home villages in russia.

    I'm shocked by the loo-ting.  :-)

    The reason why about 20% of Russian households do not have flush
    toilets
    is that villages do not have a common sewerage collection point nor the >>>>> underground piping to do so.
    Stealing toilets would be illogical. Together with the great army
    discipline, it smells strongly of naive bullshit.

    I have seen toilets in houses without common sewage, so that does not
    mean that you cannot use them.

    Indeed, I live in such a house, as do most folk out in the country.
    What do you think a septic tank is for?

    pt

    Me too.  Both my house and my office building have aerobic septic
    systems, 1,750 gallons for my house and 2,500 gallons for my office
    building and warehouse.  Both are a total pain in the butt and expensive
    to maintain.  But, maintenance is much better than sewage backup in the
    house like I had last year.

    Lynn

    Odd - mine is trouble free - every couple of years I get it pumped, but
    thats it.

    Anaerobic vs aerobic? We have the old-school tank and leach field anaerobic system (house was built in 1980). We've had it pumped twice in about 20 years, no other maintenance. The aerobic systems with the sprinklers need a maintenance contract and inspection at least every six months (not to mention costing at least $20k as a replacement).

    Robert
    --
    Robert K. Shull Email: rkshull at rosettacon dot com

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Titus G@21:1/5 to rkshullat@rosettacondot.com on Fri Feb 16 17:26:56 2024
    On 16/02/24 15:48, rkshullat@rosettacondot.com wrote:
    Cryptoengineer <petertrei@gmail.com> wrote:
    On 2/14/2024 6:03 PM, Lynn McGuire wrote:
    On 2/14/2024 4:46 PM, Cryptoengineer wrote:
    On 2/14/2024 4:48 PM, D wrote:


    On Thu, 15 Feb 2024, Titus G wrote:

    On 15/02/24 00:13, Robert Carnegie wrote:
    On 12/02/2024 19:35, D wrote:
    I can add some anecdotal evidence here as well. I met a Ukrainian >>>>>>>> refugee in my local bar a couple of months ago and she told me >>>>>>>> that in
    her home town, after the russians invaded, all the toilets where >>>>>>>> missing from the houses.

    The russian soldiers removed all of them, loaded on trucks and sent >>>>>>>> back to their home villages in russia.

    I'm shocked by the loo-ting.  :-)

    The reason why about 20% of Russian households do not have flush
    toilets
    is that villages do not have a common sewerage collection point nor the >>>>>> underground piping to do so.
    Stealing toilets would be illogical. Together with the great army
    discipline, it smells strongly of naive bullshit.

    I have seen toilets in houses without common sewage, so that does not >>>>> mean that you cannot use them.

    Indeed, I live in such a house, as do most folk out in the country.
    What do you think a septic tank is for?

    pt

    To return to my original sceptic question, I now ask D if all the septic
    tanks were stolen as well as well as the plumbing, toilets and piping?


    Me too.  Both my house and my office building have aerobic septic
    systems, 1,750 gallons for my house and 2,500 gallons for my office
    building and warehouse.  Both are a total pain in the butt and expensive >>> to maintain.  But, maintenance is much better than sewage backup in the >>> house like I had last year.

    Lynn

    Even if it was only a small village, with, say 1,000 properties, how
    many army trucks would be needed to transport these tanks with
    associated piping, plumbing and toilets?


    Odd - mine is trouble free - every couple of years I get it pumped, but
    thats it.

    Anaerobic vs aerobic? We have the old-school tank and leach field anaerobic system (house was built in 1980). We've had it pumped twice in about 20 years,
    no other maintenance. The aerobic systems with the sprinklers need a maintenance contract and inspection at least every six months (not to mention costing at least $20k as a replacement).

    Robert

    Obviously the best economic solution would be to install a stolen flush
    toilet over the long drop and spend the savings on vodka.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Mad Hamish@21:1/5 to Scott Dorsey on Fri Feb 16 16:10:29 2024
    On 14 Feb 2024 03:54:14 -0000, kludge@panix.com (Scott Dorsey) wrote:

    Mad Hamish <newsunspammelaws@iinet.unspamme.net.au> wrote:
    Some people have checked around fracking and other natural gas
    extraction areas and found much higher leakage levels than the
    industry claims.

    It is pretty clear that the leakage is very, very high. This is a bad
    thing for the gas industry not only because it gets them terrible
    publicity what with people's wells getting contaminated and flammable
    gas coming out of their water taps, but ALSO because the gas industry
    is in the business of selling gas. Gas that escapes into the atmosphere
    is gas that cannot be sold.

    That's not really an issue for them.
    Losing say, 5% of gas to the atmosphere doesn't really increase the
    cost of producing a volumen of gas in the short term
    Yeah, over the lifetime of a project it changes things a bit but not a
    huge amount
    The cost of reducing the losses would probably be pretty high

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Titus G@21:1/5 to Scott Dorsey on Fri Feb 16 17:26:34 2024
    On 16/02/24 14:44, Scott Dorsey wrote:
    snip

    Many beer manufacturers seem to put more money into fancy tap handles
    than into making good beer.
    --scott

    I have drunk much more than my share of beer and have a professional
    brewer as a friend. My idea of a good beer, in the now long gone days
    when elbow bending was a major activity, was one that was bland but
    refreshed the mouth for more conversation or another cigarette. So I was
    happy with the cheap mass produced NZ brands and still am though I
    rarely drink beer but have lager in the fridge and garage. I ignore recommendations of good beer from those that know better but do salivate thinking of the Heineken Lager where part of the tap handle is a small
    fountain to rinse the glass with ice cold water to decrease its
    temperature to that of the lager.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Mad Hamish@21:1/5 to psperson@old.netcom.invalid on Fri Feb 16 16:17:40 2024
    On Wed, 14 Feb 2024 09:10:05 -0800, Paul S Person
    <psperson@old.netcom.invalid> wrote:

    On Wed, 14 Feb 2024 10:25:59 +1100, Mad Hamish ><newsunspammelaws@iinet.unspamme.net.au> wrote:

    On Tue, 13 Feb 2024 18:40:50 -0000 (UTC), Christian Weisgerber >><naddy@mips.inka.de> wrote:

    On 2024-02-13, D <nospam@example.net> wrote:

    Didn't russia persuade Ukraine to hand back all nuclear weapons on their >>>> soil when they became free

    It's a bit more complicated, but basically Ukraine received security >>>assurances, including from Russia, for giving up the Soviet nuclear >>>weapons it had inherited on its territory. >>>https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Budapest_Memorandum

    and they've almost been worth the paper they're printed on...

    The one with Russia, yes. But the USA and others helping the Ukraine
    could be viewed as honoring them.

    I don't know how accurate the wikipedia summation of the artilcles is
    I'd kind of hope there was more involved than "o.k. if you're invaded
    we'll give you some technology" but it really looks like there wasn't
    even a commitment to even do that
    the only commitment looks to be to raise it with the Security Council
    where any action would be vetoed by one of the countries involved in
    it (let's face it, it'd be Russia or a puppet state of theirs invading
    unles it was the USA)

    also from the wikipedia article
    'MacFarlane, a professor of international relations, "It gives
    signatories justification if they take action, but it does not force
    anyone to act in Ukraine."[51] In the US, neither the George H. W.
    Bush administration nor the Clinton administration was prepared to
    give a military commitment to Ukraine, and they did not believe the US
    Senate would ratify an international treaty and so the memorandum was
    adopted in more limited terms.[52] The memorandum has a requirement of consultation among the parties "in the event a situation arises that
    raises a question concerning the ... commitments" set out in the memorandum.[53] Whether or not the memorandum sets out legal
    obligations, the difficulties that Ukraine has encountered since early
    2014 may cast doubt on the credibility of future security assurances
    that are offered in exchange for nonproliferation commitments.[54]
    Regardless, the United States publicly maintains that "the Memorandum
    is not legally binding", calling it a "political commitment".'

    At least in the past. And in the future as well if the Republicans
    ever wake up and decide to actually /do/ their jobs.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From D@21:1/5 to Titus G on Fri Feb 16 11:03:39 2024
    This message is in MIME format. The first part should be readable text,
    while the remaining parts are likely unreadable without MIME-aware tools.

    On Fri, 16 Feb 2024, Titus G wrote:

    On 16/02/24 15:48, rkshullat@rosettacondot.com wrote:
    Cryptoengineer <petertrei@gmail.com> wrote:
    On 2/14/2024 6:03 PM, Lynn McGuire wrote:
    On 2/14/2024 4:46 PM, Cryptoengineer wrote:
    On 2/14/2024 4:48 PM, D wrote:


    On Thu, 15 Feb 2024, Titus G wrote:

    On 15/02/24 00:13, Robert Carnegie wrote:
    On 12/02/2024 19:35, D wrote:
    I can add some anecdotal evidence here as well. I met a Ukrainian >>>>>>>>> refugee in my local bar a couple of months ago and she told me >>>>>>>>> that in
    her home town, after the russians invaded, all the toilets where >>>>>>>>> missing from the houses.

    The russian soldiers removed all of them, loaded on trucks and sent >>>>>>>>> back to their home villages in russia.

    I'm shocked by the loo-ting.  :-)

    The reason why about 20% of Russian households do not have flush >>>>>>> toilets
    is that villages do not have a common sewerage collection point nor the >>>>>>> underground piping to do so.
    Stealing toilets would be illogical. Together with the great army >>>>>>> discipline, it smells strongly of naive bullshit.

    I have seen toilets in houses without common sewage, so that does not >>>>>> mean that you cannot use them.

    Indeed, I live in such a house, as do most folk out in the country.
    What do you think a septic tank is for?

    pt

    To return to my original sceptic question, I now ask D if all the septic tanks were stolen as well as well as the plumbing, toilets and piping?

    See previous km of conversation about different systems. I recommend
    reading about various non-water systems, and last, but not least, ask you
    to consider that there is value in the porcelain throne construction as
    well if all you ever had was a hole in the ground.

    Last, but not least, we must consider the scenario where said loot could
    be sold, as well as a general lack of knowledge about how the object in question is installed and part of a larger system.

    I think I'll finish here, since your questions to me, seem very tedious.
    If you do want to believe the russian soldiers are knights in shining
    armour, coming from a a land of plenty and high technology, please go
    ahead.


    Me too.  Both my house and my office building have aerobic septic
    systems, 1,750 gallons for my house and 2,500 gallons for my office
    building and warehouse.  Both are a total pain in the butt and expensive >>>> to maintain.  But, maintenance is much better than sewage backup in the >>>> house like I had last year.

    Lynn

    Even if it was only a small village, with, say 1,000 properties, how
    many army trucks would be needed to transport these tanks with
    associated piping, plumbing and toilets?


    Odd - mine is trouble free - every couple of years I get it pumped, but
    thats it.

    Anaerobic vs aerobic? We have the old-school tank and leach field anaerobic >> system (house was built in 1980). We've had it pumped twice in about 20 years,
    no other maintenance. The aerobic systems with the sprinklers need a
    maintenance contract and inspection at least every six months (not to mention
    costing at least $20k as a replacement).

    Robert

    Obviously the best economic solution would be to install a stolen flush toilet over the long drop and spend the savings on vodka.


    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Jaimie Vandenbergh@21:1/5 to newsunspammelaws@iinet.unspamme.net on Fri Feb 16 11:36:47 2024
    On 16 Feb 2024 at 05:10:29 GMT, "Mad Hamish" <newsunspammelaws@iinet.unspamme.net.au> wrote:

    On 14 Feb 2024 03:54:14 -0000, kludge@panix.com (Scott Dorsey) wrote:

    Mad Hamish <newsunspammelaws@iinet.unspamme.net.au> wrote:
    Some people have checked around fracking and other natural gas
    extraction areas and found much higher leakage levels than the
    industry claims.

    It is pretty clear that the leakage is very, very high. This is a bad
    thing for the gas industry not only because it gets them terrible
    publicity what with people's wells getting contaminated and flammable
    gas coming out of their water taps, but ALSO because the gas industry
    is in the business of selling gas. Gas that escapes into the atmosphere
    is gas that cannot be sold.

    That's not really an issue for them.
    Losing say, 5% of gas to the atmosphere doesn't really increase the
    cost of producing a volumen of gas in the short term
    Yeah, over the lifetime of a project it changes things a bit but not a
    huge amount
    The cost of reducing the losses would probably be pretty high

    Save hundred of thousands by not bothering to fix leakage; externalise
    the costs to other people to the tune of billions in infrastructure
    damage and loss of life. Rake in subsidies and profits at the same time.
    Win win!

    Cheers - Jaimie
    --
    The truth may be out there, but the lies are inside your head.
    -- Terry Pratchett

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Scott Dorsey@21:1/5 to All on Fri Feb 16 14:06:35 2024
    On Fri, 16 Feb 2024, Titus G wrote:

    To return to my original sceptic question, I now ask D if all the septic
    tanks were stolen as well as well as the plumbing, toilets and piping?

    Oh no! It's a cryptic septic skeptic!
    --scott

    --
    "C'est un Nagra. C'est suisse, et tres, tres precis."

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From D@21:1/5 to Scott Dorsey on Fri Feb 16 16:54:52 2024
    On Fri, 16 Feb 2024, Scott Dorsey wrote:

    On Fri, 16 Feb 2024, Titus G wrote:

    To return to my original sceptic question, I now ask D if all the septic >>> tanks were stolen as well as well as the plumbing, toilets and piping?

    Oh no! It's a cryptic septic skeptic!
    --scott

    Haha, good one! =)

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Paul S Person@21:1/5 to petertrei@gmail.com on Fri Feb 16 08:37:53 2024
    On Thu, 15 Feb 2024 12:34:50 -0500, Cryptoengineer
    <petertrei@gmail.com> wrote:

    On 2/14/2024 6:03 PM, Lynn McGuire wrote:
    On 2/14/2024 4:46 PM, Cryptoengineer wrote:
    On 2/14/2024 4:48 PM, D wrote:


    On Thu, 15 Feb 2024, Titus G wrote:

    On 15/02/24 00:13, Robert Carnegie wrote:
    On 12/02/2024 19:35, D wrote:
    I can add some anecdotal evidence here as well. I met a Ukrainian >>>>>>> refugee in my local bar a couple of months ago and she told me
    that in
    her home town, after the russians invaded, all the toilets where >>>>>>> missing from the houses.

    The russian soldiers removed all of them, loaded on trucks and sent >>>>>>> back to their home villages in russia.

    I'm shocked by the loo-ting. :-)

    The reason why about 20% of Russian households do not have flush
    toilets
    is that villages do not have a common sewerage collection point nor the >>>>> underground piping to do so.
    Stealing toilets would be illogical. Together with the great army
    discipline, it smells strongly of naive bullshit.

    I have seen toilets in houses without common sewage, so that does not >>>> mean that you cannot use them.

    Indeed, I live in such a house, as do most folk out in the country.
    What do you think a septic tank is for?

    pt

    Me too. Both my house and my office building have aerobic septic
    systems, 1,750 gallons for my house and 2,500 gallons for my office
    building and warehouse. Both are a total pain in the butt and expensive
    to maintain. But, maintenance is much better than sewage backup in the
    house like I had last year.

    Lynn

    Odd - mine is trouble free - every couple of years I get it pumped, but
    thats it.


    I'd be curious of the distribution of households without plumbed
    toilets. Probably some poor areas and on
    Indian reservations. I know that up in Fairbanks, Alaska, a lot
    of houses are 'dry', since in winter its too cold to use a septic
    system or get running water. I don't know how they manage.

    Snow melts.

    And they have /lots/ of snow.
    --
    "Here lies the Tuscan poet Aretino,
    Who evil spoke of everyone but God,
    Giving as his excuse, 'I never knew him.'"

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Paul S Person@21:1/5 to nospam@example.net on Fri Feb 16 08:41:05 2024
    On Fri, 16 Feb 2024 11:03:39 +0100, D <nospam@example.net> wrote:



    On Fri, 16 Feb 2024, Titus G wrote:

    On 16/02/24 15:48, rkshullat@rosettacondot.com wrote:
    Cryptoengineer <petertrei@gmail.com> wrote:
    On 2/14/2024 6:03 PM, Lynn McGuire wrote:
    On 2/14/2024 4:46 PM, Cryptoengineer wrote:
    On 2/14/2024 4:48 PM, D wrote:


    On Thu, 15 Feb 2024, Titus G wrote:

    On 15/02/24 00:13, Robert Carnegie wrote:
    On 12/02/2024 19:35, D wrote:
    I can add some anecdotal evidence here as well. I met a Ukrainian >>>>>>>>>> refugee in my local bar a couple of months ago and she told me >>>>>>>>>> that in
    her home town, after the russians invaded, all the toilets where >>>>>>>>>> missing from the houses.

    The russian soldiers removed all of them, loaded on trucks and sent >>>>>>>>>> back to their home villages in russia.

    I'm shocked by the loo-ting. :-)

    The reason why about 20% of Russian households do not have flush >>>>>>>> toilets
    is that villages do not have a common sewerage collection point nor the
    underground piping to do so.
    Stealing toilets would be illogical. Together with the great army >>>>>>>> discipline, it smells strongly of naive bullshit.

    I have seen toilets in houses without common sewage, so that does not >>>>>>> mean that you cannot use them.

    Indeed, I live in such a house, as do most folk out in the country. >>>>>> What do you think a septic tank is for?

    pt

    To return to my original sceptic question, I now ask D if all the septic
    tanks were stolen as well as well as the plumbing, toilets and piping?

    See previous km of conversation about different systems. I recommend
    reading about various non-water systems, and last, but not least, ask you
    to consider that there is value in the porcelain throne construction as
    well if all you ever had was a hole in the ground.

    One of the Platoon Sargeants took a toilet /seat/ into the field with
    him. This greatly improved the hole in the ground situation.
    --
    "Here lies the Tuscan poet Aretino,
    Who evil spoke of everyone but God,
    Giving as his excuse, 'I never knew him.'"

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Paul S Person@21:1/5 to newsunspammelaws@iinet.unspamme.net on Fri Feb 16 08:50:04 2024
    On Fri, 16 Feb 2024 16:17:40 +1100, Mad Hamish <newsunspammelaws@iinet.unspamme.net.au> wrote:

    On Wed, 14 Feb 2024 09:10:05 -0800, Paul S Person ><psperson@old.netcom.invalid> wrote:

    On Wed, 14 Feb 2024 10:25:59 +1100, Mad Hamish >><newsunspammelaws@iinet.unspamme.net.au> wrote:

    On Tue, 13 Feb 2024 18:40:50 -0000 (UTC), Christian Weisgerber >>><naddy@mips.inka.de> wrote:

    On 2024-02-13, D <nospam@example.net> wrote:

    Didn't russia persuade Ukraine to hand back all nuclear weapons on their >>>>> soil when they became free

    It's a bit more complicated, but basically Ukraine received security >>>>assurances, including from Russia, for giving up the Soviet nuclear >>>>weapons it had inherited on its territory. >>>>https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Budapest_Memorandum

    and they've almost been worth the paper they're printed on...

    The one with Russia, yes. But the USA and others helping the Ukraine
    could be viewed as honoring them.

    I don't know how accurate the wikipedia summation of the artilcles is
    I'd kind of hope there was more involved than "o.k. if you're invaded
    we'll give you some technology" but it really looks like there wasn't
    even a commitment to even do that
    the only commitment looks to be to raise it with the Security Council
    where any action would be vetoed by one of the countries involved in
    it (let's face it, it'd be Russia or a puppet state of theirs invading
    unles it was the USA)

    also from the wikipedia article
    'MacFarlane, a professor of international relations, "It gives
    signatories justification if they take action, but it does not force
    anyone to act in Ukraine."[51] In the US, neither the George H. W.
    Bush administration nor the Clinton administration was prepared to
    give a military commitment to Ukraine, and they did not believe the US
    Senate would ratify an international treaty and so the memorandum was
    adopted in more limited terms.[52] The memorandum has a requirement of >consultation among the parties "in the event a situation arises that
    raises a question concerning the ... commitments" set out in the >memorandum.[53] Whether or not the memorandum sets out legal
    obligations, the difficulties that Ukraine has encountered since early
    2014 may cast doubt on the credibility of future security assurances
    that are offered in exchange for nonproliferation commitments.[54] >Regardless, the United States publicly maintains that "the Memorandum
    is not legally binding", calling it a "political commitment".'

    Nonetheless, here we are (or at least were) clearly guaranteeing their
    security by sending them arms and ammo.

    It isn't necessary to be legally bound to do something if it is the
    right thing to do.


    At least in the past. And in the future as well if the Republicans
    ever wake up and decide to actually /do/ their jobs.
    --
    "Here lies the Tuscan poet Aretino,
    Who evil spoke of everyone but God,
    Giving as his excuse, 'I never knew him.'"

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Paul S Person@21:1/5 to petertrei@gmail.com on Fri Feb 16 08:45:29 2024
    On Thu, 15 Feb 2024 12:47:26 -0500, Cryptoengineer
    <petertrei@gmail.com> wrote:

    On 2/15/2024 11:33 AM, Paul S Person wrote:
    On Wed, 14 Feb 2024 17:51:50 -0500, Cryptoengineer
    <petertrei@gmail.com> wrote:

    On 2/14/2024 11:58 AM, Paul S Person wrote:
    On 14 Feb 2024 14:11:36 -0000, kludge@panix.com (Scott Dorsey) wrote:

    Robert Carnegie <rja.carnegie@gmail.com> wrote:
    On 14/02/2024 03:39, Mike Van Pelt wrote:
    In article <ewsxN.78098$Sf59.8@fx48.iad>,
    Scott Lurndal <slp53@pacbell.net> wrote:
    Given the current decade+ and $$$$$$ it takes to build a plant, ... >>>>>>>
    It didn't used to take that long to build a nuclear power
    plant, and the laws of physics have not changed.

    What we have once accomplished in the past, we can
    aspire to do in the future.

    I think we don't want to have more
    nuclear power stations built the old way.

    And "the old way" probably runs up to about
    last year.

    I'm speaking in general, not particularly.
    But there are conspicuous examples of "oops".

    Much of the problem to my mind is that these plants are being designed by >>>>> civil engineers.... aero engineers think very differently about risks... >>>>
    Being run by MBAs may not be helping very much either.

    IIRC, the people actually doing the work at one such plant reported
    having to mark the really important switches with pull-tabs because
    the people-in-charge wanted to see nice clean control boards with all
    switches looking exactly the same.


    ITYM Beer Taps????

    A "beer tap" is a "tap" used for beer. A "tap" is a valve used to get
    a fluid out of a barrel. Or maple syrup out of a maple tree.

    The "pull-tab" meant here is the "built-in device used to open a
    beverage can" Bing brings up. The can can be said to have been
    "popped" when opened. The "beverage" could, of course, be beer.

    I was thinking of the highly differentiated and decorative tops
    placed on beer taps in a bar. I've seen photos of (I think) the
    3 Mile Island control room where they were on a number of critical
    controls to make it harder to grab the wrong one by accident.

    So perhaps I misremembered the details.

    Or heard a pre-mangled version of the story.

    Thanks for the information.

    Is this also the one where the only exception was the power switch to
    the Executive Breakroom? /That/ switch mattered!

    But it may have been somewhere else. Or a bit of satire that now
    rattles around in my brain as if it were real.

    The term seems to be 'beer tap handle': >https://www.bradfordsauction.com/auction-lot/7pc-lot-of-domestic-craft-import-beer-tap-handle_4804023AAA

    --
    "Here lies the Tuscan poet Aretino,
    Who evil spoke of everyone but God,
    Giving as his excuse, 'I never knew him.'"

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Scott Lurndal@21:1/5 to Paul S Person on Fri Feb 16 17:40:10 2024
    Paul S Person <psperson@old.netcom.invalid> writes:
    On Thu, 15 Feb 2024 12:34:50 -0500, Cryptoengineer
    <petertrei@gmail.com> wrote:

    =20
    Me too.=A0 Both my house and my office building have aerobic septic=20
    systems, 1,750 gallons for my house and 2,500 gallons for my office=20
    building and warehouse.=A0 Both are a total pain in the butt and = >expensive=20
    to maintain.=A0 But, maintenance is much better than sewage backup in = >the=20
    house like I had last year.
    =20
    Lynn

    Odd - mine is trouble free - every couple of years I get it pumped, but >>thats it.


    I'd be curious of the distribution of households without plumbed
    toilets. Probably some poor areas and on
    Indian reservations. I know that up in Fairbanks, Alaska, a lot
    of houses are 'dry', since in winter its too cold to use a septic
    system or get running water. I don't know how they manage.

    Snow melts.

    And they have /lots/ of snow.

    IIRC, in the coastal southern regions (e.g. Sitka), they catch
    and keep rainwater for fresh water purposes. They get somewhere
    around 83" of rain annually.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From rkshullat@rosettacondot.com@21:1/5 to Cryptoengineer on Fri Feb 16 17:52:25 2024
    Cryptoengineer <petertrei@gmail.com> wrote:
    On 2/15/2024 9:48 PM, rkshullat@rosettacondot.com wrote:
    Cryptoengineer <petertrei@gmail.com> wrote:
    On 2/14/2024 6:03 PM, Lynn McGuire wrote:
    On 2/14/2024 4:46 PM, Cryptoengineer wrote:
    On 2/14/2024 4:48 PM, D wrote:


    On Thu, 15 Feb 2024, Titus G wrote:

    On 15/02/24 00:13, Robert Carnegie wrote:
    On 12/02/2024 19:35, D wrote:
    I can add some anecdotal evidence here as well. I met a Ukrainian >>>>>>>>> refugee in my local bar a couple of months ago and she told me >>>>>>>>> that in
    her home town, after the russians invaded, all the toilets where >>>>>>>>> missing from the houses.

    The russian soldiers removed all of them, loaded on trucks and sent >>>>>>>>> back to their home villages in russia.

    I'm shocked by the loo-ting.  :-)

    The reason why about 20% of Russian households do not have flush >>>>>>> toilets
    is that villages do not have a common sewerage collection point nor the >>>>>>> underground piping to do so.
    Stealing toilets would be illogical. Together with the great army >>>>>>> discipline, it smells strongly of naive bullshit.

    I have seen toilets in houses without common sewage, so that does not >>>>>> mean that you cannot use them.

    Indeed, I live in such a house, as do most folk out in the country.
    What do you think a septic tank is for?

    pt

    Me too.  Both my house and my office building have aerobic septic
    systems, 1,750 gallons for my house and 2,500 gallons for my office
    building and warehouse.  Both are a total pain in the butt and expensive >>>> to maintain.  But, maintenance is much better than sewage backup in the >>>> house like I had last year.

    Lynn

    Odd - mine is trouble free - every couple of years I get it pumped, but
    thats it.

    Anaerobic vs aerobic? We have the old-school tank and leach field anaerobic >> system (house was built in 1980). We've had it pumped twice in about 20 years,
    no other maintenance. The aerobic systems with the sprinklers need a
    maintenance contract and inspection at least every six months (not to mention
    costing at least $20k as a replacement).

    I think its aerobic (that's how little attention I have to pay to it).
    It is entirely passive - no pumps, and an underground leach field.

    All of the aerobic systems I've seen in our area have a pump tank for
    treated (chlorine tablets or bleach) effluent and sprinklers to spray it over the yard...those are the ones that Lynn is complaining about.
    Anaerobic systems are passive...no chlorine, pumps or sprinklers. That's what we have (and dread having to replace since you can't install new anaerobic
    in our area).

    Robert
    --
    Robert K. Shull Email: rkshull at rosettacon dot com

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Titus G@21:1/5 to All on Sat Feb 17 17:24:05 2024
    On 16/02/24 23:03, D wrote:
    On Fri, 16 Feb 2024, Titus G wrote:
    On 16/02/24 15:48, rkshullat@rosettacondot.com wrote:
    Cryptoengineer <petertrei@gmail.com> wrote:
    On 2/14/2024 6:03 PM, Lynn McGuire wrote:
    On 2/14/2024 4:46 PM, Cryptoengineer wrote:
    On 2/14/2024 4:48 PM, D wrote:


    On Thu, 15 Feb 2024, Titus G wrote:

    On 15/02/24 00:13, Robert Carnegie wrote:
    On 12/02/2024 19:35, D wrote:
    I can add some anecdotal evidence here as well. I met a Ukrainian >>>>>>>>>> refugee in my local bar a couple of months ago and she told me >>>>>>>>>> that in
    her home town, after the russians invaded, all the toilets where >>>>>>>>>> missing from the houses.

    The russian soldiers removed all of them, loaded on trucks and >>>>>>>>>> sent
    back to their home villages in russia.

    I'm shocked by the loo-ting.  :-)

    The reason why about 20% of Russian households do not have flush >>>>>>>> toilets
    is that villages do not have a common sewerage collection point >>>>>>>> nor the
    underground piping to do so.
    Stealing toilets would be illogical. Together with the great army >>>>>>>> discipline, it smells strongly of naive bullshit.

    I have seen toilets in houses without common sewage, so that does >>>>>>> not
    mean that you cannot use them.

    Indeed, I live in such a house, as do most folk out in the country. >>>>>> What do you think a septic tank is for?

    pt

    To return to my original sceptic question, I now ask D if all the septic
    tanks were stolen as well as well as the plumbing, toilets and piping?

    See previous km of conversation about different systems. I recommend
    reading about various non-water systems, and last, but not least, ask
    you to consider that there is value in the porcelain throne construction
    as well if all you ever had was a hole in the ground.

    Your original claim was that every toilet in the village was stolen and
    trucked away. Do you really believe that?


    Last, but not least, we must consider the scenario where said loot could
    be sold, as well as a general lack of knowledge about how the object in question is installed and part of a larger system.

    Your original claim was that every toilet in the village was stolen and
    trucked away. Do you really believe that?

    I think I'll finish here, since your questions to me, seem very tedious.

    The intention was to highlight your absurbities.

    If you do want to believe the russian soldiers are knights in shining
    armour, coming from a a land of plenty and high technology, please go
    ahead.

    Your thought process is clearly suspect. Is your real name Shaun Wilson?
    I do not believe your idiotic report that every toilet in the village
    was stolen and trucked away. How does that translate into your knights
    in shining armour crap?

    Jibini's heart would be broken if he knew he was missing this turkey.


    Me too.  Both my house and my office building have aerobic septic
    systems, 1,750 gallons for my house and 2,500 gallons for my office
    building and warehouse.  Both are a total pain in the butt and
    expensive
    to maintain.  But, maintenance is much better than sewage backup in >>>>> the
    house like I had last year.

    Lynn

    Even if it was only a small village, with, say 1,000 properties, how
    many army trucks would be needed to transport these tanks with
    associated piping, plumbing and toilets?


    Odd - mine is trouble free - every couple of years I get it pumped, but >>>> thats it.

    Anaerobic vs aerobic? We have the old-school tank and leach field
    anaerobic
    system (house was built in 1980). We've had it pumped twice in about
    20 years,
    no other maintenance. The aerobic systems with the sprinklers need a
    maintenance contract and inspection at least every six months (not to
    mention
    costing at least $20k as a replacement).

        Robert

    Obviously the best economic solution would be to install a stolen flush
    toilet over the long drop and spend the savings on vodka.


    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Titus G@21:1/5 to Cryptoengineer on Sat Feb 17 17:24:34 2024
    On 17/02/24 04:51, Cryptoengineer wrote:
    On 2/15/2024 11:26 PM, Titus G wrote:
    On 16/02/24 15:48, rkshullat@rosettacondot.com wrote:
    Cryptoengineer <petertrei@gmail.com> wrote:
    On 2/14/2024 6:03 PM, Lynn McGuire wrote:
    On 2/14/2024 4:46 PM, Cryptoengineer wrote:
    On 2/14/2024 4:48 PM, D wrote:


    On Thu, 15 Feb 2024, Titus G wrote:

    On 15/02/24 00:13, Robert Carnegie wrote:
    On 12/02/2024 19:35, D wrote:
    I can add some anecdotal evidence here as well. I met a Ukrainian >>>>>>>>>> refugee in my local bar a couple of months ago and she told me >>>>>>>>>> that in
    her home town, after the russians invaded, all the toilets where >>>>>>>>>> missing from the houses.

    The russian soldiers removed all of them, loaded on trucks and >>>>>>>>>> sent
    back to their home villages in russia.

    I'm shocked by the loo-ting.  :-)

    The reason why about 20% of Russian households do not have flush >>>>>>>> toilets
    is that villages do not have a common sewerage collection point >>>>>>>> nor the
    underground piping to do so.
    Stealing toilets would be illogical. Together with the great army >>>>>>>> discipline, it smells strongly of naive bullshit.

    I have seen toilets in houses without common sewage, so that does >>>>>>> not
    mean that you cannot use them.

    Indeed, I live in such a house, as do most folk out in the country. >>>>>> What do you think a septic tank is for?

    pt

    To return to my original sceptic question, I now ask D if all the septic
    tanks were stolen as well as well as the plumbing, toilets and piping?


    Me too.  Both my house and my office building have aerobic septic
    systems, 1,750 gallons for my house and 2,500 gallons for my office
    building and warehouse.  Both are a total pain in the butt and
    expensive
    to maintain.  But, maintenance is much better than sewage backup in >>>>> the
    house like I had last year.

    Lynn

    Even if it was only a small village, with, say 1,000 properties, how
    many army trucks would be needed to transport these tanks with
    associated piping, plumbing and toilets?


    Odd - mine is trouble free - every couple of years I get it pumped, but >>>> thats it.

    Anaerobic vs aerobic? We have the old-school tank and leach field
    anaerobic
    system (house was built in 1980). We've had it pumped twice in about
    20 years,
    no other maintenance. The aerobic systems with the sprinklers need a
    maintenance contract and inspection at least every six months (not to
    mention
    costing at least $20k as a replacement).

         Robert

    Obviously the best economic solution would be to install a stolen flush
    toilet over the long drop and spend the savings on vodka.

    This video shows Russian troops loading a toilet into a car: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sHeoe7jgDeo


    The video soon transitions to slapstick when the "soldier" trips
    breaking the toilet. Do you really think that a video of three people
    loading one toilet into a car boot is sufficient documentation to back
    up the claim that every toilet from a village together with plumbing and
    piping was loaded into army trucks and removed? I don't.
    I didn't watch the whole video but was interested to hear that 40% of
    Ukrainian households do not have a flush toilet compared to Russia's
    20%. Amazing.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Paul S Person@21:1/5 to jsavard@ecn.ab.ca on Sat Feb 17 08:45:03 2024
    On Sat, 17 Feb 2024 00:06:32 -0800 (PST), Quadibloc
    <jsavard@ecn.ab.ca> wrote:

    On Friday, February 16, 2024 at 9:24:14?PM UTC-7, Titus G wrote:

    Your original claim was that every toilet in the village was stolen and
    trucked away. Do you really believe that?

    Why not? If it was a large city, or if the claim was that this happened
    to a great many villages, that would be hard to believe. But for something >co-ordinated to happen once, in a single village (maybe not all the houses >had flush toilets to begin with) is not that much of a stretch.

    You don't understand.

    The story is demeaning the Glorious Soldiers of Holy Mother Russia,
    whose Divinely Appointed Destiny is to Rule the World under Czar
    Putin.

    Thus, it cannot possibly be allowed.
    --
    "Here lies the Tuscan poet Aretino,
    Who evil spoke of everyone but God,
    Giving as his excuse, 'I never knew him.'"

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Paul S Person@21:1/5 to Titus G on Sat Feb 17 08:48:16 2024
    On Sat, 17 Feb 2024 17:24:34 +1300, Titus G <noone@nowhere.com> wrote:

    On 17/02/24 04:51, Cryptoengineer wrote:
    On 2/15/2024 11:26 PM, Titus G wrote:
    On 16/02/24 15:48, rkshullat@rosettacondot.com wrote:
    Cryptoengineer <petertrei@gmail.com> wrote:
    On 2/14/2024 6:03 PM, Lynn McGuire wrote:
    On 2/14/2024 4:46 PM, Cryptoengineer wrote:
    On 2/14/2024 4:48 PM, D wrote:


    On Thu, 15 Feb 2024, Titus G wrote:

    On 15/02/24 00:13, Robert Carnegie wrote:
    On 12/02/2024 19:35, D wrote:
    I can add some anecdotal evidence here as well. I met a Ukrainian >>>>>>>>>>> refugee in my local bar a couple of months ago and she told me >>>>>>>>>>> that in
    her home town, after the russians invaded, all the toilets where >>>>>>>>>>> missing from the houses.

    The russian soldiers removed all of them, loaded on trucks and >>>>>>>>>>> sent
    back to their home villages in russia.

    I'm shocked by the loo-ting. :-)

    The reason why about 20% of Russian households do not have flush >>>>>>>>> toilets
    is that villages do not have a common sewerage collection point >>>>>>>>> nor the
    underground piping to do so.
    Stealing toilets would be illogical. Together with the great army >>>>>>>>> discipline, it smells strongly of naive bullshit.

    I have seen toilets in houses without common sewage, so that does >>>>>>>> not
    mean that you cannot use them.

    Indeed, I live in such a house, as do most folk out in the country. >>>>>>> What do you think a septic tank is for?

    pt

    To return to my original sceptic question, I now ask D if all the septic >>> tanks were stolen as well as well as the plumbing, toilets and piping?


    Me too. Both my house and my office building have aerobic septic
    systems, 1,750 gallons for my house and 2,500 gallons for my office >>>>>> building and warehouse. Both are a total pain in the butt and
    expensive
    to maintain. But, maintenance is much better than sewage backup in >>>>>> the
    house like I had last year.

    Lynn

    Even if it was only a small village, with, say 1,000 properties, how
    many army trucks would be needed to transport these tanks with
    associated piping, plumbing and toilets?


    Odd - mine is trouble free - every couple of years I get it pumped, but >>>>> thats it.

    Anaerobic vs aerobic? We have the old-school tank and leach field
    anaerobic
    system (house was built in 1980). We've had it pumped twice in about
    20 years,
    no other maintenance. The aerobic systems with the sprinklers need a
    maintenance contract and inspection at least every six months (not to
    mention
    costing at least $20k as a replacement).

    Robert

    Obviously the best economic solution would be to install a stolen flush
    toilet over the long drop and spend the savings on vodka.

    This video shows Russian troops loading a toilet into a car:
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sHeoe7jgDeo


    The video soon transitions to slapstick when the "soldier" trips
    breaking the toilet. Do you really think that a video of three people
    loading one toilet into a car boot is sufficient documentation to back
    up the claim that every toilet from a village together with plumbing and >piping was loaded into army trucks and removed? I don't.
    I didn't watch the whole video but was interested to hear that 40% of >Ukrainian households do not have a flush toilet compared to Russia's
    20%. Amazing.

    IIRC, the "plumbing and piping" theory was added in response to a
    question.

    The /original/ story involved just the toilets.

    And, yes, hard as it is to believe, armies engaging in widespread
    looting has been going on ... for millenia.

    Indeed, in many cases the enthusiasm and numbers of the soldiers
    depended entirely on their expectation of what they could get by
    looting the enemy.

    And to consider "Russian Army" to be anything but an oxymoron at this
    point is ludicrous.
    --
    "Here lies the Tuscan poet Aretino,
    Who evil spoke of everyone but God,
    Giving as his excuse, 'I never knew him.'"

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Paul S Person@21:1/5 to All on Sat Feb 17 08:57:44 2024
    On Fri, 16 Feb 2024 17:40:10 GMT, scott@slp53.sl.home (Scott Lurndal)
    wrote:

    Paul S Person <psperson@old.netcom.invalid> writes:
    On Thu, 15 Feb 2024 12:34:50 -0500, Cryptoengineer
    <petertrei@gmail.com> wrote:

    =20
    Me too.=A0 Both my house and my office building have aerobic septic=20 >>>> systems, 1,750 gallons for my house and 2,500 gallons for my office=20 >>>> building and warehouse.=A0 Both are a total pain in the butt and = >>expensive=20
    to maintain.=A0 But, maintenance is much better than sewage backup in = >>the=20
    house like I had last year.
    =20
    Lynn

    Odd - mine is trouble free - every couple of years I get it pumped, but >>>thats it.


    I'd be curious of the distribution of households without plumbed
    toilets. Probably some poor areas and on
    Indian reservations. I know that up in Fairbanks, Alaska, a lot
    of houses are 'dry', since in winter its too cold to use a septic
    system or get running water. I don't know how they manage.

    Snow melts.

    And they have /lots/ of snow.

    IIRC, in the coastal southern regions (e.g. Sitka), they catch
    and keep rainwater for fresh water purposes. They get somewhere
    around 83" of rain annually.

    Actually, I spent one summer with my maternal grandparents in Juneau,
    and I don't recall any problems with water. We had the usual plumbing.
    Winter may have been different, though.

    Everything cost 10% more than marked because of the shipping expense
    from the 48 contiguous States (ie, from Seattle). And I /think/ that
    was the first time the plane I rode in was a passenger jet (perhaps a
    707 <https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Boeing_707> -- but certainly a
    Boeing, Boeing was /the/ Seattle economy back then [1]).

    [1] It was during one of their downturns/local recessions that some
    wag put up a billboard with the message "Will the Last Person Leaving
    SEATTLE Turn Out the Lights"
    <https://www.historylink.org/File/1287>).
    --
    "Here lies the Tuscan poet Aretino,
    Who evil spoke of everyone but God,
    Giving as his excuse, 'I never knew him.'"

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Jay E. Morris@21:1/5 to Quadibloc on Sat Feb 17 12:08:14 2024
    On 2/17/2024 2:06 AM, Quadibloc wrote:
    On Friday, February 16, 2024 at 9:24:14 PM UTC-7, Titus G wrote:

    Your original claim was that every toilet in the village was stolen and
    trucked away. Do you really believe that?

    Why not? If it was a large city, or if the claim was that this happened
    to a great many villages, that would be hard to believe. But for something co-ordinated to happen once, in a single village (maybe not all the houses had flush toilets to begin with) is not that much of a stretch.

    John Savard

    Many reports of Russian looting say that houses were stripped bare so I
    can believe it. Videos of military vehicles being loaded up, loads of
    stuff shipped back to Russia, being sold in Belarus.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Scott Dorsey@21:1/5 to noone@nowhere.com on Sat Feb 17 18:09:01 2024
    In article <uqpcd8$8tnu$1@dont-email.me>, Titus G <noone@nowhere.com> wrote: >Your original claim was that every toilet in the village was stolen and >trucked away. Do you really believe that?

    Not too hard to believe, especially if the village has been pretty heavily bombed to the point where there were only a few intact toilets left.

    Certainly I have seen that kind of thing happening in wars before, and the Russians are known experts. After WWII, they jacked up the Zeiss plant and took it back to Moscow intact. They jacked up two Agfa plants and took
    them back to the Soviet Union which is how they got Sovcolor film. Printing plants, bearing plants, airplane plants all got packed up and shipped.
    --scott


    --
    "C'est un Nagra. C'est suisse, et tres, tres precis."

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From The Horny Goat@21:1/5 to quadibloc@servername.invalid on Sat Feb 17 11:53:31 2024
    On Tue, 13 Feb 2024 11:59:29 -0000 (UTC), Quadibloc <quadibloc@servername.invalid> wrote:

    On Thu, 08 Feb 2024 13:07:37 -0500, Cryptoengineer wrote:

    From that point of view, it's easy to see why some would prefer
    letting Russia or China conquer the world. There, it would only
    be a thousand years or so to recover.

    John Savard

    Somehow I don't see Xi Jinping in the role of Hari Seldon founding two foundations.....

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From The Horny Goat@21:1/5 to newsunspammelaws@iinet.unspamme.net on Sat Feb 17 11:54:51 2024
    On Wed, 14 Feb 2024 10:25:59 +1100, Mad Hamish <newsunspammelaws@iinet.unspamme.net.au> wrote:

    On Tue, 13 Feb 2024 18:40:50 -0000 (UTC), Christian Weisgerber ><naddy@mips.inka.de> wrote:

    On 2024-02-13, D <nospam@example.net> wrote:

    Didn't russia persuade Ukraine to hand back all nuclear weapons on their >>> soil when they became free

    It's a bit more complicated, but basically Ukraine received security >>assurances, including from Russia, for giving up the Soviet nuclear
    weapons it had inherited on its territory. >>https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Budapest_Memorandum

    and they've almost been worth the paper they're printed on...

    Indeed - almost as worthwhile of those 4 1/2 " square pieces of paper
    on rolls from the Scott Paper Company.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From The Horny Goat@21:1/5 to Scott Dorsey on Sat Feb 17 12:00:09 2024
    On 14 Feb 2024 03:40:44 -0000, kludge@panix.com (Scott Dorsey) wrote:

    It's alarming enough that the US government has nuclear weapons. I am much >more worried about Google, Wells Fargo, AT&T, or MS13 having them. The
    more transuranics are out there, the greater that chance of them getting >diverted. It's not difficult to make a bomb once you have either
    uranium that has been enriched to weapons grade, or low grade plutonium
    alloy which can be enriched with a comparatively simple chemical process.

    One of the key reasons why all but two of America's nuclear weapons
    have been plutonium rather than U-235 based is that plutonium is far
    easier to separate from uranium than separating U-235 from the more
    common U-238.

    However quite apart from its radioactivity, plutonium is one of the
    most toxic heavy metals in existence and that's what makes its
    by-products (in your typical nuclear reaction only a small amount of
    the fissile elements actually get split) far less of a problem than
    one might expected - non fissioned plutonium is plenty toxic on its
    own.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From The Horny Goat@21:1/5 to rja.carnegie@gmail.com on Sat Feb 17 12:18:44 2024
    On Wed, 14 Feb 2024 10:40:21 +0000, Robert Carnegie
    <rja.carnegie@gmail.com> wrote:

    As worded, I'd expect that /exclusive/
    access to an /outhouse/ with plumbing
    counts. Though now I'm anxious about
    washing of hands.

    What do you mean "exclusive"?

    I assume you mean "exclusive to inhabitants of the home" (in other
    words in my case to the two people who live there")

    As opposed to public buildings many of which have offices which are
    largely restricted to those who work there vs the general public.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From The Horny Goat@21:1/5 to Scott Dorsey on Sat Feb 17 17:03:27 2024
    On 14 Feb 2024 22:30:57 -0000, kludge@panix.com (Scott Dorsey) wrote:

    Personally, I would rather see Canadians building nuclear power plants in
    the US.... they have done a better job on the whole of it than we have.

    Back in the 80s and 90s my sister-in-law's brother was a Canadian
    (born in UK, emigrated with family in early teens) engineer building
    CANDUs in Korea. Long retired now of course.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Paul S Person@21:1/5 to Scott Dorsey on Sun Feb 18 08:10:04 2024
    On 17 Feb 2024 18:09:01 -0000, kludge@panix.com (Scott Dorsey) wrote:

    In article <uqpcd8$8tnu$1@dont-email.me>, Titus G <noone@nowhere.com> wrote: >>Your original claim was that every toilet in the village was stolen and >>trucked away. Do you really believe that?

    Not too hard to believe, especially if the village has been pretty heavily >bombed to the point where there were only a few intact toilets left.

    Certainly I have seen that kind of thing happening in wars before, and the >Russians are known experts. After WWII, they jacked up the Zeiss plant and >took it back to Moscow intact. They jacked up two Agfa plants and took
    them back to the Soviet Union which is how they got Sovcolor film. Printing >plants, bearing plants, airplane plants all got packed up and shipped.

    But they waited until they had won the war. They not only haven't won
    in the Ukraine, they appear to be moving backwards, however slowly.

    Or were before the Republicans, Putin's friends, took over.

    And, "to the victor belong the spoils" is a very old adage.
    --
    "Here lies the Tuscan poet Aretino,
    Who evil spoke of everyone but God,
    Giving as his excuse, 'I never knew him.'"

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Paul S Person@21:1/5 to rja.carnegie@gmail.com on Sun Feb 18 08:18:06 2024
    On Sat, 17 Feb 2024 21:13:55 +0000, Robert Carnegie
    <rja.carnegie@gmail.com> wrote:

    On 15/02/2024 17:08, Scott Lurndal wrote:
    Paul S Person <psperson@old.netcom.invalid> writes:


    The "pull-tab" meant here is the "built-in device used to open a
    beverage can" Bing brings up. The can can be said to have been
    "popped" when opened. The "beverage" could, of course, be beer.

    I actually found a spent beer tab at the local county park
    yesterday. First one I've seen in decades.

    A modern aluminium can is designed to
    keep the pop-out part which opens, attached
    to the can - unless you work quite hard to
    detach it, I suppose.

    Quite large animals including livestock
    have been lethally injured by swallowing
    the old style, throwaway built-in opener,
    so it's better not to have that kind.
    And it makes recycling easier.

    I'm glad to hear it!

    Recycling is weird. Not only do the rules differ from place to place,
    but then you have "recyclable" toothpaste tubes and other oddities.
    --
    "Here lies the Tuscan poet Aretino,
    Who evil spoke of everyone but God,
    Giving as his excuse, 'I never knew him.'"

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From The Horny Goat@21:1/5 to lynnmcguire5@gmail.com on Mon Feb 19 11:40:11 2024
    On Sat, 17 Feb 2024 01:01:07 -0600, Lynn McGuire
    <lynnmcguire5@gmail.com> wrote:

    The Canadian CANDU power plants are heavy water with their own sets of >limitations and issues. All of the nuclear power plants built in the
    last 40 years in the USA run at over 90% capacity factor but with
    horrible cost overruns due to the complexity of building the dadgum
    domes (generally 350 ??? feet tall with 3/4 inch rebar on 6 inch centers
    with 3.5 feet wall thickness for a 150 ??? foot diameter). I don't
    think that the Canadian Nuclear Power Plants have domes like we build
    them in the USA. The USA domes are calculated to take a 707 impact at
    600+ ??? knots.

    I was present at the start of the first dome test for Comanche Peak 1 in >Texas. Huge sections of the concrete dome were falling off and exposing >voids in the concrete that you could put a person into when we
    pressurized the dome to 65 ??? psig. Been too many years since 1983, I >cannot remember the details anymore.

    Yep - you could probably figure out CANDU by thinking Canadad -
    Deuterium - Uranium (needless to say nobody's using "Depleted Uranium"
    for generating powerr!)

    If the American domes are calculated to take a jumbo impact that's
    either engineering or somebody's been watching too many 9/11
    slo-motion replies of the Twin Towers.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From The Horny Goat@21:1/5 to Scott Dorsey on Mon Feb 19 11:50:47 2024
    On 17 Feb 2024 18:09:01 -0000, kludge@panix.com (Scott Dorsey) wrote:

    In article <uqpcd8$8tnu$1@dont-email.me>, Titus G <noone@nowhere.com> wrote: >>Your original claim was that every toilet in the village was stolen and >>trucked away. Do you really believe that?

    Not too hard to believe, especially if the village has been pretty heavily >bombed to the point where there were only a few intact toilets left.

    Certainly I have seen that kind of thing happening in wars before, and the >Russians are known experts. After WWII, they jacked up the Zeiss plant and >took it back to Moscow intact. They jacked up two Agfa plants and took
    them back to the Soviet Union which is how they got Sovcolor film. Printing >plants, bearing plants, airplane plants all got packed up and shipped. >--scott

    It's a fine old Soviet tradition - back during WW2 Soviet agents were
    stealing AMERICAN blueprints from factories and bundling them off to
    air bases for transhipment to Russia. On at least one case they were
    caught red-handed (no pun intended) loading them by the filing cabinet
    full onto Soviet planes in Alaska - and were held on the ground for
    2-3 hours by American military policemen who when they called their
    superior officers to let them know were delayed while the brass got
    direct orders from the White House to let them go. These plans were
    said to be invaluable to postwar Soviet reconstruction in the 1945-50
    period.

    It's one of the reasons I personally >don't< consider FDR one of
    America's best presidents since he either knowingly aided and abetted
    America's enemies (which the Soviets were considered by 1944 even
    though Hitler was considered a greater US enemy) or knowingly
    harborded people that were as senior members as part of his inner
    circle or cabinet.

    In fact it's a key reason why I regard Truman as greater than FDR
    since I think that while FDR was invalualble 1933-40, lots of people
    given the industrial power America had could have won the war though
    given the state of the Soviet Union in 1944-45 SHOULD have been even
    more dominant post-war than they were. Particularly in nuclear
    research and aviation/rocketry, the Soviet Union made far greater
    advances postwar than they could have on their own.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Joy Beeson@21:1/5 to lynnmcguire5@gmail.com on Mon Feb 19 22:21:18 2024
    On Fri, 9 Feb 2024 16:20:56 -0600, Lynn McGuire
    <lynnmcguire5@gmail.com> wrote:

    Dorothy thought that we were headed to a generic they / them for all
    pronouns but, I kinda doubt it.

    I wish I doubted it. Singular "they" is at least as destructive as
    singular "you".

    And why did we throw away "one"? Saying "you" when he meant "one"
    cost a carpet salesman a very big sale.

    --
    Joy Beeson
    joy beeson at centurylink dot net
    http://wlweather.net/PAGEJOY/

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Paul S Person@21:1/5 to All on Tue Feb 20 09:06:32 2024
    On Mon, 19 Feb 2024 11:50:47 -0800, The Horny Goat <lcraver@home.ca>
    wrote:

    On 17 Feb 2024 18:09:01 -0000, kludge@panix.com (Scott Dorsey) wrote:

    In article <uqpcd8$8tnu$1@dont-email.me>, Titus G <noone@nowhere.com> wrote: >>>Your original claim was that every toilet in the village was stolen and >>>trucked away. Do you really believe that?

    Not too hard to believe, especially if the village has been pretty heavily >>bombed to the point where there were only a few intact toilets left.

    Certainly I have seen that kind of thing happening in wars before, and the >>Russians are known experts. After WWII, they jacked up the Zeiss plant and >>took it back to Moscow intact. They jacked up two Agfa plants and took >>them back to the Soviet Union which is how they got Sovcolor film. Printing >>plants, bearing plants, airplane plants all got packed up and shipped. >>--scott

    It's a fine old Soviet tradition - back during WW2 Soviet agents were >stealing AMERICAN blueprints from factories and bundling them off to
    air bases for transhipment to Russia. On at least one case they were
    caught red-handed (no pun intended) loading them by the filing cabinet
    full onto Soviet planes in Alaska - and were held on the ground for
    2-3 hours by American military policemen who when they called their
    superior officers to let them know were delayed while the brass got
    direct orders from the White House to let them go. These plans were
    said to be invaluable to postwar Soviet reconstruction in the 1945-50
    period.

    It's one of the reasons I personally >don't< consider FDR one of
    America's best presidents since he either knowingly aided and abetted >America's enemies (which the Soviets were considered by 1944 even
    though Hitler was considered a greater US enemy) or knowingly
    harborded people that were as senior members as part of his inner
    circle or cabinet.

    In fact it's a key reason why I regard Truman as greater than FDR
    since I think that while FDR was invalualble 1933-40, lots of people
    given the industrial power America had could have won the war though
    given the state of the Soviet Union in 1944-45 SHOULD have been even
    more dominant post-war than they were. Particularly in nuclear
    research and aviation/rocketry, the Soviet Union made far greater
    advances postwar than they could have on their own.

    Yes, some post-War Germans (both WWI and WWII) were absolutely
    convinced that they only lost because of "traitors".

    Nice story, though.
    --
    "Here lies the Tuscan poet Aretino,
    Who evil spoke of everyone but God,
    Giving as his excuse, 'I never knew him.'"

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Paul S Person@21:1/5 to rja.carnegie@gmail.com on Tue Feb 20 09:11:37 2024
    On Tue, 20 Feb 2024 11:36:13 +0000, Robert Carnegie
    <rja.carnegie@gmail.com> wrote:

    On 18/02/2024 16:18, Paul S Person wrote:
    On Sat, 17 Feb 2024 21:13:55 +0000, Robert Carnegie
    <rja.carnegie@gmail.com> wrote:

    On 15/02/2024 17:08, Scott Lurndal wrote:
    Paul S Person <psperson@old.netcom.invalid> writes:


    The "pull-tab" meant here is the "built-in device used to open a
    beverage can" Bing brings up. The can can be said to have been
    "popped" when opened. The "beverage" could, of course, be beer.

    I actually found a spent beer tab at the local county park
    yesterday. First one I've seen in decades.

    A modern aluminium can is designed to
    keep the pop-out part which opens, attached
    to the can - unless you work quite hard to
    detach it, I suppose.

    Quite large animals including livestock
    have been lethally injured by swallowing
    the old style, throwaway built-in opener,
    so it's better not to have that kind.
    And it makes recycling easier.

    I'm glad to hear it!

    Recycling is weird. Not only do the rules differ from place to place,
    but then you have "recyclable" toothpaste tubes and other oddities.

    I just remembered to check what goes in which
    bin when I visit family here.

    <https://www.falkirk.gov.uk/services/bins-rubbish-recycling/household-waste/what-goes-in-my-bins/recycling-tool.aspx>

    We have simplified it: one bin for recycling. It's quite large.

    What catches my eye is that they want food cans
    to be recycled with their lids on.

    And the wrapper. But I've been amusing myself
    by using spare boiling water inside a can
    to un-glue the label on the outside, to recycle
    with paper. I don't really need to do that,
    and there may be an appalling accident in my
    future. Also I put the lid in the can, and
    up to four more - or one if they are ring-pull
    removable lids - keeping apart steel and
    aluminium, then I crush the top end flat, and
    fold it over, to keep the lids safely inside
    the can, and anything else in the bin, outside it.
    The crushing and folding doesn't work with
    too many lids in one can.

    I do much the same, but just with the can's own lid. Which probably
    ensures that both are of the same metal. And I remove the lable. I
    haven't bothered to check further.

    This may baffle an AI trash sorting mechanism
    unless it has learned my ways by now, but I
    think that they use electromagnets instead anyway.

    This is all very weird. Metal can lids are not allowed separately
    (under 3") because they cause problems with the equipment (I think
    they slip through the part that grinds everything into pieces). Yet
    they are magnetic, and so (one would think) should be separated out by
    then.
    --
    "Here lies the Tuscan poet Aretino,
    Who evil spoke of everyone but God,
    Giving as his excuse, 'I never knew him.'"

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Paul S Person@21:1/5 to All on Tue Feb 20 09:13:36 2024
    On Mon, 19 Feb 2024 11:40:11 -0800, The Horny Goat <lcraver@home.ca>
    wrote:

    On Sat, 17 Feb 2024 01:01:07 -0600, Lynn McGuire
    <lynnmcguire5@gmail.com> wrote:

    The Canadian CANDU power plants are heavy water with their own sets of >>limitations and issues. All of the nuclear power plants built in the
    last 40 years in the USA run at over 90% capacity factor but with
    horrible cost overruns due to the complexity of building the dadgum
    domes (generally 350 ??? feet tall with 3/4 inch rebar on 6 inch centers >>with 3.5 feet wall thickness for a 150 ??? foot diameter). I don't
    think that the Canadian Nuclear Power Plants have domes like we build
    them in the USA. The USA domes are calculated to take a 707 impact at >>600+ ??? knots.

    I was present at the start of the first dome test for Comanche Peak 1 in >>Texas. Huge sections of the concrete dome were falling off and exposing >>voids in the concrete that you could put a person into when we
    pressurized the dome to 65 ??? psig. Been too many years since 1983, I >>cannot remember the details anymore.

    Yep - you could probably figure out CANDU by thinking Canadad -
    Deuterium - Uranium (needless to say nobody's using "Depleted Uranium"
    for generating powerr!)

    If the American domes are calculated to take a jumbo impact that's
    either engineering or somebody's been watching too many 9/11
    slo-motion replies of the Twin Towers.

    A 707 is not a jumbo. Well, provided its a Boeing 707; someone else's
    707 might be, I suppose.

    That 747s were not used probably says something about when the
    standards used were developed.
    --
    "Here lies the Tuscan poet Aretino,
    Who evil spoke of everyone but God,
    Giving as his excuse, 'I never knew him.'"

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Mike Van Pelt@21:1/5 to jsavard@ecn.ab.ca on Wed Feb 21 02:41:40 2024
    In article <affc4fae-67e2-4b16-ae0f-7fd8b92b303dn@googlegroups.com>,
    Quadibloc <jsavard@ecn.ab.ca> wrote:
    Of course, A. E. van Vogt _was_ a crank to a certain extent, but getting >orbital mechanics this badly wrong... was, presumably, simply required
    so as to allow the plot of the story to exist.

    But even in 1944, surely this was risible, given the orbits of known
    comets and asteroids.

    Van Vogt's orbital mechanics in that story is not just ordinary
    wrong, it's brain-hurting wrong.

    --
    Mike Van Pelt | "I don't advise it unless you're nuts."
    mvp at calweb.com | -- Ray Wilkinson, after riding out Hurricane
    KE6BVH | Ike on Surfside Beach in Galveston

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Ahasuerus@21:1/5 to Mike Van Pelt on Wed Feb 21 00:14:10 2024
    On 2/20/2024 9:41 PM, Mike Van Pelt wrote:
    [snip-snip]

    [Re: "A Can of Paint" (1944)]
    Van Vogt's orbital mechanics in that story is not just ordinary
    wrong, it's brain-hurting wrong.

    To quote John Clute's SFE article:

    "Thus freed of any surface verisimilitude, Van Vogt's space operas, as
    noted, are at heart enacted dreams which articulate deep, symbolic needs
    and wishes of his readership. Because there is no misunderstood science
    or cosmography or technology at the very heart of his best work, there
    is no "improving" van Vogt."

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From David Duffy@21:1/5 to Robert Carnegie on Wed Feb 21 04:18:16 2024
    Robert Carnegie <rja.carnegie@gmail.com> wrote:

    Some villages in Africa and rural England
    are only now getting sanitation... for one
    person at a time to use.

    obSF _Lord of Light_ "It shall be installed in the small room I have
    built onto the back of my home. I may even give a dinner that night and
    permit all my neighbours to take use of it."

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Ted Nolan @21:1/5 to ahasuerus@email.com on Wed Feb 21 06:13:22 2024
    In article <ur40r2$2v58u$1@dont-email.me>,
    Ahasuerus <ahasuerus@email.com> wrote:
    On 2/20/2024 9:41 PM, Mike Van Pelt wrote:
    [snip-snip]

    [Re: "A Can of Paint" (1944)]
    Van Vogt's orbital mechanics in that story is not just ordinary
    wrong, it's brain-hurting wrong.

    To quote John Clute's SFE article:

    "Thus freed of any surface verisimilitude, Van Vogt's space operas, as
    noted, are at heart enacted dreams which articulate deep, symbolic needs
    and wishes of his readership. Because there is no misunderstood science
    or cosmography or technology at the very heart of his best work, there
    is no "improving" van Vogt."


    Yes, this.

    I think Malzberg said something similar.
    --
    columbiaclosings.com
    What's not in Columbia anymore..

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From The Horny Goat@21:1/5 to psperson@old.netcom.invalid on Wed Feb 21 22:33:26 2024
    On Tue, 20 Feb 2024 09:11:37 -0800, Paul S Person
    <psperson@old.netcom.invalid> wrote:

    This is all very weird. Metal can lids are not allowed separately
    (under 3") because they cause problems with the equipment (I think
    they slip through the part that grinds everything into pieces). Yet
    they are magnetic, and so (one would think) should be separated out by
    then.

    Really?!? It's been years since I've encountered one of those that
    wasn't aluminum.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From The Horny Goat@21:1/5 to psperson@old.netcom.invalid on Wed Feb 21 22:42:07 2024
    On Tue, 20 Feb 2024 09:13:36 -0800, Paul S Person
    <psperson@old.netcom.invalid> wrote:

    Yep - you could probably figure out CANDU by thinking Canadad -
    Deuterium - Uranium (needless to say nobody's using "Depleted Uranium"
    for generating powerr!)

    If the American domes are calculated to take a jumbo impact that's
    either engineering or somebody's been watching too many 9/11
    slo-motion replies of the Twin Towers.

    A 707 is not a jumbo. Well, provided its a Boeing 707; someone else's
    707 might be, I suppose.

    That 747s were not used probably says something about when the
    standards used were developed.

    I dunno - the 747 was first used commercially in the early 1970s which
    is a full generation before 9/11. Google says Pan Am was the first to
    use it commercially (which makes sense given they were one of the top
    airlines at that time) but I don't think United Airlines and American
    Airlines deserve scorn for having been the airlines whose 4 planes
    played a starring role on 11 Sept 2001. (None of which were 747s - 2
    were 767s - the two Twin Towers aircraft, 2 were 757s - the one that
    crashed the Pentagon and the one brought down over PA and believed to
    be headed for DC)

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From The Horny Goat@21:1/5 to psperson@old.netcom.invalid on Wed Feb 21 22:32:24 2024
    On Tue, 20 Feb 2024 09:06:32 -0800, Paul S Person
    <psperson@old.netcom.invalid> wrote:

    In fact it's a key reason why I regard Truman as greater than FDR
    since I think that while FDR was invalualble 1933-40, lots of people
    given the industrial power America had could have won the war though
    given the state of the Soviet Union in 1944-45 SHOULD have been even
    more dominant post-war than they were. Particularly in nuclear
    research and aviation/rocketry, the Soviet Union made far greater
    advances postwar than they could have on their own.

    Yes, some post-War Germans (both WWI and WWII) were absolutely
    convinced that they only lost because of "traitors".

    Nice story, though.

    (aside: the >>'s were written by me the >'s by Paul)

    No question the Soviets captured a lot of German technology in 1944-45
    (and in my original posting I was deliberately vague enough to leave
    room for that) but the story about American trade secrets spotted by
    USAAF handlers of planes in Alaska bound for Siberia came from
    Unlikely Heroes (subtitle: Franklin Roosevelt: His Four Lieutenants
    and the World they Made) https://www.amazon.ca/Unlikely-Heroes-Franklin-Roosevelt-Lieutenants/dp/1250274699
    and it's clear that at least from 1941-45 quite a lot of FDR's cabinet including FDR himself (though not Truman) were far cozier with the
    Soviets that Allies should be.

    Churchill was at least realistic about Stalin but by 1944-45 no longer
    had the power to seriously influence FDR.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Scott Lurndal@21:1/5 to The Horny Goat on Thu Feb 22 14:58:44 2024
    The Horny Goat <lcraver@home.ca> writes:
    On Tue, 20 Feb 2024 09:11:37 -0800, Paul S Person ><psperson@old.netcom.invalid> wrote:

    This is all very weird. Metal can lids are not allowed separately
    (under 3") because they cause problems with the equipment (I think
    they slip through the part that grinds everything into pieces). Yet
    they are magnetic, and so (one would think) should be separated out by >>then.

    Really?!? It's been years since I've encountered one of those that
    wasn't aluminum.

    Most non-beverage cans (peas, corn, soup, etc) are made from
    tin (or steel) so far as I am aware.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Paul S Person@21:1/5 to All on Thu Feb 22 08:42:12 2024
    On Thu, 22 Feb 2024 14:58:44 GMT, scott@slp53.sl.home (Scott Lurndal)
    wrote:

    The Horny Goat <lcraver@home.ca> writes:
    On Tue, 20 Feb 2024 09:11:37 -0800, Paul S Person >><psperson@old.netcom.invalid> wrote:

    This is all very weird. Metal can lids are not allowed separately
    (under 3") because they cause problems with the equipment (I think
    they slip through the part that grinds everything into pieces). Yet
    they are magnetic, and so (one would think) should be separated out by >>>then.

    Really?!? It's been years since I've encountered one of those that
    wasn't aluminum.

    Most non-beverage cans (peas, corn, soup, etc) are made from
    tin (or steel) so far as I am aware.

    Which would explain why refrigerator magnets cling to them so well.

    I haven't used a beverage can in ... so many decades I've forgotten
    when. I'm sure I did, though, at some point.
    --
    "Here lies the Tuscan poet Aretino,
    Who evil spoke of everyone but God,
    Giving as his excuse, 'I never knew him.'"

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Paul S Person@21:1/5 to rja.carnegie@gmail.com on Fri Feb 23 08:52:16 2024
    On Fri, 23 Feb 2024 00:58:16 +0000, Robert Carnegie
    <rja.carnegie@gmail.com> wrote:

    On 22/02/2024 16:42, Paul S Person wrote:
    On Thu, 22 Feb 2024 14:58:44 GMT, scott@slp53.sl.home (Scott Lurndal)
    wrote:

    The Horny Goat <lcraver@home.ca> writes:
    On Tue, 20 Feb 2024 09:11:37 -0800, Paul S Person
    <psperson@old.netcom.invalid> wrote:

    This is all very weird. Metal can lids are not allowed separately
    (under 3") because they cause problems with the equipment (I think
    they slip through the part that grinds everything into pieces). Yet
    they are magnetic, and so (one would think) should be separated out by >>>>> then.

    Really?!? It's been years since I've encountered one of those that
    wasn't aluminum.

    Most non-beverage cans (peas, corn, soup, etc) are made from
    tin (or steel) so far as I am aware.

    Which would explain why refrigerator magnets cling to them so well.

    I haven't used a beverage can in ... so many decades I've forgotten
    when. I'm sure I did, though, at some point.

    Granovita Mushroom Pate" comes in a small
    tin which magnets don't stick to. I assume
    it is aluminium.

    I think the metal cans referrd to contain fruits and vegetables, not
    processed mushrooms.

    But, yes, there may be exceptions. Corned beef, for some reason (it's
    been a /long/ time since I bought that), comes to mind.

    I expect that large cans may be steel
    regardless of contents, because aluminium
    wouldn't scale up affordably in some
    uses. Aluminium still is expensive
    enough that the can made of it uses as
    little of it as possible.
    --
    "Here lies the Tuscan poet Aretino,
    Who evil spoke of everyone but God,
    Giving as his excuse, 'I never knew him.'"

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From The Horny Goat@21:1/5 to All on Mon Mar 4 10:48:11 2024
    On Thu, 22 Feb 2024 14:58:44 GMT, scott@slp53.sl.home (Scott Lurndal)
    wrote:

    The Horny Goat <lcraver@home.ca> writes:
    On Tue, 20 Feb 2024 09:11:37 -0800, Paul S Person >><psperson@old.netcom.invalid> wrote:

    This is all very weird. Metal can lids are not allowed separately
    (under 3") because they cause problems with the equipment (I think
    they slip through the part that grinds everything into pieces). Yet
    they are magnetic, and so (one would think) should be separated out by >>>then.

    Really?!? It's been years since I've encountered one of those that
    wasn't aluminum.

    Most non-beverage cans (peas, corn, soup, etc) are made from
    tin (or steel) so far as I am aware.

    Good point. I was entirely thinking about drink cans.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Ted Nolan @21:1/5 to lcraver@home.ca on Mon Mar 4 18:56:06 2024
    In article <jq5cui1al9np5aci78piosne1m8bn9n6tk@4ax.com>,
    The Horny Goat <lcraver@home.ca> wrote:
    On Thu, 22 Feb 2024 14:58:44 GMT, scott@slp53.sl.home (Scott Lurndal)
    wrote:

    The Horny Goat <lcraver@home.ca> writes:
    On Tue, 20 Feb 2024 09:11:37 -0800, Paul S Person >>><psperson@old.netcom.invalid> wrote:

    This is all very weird. Metal can lids are not allowed separately >>>>(under 3") because they cause problems with the equipment (I think
    they slip through the part that grinds everything into pieces). Yet >>>>they are magnetic, and so (one would think) should be separated out by >>>>then.

    Really?!? It's been years since I've encountered one of those that
    wasn't aluminum.

    Most non-beverage cans (peas, corn, soup, etc) are made from
    tin (or steel) so far as I am aware.

    Good point. I was entirely thinking about drink cans.

    I remember a Rockford Files episode where a guy who was Rockford's
    nemesis while they were in jail (maybe Isaac Hayes?) gets out years
    after Rockford, and then shows up on his doorstep trying to intimidate
    him into performing some task by crushing a soda can with his hand.

    Rockford (approx): I don't know if you noticed since you got out, but
    those are all aluminum now: Anybody can do that!
    --
    columbiaclosings.com
    What's not in Columbia anymore..

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From James Nicoll@21:1/5 to All on Mon Mar 4 19:28:35 2024
    In article <l4mjq6F2su3U1@mid.individual.net>,
    Ted Nolan <tednolan> <tednolan> wrote:
    In article <jq5cui1al9np5aci78piosne1m8bn9n6tk@4ax.com>,
    The Horny Goat <lcraver@home.ca> wrote:
    On Thu, 22 Feb 2024 14:58:44 GMT, scott@slp53.sl.home (Scott Lurndal) >>wrote:

    The Horny Goat <lcraver@home.ca> writes:
    On Tue, 20 Feb 2024 09:11:37 -0800, Paul S Person >>>><psperson@old.netcom.invalid> wrote:

    This is all very weird. Metal can lids are not allowed separately >>>>>(under 3") because they cause problems with the equipment (I think >>>>>they slip through the part that grinds everything into pieces). Yet >>>>>they are magnetic, and so (one would think) should be separated out by >>>>>then.

    Really?!? It's been years since I've encountered one of those that >>>>wasn't aluminum.

    Most non-beverage cans (peas, corn, soup, etc) are made from
    tin (or steel) so far as I am aware.

    Good point. I was entirely thinking about drink cans.

    I remember a Rockford Files episode where a guy who was Rockford's
    nemesis while they were in jail (maybe Isaac Hayes?) gets out years
    after Rockford, and then shows up on his doorstep trying to intimidate
    him into performing some task by crushing a soda can with his hand.

    Rockford (approx): I don't know if you noticed since you got out, but
    those are all aluminum now: Anybody can do that!

    I missed the first episode in which Hayes' Gandolph "Gandy" Fitch was introduced. Subsequent episodes gave me the impression he was mostly
    a comedy relief character. Decades later, I finally saw Gandy's debut
    episode, where he wants to be cleared of his wife's murder. He was
    innocent, in a sense, but

    he was such an abusive husband, and such a relentless stalker that
    his wife decided the only escape was to kill herself in such a way
    as to frame him for her murder.

    Much darker than I expected.
    --
    My reviews can be found at http://jamesdavisnicoll.com/
    My tor pieces at https://www.tor.com/author/james-davis-nicoll/
    My Dreamwidth at https://james-davis-nicoll.dreamwidth.org/
    My patreon is at https://www.patreon.com/jamesdnicoll

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Default User@21:1/5 to The Horny Goat on Tue Mar 5 08:16:30 2024
    The Horny Goat wrote:

    On Thu, 22 Feb 2024 14:58:44 GMT, scott@slp53.sl.home (Scott Lurndal)
    wrote:

    The Horny Goat <lcraver@home.ca> writes:
    On Tue, 20 Feb 2024 09:11:37 -0800, Paul S Person
    <psperson@old.netcom.invalid> wrote:

    This is all very weird. Metal can lids are not allowed
    separately (under 3") because they cause problems with the
    equipment (I think they slip through the part that grinds
    everything into pieces). Yet they are magnetic, and so (one
    would think) should be separated out by then.

    Really?!? It's been years since I've encountered one of those that
    wasn't aluminum.

    Most non-beverage cans (peas, corn, soup, etc) are made from
    tin (or steel) so far as I am aware.

    Good point. I was entirely thinking about drink cans.

    Cans with pop-tops, soup and such, are composite. The top is aluminum
    and the body steel.


    Brian

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)