• Longest plan

    From Keith F. Lynch@21:1/5 to All on Wed Nov 20 04:05:21 2024
    I was just reading about the fact that Ben Franklin had a trust fund
    he intended to be liquidated 200 years after his death. And it was.

    That makes me wonder what was the slowest plan that has ever been
    successfully carried out according to schedule.
    --
    Keith F. Lynch - http://keithlynch.net/
    Please see http://keithlynch.net/email.html before emailing me.

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  • From Charles Packer@21:1/5 to Keith F. Lynch on Wed Nov 20 09:04:24 2024
    On Wed, 20 Nov 2024 04:05:21 -0000 (UTC), Keith F. Lynch wrote:

    I was just reading about the fact that Ben Franklin had a trust fund he intended to be liquidated 200 years after his death. And it was.

    That makes me wonder what was the slowest plan that has ever been successfully carried out according to schedule.

    I learned about Franklin's plan for the first time when I saw
    an article about it in a New York Times microfilm of
    1900-1910 issues. For an attempt to establish a longer one,
    check out
    https://www.laphamsquarterly.org/future/trust-issues
    Did you mean specifically a financial instrument? That idea is
    called a "Methusaleh trust", I once read somewhere,though I couldn't find anything online right now about the concept.

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  • From Keith F. Lynch@21:1/5 to Charles Packer on Wed Nov 20 14:05:51 2024
    Charles Packer <mailbox@cpacker.org> wrote:
    Did you mean specifically a financial instrument?

    No. Any intention by any person or organization that a particular
    thing will happen at a particular future date.

    I'm not speaking of *predictions*, e.g. that there will be a total
    solar eclipse at a particular place and time, as those aren't things
    that that the planners helped to cause to happen. I had known about
    this year's total solar eclipse, which I saw, since I was a child.
    And I had learned the exact date and time of the 2004 transit of
    Venus, which I saw, from a 19th century astronomy book. But those
    don't count. Well, my intentions to see them counted, but those I
    planned only a few decades in advance.

    My intention to see the 2444 total solar eclipse in my neighborhood
    counts, but only if I live to see it. And very likely someone has
    successfully planned something further in the future than that.

    What's the longest it took to build any cathedral? Maybe that
    shouldn't count if it didn't have a specific completion date specified
    ahead of time.
    --
    Keith F. Lynch - http://keithlynch.net/
    Please see http://keithlynch.net/email.html before emailing me.

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  • From Charles Packer@21:1/5 to Keith F. Lynch on Thu Nov 21 08:58:59 2024
    On Wed, 20 Nov 2024 14:05:51 -0000 (UTC), Keith F. Lynch wrote:

    Charles Packer <mailbox@cpacker.org> wrote:
    Did you mean specifically a financial instrument?

    No. Any intention by any person or organization that a particular thing
    will happen at a particular future date.
    ...
    What's the longest it took to build any cathedral? Maybe that shouldn't count if it didn't have a specific completion date specified ahead of
    time.

    The plans of that type that are known to the public are of
    course the sending of probes to the outer planets. The completion
    of some of those projects will be after the lifetimes of some
    of their originators. But none of these projects are as long as
    200 years -- yet. The most likely place to find really long-range
    plans is probably in the realm of religion, perhaps the
    literal realization of religious prophecy. In fact, we are talking
    cathedrals -- but metaphorical ones -- say, like the creation of
    a world religion to succeed Christianity. In fact, I've been
    researching that subject for several years. I think in terms of
    the probability that such a project is ongoing and when it began.
    If there is such a project, I think the most likely origination
    would have been the late 19th century, when visionaries could have
    tapped into the most highly concentrated wealth in history.
    But that's still not 200 years...you've set a high bar.

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  • From Charles Packer@21:1/5 to Cryptoengineer on Thu Nov 21 09:00:28 2024
    On Wed, 20 Nov 2024 08:23:59 -0500, Cryptoengineer wrote:

    In practical terms, this limits such instruments to around 100 years.
    For example, Disney has an agreement with the state of Florida which
    grants certain privileges until 21 years after the death of the last
    survivor of the descendants of King Charles III at the time the
    agreement was made.


    Do you have a source for this rather bizarre provision?

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  • From John Dallman@21:1/5 to Charles Packer on Thu Nov 21 12:36:00 2024
    In article <pan$ce513$2c747ec2$c6f179bc$d78adf54@cpacker.org>, mailbox@cpacker.org (Charles Packer) wrote:

    The most likely place to find really long-range plans is probably
    in the realm of religion, perhaps the literal realization of
    religious prophecy.

    Setting a date beyond the plausible lifespan of the would-be prophet
    _does_ reduce the amount of negative feedback he gets. All one can say
    about prophecy is that it doesn't seem to have worked yet.

    Religious institutions do seem to be the longest-lived organisations, but finding the actual oldest one is hard.

    In fact, we are talking cathedrals -- but metaphorical ones --
    say, like the creation of a world religion to succeed Christianity.
    In fact, I've been researching that subject for several years.

    There have been many attempts, but no successes.

    I think in terms of the probability that such a project is ongoing
    and when it began. If there is such a project, I think the most
    likely origination would have been the late 19th century, when
    visionaries could have tapped into the most highly concentrated
    wealth in history.

    It seems deeply implausible that such a project would still be going on
    in secret.

    --
    John Dallman
    "This isn't a supernova problem. It's a pointy-haired boss problem."

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  • From Keith F. Lynch@21:1/5 to Charles Packer on Thu Nov 21 12:27:40 2024
    Charles Packer <mailbox@cpacker.org> wrote:
    Cryptoengineer wrote:
    In practical terms, this limits such instruments to around 100
    years. For example, Disney has an agreement with the state of
    Florida which grants certain privileges until 21 years after the
    death of the last survivor of the descendants of King Charles III
    at the time the agreement was made.

    Do you have a source for this rather bizarre provision?

    I think he's talking about the Rule Against Perpetuitites. Law is
    deeply weird. (For instance, the fact that I proved my innocence of
    burglary, but that proof was immediately dismissed as irrelevant due
    to untimeliness. Similarly, several people have been executed despite
    their innocence having been proved, and Texas is about to do the same
    to Robert Roberson.)

    In some states, no perpetuity can last more than 21 years beyond the
    lifetime of anyone named in the document. So they name someone as
    young as possible whose life is as likely as possible to be kept close
    track of, e.g. Britain's king's children or grandchildren. The person
    doesn't need have to have the slightest relevance to the perpetuity.
    --
    Keith F. Lynch - http://keithlynch.net/
    Please see http://keithlynch.net/email.html before emailing me.

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  • From Dorothy J Heydt@21:1/5 to mailbox@cpacker.org on Thu Nov 21 15:35:33 2024
    In article <pan$7160b$b95f0c5c$8c753563$f44cd7e6@cpacker.org>,
    Charles Packer <mailbox@cpacker.org> wrote:
    On Wed, 20 Nov 2024 08:23:59 -0500, Cryptoengineer wrote:

    In practical terms, this limits such instruments to around 100 years.
    For example, Disney has an agreement with the state of Florida which
    grants certain privileges until 21 years after the death of the last
    survivor of the descendants of King Charles III at the time the
    agreement was made.


    Do you have a source for this rather bizarre provision?

    [Hal Heydt]
    It was all over the major media at the time.

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  • From Tim Merrigan@21:1/5 to Cryptoengineer on Thu Nov 21 12:09:39 2024
    On 11/20/2024 5:23 AM, Cryptoengineer wrote:
    In practical terms, this limits such instruments to around 100 years.
    For example, Disney has an agreement with the state of Florida
    which grants certain privileges until 21 years after the
    death of the last survivor of the descendants of
    King Charles III at the time the agreement was made.

    When was this established and does it have provision for the current
    King having predeceased his mother, in which case Charles III of GB, if
    any, would have been at some indeterminate time in the future.

    --

    Qualified immunity = virtual impunity.

    Tim Merrigan

    --
    This email has been checked for viruses by AVG antivirus software.
    www.avg.com

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  • From Tim Merrigan@21:1/5 to Keith F. Lynch on Thu Nov 21 12:33:30 2024
    On 11/19/2024 8:05 PM, Keith F. Lynch wrote:
    I was just reading about the fact that Ben Franklin had a trust fund
    he intended to be liquidated 200 years after his death. And it was.

    That makes me wonder what was the slowest plan that has ever been successfully carried out according to schedule.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Longplayer

    Longplayer is a very long piece of music by British composer and
    musician Jem Finer which is composed to play for 1000 years without
    looping. It started to play at midnight on 1 January 2000, and if all
    goes as planned, it will continue without repetition until 31 December
    2999.

    I got to this after looking up John Cage's "As Slow as Possible".

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/As_Slow_as_Possible

    Which is, apparently, only the second longest piece of music.


    --

    Qualified immunity = virtual impunity.

    Tim Merrigan

    --
    This email has been checked for viruses by AVG antivirus software.
    www.avg.com

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  • From Tim Merrigan@21:1/5 to Tim Merrigan on Thu Nov 21 12:18:05 2024
    On 11/21/2024 12:09 PM, Tim Merrigan wrote:
    On 11/20/2024 5:23 AM, Cryptoengineer wrote:
    In practical terms, this limits such instruments to around 100 years.
    For example, Disney has an agreement with the state of Florida
    which grants certain privileges until 21 years after the
    death of the last survivor of the descendants of
    King Charles III at the time the agreement was made.

    When was this established and does it have provision for the current
    King having predeceased his mother, in which case Charles III of GB, if
    any, would have been at some indeterminate time in the future.


    This appears to have been answered in a previous response. It was
    apparently established recently, making my hypothetical moot.

    --

    Qualified immunity = virtual impunity.

    Tim Merrigan

    --
    This email has been checked for viruses by AVG antivirus software.
    www.avg.com

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  • From Charles Packer@21:1/5 to John Dallman on Fri Nov 22 11:33:18 2024
    On Thu, 21 Nov 2024 12:36 +0000 (GMT Standard Time), John Dallman wrote:

    In article <pan$ce513$2c747ec2$c6f179bc$d78adf54@cpacker.org>, mailbox@cpacker.org (Charles Packer) wrote:

    The most likely place to find really long-range plans is probably in
    the realm of religion, perhaps the literal realization of religious
    prophecy.

    Setting a date beyond the plausible lifespan of the would-be prophet
    _does_ reduce the amount of negative feedback he gets. All one can say
    about prophecy is that it doesn't seem to have worked yet.

    Religious institutions do seem to be the longest-lived organisations,
    but finding the actual oldest one is hard.

    In fact, we are talking cathedrals -- but metaphorical ones -- say,
    like the creation of a world religion to succeed Christianity.
    In fact, I've been researching that subject for several years.

    There have been many attempts, but no successes.

    I think in terms of the probability that such a project is ongoing and
    when it began. If there is such a project, I think the most likely
    origination would have been the late 19th century, when visionaries
    could have tapped into the most highly concentrated wealth in history.

    It seems deeply implausible that such a project would still be going on
    in secret.


    But it might have left behind detritus that eventually will have
    to be reckoned with. That's the essence of my working hypothesis.
    SF stories, typically from the golden age of SF, I've noticed,
    sometimes incorporate something like that idea into their plots.

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  • From Paul Dormer@21:1/5 to All on Fri Nov 22 12:00:00 2024
    In article <vho422$pgkm$1@dont-email.me>, tppm@rr.ca.com (Tim Merrigan)
    wrote:

    in which case Charles III of GB

    Well, technically, he's Charles III of UK - United Kingdom

    Great Britain is the island containing England, Scotland and Wales. The
    full political entity is the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland.

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  • From Gary McGath@21:1/5 to Tim Merrigan on Fri Nov 22 09:02:19 2024
    On 11/21/24 3:33 PM, Tim Merrigan wrote:
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Longplayer

    Longplayer is a very long piece of music by British composer and
    musician Jem Finer which is composed to play for 1000 years without
    looping. It started to play at midnight on 1 January 2000, and if all
    goes as planned, it will continue without repetition until 31 December
    2999.

    I got to this after looking up John Cage's "As Slow as Possible".

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/As_Slow_as_Possible

    Which is, apparently, only the second longest piece of music.



    The title "As Slow as Possible" reminds me of the tempo directions on
    the first movement of Schumann's Second Piano Sonata. At the start is
    "So rasch wie moeglich" (as fast as possible). Later on are the
    directions "Schneller" (faster) and "Noch schneller" (still faster).

    --
    Gary McGath http://www.mcgath.com

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  • From Scott Dorsey@21:1/5 to Keith F. Lynch on Fri Nov 22 14:25:07 2024
    In article <vhjn61$h20$1@reader1.panix.com>,
    Keith F. Lynch <kfl@KeithLynch.net> wrote:
    I was just reading about the fact that Ben Franklin had a trust fund
    he intended to be liquidated 200 years after his death. And it was.

    That makes me wonder what was the slowest plan that has ever been >successfully carried out according to schedule.

    The Plan Of Man, from the Reefs of Space by Fred Pohl.
    --scott
    --
    "C'est un Nagra. C'est suisse, et tres, tres precis."

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  • From John Dallman@21:1/5 to Cryptoengineer on Fri Nov 22 21:10:00 2024
    In article <vhqfs2$195va$1@dont-email.me>, petertrei@gmail.com
    (Cryptoengineer) wrote:
    On 11/21/2024 4:00 AM, Charles Packer wrote:
    Do you have a source for this rather bizarre provision?

    https://www.npr.org/2023/03/30/1167042594/disney-desantis-board-reed y-creek-charles

    Key sentence:
    "In this case, the declaration will continue "until twenty one (21)
    years after the death of the last survivor of the descendants of
    King Charles III."

    The litigation on that could be highly amusing. A court would have
    trouble interpreting it as anything shorter than 21 years after the death
    of the last of Charles III's descendants who were living at the time the contract was signed. Since he has several infant grandchildren, this
    locks things up for about a century at minimum.

    --
    John Dallman
    "This isn't a supernova problem. It's a pointy-haired boss problem."

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From Alan Woodford@21:1/5 to All on Sat Nov 23 19:17:06 2024
    On Sat, 23 Nov 2024 13:26:39 -0500, Cryptoengineer <petertrei@gmail.com>
    wrote:

    On 11/22/2024 4:10 PM, John Dallman wrote:
    In article <vhqfs2$195va$1@dont-email.me>, petertrei@gmail.com
    (Cryptoengineer) wrote:
    On 11/21/2024 4:00 AM, Charles Packer wrote:
    Do you have a source for this rather bizarre provision?

    https://www.npr.org/2023/03/30/1167042594/disney-desantis-board-reed
    y-creek-charles

    Key sentence:
    "In this case, the declaration will continue "until twenty one (21)
    years after the death of the last survivor of the descendants of
    King Charles III."

    The litigation on that could be highly amusing. A court would have
    trouble interpreting it as anything shorter than 21 years after the death
    of the last of Charles III's descendants who were living at the time the
    contract was signed. Since he has several infant grandchildren, this
    locks things up for about a century at minimum.


    That's the intent, and this isn't that wacko a provision, in this
    area of law.

    In terms of 'longest plan', I pointed out that there *are* some
    actual perpetuities out there:

    I said:
    But there are perpetual contracts from before the law changed
    which are still valid. The most famous example is a Dutch
    water bond issued in 1648 which is still paying interest.


    https://dailyinvestor.com/world/32751/the-worlds-oldest-bond-still-paying-interest-375-years-later/

    Of course, Keith missed that.

    Purely by coincidence, I was watching a YouTube video about that Dutch bond yesterday...

    Alan Woodford


    The Greying Lensman

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  • From Charles Packer@21:1/5 to Evelyn C. Leeper on Sat Nov 23 21:25:01 2024
    On Thu, 21 Nov 2024 09:47:51 -0500, Evelyn C. Leeper wrote:

    On 11/21/24 4:00 AM, Charles Packer wrote:
    On Wed, 20 Nov 2024 08:23:59 -0500, Cryptoengineer wrote:

    In practical terms, this limits such instruments to around 100 years.
    For example, Disney has an agreement with the state of Florida which
    grants certain privileges until 21 years after the death of the last
    survivor of the descendants of King Charles III at the time the
    agreement was made.


    Do you have a source for this rather bizarre provision?

    Google is your friend, but here's one source:

    <https://www.npr.org/2023/03/30/1167042594/disney-desantis-board-reedy-
    creek-charles>

    ...

    Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, Walt Disney World and a special tax district
    are once again making headlines, but this time, it's with a new cast
    member: England's King Charles III.

    In a quiet move that's enchanting the internet, the former `` signed its power back to Disney before leaving office, a binding declaration that doesn't expire until England's monarchy dies out.

    ...

    And, in an extra detail that the internet is devouring, the term of the agreement was set using the "Rule Against Perpetuities" — which states
    that a policy will continue until after a certain person dies.

    In this case, the declaration will continue "until twenty one (21) years after the death of the last survivor of the descendants of King Charles
    III." DeSantis, after all, frequently refers to Walt Disney World as a "corporate kingdom."


    Now that I've had a chance to study this I see why I missed out
    on learning of the King Charles angle. I don't follow news about
    corporate governance shenanigans. Even though this quirk is the
    kind of thing New York Times readers such as I would expect to have
    called to their attention, there was nothing there. Shame on the
    Gray Lady!

    Anyway, the ghost of Cecil Rhodes would get a chuckle out of it.
    He wanted to bind America and Britain back together, with or
    without a monarchy. Thomas Jefferson, however, is turning in his
    grave.


    ...

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  • From Michael Benveniste@21:1/5 to Evelyn C. Leeper on Sun Nov 24 10:20:04 2024
    On 11/21/2024 9:47 AM, Evelyn C. Leeper wrote:

    And, in an extra detail that the internet is devouring, the term of the agreement was set using the "Rule Against Perpetuities" — which states that a policy will continue until after a certain person dies.

    In this case, the declaration will continue "until twenty one (21) years after the death of the last survivor of the descendants of King Charles III." DeSantis, after all, frequently refers to Walt Disney World as a "corporate kingdom."

    Under case law, that clause would be invalid, since the descendants
    would have had to been "objectively identifiable" at the time of grant.
    But who knows how the Florida Supreme Court will rule?

    --
    Mike Benveniste -- mhb@murkyether.com (Clarification Required)
    Such commentary has become ubiquitous on the Internet and is widely
    perceived to carry no indicium of reliability and little weight.
    (Digital Media News v. Escape Media Group, May 2014).

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  • From Michael Benveniste@21:1/5 to Cryptoengineer on Mon Nov 25 09:35:03 2024
    On 11/24/2024 10:51 AM, Cryptoengineer wrote:
    IIRC, the clause actually specifies the 'descendants of King Charles
    the III at the time the contract is executed'.

    Barring illegitimate offspring, that's pretty objective.

    Well, you've just listed one of the problem -- the grant is too vague.
    Another is that the group has to be "easily identifiable." Good luck
    trying to do so.

    It's somewhat common to name "the legitimate surviving issue" of
    Joseph P. Kennedy.

    --
    Mike Benveniste -- mhb@murkyether.com (Clarification Required)
    Such commentary has become ubiquitous on the Internet and is widely
    perceived to carry no indicium of reliability and little weight.
    (Digital Media News v. Escape Media Group, May 2014).

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  • From Tim Illingworth@21:1/5 to Michael Benveniste on Mon Nov 25 10:43:26 2024
    On 11/25/2024 9:35 AM, Michael Benveniste wrote:
    On 11/24/2024 10:51 AM, Cryptoengineer wrote:
    IIRC, the clause actually specifies the 'descendants of King Charles
    the III at the time the contract is executed'.

    Barring illegitimate offspring, that's pretty objective.

    Well, you've just listed one of the problem -- the grant is too vague. Another is that the group has to be "easily identifiable."  Good luck
    trying to do so.

    It's somewhat common to name "the legitimate surviving issue" of
    Joseph P. Kennedy.

    Why a problem? The set consists of Charles, William, Harry, George,
    Charlotte, Louis, Archie and Lilibet. Should be easy enough to find when
    the last of them dies, and they have 21 years to notice it.

    Mind you, none of the reports seem to include the actual language used,
    so picking for loopholes is kinda pointless.

    Tim

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