• Chris H vs Chris L - are there any game-changer shots left?

    From Crash@21:1/5 to All on Thu Sep 28 20:10:01 2023
    The short answer is no. National have the lead and their biggest
    enemy is complacency. Why is this? Put very bluntly - the Ardern
    legacy - He Puapua and its outcomes with co-governance.

    Only Chris L can repeal this. Chris H has tried gamely with his
    'policy bonfire' but this has been proven to be inadequate. Chris H
    is not campaigning on Labour's record on delivery - an admission that
    what they have achieved in 6 years does not rate as a centrepiece of
    their campaign for re-election. Chris H can fire some accusations
    based on past National government actions - but that is over 6 years
    ago and Chris L was not even in Parliament then - so an incredibly
    weak approach.

    So this election is for Chris L to loose. Chris H does not have the
    firepower to make this happen, but Chris L does have the inexperience
    to cause this to happen.

    Interesting times. The only way to ensure National call the shots
    after the election is to party-vote National or ACT.


    --
    Crash McBash

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From JohnO@21:1/5 to Crash on Thu Sep 28 13:26:58 2023
    On Thursday, 28 September 2023 at 20:10:02 UTC+13, Crash wrote:
    The short answer is no. National have the lead and their biggest
    enemy is complacency. Why is this? Put very bluntly - the Ardern
    legacy - He Puapua and its outcomes with co-governance.

    Only Chris L can repeal this. Chris H has tried gamely with his
    'policy bonfire' but this has been proven to be inadequate. Chris H
    is not campaigning on Labour's record on delivery - an admission that
    what they have achieved in 6 years does not rate as a centrepiece of
    their campaign for re-election. Chris H can fire some accusations
    based on past National government actions - but that is over 6 years
    ago and Chris L was not even in Parliament then - so an incredibly
    weak approach.

    So this election is for Chris L to loose. Chris H does not have the firepower to make this happen, but Chris L does have the inexperience
    to cause this to happen.

    Interesting times. The only way to ensure National call the shots
    after the election is to party-vote National or ACT.


    --
    Crash McBash

    You know that Hipkins is in last minute desperation mode when he's resorted to bleating 'race-baiting'. He's tried everything and that's the last piece of mud he's got left to throw.

    It won't work though. More people believe that pro Maori legislation and preferential treatment is racist. The voter base is recoiling from such things as mandatory Maori local board seats, Maori health authorities, Te Mana o Te Wai statements in 5
    Waters legislation, preferential Maori elevation on health waitlists, renaming every government entitity in Te Reo and so on.

    Treating someone differently because they have a fractional Maori DNA component is repellent to most voters.

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