• Re: For those seeking knowledge - for Crash

    From Tony@21:1/5 to Tony on Sun Aug 27 02:42:23 2023
    Tony <lizandtony@orcon.net.nz> wrote:
    Crash <nogood@dontbother.invalid> wrote:
    On Fri, 25 Aug 2023 03:04:54 -0000 (UTC), Tony
    <lizandtony@orcon.net.nz> wrote:

    Crash <nogood@dontbother.invalid> wrote:
    On Thu, 24 Aug 2023 20:44:26 -0000 (UTC), Tony >>>><lizandtony@orcon.net.nz> wrote:
    https://waikanaewatch.org/2023/08/24/the-founder-of-the-weather-channel-debunks-the-climate-cult/
    There is an increasing number of people with solid backgrounds and >>>>>expertise
    who are saying similar things.
    Time to open minds.

    I am interested in climate trends. To me it is apparent that our >>>>planet is warming up, but not apparent is what is causing this and how >>>>catastrophic this development is to humans. I get that there is >>>>opposition to the notion that climate change is man-made, and I >>>>certainly oppose climate-mitigation in NZ until northern-hemisphere >>>>countries show serious intent to do the same.

    Am I missing something here? Is there a widespread belief that the >>>>earth is not warming up?

    Not to my knowledge Crash. I have never suggested that it is not warming. >>>And
    it has gone through warming and cooling periods for millenia.
    My concern is that the assumption, rarely supported scientifically, that the >>>cause is predominantly man-made is at least questionable.

    The most-often cited link to man-made cause seems to be the large
    increase in CO2 emissions, starting with the advent of steam power
    during the industrial revolution (produced by fire-heated boilers) and
    then increasing substantially with the extraction/refining of crude
    oil and the burning of refined product.

    I don't know all the nuances linking CO2 emissions to man-made global >>warming so I would appreciate clarity on this.

    I saw a chart some time ago showing the rate of growth of vegetation/trees etc >for different levels of CO2 in the air. And it showed that the optimum CO2 >level was a few hundred years ago and CO2 is actually lower than that now. I >will see if I can find that chart and post a link here.
    Tony
    Sorry Crash, I cannot find that chart.
    Suffice it to say that more and more scientists are disputing the extent to which human activity is the main cause of climate change.
    I and others have posted examples of that here dozeens of times.
    Climate has always changed and it has been hotter than it is now. Nature appears to compensate rather well, better at it than mankind I believe.
    No one here (to my knowledge) argues against us doing sensible things to mitigate our impact on the environment. Doing those things is good. The question is what is sensible and what is merely panic (often driven by politics and/or greed) - and that is my debate.

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  • From Crash@21:1/5 to lizandtony@orcon.net.nz on Sun Aug 27 20:13:42 2023
    On Sun, 27 Aug 2023 02:42:23 -0000 (UTC), Tony
    <lizandtony@orcon.net.nz> wrote:

    Tony <lizandtony@orcon.net.nz> wrote:
    Crash <nogood@dontbother.invalid> wrote:
    On Fri, 25 Aug 2023 03:04:54 -0000 (UTC), Tony
    <lizandtony@orcon.net.nz> wrote:

    Crash <nogood@dontbother.invalid> wrote:
    On Thu, 24 Aug 2023 20:44:26 -0000 (UTC), Tony >>>>><lizandtony@orcon.net.nz> wrote:
    https://waikanaewatch.org/2023/08/24/the-founder-of-the-weather-channel-debunks-the-climate-cult/
    There is an increasing number of people with solid backgrounds and >>>>>>expertise
    who are saying similar things.
    Time to open minds.

    I am interested in climate trends. To me it is apparent that our >>>>>planet is warming up, but not apparent is what is causing this and how >>>>>catastrophic this development is to humans. I get that there is >>>>>opposition to the notion that climate change is man-made, and I >>>>>certainly oppose climate-mitigation in NZ until northern-hemisphere >>>>>countries show serious intent to do the same.

    Am I missing something here? Is there a widespread belief that the >>>>>earth is not warming up?

    Not to my knowledge Crash. I have never suggested that it is not warming. >>>>And
    it has gone through warming and cooling periods for millenia.
    My concern is that the assumption, rarely supported scientifically, that the
    cause is predominantly man-made is at least questionable.

    The most-often cited link to man-made cause seems to be the large >>>increase in CO2 emissions, starting with the advent of steam power
    during the industrial revolution (produced by fire-heated boilers) and >>>then increasing substantially with the extraction/refining of crude
    oil and the burning of refined product.

    I don't know all the nuances linking CO2 emissions to man-made global >>>warming so I would appreciate clarity on this.

    I saw a chart some time ago showing the rate of growth of vegetation/trees etc
    for different levels of CO2 in the air. And it showed that the optimum CO2 >>level was a few hundred years ago and CO2 is actually lower than that now. I >>will see if I can find that chart and post a link here.
    Tony
    Sorry Crash, I cannot find that chart.
    Suffice it to say that more and more scientists are disputing the extent to >which human activity is the main cause of climate change.
    I and others have posted examples of that here dozeens of times.
    Climate has always changed and it has been hotter than it is now. Nature >appears to compensate rather well, better at it than mankind I believe.
    No one here (to my knowledge) argues against us doing sensible things to >mitigate our impact on the environment. Doing those things is good. The >question is what is sensible and what is merely panic (often driven by politics
    and/or greed) - and that is my debate.

    Thanks Tony.

    My angle has always been that financial ruin of NZers in the name of
    climate change mitigation is irrational because weather bombs such as
    cyclones etc. will continue to occur because they are driven by
    world-wide causes. We can mitigate climate change to the nth degree
    but the weather bombs will continue because climate change causes are
    rooted in Northern Hemisphere country emissions. Yes there are 'set
    the example' considerations for Southern Hemisphere countries but
    setting the example is pointless if it generates no action from
    Northern Hemisphere countries (dominated by countries governed by
    totalitarian governments (hello Russia and China and other smaller
    players).

    So NZ should certainly mitigate the anticipated sea-level rises and
    other coastal defences, but we should carry on with our exported
    production of food without bothering with climate-change measures.


    --
    Crash McBash

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  • From Crash@21:1/5 to blah@blah.blah on Mon Aug 28 08:14:08 2023
    On Mon, 28 Aug 2023 07:35:07 +1200, BR <blah@blah.blah> wrote:

    On Sun, 27 Aug 2023 20:13:42 +1200, Crash <nogood@dontbother.invalid>
    wrote:


    So NZ should certainly mitigate the anticipated sea-level rises and
    other coastal defences,

    Why?

    Some coastal settlements probably need to be moved. The damage done
    by the recent cyclones is evidence that repaired infrastructure and
    rebuilt buildings should be more resilient.

    In 1988 the Maldives were predicted to be uninhabitable in thirty
    years time because man made climate change was going to cause the sea
    level to rise.

    The due date came and went without incident.

    I can watch the tides going up and down from my French windows, and in
    the last 18 years there has been no perceptible change in tidal
    behaviour.

    The alarmists have been predicting climate disasters for more than
    fitfy years. Every one of their predictions has failed.

    The only reason this stuff is taken seriously is because of the
    incessant drumbeat of propaganda from the media. If it wasn't for
    that, nobody would have any concerns about the climate.

    "We redistribute de-facto the world's wealth by climate policy.
    One has to free oneself from the illusion that international climate
    policy is environmental policy anymore" - Ottmar Edenhofer. Co-chair
    IPCC Working Group III "Mitigation of Climate Change"

    Bill.

    I agree with the general tenor of what you say. In my original
    comment I should have said that we build back more resilient or
    relocate and rebuild as the need arises. I was referring to actual
    damage suffered (primarily from weather events).


    --
    Crash McBash

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  • From BR@21:1/5 to All on Mon Aug 28 07:35:07 2023
    On Sun, 27 Aug 2023 20:13:42 +1200, Crash <nogood@dontbother.invalid>
    wrote:


    So NZ should certainly mitigate the anticipated sea-level rises and
    other coastal defences,

    Why?

    In 1988 the Maldives were predicted to be uninhabitable in thirty
    years time because man made climate change was going to cause the sea
    level to rise.

    The due date came and went without incident.

    I can watch the tides going up and down from my French windows, and in
    the last 18 years there has been no perceptible change in tidal
    behaviour.

    The alarmists have been predicting climate disasters for more than
    fitfy years. Every one of their predictions has failed.

    The only reason this stuff is taken seriously is because of the
    incessant drumbeat of propaganda from the media. If it wasn't for
    that, nobody would have any concerns about the climate.

    "We redistribute de-facto the world's wealth by climate policy.
    One has to free oneself from the illusion that international climate
    policy is environmental policy anymore" - Ottmar Edenhofer. Co-chair
    IPCC Working Group III "Mitigation of Climate Change"

    Bill.

    --
    This email has been checked for viruses by AVG.
    https://www.avg.com

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  • From Rich80105@21:1/5 to All on Mon Aug 28 08:32:02 2023
    On Mon, 28 Aug 2023 08:14:08 +1200, Crash <nogood@dontbother.invalid>
    wrote:

    On Mon, 28 Aug 2023 07:35:07 +1200, BR <blah@blah.blah> wrote:

    On Sun, 27 Aug 2023 20:13:42 +1200, Crash <nogood@dontbother.invalid> >>wrote:


    So NZ should certainly mitigate the anticipated sea-level rises and
    other coastal defences,

    Why?

    Some coastal settlements probably need to be moved. The damage done
    by the recent cyclones is evidence that repaired infrastructure and
    rebuilt buildings should be more resilient.

    I agree. Some of the damage is from changes to sea and storm patterns,
    some from natural erosion, some from human change to land that is not sustainable (around the Firth of Thames is one region where water
    control has been getting more difficult.



    In 1988 the Maldives were predicted to be uninhabitable in thirty
    years time because man made climate change was going to cause the sea
    level to rise.

    The due date came and went without incident.

    I can watch the tides going up and down from my French windows, and in
    the last 18 years there has been no perceptible change in tidal
    behaviour.

    It is difficult for scientists to detect small changes in sea levels
    as the effects of seasonal tides and daily weather fluctuations need
    to be carefully separated from true sea level changes (and in some
    areas earthquakes have affected levels as well). Changes to ice
    levels at the poles are perhaps more readily identified., but personal perceptions are not usually adequate for the very small changes from
    day to day, month to month or year to year . . .


    The alarmists have been predicting climate disasters for more than
    fitfy years. Every one of their predictions has failed.

    The only reason this stuff is taken seriously is because of the
    incessant drumbeat of propaganda from the media. If it wasn't for
    that, nobody would have any concerns about the climate.

    "We redistribute de-facto the world's wealth by climate policy.
    One has to free oneself from the illusion that international climate
    policy is environmental policy anymore" - Ottmar Edenhofer. Co-chair
    IPCC Working Group III "Mitigation of Climate Change"

    Bill.

    I agree with the general tenor of what you say. In my original
    comment I should have said that we build back more resilient or
    relocate and rebuild as the need arises. I was referring to actual
    damage suffered (primarily from weather events).

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