• Fact Checking NZs death rate

    From Rich80105@21:1/5 to All on Thu Jun 22 09:42:05 2023
    https://www.stuff.co.nz/national/the-whole-truth/132369176/fact-checking-claims-about-new-zealands-2022-death-rate

    So rising deaths are nothing to do with Covid - New Zealand had a
    world-leading low percentage of deaths from Covid, but the reason for
    a rising death rate is simple demographics - blame the babyboomers!

    Baby boomers are regarded as those born from 1946 to 1964 - years of
    high birth rates following WW2. The oldest of these are now 77, the
    youngest 59. That is the period in life when mortality rates start to
    climb - and that is showing through.

    This is a reminder that we are in a period when we are still seeing
    increasing NZ Super commitments - but not even National are
    threatening the start date for baby boomers), we are seeing a still
    rising demand for retirement villages and aged care facilities (but
    private companies will soon see the peak of that demand a stop
    expanding facilities that may be less needed as the boomers pass
    through. We can be thankful that Labour started the Cullen Fund to
    ease the peak demand for NZ Super; sad that National did not continue contributions when they were in government - and that Labour has put a
    lot of money into health - the demand for geriatric services will
    still be increasing for a while.

    Another example of the stupidity of some of the anti-vaxxers - perhaps
    not surprisingly these are often also rabid far-right activists, using
    lies to try and discredit a government . . .

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Tony@21:1/5 to Rich80105@hotmail.com on Thu Jun 22 01:58:26 2023
    Rich80105 <Rich80105@hotmail.com> wrote: >https://www.stuff.co.nz/national/the-whole-truth/132369176/fact-checking-claims-about-new-zealands-2022-death-rate

    So rising deaths are nothing to do with Covid - New Zealand had a >world-leading low percentage of deaths from Covid, but the reason for
    a rising death rate is simple demographics - blame the babyboomers!

    Baby boomers are regarded as those born from 1946 to 1964 - years of
    high birth rates following WW2. The oldest of these are now 77, the
    youngest 59. That is the period in life when mortality rates start to
    climb - and that is showing through.

    This is a reminder that we are in a period when we are still seeing >increasing NZ Super commitments - but not even National are
    threatening the start date for baby boomers), we are seeing a still
    rising demand for retirement villages and aged care facilities (but
    private companies will soon see the peak of that demand a stop
    expanding facilities that may be less needed as the boomers pass
    through. We can be thankful that Labour started the Cullen Fund to
    ease the peak demand for NZ Super; sad that National did not continue >contributions when they were in government - and that Labour has put a
    lot of money into health - the demand for geriatric services will
    still be increasing for a while.

    Another example of the stupidity of some of the anti-vaxxers - perhaps
    not surprisingly these are often also rabid far-right activists, using
    lies to try and discredit a government . . .
    What nonsense. There is nothing stupid about freedom of personal choice (unless you are a Labour supporter I suppose).
    And those that exercise that right are not anti-vaxxers, they are worried about one particular (non) vaccine.
    And there is no reason to believe they are far right activists.
    What a crock your mind is.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Gordon@21:1/5 to Rich80105@hotmail.com on Thu Jun 22 03:22:38 2023
    On 2023-06-21, Rich80105 <Rich80105@hotmail.com> wrote:
    https://www.stuff.co.nz/national/the-whole-truth/132369176/fact-checking-claims-about-new-zealands-2022-death-rate

    So rising deaths are nothing to do with Covid - New Zealand had a world-leading low percentage of deaths from Covid, but the reason for
    a rising death rate is simple demographics - blame the babyboomers!

    Baby boomers are regarded as those born from 1946 to 1964 - years of
    high birth rates following WW2. The oldest of these are now 77, the
    youngest 59. That is the period in life when mortality rates start to
    climb - and that is showing through.

    This is along the idea that CO2 causes global warming. Yes the death rates
    will go up, but it is the exent that they have which is the point.

    The excess death rates take into account the seasonal deaths, the aging population etc.

    Also if you think about it, the rate will climb slowly not at a rate where
    the undertakers are surprised by the sudden intake.



    This is a reminder that we are in a period when we are still seeing increasing NZ Super commitments - but not even National are
    threatening the start date for baby boomers), we are seeing a still
    rising demand for retirement villages and aged care facilities (but
    private companies will soon see the peak of that demand a stop
    expanding facilities that may be less needed as the boomers pass
    through. We can be thankful that Labour started the Cullen Fund to
    ease the peak demand for NZ Super; sad that National did not continue contributions when they were in government - and that Labour has put a
    lot of money into health - the demand for geriatric services will
    still be increasing for a while.

    Diversion level HIGH.


    Another example of the stupidity of some of the anti-vaxxers - perhaps
    not surprisingly these are often also rabid far-right activists, using
    lies to try and discredit a government . . .


    No it is the Government which has done this. People in a democracy have the right to hold opinions. The reasons the anti-vaxxers have proven correct
    over time, unles those have a blind spot.

    Nevertheless it was good to see that the article says that 4 deaths have
    been caused by the vaccine is a good start.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From John Bowes@21:1/5 to Tony on Wed Jun 21 21:10:53 2023
    On Thursday, June 22, 2023 at 1:58:29 PM UTC+12, Tony wrote:
    Rich80105 <Rich...@hotmail.com> wrote: >https://www.stuff.co.nz/national/the-whole-truth/132369176/fact-checking-claims-about-new-zealands-2022-death-rate

    So rising deaths are nothing to do with Covid - New Zealand had a >world-leading low percentage of deaths from Covid, but the reason for
    a rising death rate is simple demographics - blame the babyboomers!

    Baby boomers are regarded as those born from 1946 to 1964 - years of
    high birth rates following WW2. The oldest of these are now 77, the >youngest 59. That is the period in life when mortality rates start to >climb - and that is showing through.

    This is a reminder that we are in a period when we are still seeing >increasing NZ Super commitments - but not even National are
    threatening the start date for baby boomers), we are seeing a still
    rising demand for retirement villages and aged care facilities (but >private companies will soon see the peak of that demand a stop
    expanding facilities that may be less needed as the boomers pass
    through. We can be thankful that Labour started the Cullen Fund to
    ease the peak demand for NZ Super; sad that National did not continue >contributions when they were in government - and that Labour has put a
    lot of money into health - the demand for geriatric services will
    still be increasing for a while.

    Another example of the stupidity of some of the anti-vaxxers - perhaps
    not surprisingly these are often also rabid far-right activists, using >lies to try and discredit a government . . .
    What nonsense. There is nothing stupid about freedom of personal choice (unless
    you are a Labour supporter I suppose).
    And those that exercise that right are not anti-vaxxers, they are worried about
    one particular (non) vaccine.
    And there is no reason to believe they are far right activists.
    What a crock your mind is.
    Wonder who did the fact checking? Can't trust Stuff to turn out a reason the government disagrees with and the Disinformation Project is only any good for giving out Rich89105 type information...

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Rich80105@21:1/5 to Gordon on Thu Jun 22 21:01:26 2023
    On 22 Jun 2023 03:22:38 GMT, Gordon <Gordon@leaf.net.nz> wrote:

    On 2023-06-21, Rich80105 <Rich80105@hotmail.com> wrote:
    https://www.stuff.co.nz/national/the-whole-truth/132369176/fact-checking-claims-about-new-zealands-2022-death-rate

    So rising deaths are nothing to do with Covid - New Zealand had a
    world-leading low percentage of deaths from Covid, but the reason for
    a rising death rate is simple demographics - blame the babyboomers!

    Baby boomers are regarded as those born from 1946 to 1964 - years of
    high birth rates following WW2. The oldest of these are now 77, the
    youngest 59. That is the period in life when mortality rates start to
    climb - and that is showing through.

    This is along the idea that CO2 causes global warming. Yes the death rates >will go up, but it is the exent that they have which is the point.

    The death rates by age change only slowly - but as a group ages, the
    number of deaths from that group does go up. There was a small effect
    due to Covid measures for one year because fewer people died from
    influennza and other winter ailments, but that has been reversed now.
    The excess death rates take into account the seasonal deaths, the aging >population etc.
    The calculated results are based on population mortality rates by age
    - yes we know that there are seasonal differences but the 'expected
    mortality is calculated by age years.


    Also if you think about it, the rate will climb slowly not at a rate where >the undertakers are surprised by the sudden intake.
    Indeed that is true, but over the last 20 or 30 years, and despite
    immigration, our population has aged slightly. It is however why I
    referred to the retirement village / Aged care industry - they will
    notice when the baby boomers go though over the next 30 odd years.


    This is a reminder that we are in a period when we are still seeing
    increasing NZ Super commitments - but not even National are
    threatening the start date for baby boomers), we are seeing a still
    rising demand for retirement villages and aged care facilities (but
    private companies will soon see the peak of that demand a stop
    expanding facilities that may be less needed as the boomers pass
    through. We can be thankful that Labour started the Cullen Fund to
    ease the peak demand for NZ Super; sad that National did not continue
    contributions when they were in government - and that Labour has put a
    lot of money into health - the demand for geriatric services will
    still be increasing for a while.

    Diversion level HIGH.
    Not a diversion - the nature of many services has changed as a result
    of social changes - large homes for extended families are rarer now,
    and expected births following marriages are now lower - and with
    mothers at a higher age. Anticipating such social changes is part of
    the job of government.



    Another example of the stupidity of some of the anti-vaxxers - perhaps
    not surprisingly these are often also rabid far-right activists, using
    lies to try and discredit a government . . .


    No it is the Government which has done this. People in a democracy have the >right to hold opinions. The reasons the anti-vaxxers have proven correct
    over time, unles those have a blind spot.
    In what way have they been proven correct on anything, Gordon?
    Certainly New Zealand did not experience a larger number of deaths due
    to Covid vaccinations - our overall mortality experience went down!
    Sue the reduction was only around 500 fewer than expected deaths, and
    that has notw been reversed to about 50 extra deaths than expected
    based on previous mortality - and part of the reduction from expected
    deaths is due to vaccinations.


    Nevertheless it was good to see that the article says that 4 deaths have
    been caused by the vaccine is a good start.
    More than offset by the number of deaths avoided. It was an
    experimental vaccine; here is hoping we do not get a new variant of
    Covid, but if we did I suspect they could develop new vaccines more
    quickly than a few years ago.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Tony@21:1/5 to Rich80105@hotmail.com on Fri Jun 23 21:27:47 2023
    Rich80105 <Rich80105@hotmail.com> wrote: >https://www.stuff.co.nz/national/the-whole-truth/132369176/fact-checking-claims-about-new-zealands-2022-death-rate

    So rising deaths are nothing to do with Covid - New Zealand had a >world-leading low percentage of deaths from Covid, but the reason for
    a rising death rate is simple demographics - blame the babyboomers!

    Baby boomers are regarded as those born from 1946 to 1964 - years of
    high birth rates following WW2. The oldest of these are now 77, the
    youngest 59. That is the period in life when mortality rates start to
    climb - and that is showing through.

    This is a reminder that we are in a period when we are still seeing >increasing NZ Super commitments - but not even National are
    threatening the start date for baby boomers), we are seeing a still
    rising demand for retirement villages and aged care facilities (but
    private companies will soon see the peak of that demand a stop
    expanding facilities that may be less needed as the boomers pass
    through. We can be thankful that Labour started the Cullen Fund to
    ease the peak demand for NZ Super; sad that National did not continue >contributions when they were in government - and that Labour has put a
    lot of money into health - the demand for geriatric services will
    still be increasing for a while.

    Another example of the stupidity of some of the anti-vaxxers - perhaps
    not surprisingly these are often also rabid far-right activists, using
    lies to try and discredit a government . . .
    Once more an example of your refusal accept there is another side (you know - balance!).
    See https://stats.oecd.org/index.aspx?queryid=104676
    Our excess deaths worst in the OECD
    and
    https://hatchardreport.com/heart-attacks-have-increased-by-83-percent/
    and
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YwOpkwU1yx4
    Oh go on, I know you are dying to - do attack the authors and ignore the data.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Gordon@21:1/5 to Tony on Fri Jun 23 23:50:32 2023
    On 2023-06-23, Tony <lizandtony@orcon.net.nz> wrote:
    Rich80105 <Rich80105@hotmail.com> wrote:
    https://www.stuff.co.nz/national/the-whole-truth/132369176/fact-checking-claims-about-new-zealands-2022-death-rate

    So rising deaths are nothing to do with Covid - New Zealand had a >>world-leading low percentage of deaths from Covid, but the reason for
    a rising death rate is simple demographics - blame the babyboomers!

    Baby boomers are regarded as those born from 1946 to 1964 - years of
    high birth rates following WW2. The oldest of these are now 77, the >>youngest 59. That is the period in life when mortality rates start to
    climb - and that is showing through.

    This is a reminder that we are in a period when we are still seeing >>increasing NZ Super commitments - but not even National are
    threatening the start date for baby boomers), we are seeing a still
    rising demand for retirement villages and aged care facilities (but
    private companies will soon see the peak of that demand a stop
    expanding facilities that may be less needed as the boomers pass
    through. We can be thankful that Labour started the Cullen Fund to
    ease the peak demand for NZ Super; sad that National did not continue >>contributions when they were in government - and that Labour has put a
    lot of money into health - the demand for geriatric services will
    still be increasing for a while.

    Another example of the stupidity of some of the anti-vaxxers - perhaps
    not surprisingly these are often also rabid far-right activists, using
    lies to try and discredit a government . . .
    Once more an example of your refusal accept there is another side (you know - balance!).
    See https://stats.oecd.org/index.aspx?queryid=104676
    Our excess deaths worst in the OECD

    In deed they are, according to the spreadsheet.

    The really concerning factor is that the NZ % rate is way higher than even
    USA and above UK for 2023.

    Also in the something is not right with the numbers of excess deaths on the spread sheet and the numbers given by the Ministry of Health. MoH ones are a great deal lower

    From my records

    62 vs 128 Week 1
    44 173 Week 2
    31 77
    9 156
    25 121
    11 61
    21 138
    8 93
    6 99
    etc.


    I must be missing something

    https://hatchardreport.com/heart-attacks-have-increased-by-83-percent/
    and
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YwOpkwU1yx4
    Oh go on, I know you are dying to - do attack the authors and ignore the data.


    There are a great number of videos on you-tube from well respected people
    who are calling for an inquiry into the excess deaths, what is causing them.
    No show, we can not even have a discussion of it without being cancelled.

    That in itself says a great deal.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Rich80105@21:1/5 to lizandtony@orcon.net.nz on Sat Jun 24 12:00:52 2023
    On Fri, 23 Jun 2023 21:27:47 -0000 (UTC), Tony
    <lizandtony@orcon.net.nz> wrote:

    Rich80105 <Rich80105@hotmail.com> wrote: >>https://www.stuff.co.nz/national/the-whole-truth/132369176/fact-checking-claims-about-new-zealands-2022-death-rate

    So rising deaths are nothing to do with Covid - New Zealand had a >>world-leading low percentage of deaths from Covid, but the reason for
    a rising death rate is simple demographics - blame the babyboomers!

    Baby boomers are regarded as those born from 1946 to 1964 - years of
    high birth rates following WW2. The oldest of these are now 77, the >>youngest 59. That is the period in life when mortality rates start to
    climb - and that is showing through.

    This is a reminder that we are in a period when we are still seeing >>increasing NZ Super commitments - but not even National are
    threatening the start date for baby boomers), we are seeing a still
    rising demand for retirement villages and aged care facilities (but
    private companies will soon see the peak of that demand a stop
    expanding facilities that may be less needed as the boomers pass
    through. We can be thankful that Labour started the Cullen Fund to
    ease the peak demand for NZ Super; sad that National did not continue >>contributions when they were in government - and that Labour has put a
    lot of money into health - the demand for geriatric services will
    still be increasing for a while.

    Another example of the stupidity of some of the anti-vaxxers - perhaps
    not surprisingly these are often also rabid far-right activists, using
    lies to try and discredit a government . . .
    Once more an example of your refusal accept there is another side (you know - >balance!).
    See https://stats.oecd.org/index.aspx?queryid=104676
    Our excess deaths worst in the OECD

    Looking at that chart, your claim is rubbish. First you are looking at
    weekly figures for this year. It is not clear what the "excess"
    mortality is measured against - most likely current deaths are being
    compared with death rates for the previous one or two years, when New
    Zealand had lower mortality than normal. Other effects are of course
    seasonal - we are now in winter, many other countries are in summer.
    All that the table shows is that we are similar to other countries,
    and as has already been pointed out to you, our aging population will
    have increasing mortality anyway (our baby-boomer population increase
    was higher than many countries), and we expect an increase in
    mortality as we stop taking the previous precautions against covid
    that also reduced deaths from winter ailments such as influenza.

    I have given you the graphs of cumulative comparisons of mortality
    that showed NZ had world-beating low mortality during the pandemic
    period, but that we are coming back to the pack as those precautions
    have ceased, and we move towards the level of Covid experience as
    other countries.


    and
    https://hatchardreport.com/heart-attacks-have-increased-by-83-percent/
    and
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YwOpkwU1yx4
    Oh go on, I know you are dying to - do attack the authors and ignore the data.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Tony@21:1/5 to Gordon on Sat Jun 24 00:24:51 2023
    Gordon <Gordon@leaf.net.nz> wrote:
    On 2023-06-23, Tony <lizandtony@orcon.net.nz> wrote:
    Rich80105 <Rich80105@hotmail.com> wrote: >>>https://www.stuff.co.nz/national/the-whole-truth/132369176/fact-checking-claims-about-new-zealands-2022-death-rate

    So rising deaths are nothing to do with Covid - New Zealand had a >>>world-leading low percentage of deaths from Covid, but the reason for
    a rising death rate is simple demographics - blame the babyboomers!

    Baby boomers are regarded as those born from 1946 to 1964 - years of
    high birth rates following WW2. The oldest of these are now 77, the >>>youngest 59. That is the period in life when mortality rates start to >>>climb - and that is showing through.

    This is a reminder that we are in a period when we are still seeing >>>increasing NZ Super commitments - but not even National are
    threatening the start date for baby boomers), we are seeing a still >>>rising demand for retirement villages and aged care facilities (but >>>private companies will soon see the peak of that demand a stop
    expanding facilities that may be less needed as the boomers pass
    through. We can be thankful that Labour started the Cullen Fund to
    ease the peak demand for NZ Super; sad that National did not continue >>>contributions when they were in government - and that Labour has put a >>>lot of money into health - the demand for geriatric services will
    still be increasing for a while.

    Another example of the stupidity of some of the anti-vaxxers - perhaps >>>not surprisingly these are often also rabid far-right activists, using >>>lies to try and discredit a government . . .
    Once more an example of your refusal accept there is another side (you know >>-
    balance!).
    See https://stats.oecd.org/index.aspx?queryid=104676
    Our excess deaths worst in the OECD

    In deed they are, according to the spreadsheet.

    The really concerning factor is that the NZ % rate is way higher than even >USA and above UK for 2023.

    Also in the something is not right with the numbers of excess deaths on the >spread sheet and the numbers given by the Ministry of Health. MoH ones are a >great deal lower

    From my records

    62 vs 128 Week 1
    44 173 Week 2
    31 77
    9 156
    25 121
    11 61
    21 138
    8 93
    6 99
    etc.


    I must be missing something
    Somebody definitely is.

    https://hatchardreport.com/heart-attacks-have-increased-by-83-percent/
    and
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YwOpkwU1yx4
    Oh go on, I know you are dying to - do attack the authors and ignore the >>data.


    There are a great number of videos on you-tube from well respected people
    who are calling for an inquiry into the excess deaths, what is causing them. >No show, we can not even have a discussion of it without being cancelled.

    That in itself says a great deal.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Tony@21:1/5 to Rich80105@hotmail.com on Sat Jun 24 00:19:22 2023
    Rich80105 <Rich80105@hotmail.com> wrote:
    On Fri, 23 Jun 2023 21:27:47 -0000 (UTC), Tony
    <lizandtony@orcon.net.nz> wrote:

    Rich80105 <Rich80105@hotmail.com> wrote: >>>https://www.stuff.co.nz/national/the-whole-truth/132369176/fact-checking-claims-about-new-zealands-2022-death-rate

    So rising deaths are nothing to do with Covid - New Zealand had a >>>world-leading low percentage of deaths from Covid, but the reason for
    a rising death rate is simple demographics - blame the babyboomers!

    Baby boomers are regarded as those born from 1946 to 1964 - years of
    high birth rates following WW2. The oldest of these are now 77, the >>>youngest 59. That is the period in life when mortality rates start to >>>climb - and that is showing through.

    This is a reminder that we are in a period when we are still seeing >>>increasing NZ Super commitments - but not even National are
    threatening the start date for baby boomers), we are seeing a still >>>rising demand for retirement villages and aged care facilities (but >>>private companies will soon see the peak of that demand a stop
    expanding facilities that may be less needed as the boomers pass
    through. We can be thankful that Labour started the Cullen Fund to
    ease the peak demand for NZ Super; sad that National did not continue >>>contributions when they were in government - and that Labour has put a >>>lot of money into health - the demand for geriatric services will
    still be increasing for a while.

    Another example of the stupidity of some of the anti-vaxxers - perhaps >>>not surprisingly these are often also rabid far-right activists, using >>>lies to try and discredit a government . . .
    Once more an example of your refusal accept there is another side (you know - >>balance!).
    See https://stats.oecd.org/index.aspx?queryid=104676
    Our excess deaths worst in the OECD

    Looking at that chart, your claim is rubbish. First you are looking at
    weekly figures for this year. It is not clear what the "excess"
    mortality is measured against - most likely current deaths are being
    compared with death rates for the previous one or two years, when New
    Zealand had lower mortality than normal. Other effects are of course >seasonal - we are now in winter, many other countries are in summer.
    All that the table shows is that we are similar to other countries,
    and as has already been pointed out to you, our aging population will
    have increasing mortality anyway (our baby-boomer population increase
    was higher than many countries), and we expect an increase in
    mortality as we stop taking the previous precautions against covid
    that also reduced deaths from winter ailments such as influenza.

    I have given you the graphs of cumulative comparisons of mortality
    that showed NZ had world-beating low mortality during the pandemic
    period, but that we are coming back to the pack as those precautions
    have ceased, and we move towards the level of Covid experience as
    other countries.
    And I, more importantly the OECD and others, have given you different and more believeable figures.
    You arer incapable of seeing two sides of an issue. But you are always capable of rudeness.


    and
    https://hatchardreport.com/heart-attacks-have-increased-by-83-percent/
    and
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YwOpkwU1yx4
    Oh go on, I know you are dying to - do attack the authors and ignore the data.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)