• Re: Covid lockdowns

    From Tony@21:1/5 to Gordon on Sat Jun 10 05:38:31 2023
    Gordon <Gordon@leaf.net.nz> wrote: >https://iea.org.uk/publications/did-lockdowns-work-the-verdict-on-covid-restrictions/#

    For Rich and the rest of us. Enough reading for any wet Sunday.

    Once again the alternative view point is vindicated. Add it to the pile of >failures.
    Well, thank you Gordon.
    The fact is, vested interests will refute this using personal attacks and unscientific prose.
    All I ask, and dare I say, all you ask, is for balance and open mindedness. Let's hope we see that.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Gordon@21:1/5 to All on Sat Jun 10 05:24:06 2023
    https://iea.org.uk/publications/did-lockdowns-work-the-verdict-on-covid-restrictions/#

    For Rich and the rest of us. Enough reading for any wet Sunday.

    Once again the alternative view point is vindicated. Add it to the pile of failures.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Rich80105@21:1/5 to lizandtony@orcon.net.nz on Sun Jun 11 09:43:45 2023
    On Sat, 10 Jun 2023 05:38:31 -0000 (UTC), Tony
    <lizandtony@orcon.net.nz> wrote:

    Gordon <Gordon@leaf.net.nz> wrote: >>https://iea.org.uk/publications/did-lockdowns-work-the-verdict-on-covid-restrictions/#

    For Rich and the rest of us. Enough reading for any wet Sunday.

    Once again the alternative view point is vindicated. Add it to the pile of >>failures.
    Well, thank you Gordon.
    The fact is, vested interests will refute this using personal attacks and >unscientific prose.
    All I ask, and dare I say, all you ask, is for balance and open mindedness. >Let's hope we see that.

    Balance and open mindedness would be much easier if the actual paper
    had been able to be downloaded - the abstract is interesting but
    leaves out a lot about methodology, but I believe on the basis of
    other reports we can agree with the general conclusion in the abstract
    that the lockdowns and other Covid restrictions imposed by the UK
    government were not effective. I doubt that will surprise anyone who
    has followed the comparisons of results.

    See for example: https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/excess-deaths-cumulative-per-100k-economist?tab=chart&time=earliest..2023-05-01&uniformYAxis=0&country=OWID_WRL~USA~AUS~NZL~GBR

    and

    https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/excess-deaths-cumulative-per-100k-economist?tab=chart&time=earliest..2023-05-01&country=USA~GBR~FRA~NOR~SWE~DEU~ITA~BEL~NLD
    from which it is clear that the UK did better than the United States
    and Italy, but worse than France, Norway, Sweden, Germany. Belgium and
    the Netherlands. The comparison of Sweden and Norway is perhaps
    instructive - Sweden experimented with fairly shortly after the
    pandemic hit; you can see the "Excess deaths" increased over that of
    Norway in around April / May 2020, but as they re-imposed restrictions
    their excess mortality came back more in line with Norway, although
    their 'excess deaths per 100,000 people are still higher than for
    Norway.

    Was anyone able to download the full paper from the iea.org.uk
    website?

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Tony@21:1/5 to Rich80105@hotmail.com on Sat Jun 10 22:42:55 2023
    Rich80105 <Rich80105@hotmail.com> wrote:
    On Sat, 10 Jun 2023 05:38:31 -0000 (UTC), Tony
    <lizandtony@orcon.net.nz> wrote:

    Gordon <Gordon@leaf.net.nz> wrote: >>>https://iea.org.uk/publications/did-lockdowns-work-the-verdict-on-covid-restrictions/#

    For Rich and the rest of us. Enough reading for any wet Sunday.

    Once again the alternative view point is vindicated. Add it to the pile of >>>failures.
    Well, thank you Gordon.
    The fact is, vested interests will refute this using personal attacks and >>unscientific prose.
    All I ask, and dare I say, all you ask, is for balance and open mindedness. >>Let's hope we see that.

    Balance and open mindedness would be much easier if the actual paper
    had been able to be downloaded - the abstract is interesting but
    leaves out a lot about methodology, but I believe on the basis of
    other reports we can agree with the general conclusion in the abstract
    that the lockdowns and other Covid restrictions imposed by the UK
    government were not effective. I doubt that will surprise anyone who
    has followed the comparisons of results.
    I downloaded it fine. It is very long and extremely detailed.
    There is no doubt that the writers believe that lockdowns do not offer a balanced and effective way to control pandemics of the sort that we endured. The damage to society as a whole (economic, social, health etc.) are clear. The fact that this is from the UK is immaterial, it applies equally to NZ.

    See for example: >https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/excess-deaths-cumulative-per-100k-economist?tab=chart&time=earliest..2023-05-01&uniformYAxis=0&country=OWID_WRL~USA~AUS~NZL~GBR

    and

    https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/excess-deaths-cumulative-per-100k-economist?tab=chart&time=earliest..2023-05-01&country=USA~GBR~FRA~NOR~SWE~DEU~ITA~BEL~NLD
    from which it is clear that the UK did better than the United States
    and Italy, but worse than France, Norway, Sweden, Germany. Belgium and
    the Netherlands. The comparison of Sweden and Norway is perhaps
    instructive - Sweden experimented with fairly shortly after the
    pandemic hit; you can see the "Excess deaths" increased over that of
    Norway in around April / May 2020, but as they re-imposed restrictions
    their excess mortality came back more in line with Norway, although
    their 'excess deaths per 100,000 people are still higher than for
    Norway.
    See above - copntinued defense of this (and other) government's actions are no longer sustainable.

    Was anyone able to download the full paper from the iea.org.uk
    website?

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Willy Nilly@21:1/5 to Rich80105@hotmail.com on Sat Jun 10 22:16:47 2023
    On Sun, 11 Jun 2023, Rich80105 <Rich80105@hotmail.com> wrote:
    Was anyone able to download the full paper from the iea.org.uk
    website?

    Scroll to the bottom and download from there -- use the download icon
    in the upper right corner of that "fullscreen mode" display -- you may
    have to do it twice but it will come.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)