• Covid Vaxx and excess deaths -- Peer-Reviewed published paper from Germ

    From Willy Nilly@21:1/5 to All on Wed May 31 20:49:28 2023
    A new fully peer-reviewed and published paper which finds strong
    linkage between covid vaccination and excess deaths, I give the
    website and a lengthy excerpt from the lower part. Notice, toward the
    end of the excerpt, the authors condemn the official "safety signal"
    threshold as something impossible to trigger, i.e., it was used to
    conceal vaccine-deaths linkage, instead of reporting it. You can be
    sure that the same strategy has been used everywhere, and in NZ too.

    https://www.cureus.com/articles/149410-estimation-of-excess-mortality-in-germany-during-2020-2022#!/


    Excerpt:
    As is visible in Figure 8, the obvious hypothesis of a decrease in
    excess mortality with an increasing number of vaccinated persons is
    not correct. During periods when many persons were vaccinated, excess
    mortality seems to have increased more strongly compared to the same
    periods in the previous pandemic year. During the first and second
    vaccination periods in spring and summer 2021, an increase in
    cumulative excess mortality is observed, while the year before a
    decrease was observed. During the period of the third vaccination,
    parallel to the increase in vaccinations, an increase in cumulative
    excess mortality can be observed that starts earlier than in the year
    before. And in 2022, when large parts of the population have been
    vaccinated, the cumulative number of excess deaths showed a further
    increase, which even exceeds the previous pandemic year without
    vaccinations. There seem to be negative long-term effects either of
    the SARS-CoV-2 infections, COVID-19 measures, the COVID-19
    vaccination, or most probably a combination of these.
    To further explore the short-term relationship between vaccinations
    and excess mortality, the courses of the number of vaccinated persons
    and the number of excess deaths per month are shown in Figure 9.

    Inspecting the numbers of vaccinations and excess deaths per month
    confirms the above impression: Other than in the year before, during
    the months with a high number of the first, second, and third
    vaccinations, also a high number of excess deaths was observed. The
    temporal relationship between the courses of vaccinations and excess
    deaths is especially pronounced for the third vaccination. In
    September and October 2021, the initial small increase in the number
    of third vaccinations was accompanied by a comparably small increase
    in excess deaths. In November and December 2021, the number of third vaccinations increased sharply, accompanied by a comparably sharp
    increase in excess deaths. In January 2022, the number of third
    vaccinations decreased sharply, accompanied by a comparably sharp
    decrease in the number of excess deaths.

    Taken together, in 2021, with the beginning of the COVID-19
    vaccination campaign, a higher excess mortality is observed than in
    the previous year in the months when large numbers of persons were
    vaccinated. In 2022, when large parts of the population were fully or
    even triple vaccinated, excess mortality is constantly increasing from
    spring onward, reaching a maximum of 28% in December. Such an
    observation is difficult to reconcile with the assumption that
    COVID-19 vaccinations are highly effective against COVID-19 deaths.
    Either the vaccinations are not as successful as expected, or the
    vaccinations successfully prevent COVID-19 deaths, but there are
    suddenly other factors than COVID-19 that lead to an increasing number
    of unexpected deaths in 2021 and 2022.

    Regarding the latter possibility, it is interesting to consider the
    course of excess mortality in the different age groups shown in Figure
    4. The mortality wave at the turn of the year from 2020 to 2021 is characterized by a strong age dependency, which follows the
    age-dependent risk of COVID-19: excess mortality is higher in older
    people and is completely absent in the age groups below 30 years. This
    pattern is substantially changing from April 2021 onward at the time
    when more and more people were vaccinated. Suddenly, excess mortality
    appears that is no longer dependent on age and even observed in young
    age groups. This speaks against the possibility that COVID-19 was the underlying cause. Further observe that in the younger age groups,
    where vaccination started later, excess mortality also starts later.

    From the perspective of pharmacovigilance, the simultaneous onset of
    excess mortality and vaccinations represents a safety signal. Safety
    signals such as the observation of a temporal relationship between the administration of vaccines and the occurrence of adverse events do not necessarily imply a causal relationship since there may be potential
    third variables that influence both the course of vaccinations and the
    course of excess deaths. Thus, a safety signal does not indicate a
    causal relationship between a side effect and a drug but is only a
    hypothesis that calls for further assessment.

    In fact, in a study by a research team led by Schirmacher [28], out of
    35 bodies found unexpectedly dead at home with unclear causes of death
    within 20 days following COVID vaccination, autopsies revealed causes
    of death due to pre-existing illnesses in only 10 cases. From the
    remaining 25 cases, in three cases, it was concluded from the
    autopsies that vaccination-induced myocarditis was the likely cause of
    death, and in two cases, it was concluded that vaccination-induced
    myocarditis was possibly the cause of death. As shown in Supplementary
    Table 1 published by Schwab et al. [28], vaccination was the cause of
    death in further cases as well.

    Given the temporal relationship between the increase in vaccinations
    and excess mortality, it seems surprising that a respective safety
    signal has not been detected in the pharmacovigilance by the Paul-Ehrlich-Institut (PEI), which is responsible for the safety
    monitoring of drugs in Germany. A closer inspection of the methods
    used by the PEI to monitor possibly deadly side effects of the
    COVID-19 vaccinations [29] reveals that a flawed safety analysis is
    used that will not indicate a safety signal even if a vaccine causes
    extremely large numbers of unexpected deaths.

    The PEI uses a so-called observed-versus-expected analysis where the
    number of deaths that have been reported to the PEI with a suspected
    connection to a COVID-19 vaccination is compared to the expected
    number of all-cause deaths in the vaccinated group. If the number of
    reported suspected vaccine-related deaths is not significantly higher
    than the number of expected all-cause deaths (including cancer, heart
    disease, stroke, etc.), the PEI concludes that there is no safety
    problem. Such a safety analysis is profoundly flawed since the
    occurrence of safety signals is essentially impossible. Thus, it is
    not surprising that a safety signal has not been detected in the pharmacovigilance by the PEI.
    ...
    Taken together, one would expect that vaccinating large parts of the
    population should have reduced excess mortality. The contrary is
    observed: both excess mortality and the number of stillbirths
    increased with increased vaccinations. In all age groups below 80
    years, excess mortality was higher in the second year and in
    particular much higher in the third year of the pandemic, where large
    parts of the population were vaccinated. These observations are
    surprising and further more detailed investigations from different
    scientific fields are strongly recommended to rule out that these
    safety signals occur due to the existence of unknown side effects of
    the COVID-19 vaccines.

    Conclusions: This study used the state-of-the-art method of actuarial
    science to estimate the expected number of all-cause deaths and the
    increase in all-cause mortality for the pandemic years 2020 to 2022 in
    Germany. In 2020, the observed number of deaths was extremely close to
    the expected number, but in 2021, the observed number of deaths was
    far above the expected number in the order of twice the empirical
    standard deviation, and in 2022, above the expected number even more
    than four times the empirical standard deviation. The analysis of the age-dependent monthly excess mortality showed that high excess
    mortality starting from spring 2021 is responsible for the excess
    mortality in 2021 and 2022. An analysis of the number of stillbirths
    revealed a similar mortality pattern than observed for the age group
    between 15 and 80 years.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Gordon@21:1/5 to Willy Nilly on Wed May 31 22:33:09 2023
    On 2023-05-31, Willy Nilly <willynilly@qwert.com> wrote:
    A new fully peer-reviewed and published paper which finds strong
    linkage between covid vaccination and excess deaths, I give the
    website and a lengthy excerpt from the lower part. Notice, toward the
    end of the excerpt, the authors condemn the official "safety signal" threshold as something impossible to trigger, i.e., it was used to
    conceal vaccine-deaths linkage, instead of reporting it. You can be
    sure that the same strategy has been used everywhere, and in NZ too.

    https://www.cureus.com/articles/149410-estimation-of-excess-mortality-in-germany-during-2020-2022#!/

    Thanks for the link Willy. It is long and complex in places.

    This excess deaths is well known, all the studies I have seen show
    an excess death rate starting in 2021. The fact that no one is allowed
    to ask the question as to why, or discus it gives you the an answer.
    Just how bad it is remains to be seen.

    The Covid deaths numbers in gerneral have has questions asked about it.
    The old with or from Covid question. Why did the deceased person not
    show if they had been vaccinated or not.

    As an aside I see that the covid vaccine (rMNA ones) have shown an
    increase in the risk of getting MS. More data required and study required.
    (See side link on the link).

    These days we need to pay attention to:-

    Quote

    Ethics Statement and Conflict of Interest Disclosures

    Human subjects: All authors have confirmed that this study did not
    involve human participants or tissue. Animal subjects: All authors
    have confirmed that this study did not involve animal subjects or
    tissue. Conflicts of interest: In compliance with the ICMJE uniform
    disclosure form, all authors declare the following: Payment/services
    info: All authors have declared that no financial support was received
    from any organization for the submitted work. Financial relationships:
    All authors have declared that they have no financial relationships
    at present or within the previous three years with any organizations
    that might have an interest in the submitted work. Other relationships:
    All authors have declared that there are no other relationships or
    activities that could appear to have influenced the submitted work.

    Unquote

    Looks good.



    Excerpt:
    As is visible in Figure 8, the obvious hypothesis of a decrease in
    excess mortality with an increasing number of vaccinated persons is
    not correct. During periods when many persons were vaccinated, excess mortality seems to have increased more strongly compared to the same
    periods in the previous pandemic year. During the first and second vaccination periods in spring and summer 2021, an increase in
    cumulative excess mortality is observed, while the year before a
    decrease was observed. During the period of the third vaccination,
    parallel to the increase in vaccinations, an increase in cumulative
    excess mortality can be observed that starts earlier than in the year
    before. And in 2022, when large parts of the population have been
    vaccinated, the cumulative number of excess deaths showed a further
    increase, which even exceeds the previous pandemic year without
    vaccinations. There seem to be negative long-term effects either of
    the SARS-CoV-2 infections, COVID-19 measures, the COVID-19
    vaccination, or most probably a combination of these.
    To further explore the short-term relationship between vaccinations
    and excess mortality, the courses of the number of vaccinated persons
    and the number of excess deaths per month are shown in Figure 9.

    Inspecting the numbers of vaccinations and excess deaths per month
    confirms the above impression: Other than in the year before, during
    the months with a high number of the first, second, and third
    vaccinations, also a high number of excess deaths was observed. The
    temporal relationship between the courses of vaccinations and excess
    deaths is especially pronounced for the third vaccination. In
    September and October 2021, the initial small increase in the number
    of third vaccinations was accompanied by a comparably small increase
    in excess deaths. In November and December 2021, the number of third vaccinations increased sharply, accompanied by a comparably sharp
    increase in excess deaths. In January 2022, the number of third
    vaccinations decreased sharply, accompanied by a comparably sharp
    decrease in the number of excess deaths.

    Taken together, in 2021, with the beginning of the COVID-19
    vaccination campaign, a higher excess mortality is observed than in
    the previous year in the months when large numbers of persons were vaccinated. In 2022, when large parts of the population were fully or
    even triple vaccinated, excess mortality is constantly increasing from
    spring onward, reaching a maximum of 28% in December. Such an
    observation is difficult to reconcile with the assumption that
    COVID-19 vaccinations are highly effective against COVID-19 deaths.
    Either the vaccinations are not as successful as expected, or the vaccinations successfully prevent COVID-19 deaths, but there are
    suddenly other factors than COVID-19 that lead to an increasing number
    of unexpected deaths in 2021 and 2022.

    Regarding the latter possibility, it is interesting to consider the
    course of excess mortality in the different age groups shown in Figure
    4. The mortality wave at the turn of the year from 2020 to 2021 is characterized by a strong age dependency, which follows the
    age-dependent risk of COVID-19: excess mortality is higher in older
    people and is completely absent in the age groups below 30 years. This pattern is substantially changing from April 2021 onward at the time
    when more and more people were vaccinated. Suddenly, excess mortality
    appears that is no longer dependent on age and even observed in young
    age groups. This speaks against the possibility that COVID-19 was the underlying cause. Further observe that in the younger age groups,
    where vaccination started later, excess mortality also starts later.

    From the perspective of pharmacovigilance, the simultaneous onset of
    excess mortality and vaccinations represents a safety signal. Safety
    signals such as the observation of a temporal relationship between the administration of vaccines and the occurrence of adverse events do not necessarily imply a causal relationship since there may be potential
    third variables that influence both the course of vaccinations and the
    course of excess deaths. Thus, a safety signal does not indicate a
    causal relationship between a side effect and a drug but is only a
    hypothesis that calls for further assessment.

    In fact, in a study by a research team led by Schirmacher [28], out of
    35 bodies found unexpectedly dead at home with unclear causes of death
    within 20 days following COVID vaccination, autopsies revealed causes
    of death due to pre-existing illnesses in only 10 cases. From the
    remaining 25 cases, in three cases, it was concluded from the
    autopsies that vaccination-induced myocarditis was the likely cause of
    death, and in two cases, it was concluded that vaccination-induced myocarditis was possibly the cause of death. As shown in Supplementary
    Table 1 published by Schwab et al. [28], vaccination was the cause of
    death in further cases as well.

    Given the temporal relationship between the increase in vaccinations
    and excess mortality, it seems surprising that a respective safety
    signal has not been detected in the pharmacovigilance by the Paul-Ehrlich-Institut (PEI), which is responsible for the safety
    monitoring of drugs in Germany. A closer inspection of the methods
    used by the PEI to monitor possibly deadly side effects of the
    COVID-19 vaccinations [29] reveals that a flawed safety analysis is
    used that will not indicate a safety signal even if a vaccine causes extremely large numbers of unexpected deaths.

    The PEI uses a so-called observed-versus-expected analysis where the
    number of deaths that have been reported to the PEI with a suspected connection to a COVID-19 vaccination is compared to the expected
    number of all-cause deaths in the vaccinated group. If the number of
    reported suspected vaccine-related deaths is not significantly higher
    than the number of expected all-cause deaths (including cancer, heart disease, stroke, etc.), the PEI concludes that there is no safety
    problem. Such a safety analysis is profoundly flawed since the
    occurrence of safety signals is essentially impossible. Thus, it is
    not surprising that a safety signal has not been detected in the pharmacovigilance by the PEI.
    ...
    Taken together, one would expect that vaccinating large parts of the population should have reduced excess mortality. The contrary is
    observed: both excess mortality and the number of stillbirths
    increased with increased vaccinations. In all age groups below 80
    years, excess mortality was higher in the second year and in
    particular much higher in the third year of the pandemic, where large
    parts of the population were vaccinated. These observations are
    surprising and further more detailed investigations from different
    scientific fields are strongly recommended to rule out that these
    safety signals occur due to the existence of unknown side effects of
    the COVID-19 vaccines.

    Conclusions: This study used the state-of-the-art method of actuarial science to estimate the expected number of all-cause deaths and the
    increase in all-cause mortality for the pandemic years 2020 to 2022 in Germany. In 2020, the observed number of deaths was extremely close to
    the expected number, but in 2021, the observed number of deaths was
    far above the expected number in the order of twice the empirical
    standard deviation, and in 2022, above the expected number even more
    than four times the empirical standard deviation. The analysis of the age-dependent monthly excess mortality showed that high excess
    mortality starting from spring 2021 is responsible for the excess
    mortality in 2021 and 2022. An analysis of the number of stillbirths
    revealed a similar mortality pattern than observed for the age group
    between 15 and 80 years.


    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Ras Mikaere@21:1/5 to All on Wed May 31 23:49:05 2023
    GORDON + WILLY NILLY --

    THANK YOU --

    FOR A MOMENT THERE -- I THOUGHT MOST OF THIS NEWSGROUP
    WAS LIKE MOST OF THE BRAINWASHED "kiwis" OF NEW ZEALAND.
    WHOLLY BATSHIT STUPID -- BECAUSE OF BEING BRAIN-WASHED
    BY WATCHING 'CORONATION STREET' + EAGER TO TAKE EVEN MORE
    BOOSTERS -- BECAUSE THEY WERE / ARE PART OF THAT
    JACINDA `horseteeth' ARDERN MARXIST CULT.

    THE TRAGEDY OF NEW ZEALAND --
    SADDENED -- THAT I AM NOT EXCITING TO BE AMONGST FELLOW
    NEW ZEALANDERS WHO LOVE OUR NEW KING, KING DRACULA --

    THE IRISH [Mac Cartaig] REALISE THAT THE ENGLISH SURE
    DO KNOW HOW TO PICK "royals" --

    KING DRACULA
    IN POWER SINCE 1969

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Gordon@21:1/5 to Willy Nilly on Thu Jun 1 23:56:46 2023
    On 2023-06-01, Willy Nilly <willynilly@qwert.com> wrote:
    On Wed, 31 May 2023, Ras Mikaere <rasmikaere2022@gmail.com> wrote:
    GORDON + WILLY NILLY --
    THANK YOU --
    FOR A MOMENT THERE -- I THOUGHT MOST OF THIS NEWSGROUP
    WAS LIKE MOST OF THE BRAINWASHED "kiwis" OF NEW ZEALAND.

    If you should ever want to actually engage with anyone here,
    rule #1 is turn off your Caps Lock.


    BABYMASH posted in capitals, and often got asked if his caps
    lock was stuck.

    Ras has been around since he also has his name in capitals.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Willy Nilly@21:1/5 to Ras Mikaere on Thu Jun 1 23:37:14 2023
    On Wed, 31 May 2023, Ras Mikaere <rasmikaere2022@gmail.com> wrote:
    GORDON + WILLY NILLY --
    THANK YOU --
    FOR A MOMENT THERE -- I THOUGHT MOST OF THIS NEWSGROUP
    WAS LIKE MOST OF THE BRAINWASHED "kiwis" OF NEW ZEALAND.

    If you should ever want to actually engage with anyone here,
    rule #1 is turn off your Caps Lock.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)