• Bankers and Economists: Kiwis are not saviing enough!!!

    From Crash@21:1/5 to All on Mon Apr 10 16:37:06 2023
    https://tinyurl.com/z7kxrpwj

    How does anyone know whether Kiwis are putting money away for a rainy
    day? These folks seem to equate continuation of spending levels as a
    failure to save but to do so is farcically simplistic.

    Putting your spare cash into a savings account is financial lunacy
    because currently (and most of the time) the interest paid is less
    than inflation, meaning that those with savings accounts actually
    loose money because inflation erodes that value of the account balance
    more than the interest it attracts.

    Anyone with a mortgage should at least consider making increased or
    lump-sum payments provided that the mortgage Ts&Cs permit it
    (guaranteed with floating-rate loans) rather than depositing an amount
    into a savings account. Equally there are other higher-risk
    investment options that allow drip-feed payments. Even Sharesies
    allows you to drip-feed deposits to your wallet. These bankers and
    Economists can never know whether anyone is 'saving for a rainy day'
    by measures such as this.


    --
    Crash McBash

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  • From Rich80105@21:1/5 to All on Mon Apr 10 17:27:35 2023
    On Mon, 10 Apr 2023 16:37:06 +1200, Crash <nogood@dontbother.invalid>
    wrote:

    https://tinyurl.com/z7kxrpwj

    How does anyone know whether Kiwis are putting money away for a rainy
    day? These folks seem to equate continuation of spending levels as a
    failure to save but to do so is farcically simplistic.

    Putting your spare cash into a savings account is financial lunacy
    because currently (and most of the time) the interest paid is less
    than inflation, meaning that those with savings accounts actually
    loose money because inflation erodes that value of the account balance
    more than the interest it attracts.

    Anyone with a mortgage should at least consider making increased or
    lump-sum payments provided that the mortgage Ts&Cs permit it
    (guaranteed with floating-rate loans) rather than depositing an amount
    into a savings account. Equally there are other higher-risk
    investment options that allow drip-feed payments. Even Sharesies
    allows you to drip-feed deposits to your wallet. These bankers and >Economists can never know whether anyone is 'saving for a rainy day'
    by measures such as this.

    Bankers and economists tend to use aggregate numbers. At an individual
    level there can be a number of reasons for any particular movement of
    assets, but when aggregates over the country are looked at, it may be
    clear whether in aggregate, there are movements between asset classes
    that indicate an increase in savings, such as savings accounts, that
    do overall indicate a general trend, particularly given the issue
    about interest that you have raised.

    Spending above inflation may reflect an expectation of rising prices
    leading to buying before goods are needed for example. Bank economists
    are not always particularly neutral either - they may well be pushing
    for consumers to act in a way that reduces risk / increases profit for
    the banking industry.

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  • From Tony@21:1/5 to Rich80105@hotmail.com on Mon Apr 10 06:19:00 2023
    Rich80105 <Rich80105@hotmail.com> wrote:
    On Mon, 10 Apr 2023 16:37:06 +1200, Crash <nogood@dontbother.invalid>
    wrote:

    https://tinyurl.com/z7kxrpwj

    How does anyone know whether Kiwis are putting money away for a rainy
    day? These folks seem to equate continuation of spending levels as a >>failure to save but to do so is farcically simplistic.

    Putting your spare cash into a savings account is financial lunacy
    because currently (and most of the time) the interest paid is less
    than inflation, meaning that those with savings accounts actually
    loose money because inflation erodes that value of the account balance
    more than the interest it attracts.

    Anyone with a mortgage should at least consider making increased or >>lump-sum payments provided that the mortgage Ts&Cs permit it
    (guaranteed with floating-rate loans) rather than depositing an amount
    into a savings account. Equally there are other higher-risk
    investment options that allow drip-feed payments. Even Sharesies
    allows you to drip-feed deposits to your wallet. These bankers and >>Economists can never know whether anyone is 'saving for a rainy day'
    by measures such as this.

    Bankers and economists tend to use aggregate numbers. At an individual
    level there can be a number of reasons for any particular movement of
    assets, but when aggregates over the country are looked at, it may be
    clear whether in aggregate, there are movements between asset classes
    that indicate an increase in savings, such as savings accounts, that
    do overall indicate a general trend, particularly given the issue
    about interest that you have raised.

    Spending above inflation may reflect an expectation of rising prices
    leading to buying before goods are needed for example. Bank economists
    are not always particularly neutral either - they may well be pushing
    for consumers to act in a way that reduces risk / increases profit for
    the banking industry.
    None of that addresses Crash's points.

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  • From John Bowes@21:1/5 to Tony on Mon Apr 10 00:44:13 2023
    On Monday, April 10, 2023 at 6:19:02 PM UTC+12, Tony wrote:
    Rich80105 <Rich...@hotmail.com> wrote:
    On Mon, 10 Apr 2023 16:37:06 +1200, Crash <nog...@dontbother.invalid> >wrote:

    https://tinyurl.com/z7kxrpwj

    How does anyone know whether Kiwis are putting money away for a rainy >>day? These folks seem to equate continuation of spending levels as a >>failure to save but to do so is farcically simplistic.

    Putting your spare cash into a savings account is financial lunacy >>because currently (and most of the time) the interest paid is less
    than inflation, meaning that those with savings accounts actually
    loose money because inflation erodes that value of the account balance >>more than the interest it attracts.

    Anyone with a mortgage should at least consider making increased or >>lump-sum payments provided that the mortgage Ts&Cs permit it
    (guaranteed with floating-rate loans) rather than depositing an amount >>into a savings account. Equally there are other higher-risk
    investment options that allow drip-feed payments. Even Sharesies
    allows you to drip-feed deposits to your wallet. These bankers and >>Economists can never know whether anyone is 'saving for a rainy day'
    by measures such as this.

    Bankers and economists tend to use aggregate numbers. At an individual >level there can be a number of reasons for any particular movement of >assets, but when aggregates over the country are looked at, it may be >clear whether in aggregate, there are movements between asset classes
    that indicate an increase in savings, such as savings accounts, that
    do overall indicate a general trend, particularly given the issue
    about interest that you have raised.

    Spending above inflation may reflect an expectation of rising prices >leading to buying before goods are needed for example. Bank economists
    are not always particularly neutral either - they may well be pushing
    for consumers to act in a way that reduces risk / increases profit for
    the banking industry.
    None of that addresses Crash's points.
    When has Rich EVER addressed anybody's points?

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  • From Crash@21:1/5 to All on Mon Apr 10 19:40:24 2023
    On Mon, 10 Apr 2023 17:27:35 +1200, Rich80105 <Rich80105@hotmail.com>
    wrote:

    On Mon, 10 Apr 2023 16:37:06 +1200, Crash <nogood@dontbother.invalid>
    wrote:

    https://tinyurl.com/z7kxrpwj

    How does anyone know whether Kiwis are putting money away for a rainy
    day? These folks seem to equate continuation of spending levels as a >>failure to save but to do so is farcically simplistic.

    Putting your spare cash into a savings account is financial lunacy
    because currently (and most of the time) the interest paid is less
    than inflation, meaning that those with savings accounts actually
    loose money because inflation erodes that value of the account balance
    more than the interest it attracts.

    Anyone with a mortgage should at least consider making increased or >>lump-sum payments provided that the mortgage Ts&Cs permit it
    (guaranteed with floating-rate loans) rather than depositing an amount
    into a savings account. Equally there are other higher-risk
    investment options that allow drip-feed payments. Even Sharesies
    allows you to drip-feed deposits to your wallet. These bankers and >>Economists can never know whether anyone is 'saving for a rainy day'
    by measures such as this.

    Bankers and economists tend to use aggregate numbers.

    What numbers?

    At an individual
    level there can be a number of reasons for any particular movement of
    assets, but when aggregates over the country are looked at, it may be
    clear whether in aggregate, there are movements between asset classes
    that indicate an increase in savings, such as savings accounts, that
    do overall indicate a general trend, particularly given the issue
    about interest that you have raised.

    The subject at hand is specifically savings, not assets. As I said in
    my original post people may in fact be 'saving for a rainy day' but in
    the form of investments that cannot be measured as savings.


    Spending above inflation may reflect an expectation of rising prices
    leading to buying before goods are needed for example. Bank economists
    are not always particularly neutral either - they may well be pushing
    for consumers to act in a way that reduces risk / increases profit for
    the banking industry.

    Agreed but my point is that the tenor of the article (we are not
    saving enough) could well be very wrong because people are saving but
    in a form that economists (bank or otherwise) cannot measure.


    --
    Crash McBash

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From Rich80105@21:1/5 to All on Tue Apr 11 09:16:45 2023
    On Mon, 10 Apr 2023 19:40:24 +1200, Crash <nogood@dontbother.invalid>
    wrote:

    On Mon, 10 Apr 2023 17:27:35 +1200, Rich80105 <Rich80105@hotmail.com>
    wrote:

    On Mon, 10 Apr 2023 16:37:06 +1200, Crash <nogood@dontbother.invalid> >>wrote:

    https://tinyurl.com/z7kxrpwj

    How does anyone know whether Kiwis are putting money away for a rainy >>>day? These folks seem to equate continuation of spending levels as a >>>failure to save but to do so is farcically simplistic.

    Putting your spare cash into a savings account is financial lunacy >>>because currently (and most of the time) the interest paid is less
    than inflation, meaning that those with savings accounts actually
    loose money because inflation erodes that value of the account balance >>>more than the interest it attracts.

    Anyone with a mortgage should at least consider making increased or >>>lump-sum payments provided that the mortgage Ts&Cs permit it
    (guaranteed with floating-rate loans) rather than depositing an amount >>>into a savings account. Equally there are other higher-risk
    investment options that allow drip-feed payments. Even Sharesies
    allows you to drip-feed deposits to your wallet. These bankers and >>>Economists can never know whether anyone is 'saving for a rainy day'
    by measures such as this.

    Bankers and economists tend to use aggregate numbers.

    What numbers?
    Numbers that are totalled together - for example banks will report
    increases in term deposits, or at call account balances, or payments
    under mortgages; credit card companies will report spending on
    groceries; Kiwisaver providers will report on withdrawals and also
    money invested. These can be totalled across all New Zealanders and
    numbers from different entities combined to get a picture of what New Zealanders are doing with their money. The do not track a sample of
    individuals and analyse their spending and saving patterns, they get
    numbers based on total spendig in different areas.



    At an individual
    level there can be a number of reasons for any particular movement of >>assets, but when aggregates over the country are looked at, it may be
    clear whether in aggregate, there are movements between asset classes
    that indicate an increase in savings, such as savings accounts, that
    do overall indicate a general trend, particularly given the issue
    about interest that you have raised.

    The subject at hand is specifically savings, not assets. As I said in
    my original post people may in fact be 'saving for a rainy day' but in
    the form of investments that cannot be measured as savings.


    Spending above inflation may reflect an expectation of rising prices >>leading to buying before goods are needed for example. Bank economists
    are not always particularly neutral either - they may well be pushing
    for consumers to act in a way that reduces risk / increases profit for
    the banking industry.

    Agreed but my point is that the tenor of the article (we are not
    saving enough) could well be very wrong because people are saving but
    in a form that economists (bank or otherwise) cannot measure.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Crash@21:1/5 to All on Tue Apr 11 09:54:51 2023
    On Tue, 11 Apr 2023 09:16:45 +1200, Rich80105 <Rich80105@hotmail.com>
    wrote:

    On Mon, 10 Apr 2023 19:40:24 +1200, Crash <nogood@dontbother.invalid>
    wrote:

    On Mon, 10 Apr 2023 17:27:35 +1200, Rich80105 <Rich80105@hotmail.com> >>wrote:

    On Mon, 10 Apr 2023 16:37:06 +1200, Crash <nogood@dontbother.invalid> >>>wrote:

    https://tinyurl.com/z7kxrpwj

    How does anyone know whether Kiwis are putting money away for a rainy >>>>day? These folks seem to equate continuation of spending levels as a >>>>failure to save but to do so is farcically simplistic.

    Putting your spare cash into a savings account is financial lunacy >>>>because currently (and most of the time) the interest paid is less
    than inflation, meaning that those with savings accounts actually
    loose money because inflation erodes that value of the account balance >>>>more than the interest it attracts.

    Anyone with a mortgage should at least consider making increased or >>>>lump-sum payments provided that the mortgage Ts&Cs permit it >>>>(guaranteed with floating-rate loans) rather than depositing an amount >>>>into a savings account. Equally there are other higher-risk
    investment options that allow drip-feed payments. Even Sharesies >>>>allows you to drip-feed deposits to your wallet. These bankers and >>>>Economists can never know whether anyone is 'saving for a rainy day'
    by measures such as this.

    Bankers and economists tend to use aggregate numbers.

    What numbers?
    Numbers that are totalled together - for example banks will report
    increases in term deposits, or at call account balances, or payments
    under mortgages; credit card companies will report spending on
    groceries; Kiwisaver providers will report on withdrawals and also
    money invested. These can be totalled across all New Zealanders and
    numbers from different entities combined to get a picture of what New >Zealanders are doing with their money. The do not track a sample of >individuals and analyse their spending and saving patterns, they get
    numbers based on total spendig in different areas.

    The article in my OP was saying we are failing to 'save for a rainy
    day'. There is nothing in the aggregate numbers you specified that
    can provide any concrete evidence of this. Those who save in
    non-banking investments are not captured and with Sharesies in
    particular (with half a million customers) as well as other similar
    investment vehicles, there is no way to know.

    Traditionally we may have used savings accounts to 'save for a rainy
    day' but in this day and age there are many more fairly safe
    investment options to use to 'save for a rainy day' - or retirement or
    any other reason.

    The evidence the article cited is incomplete, relying as it does on
    outdated means of measuring savings (or lack of them).


    At an individual
    level there can be a number of reasons for any particular movement of >>>assets, but when aggregates over the country are looked at, it may be >>>clear whether in aggregate, there are movements between asset classes >>>that indicate an increase in savings, such as savings accounts, that
    do overall indicate a general trend, particularly given the issue
    about interest that you have raised.

    The subject at hand is specifically savings, not assets. As I said in
    my original post people may in fact be 'saving for a rainy day' but in
    the form of investments that cannot be measured as savings.


    Spending above inflation may reflect an expectation of rising prices >>>leading to buying before goods are needed for example. Bank economists >>>are not always particularly neutral either - they may well be pushing
    for consumers to act in a way that reduces risk / increases profit for >>>the banking industry.

    Agreed but my point is that the tenor of the article (we are not
    saving enough) could well be very wrong because people are saving but
    in a form that economists (bank or otherwise) cannot measure.


    --
    Crash McBash

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Gordon@21:1/5 to Crash on Tue Apr 11 00:17:34 2023
    On 2023-04-10, Crash <nogood@dontbother.invalid> wrote:
    https://tinyurl.com/z7kxrpwj

    How does anyone know whether Kiwis are putting money away for a rainy
    day? These folks seem to equate continuation of spending levels as a
    failure to save but to do so is farcically simplistic.

    Putting your spare cash into a savings account is financial lunacy
    because currently (and most of the time) the interest paid is less
    than inflation, meaning that those with savings accounts actually
    loose money because inflation erodes that value of the account balance
    more than the interest it attracts.

    Anyone with a mortgage should at least consider making increased or
    lump-sum payments provided that the mortgage Ts&Cs permit it
    (guaranteed with floating-rate loans) rather than depositing an amount
    into a savings account. Equally there are other higher-risk
    investment options that allow drip-feed payments. Even Sharesies
    allows you to drip-feed deposits to your wallet. These bankers and Economists can never know whether anyone is 'saving for a rainy day'
    by measures such as this.


    We need to define "rainy day" expenses.

    I understand it as it is for those expenses which arrive out of the blue, or
    a bill which is larger than expected.

    One has to remember that many people only have about $400 in the bank. This
    is often as in the come just mets the output. People live with this as that
    is all they can do.

    The next step up is the Joe and Jane average work on the principle of being able to pay off the credit card at the rate they increase it. Have it now,
    pay later.

    The other point is that a "rainy day" expense/bill requires paying sooner rather than later. They have maxed out the credit card so the money needs to
    be at hand.

    If they could sell some shares, however the sharemakets goes through cycles. There is also the brokage fees for shares. Shares are a long term
    investment. 20 years plus.

    Yes, if you have a mortgage, the best investment you can make is to pay off
    the mortgage faster. The amount saved is a net rate of investment.

    Now as the How they know thae amount being saved for a rainy day. Sure it is not an exact science. However taking a snapshot of the average persons
    account amounts and averaging them would give an approximate figure over
    time.

    What you say Crash is correct, but there are the real world conditions which one has to turn into assumptions to get a figure/case out the other end.

    Finally, economists have a reputation of not even knowing where the target
    is.

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  • From Gordon@21:1/5 to Crash on Tue Apr 11 00:33:36 2023
    On 2023-04-10, Crash <nogood@dontbother.invalid> wrote:
    On Mon, 10 Apr 2023 17:27:35 +1200, Rich80105 <Rich80105@hotmail.com>
    wrote:

    On Mon, 10 Apr 2023 16:37:06 +1200, Crash <nogood@dontbother.invalid> >>wrote:

    https://tinyurl.com/z7kxrpwj

    How does anyone know whether Kiwis are putting money away for a rainy >>>day? These folks seem to equate continuation of spending levels as a >>>failure to save but to do so is farcically simplistic.

    Putting your spare cash into a savings account is financial lunacy >>>because currently (and most of the time) the interest paid is less
    than inflation, meaning that those with savings accounts actually
    loose money because inflation erodes that value of the account balance >>>more than the interest it attracts.

    Anyone with a mortgage should at least consider making increased or >>>lump-sum payments provided that the mortgage Ts&Cs permit it
    (guaranteed with floating-rate loans) rather than depositing an amount >>>into a savings account. Equally there are other higher-risk
    investment options that allow drip-feed payments. Even Sharesies
    allows you to drip-feed deposits to your wallet. These bankers and >>>Economists can never know whether anyone is 'saving for a rainy day'
    by measures such as this.

    Bankers and economists tend to use aggregate numbers.

    What numbers?

    The customers bank account amounts, I would suggest.


    At an individual
    level there can be a number of reasons for any particular movement of >>assets, but when aggregates over the country are looked at, it may be
    clear whether in aggregate, there are movements between asset classes
    that indicate an increase in savings, such as savings accounts, that
    do overall indicate a general trend, particularly given the issue
    about interest that you have raised.

    The subject at hand is specifically savings, not assets. As I said in
    my original post people may in fact be 'saving for a rainy day' but in
    the form of investments that cannot be measured as savings.

    However the Banks can follow the money. You have taken out $x to the Shareies account. It is going to be used for shares yes?

    What has happened is that the cash has been converted into an asset, which
    also comes out in the form of cash when the shares are sold.

    However I do see that one could say assets are not cash. But they are convertable. So depends on your terms of reference (point of view).






    Spending above inflation may reflect an expectation of rising prices >>leading to buying before goods are needed for example. Bank economists
    are not always particularly neutral either - they may well be pushing
    for consumers to act in a way that reduces risk / increases profit for
    the banking industry.

    Agreed but my point is that the tenor of the article (we are not
    saving enough) could well be very wrong because people are saving but
    in a form that economists (bank or otherwise) cannot measure.


    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)