Only if you ignore what happened at the tail end of the eighteenth century :)

https://thebfd.co.nz/2023/03/05/data-skew-of-the-day/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=data-skew-of-the-day

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On 2023-03-04, John Bowes <bowesjohn02@gmail.com> wrote:

Only if you ignore what happened at the tail end of the eighteenth century :)

https://thebfd.co.nz/2023/03/05/data-skew-of-the-day/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=data-skew-of-the-day

First, the 1 in x year event is not the best way to look at it. It is better
to follow the earthquake folks. There is a x% chance of a an earthquake in
the next year. So it is totally possible that several many cyclone will hit
one after the other (in a short period of time).

The weather also has patterns. Kevin is chasing Judy (Cyclones) across the ocean. Thise are after Hale and Gabrielle.

There are long term and shorter cycles.

Now, this missing data is of great concern. Trump followers/supporters
suggest that there is some large adjustment of the historical data to get things to fit in with the narrative.

Thanks for the posting.

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On Sunday, March 5, 2023 at 12:22:36 PM UTC+13, Gordon wrote:

On 2023-03-04, John Bowes <bowes...@gmail.com> wrote:

Only if you ignore what happened at the tail end of the eighteenth century :)

https://thebfd.co.nz/2023/03/05/data-skew-of-the-day/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=data-skew-of-the-day

First, the 1 in x year event is not the best way to look at it. It is better to follow the earthquake folks. There is a x% chance of a an earthquake in the next year. So it is totally possible that several many cyclone will hit one after the other (in a short period of time).

A 1 inn 100 event means their is a 1% chance while a 1 in 250 year event makes it far less than a 1% chance. Just like Geonet mate :)

The weather also has patterns. Kevin is chasing Judy (Cyclones) across the ocean. Thise are after Hale and Gabrielle.

yup.

There are long term and shorter cycles.

Now, this missing data is of great concern. Trump followers/supporters suggest that there is some large adjustment of the historical data to get things to fit in with the narrative.

Thanks for the posting.

your welcome :0

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ONE (1) YEAR,
OR TWO HUNDRED FIFTY (250) ??

LIKE THE NINA, PINTA, AND SANTA MARIA POPPING UP . . .
WHEN DO WE EXPECT ANOTHER GABRIELLE ???
SOME WEIRD CRAP EUROPEAN NAME . . .
GABRIELLE ?

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