• Yet again the climate models fail

    From Gordon@21:1/5 to All on Wed Feb 1 21:39:22 2023
    https://electroverse.co/new-study-eastern-pacific-ocean-is-cooling/

    Models are simply not aligining with the cooling in the eastern Pacific
    ocean.

    Result cold snaps for Australia

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  • From greybeard@21:1/5 to Gordon on Thu Feb 2 11:37:52 2023
    On 2/02/23 10:39, Gordon wrote:
    https://electroverse.co/new-study-eastern-pacific-ocean-is-cooling/

    Models are simply not aligining with the cooling in the eastern Pacific ocean.

    Result cold snaps for Australia


    Here's more of the story..........






    https://dailysceptic.org/2023/01/23/temperatures-in-northern-hemisphere-due-to-fall-over-next-25-years-according-to-six-top-international-scientists/




    Temperatures in Northern Hemisphere Due to Fall Over Next 25 Years,
    According to Six Top International Scientists

    Whisper it quietly – and don’t tell Al ‘Boiling Oceans’ Gore – but the
    Northern hemisphere may be entering a temperature cooling phase until
    the 2050s with a decline up to 0.3°C. By extension, the rest of the
    globe will also be cooled. These sensational findings, ignored by the mainstream media, were released last year and are the work of six top international scientists led by Nour-Eddine Omrani of the Norwegian
    Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research. Published in the Nature journal
    Climate and Atmospheric Science, the scientists say that the North
    Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation, an important sea current that has
    been pumping warmer water into the Arctic, is weakening and that’s
    leading to a cooler North Atlantic area and lower temperatures, as was
    observed in the period 1950-1970.

    Certainly, current observations back up these suggestions. As we
    reported recently, Arctic summer sea ice stopped declining about a
    decade ago and has shown recent growth. The Greenland surface ice sheet
    grew by almost 500 billion tonnes in the year to August 2022, and this
    was nearly equivalent to its estimated annual loss. Of course, climate alarmists have not quite caught up with these recent trends, with Sir
    David Attenborough telling his BBC Frozen Planet II audience that the
    summer sea ice could all be gone within 12 years.

    Interestingly, the six scientists, whose work has helped debunk the ‘settled’ science myth, still attribute some global warming to human causes. The Northern hemisphere is characterised by “several
    multidecadal climate trends that have been attributed to anthropogenic
    climate change”. But producing work that predicts 30 years of global
    cooling puts them outside the ‘settled’ narrative that claims human-produced carbon dioxide is the main – possibly the only –
    determinant of global and local temperatures. At the very least, it
    dials down the hysteria pushing for almost immediate punitive net-Zero measures. Lead author Omrani is reported to have said that the expected
    warming pause “gives us time to work out technical, political and
    economic solutions before the next warming phase, which will take over
    again from 2050”.

    Needless to say, such thinking was absent at last week’s Davos climate
    freak show, with elite delegates ramping up the fearmongering to record heights. Former U.S. Vice-President Al Gore went into full meltdown,
    ranting about “rain bombs” and “boiling oceans”. Current U.S. climate envoy, and private jet owner, John Kerry described the gathering as a “select” group of people trying to “save the planet”, while chief UN carnival barker Antonio Guterres claimed we were flirting with climate
    disaster and every week brought a new horror story. Of course, some
    might suggest that in the circumstances this was an all-round excellent
    effort to whip up more money – ahem, I mean more genuine climate concern
    – at a time when corals, Arctic sea ice, the Greenland ice sheet, polar
    bears and now global warming are having to be retired from the
    poster-alarm portfolio.

    As we have noted on numerous occasions, rising global temperatures ran
    out of steam about two decades ago. Accurate satellite records show
    pauses from around 2000 to 2012 and a current one lasting over eight
    years. It could be argued that the only real warming for over 20 years
    was caused by a particularly powerful El Nino natural oscillation around
    the middle of the last decade. Surface datasets run by operations like
    the U.K. Met Office have added retrospective warming, while there are increasing doubts about the on-site recording of massive heat
    distortions caused by the growth in cities and towns across the globe.

    The Omrani paper is complex but it revolves around the effect of the
    cyclical and natural North Atlantic Multidecadel Oscillation (AMO). Observations and records dating back to the start of the 19th century
    have shown enormous Arctic sea ice changes. It appears the AMO plays a
    major part in these changes. A key projection of the paper is “further weakening of the North Atlantic Oscillation, North Atlantic cooling and
    hiatus in wintertime North Atlantic Arctic sea ice and global surface temperatures just like the 1950 – 1970s”. If there is a drop comparable with this period, the global temperature could fall by up to 0.3°C.

    Any science that downplays the involvement of human-caused CO2 is
    largely ignored in mainstream academia, politics and the media. But even
    some scientists who argue there is considerable anthropogenic input
    recognise the role played by natural atmospheric factors in a constantly changing climate. More sceptical scientists such as Emeritus Professor
    Richard Lindzen of MIT have an intellectual objection to blaming all or
    most changes in global temperatures on just one trace atmospheric gas.
    Lindzen is dismissive of this “one dimensional” view of the climate. He
    is of the climate science school of thought that argues that temperature changes are caused by dynamic heat flows in the atmosphere and the
    oceans, and these in turn are caused by latitudinal differences in
    temperature, or ‘baroclinic instability’ to give it a scientific term.

    For Lindzen, it is “absurd” to assume that the controlling factor for temperature changes in our complex, three-dimensional climate is the
    small contribution made by CO2. It seems that the more scientists look
    and explore, the more they understand that the atmosphere and the
    climate it produces is an immensely complex environment affected by many far-reaching natural influences.

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