XPost: alt.crime, alt.privacy

https://www.nyc.gov/site/nypd/stats/reports-analysis/crime-enf.page

New York City has just released its report on crime and crime suspects
for 2022. Despite its drab cover, this report is dynamite. Most cities
don’t publish race data.

Commissioner Keechant Sewell, like her predecessors, gave you the works.

Keechant just resigned after only a year and a half on the job.

Maybe she actually read the report that has her name on it. It paints a
grim picture of the terrible damage blacks and Hispanics do to her
city. The media, of course, will scrupulously ignore this report.

The NYPD puts the data in graphs and here’s the one for murder.

Last year, there were 414 homicides in the city. Of the 414 murders,
blacks were 63 percent of the victims, 64 percent of the suspects, and
58 percent of the arrestees.

As you can see on the right, Hispanics were mixed up with a lot of
killings, too: They were 26 percent of the victims, 31 percent of the
suspects, and 36 percent of the arrestees. Whites and Asians didn’t
amount to much, and there are so few American Indians in the city, you
wonder why the NYPD bothers with them.

There were 20,295 robberies reported in 2022. As you can see, blacks,
in the middle, were suspects and got arrested for robbery, a lot more
often than they were victims.

This means many of them robbed people of other races. Asians were much
more likely to be victims than to be suspects or perps. It’s fair to
assume blacks robbed a lot of them. Whites were also more likely to be
victims than perps. It’s the same for Hispanics. They were a pretty
good share of suspects and arrestees, too.

The NYPD kindly tells us.

Whites are about 31 percent of the population, blacks a little over 20
percent, Asians 14 percent, and Hispanics 29 percent. It’s as if the
NYPD were inviting you to calculate what are called odds ratios, and
see how BIPOC crime rates compare to white rates. The numbers are
staggering.

Blacks are a hair-raising 33.7 times more likely than whites to be
murder suspects. Hispanics are also very high at 11.2 times, and Asians
are 2.2 times more likely to be suspects.

Robbery is next. Last year, 20,295 New Yorkers told the police they
were mugged. As you can see, robbery is another black specialty. Rape,
though, like grand larceny two spots over, is a crime in which whites
were relatively well represented. Blacks were only about six times and Hispanics about four times more likely than whites to be suspects in
last year’s 1,224 rapes.

Felonious assault, of which there were 26,301 reported cases, means
attacking and injuring someone with a weapon or causing serious injury,
armed or not. Grand larceny, which is stealing something worth $1,000
or more, was the most common of these crimes, with 50,577 reported
cases. Hispanics were only twice as likely as whites to be suspects,
and Asians are slightly *less* likely than whites to be suspects.

Finally, we have shootings. This is when someone fires a gun and hits
someone. That happened 1,566 times last year, and includes all gun
homicides, so there were at least 1,100 shootings in which someone was
wounded but not killed. This is very much a black specialty, with
Hispanics well behind but still 25.5 times more likely than whites to
be suspects. Interestingly, Asians are nearly three times more likely
than whites to be suspects.

These odds ratios for suspects are the most accurate indication of who
is committing crime in New York City. If you are robbed or raped or
assaulted, the police take your description of the perp, whether they
catch him or not. A lot of criminals aren’t caught, so the victim
description is often all we know about race of perp.

This is the city’s most recent quarterly report on clearance rates.

As you can see at the top, New York is reasonably good at catching
murderers, but it doesn’t clear even half of robberies or rapes. That
means the only information we may have on the race of robbers and
rapists who got away is from victim descriptions.

Let’s calculate odds ratios for arrests anyway.

For example, for murder, blacks are 34 times more likely than whites to
be suspects, but only 25.3 times more likely to be arrested. For
robbery, the numbers drop from 23 to 18.4. This is probably because
blacks are famous for not cooperating with the police, so there are
fewer tipoffs and fewer witnesses. That makes it hard to get enough
evidence for an arrest.

Whichever figures you take, Blacks are committing a huge amount of the
crime in New York City. Even Asians, who normally have low crime rates,
are worse lawbreakers than whites.

Let’s do one last set of calculations. What if New York were an all-
white city, and the additional whites committed crime at exactly the
same rate as the whites who live there now. (Actually, if the city were
all white, white crime rates would probably drop. People are influenced
by bad behavior around them, especially if they have been crime victims themselves.)

Murder would drop by an incredible 90.6 percent, and robbery by 85.8
percent. Rape, felonious assault, and grand larceny would also fall,
though not as much. Shootings would practically disappear.

Now, I, for one, think these are interesting numbers, but what are your
chances of finding them anywhere else? The media won’t even write about
the raw data the NYPD publishes every year – and for how much longer?
If the police stopped reporting race data, do you think the New York
Times would complain?

Differences in the behavior between groups of humans are almost never
as great as these enormous race differences in crime rates in New York
City. If blacks or Hispanics were drowning or catching pneumonia at
four or 12 or 20 times the white rate, you’d never hear the end of it.
But I’m the only guy in the world telling you about these numbers.

And we know why. This NYPD report says that Blacks are wrecking the
city. An all-white New York wouldn’t have a crime problem worth talking
about. You wouldn’t need a fraction of the police – or social workers
or bum shelters or street sweepers or drug counsellors or graffiti
cleaners. What a wonderful place it would be! But don’t you dare say so.

And which way is the city going? “Over 100,000 migrants have arrived in
NYC,” says NBC News, with sympathetic profiles of two Venezuelans.

Will these two lads — along with the 99,998 others — improve the place?
Even the city’s bonehead mayor, Eric Adams says, “Migrant crisis ‘will
destroy’ New York City.”

But here they are, practically an African village, resting in the
shade, dreaming of Broadway.

That wall is supposed to keep them out, but they’ll walk right through
it with Joe Biden’s blessing. Here are more, ready for the open arms of
what used to be called the border patrol.

How many will end up on the streets of Manhattan, waiting for the free
hotel rooms Eric Adams has promised them?

Is the bonehead screaming at the President to close the border? Is he
screaming at ICE to deport these illegals? Nope. He just announced 15
percent budget cuts – including the police – so he can scrape up $12
billion to pay for these freeloaders.

Have there ever been such foolish rulers? Has there ever been a more
patient, long-suffering people than the Europeans who built a nation
they thought they were going to give to their children?

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